340 results
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2. On Economic Growth and Ecological Decay.
- Author
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James, Paul C.
- Subjects
GROSS national product ,ENERGY development ,ECOLOGY ,ECONOMIC development - Published
- 1994
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN CHINA: SEEKING A BALANCE BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION.
- Author
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Flynn, A. and Wu, B.
- Subjects
SUSTAINABLE development ,GOVERNMENT policy ,ECONOMIC development ,ENVIRONMENTAL protection - Published
- 1995
4. Pakistan: energy development and economic growth
- Author
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Looney, Robert E.
- Subjects
ENERGY development ,ECONOMIC development - Published
- 1995
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
5. THE DETERMINANTS OF SCHOOL ATTAINMENT IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: A CASE STUDY OF GHANA.
- Author
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Glewwe, Paul and Ilias, Nauman
- Subjects
ECONOMIC development ,EDUCATION ,GENDER identity ,SCHOOLS ,SCHOOL administration - Abstract
This paper investigates the factors that determine educational attainment in Ghana. The following specific questions are addressed: 1) What are the relative impacts of economic growth and improvements in school quality on educational attainment? and 2) What policy variables are most effective for reducing the gender gap in educational attainment? We find that economic growth will play the most significant role in raising the school attainment in Ghana in future years. Continued economic growth should also reduce the gender gap substantially. In addition to economic growth, provision of blackboards and repairing of leaking roofs will significantly raise school attainment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1996
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
6. LIMITS TO GROWTH, SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AND ENVIRONMENTAL KUZNETS CURVES: AN EXAMINATION OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT.
- Author
-
Cole, M. A.
- Subjects
ECONOMIC development ,ECONOMICS ,SUSTAINABLE development ,GOVERNMENT policy - Abstract
The nature of the relationship between economic development and the environment has been discussed since the 1960s, yet opinion remains divided. This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between economic growth and environmental degradation and begins by reviewing the largely theoretical discussions from the limits to growth debate of the 1970s to the advent of sustainable development inthe 1980s. The paper then examines the recent studies that have subjected the growth - environment relationship to a statistical analysisthrough the estimation of environmental Kuznets curves (EKCs). The extent to which these studies indicate a decoupling of environmental damage from growth is considered and reasons are suggested why some environmental indicators appear to improve with growth whilst others deteriorate. In order to illustrate the need to interpret EKCs carefully, forecasts of global emissions are made, for the period 1990-2020, for two pollutants that EKCs suggest are being decoupled from economic growth. Policy implications are then discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1999
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
7. Breaking out of the MIRAB mould: historical evidence from Norfolk Island.
- Author
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Treadgold, Malcolm L.
- Subjects
- *
ECONOMIC development , *TOURISM - Abstract
The MIRAB model offers an explanation of the evolution and operation of some tiny Pacific island economies. Proponents of the model have argued that it describes an economic system that is durable and persistent. Using an historical approach, this paper explores whether and how an economy of the MIRAB type can break out of its structural mould without regressing to an earlier stage of development. After establishing that Norfolk Island possessed strong MIRAB characteristics from the end of World War II until the early 1960s, the paper analyses the tourism-dominated economic growth that erased these characteristics, or at least reduced them to insignificance. It concludes that the island has achieved a sustained break-out from the MIRAB mould, although not without incurring some social costs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1999
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
8. Dematerialization and sustainable development.
- Author
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Sun, J. W.
- Subjects
ECONOMIC development ,FORCE & energy ,SUSTAINABLE development ,CARBON dioxide - Abstract
Using a new conceptual framework, this study demonstrates that sustainable development depends on two factors: (i) the deintensification of energy and material use/polluter emissions; (ii) appropriate economic growth. We generally emphasize deintensification of energy and material use, or carbon dioxide (CO
2 ) and other polluter emissions, but often neglect the control of economic growth. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2000
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
9. Investment and Financial Restraints: Theory and Evidence.
- Author
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Demetriades, Panicos O. and Devereux, Michael P.
- Subjects
CAPITAL market ,ECONOMIC development ,CAPITAL stock ,INVESTMENTS ,INTEREST rates ,DEVELOPING countries - Abstract
This paper examines investment decisions in an economy with two financial markets: an official market, which is subject to rationing due to an interest rate ceiling, and an unrestricted market, with a higher interest rate. In this context, the long-run equilibrium aggregate capital stock is unambiguously higher than in the absence of the interest rate ceiling, even though its relationship with the ceiling is non-monotonic. Empirical results using aggregate panel data from 52 developing countries for the period 1974-1988 provide support for the model, particularly in economies that have some access to international capital markets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2000
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
10. HUMAN CAPITAL AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT IN ECONOMIC GROWTH: NEW EVIDENCE USING THE TRANSLOG PRODUCTION FUNCTION.
- Author
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Evans, Alun Dwyfor, Green, Christopher J., and Murinde, Victor
- Subjects
HUMAN capital ,ECONOMIC development ,PRODUCTION (Economic theory) ,FINANCE ,LABOR ,MONEY - Abstract
In this paper we evaluate the contributions of human capital and financial development to economic growth in a panel of 82 countries covering 21 years. The main innovations in the paper stem from the fact that we use a translog production function as a framework for estimating the relationships among economic growth and factor inputs. The factor inputs considered are: labour, physical capital, human capital (deriving from endogenous growth theory), and a monetary factor (money or credit, deriving from the theory of money in the production function). The translog production function enables a richer specification of the relationships among growth and factor inputs, than the more commonly used Cobb-Douglas approach, as it allows for interactions among factor inputs. We find significant evidence of such interactions, suggesting that studies which ignore such interactions are likely to be misleading. Overall, our results suggest that financial development is at least as important as human capital in the growth process. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2002
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
11. Political Instability, Uncertainty and Economics.
- Author
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Carmignani, F.
- Subjects
POLITICAL stability -- Economic aspects ,ECONOMIC development ,PRICE inflation ,FISCAL policy - Abstract
This paper focuses on the relationship between political instability, policy–making and macroeconomic outcomes. The theoretical section explores various models that explain the effect of instability (and political uncertainty) on growth, budget formation, inflation and monetary policy. The empirical section discusses the evidence on the predictions generated by theoretical models. Preliminary to this discussion, however, is the analysis of a few general issues concerning the specification and estimation of econometric models with political variables. Some new results are then produced on the empirical relevance of theories of strategic use of fiscal deficit. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2003
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
12. Economic Growth in Transition.
- Author
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George, Donald A. R, Oxley, Les, and Carlaw, Ken
- Subjects
ECONOMIC development ,DEVELOPMENT economics ,ECONOMICS ,ECONOMIC policy ,STATICS & dynamics (Social sciences) - Abstract
This paper sets the contributions to this issue in the context of a large and rapidly growing literature. It argues, on theoretical and empirical grounds, that future research should focus on transitional growth dynamics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2003
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
13. Cost- and Income-based Measures of Human Capital.
- Author
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Le, Trinh, Gibson, John, and Oxley, Les
- Subjects
HUMAN capital ,LABOR supply ,ECONOMIC development ,COST ,INCOME - Abstract
Human capital is increasingly believed to play an important role in the growth process, however, adequately measuring its stock remains controversial. In this paper three general approaches to measurement are identified; cost-based, income-based and educational stock-based. This survey focuses on the first two approaches and provides a critical review of the theories and their applications to data from a range of countries. Particular emphasis is placed upon the work of Jorgenson and Fraumeni (1989, 1992) and some new results for New Zealand based upon their approach are also presented. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2003
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
14. What have We Learnt from the Convergence Debate?
- Author
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Islam, Nazrul
- Subjects
ECONOMIC convergence ,ECONOMIC development ,ECONOMICS ,BUSINESS cycles ,DEVELOPMENT economics - Abstract
This paper surveys the convergence literature. It begins by laying out different definitions of convergence and by showing the link between the convergence issue and the growth theory debate. The paper then follows the convergence research conducted along four different approaches, namely the cross-section, panel, time-series, and distribution approaches. The paper shows the association of these methodological approaches with various definitions of convergence and highlights the connections among the convergence results. It shows that, despite some impressions to the contrary, there is considerable agreement among the results. Although the convergence research might not have solved the growth debate entirely, it has helped both the neoclassical and the new growth theories to adapt and evolve. The research on convergence has established new stylized facts regarding cross-country growth regularities. It has brought to fore the existence of large technological and institutional differences across countries and has given rise to new methodologies for quantifying and analyzing these differences. This is providing a new information base for analysis of technological and institutional diffusion and for further development of growth theory in general. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2003
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
15. How Large Is International Trade’s Effect on Economic Growth?
- Author
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Lewer, Joshua J and Berg, Hendrik Van den
- Subjects
ECONOMIC development ,INTERNATIONAL trade ,GROSS domestic product ,ECONOMICS ,ECONOMIC policy - Abstract
The estimated static welfare gains from international trade are very small, on the order of one percent of GDP. The case for free trade is therefore increasingly linked to trade’s apparent positive effects on economic growth. But how large are these growth effects? The vast empirical literature has emphasized the statistical significance, not the economic significance, of the trade-growth relationship. This survey’s re-examination of the empirical literature focuses on the size of the relationship between trade and growth. Our survey reveals that the many empirical studies are surprisingly consistent in terms of the size of the relationship: A one percentage point increase in the growth of exports is associated with a one-fifth percentage point increase in economic growth. Given the power of compounding, the effect of trade on growth is very important for human welfare. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2003
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
16. Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth.
- Author
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Zagler, Martin and Dürnecker, Georg
- Subjects
FISCAL policy ,ECONOMIC policy ,ECONOMIC development ,PUBLIC spending ,REVENUE - Abstract
This paper surveys the literature on fiscal policy and economic growth. We present a unifying framework for the analysis of long run growth implications of government expenditures and revenues. We find that several tax rates and expenditure categories exhibit a direct impact on the growth rate of the economy. In a creative synthesis we have assigned the relevant literature to the twelve introduced policy variables. Due to the equivalence of some policy variables we are left with six degrees of freedom, where we need four to internalize the model’s intrinsic externalities, leaving two instruments to conduct short run fiscal policy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2003
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
17. Productivity, Technology and Economic Growth: What is the Relationship?
- Author
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Carlaw, Kenneth I and Lipsey, Richard G
- Subjects
INDUSTRIAL productivity ,INDUSTRIAL efficiency ,PRODUCTION (Economic theory) ,ECONOMIC development ,TECHNOLOGY - Abstract
The relationship between productivity, technology and economic growth has been debated extensively in the endogenous growth, growth accounting, New Economy and policy literature. This paper briefly surveys the literature on total factor productivity (TFP) calculations – the various techniques and problems associated with it. We argue that TFP is not a measure of technological change and only under ideal conditions does it measure the supernormal profits associated with technological change. The critical driving force of economic growth is not the super normal profits that technological change generates but rather the continuous creation of opportunities for further technological development. Six illustrations of when TFP fails to correctly measure these super normal profits are provided. A version Carlaw and Lipsey’s (2003b) model of endogenous general purpose technology- driven growth is then utilized to make some progress toward answering Prescott’s (1998) call for a theory of TFP. The model is used to simulate artificial data and connect theoretical assumptions of returns to scale and resource costs to the conditions under which TFP miss-measures the actual growth of technological knowledge. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2003
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
18. The Long-Run implications of Growth Theories.
- Author
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Temple, Jonathan
- Subjects
ECONOMIC development ,ECONOMICS ,ECONOMIC policy ,STATICS & dynamics (Social sciences) ,BUSINESS cycles - Abstract
This paper draws attention to some possible misunderstandings concerning the place of long-run outcomes in growth theory. It argues that the traditional emphasis on these outcomes is often misguided. As a result of this emphasis, too much attention is paid to the role of knife-edge assumptions, and researchers may be led to interpretations of the evidence, or models of the growth process, that are not wholly sensible. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2003
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
19. Financial Markets, Development and Economic Growth: Tales of Informational Asymmetries.
- Author
-
Capasso, Salvatore
- Subjects
FINANCIAL markets ,ECONOMICS ,ECONOMIC development ,ECONOMIC indicators ,CONTRACTS ,FINANCIAL institutions ,CAPITAL productivity ,PRODUCTION (Economic theory) ,PRODUCTION functions (Economic theory) ,RESOURCE allocation ,GOVERNMENT productivity ,INDUSTRIAL productivity ,LABOR productivity ,LOANS ,FINANCIAL management ,CHARITABLE uses, trusts, & foundations - Abstract
The development of financial systems is very often characterised by the development of innovative financial contracts which allow a more efficient allocation of resources and a higher level of capital productivity and economic growth. By exploiting the microeconomic theory of the optimal financial contract under asymmetric information, economists have recently managed to shed new light on the well studied issue of the relationship between financial market development and economic growth. This paper reviews the most recent progress of this literature which shows that the amount of information asymmetry in the credit market and the degree of heterogeneity between borrowers (typically firms) and lenders (typically workers or savers) determine the nature of the financial system. Differences in endowments and in the level of information distribution can give rise to very different financial contracts which affect, and in turn are affected, by capital accumulation and growth. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2004
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
20. Port capital formation and economic development in Japan: A vector autoregression approach.
- Author
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Kawakami, Tetsu and Doi, Masayuki
- Subjects
HARBORS ,CAPITAL ,PUBLIC investments ,ECONOMIC development ,AUTOREGRESSION (Statistics) - Abstract
Applying the lag-augmented vector autoregression approach developed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995), we analyse the causal relationships among GDP, private capital, transport user cost, and port capital in Japan, and investigates the dynamic and accumulated effects of port capital formation on other variables from 1966 to 1997. Results from our analysis indicate that the causal relationships between port capital and other variables are significant. Port capital development leads to accrual of considerable magnitudes of both flow and stock effects. We conclude that structural economic effects of forming port capital are substantial for Japan. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2004
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
21. Elasticities of ergodic solutions in the Markov chains approach to economic growth convergence.
- Author
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Mora, Toni
- Subjects
ERGODIC theory ,MARKOV processes ,ECONOMIC development ,INCOME ,INCOME inequality - Abstract
Elasticities are estimated for long-run solutions of Markov chains of income distribution for the European regions. The results indicate that there will be no major changes in these long-run solutions for lower income states in the Markov chain and that effects on higher income states will be only moderate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
22. Export variety and economic growth in East European transition economies.
- Author
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Funke, Michael and Ruhwedel, Ralf
- Subjects
ECONOMIC development ,TRANSITION economies ,EXPORTS ,ECONOMIC policy ,EMERGING markets - Abstract
Utilizing panel data for 14 East European transition economies, we discuss the link between product variety and growth. The empirical work relies upon some direct measures of product variety calculated from 5-digit OECD trade data. On balance, the results suggest that the growth patterns of the East European transition countries may be best represented by) model of outward orientation and integration with the world economy.JEL classifications: C33, F43, O31, O33, O52. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
23. DEFORESTATION IN NORTHEAST THAILAND, 1975–91: RESULTS OF A GENERAL STATISTICAL MODEL.
- Author
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Wannitikul, Gadsaraporn
- Subjects
DEFORESTATION ,ENVIRONMENTAL degradation ,LAND clearing ,FORESTS & forestry ,ECONOMIC development ,MATHEMATICAL models - Abstract
Using a general statistical model, this study attempts to characterise the trend of deforestation in the northeast region (Isan) of Thailand between 1975 and 1991, a period when the kingdom had sustained high rates of economic growth and steady increases in population. Using data obtained directly from government bodies on the 17 provinces comprising this heavily deforested region, the study examines the correlations between forest area and a set of six variables: population density, agricultural area, real per capita income, accumulated irrigated area, agricultural credit levels, and distance from Bangkok, the national political and economic centre. It also considers the effect of the two logging bans instituted in 1979 and since 1989. The study found a negative correlation between forest area and population density in particular, followed in ranking by agricultural credit, per capita income, the logging bans and distance from Bangkok. Viewed together with more recent data showing that rates of deforestation in the kingdom as a whole have slowed and appear to be stabilising, these results also suggest the beginnings in the 1990s of a forest transition– from an industrial to a post-industrial stage in forest utilisation– in Thailand. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
24. Causes of rural economic development.
- Author
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Gardner, Bruce L.
- Subjects
RURAL development ,INCOME ,AGRICULTURAL economics ,ECONOMIC development ,DEVELOPING countries - Abstract
Underlying factors in the growth of agriculture as a sector and of rural incomes in developing countries are investigated, using data from 85 countries during 1960–2001. Hypotheses about growth are derived from both the general growth literature and the empirical literature on past agricultural growth in the United States and other industrial countries. The growth of agriculture as a sector is surprisingly independent of the growth of income per capita for those who work in that sector. Neither is necessary nor sufficient for the other. Agricultural economics is in many circumstances not the key discipline in understanding the economics of rural income and poverty. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
25. AN ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT IN SOUTH AFRICA.
- Author
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Perkins, Peter, Fedderke, Johann, and Luiz, John
- Subjects
ECONOMIC development ,INFRASTRUCTURE (Economics) ,GROSS domestic product ,AIR travel ,ECONOMIC indicators - Abstract
This paper analyses long-term trends in the development of South Africa's economic infrastructure and discusses their relationship with the country's long-term economic growth. A database covering national accounts data, railways, roads, ports, air travel, phone lines and electricity was established for this purpose, and may facilitate further quantitative research. PSS (Pesaran, Shin and Smith, 1996, 2001) F-tests are used to identify directions of association between economic infrastructure and economic growth. These indicate long-run forcing relationships from public-sector economic infrastructure investment and fixed capital stock to gross domestic product (GDP), from roads to GDP, and from GDP to a range of other types of infrastructure. There is also evidence of potential simultaneity between specific types of infrastructure and GDP. The evidence suggests three main findings. Firstly, the relationship between economic infrastructure and economic growth appears to run in both directions. Inadequate investment in infrastructure could create bottlenecks, and opportunities for promoting economic growth could be missed. Secondly, South Africa's stock of economic infrastructure has developed in phases. Policymakers should focus on choosing or encouraging the right type of infrastructure at the right time. Thirdly, the need for investment in economic infrastructure never goes away. The maintenance and expansion of infrastructure are important dimensions of supporting economic activity in a growing economy, provided that individual projects are chosen on the basis of appropriate cost-benefit analyses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
26. International financial liberalization and industry growth.
- Author
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Vlachos, Jonas and Waldenström, Daniel
- Subjects
ECONOMIC development ,CORPORATE finance ,PORTFOLIO management (Investments) ,CONTRACTING out ,ECONOMIC competition - Abstract
The growth effects of international financial liberalization and integration are investigated using the methodology and data developed by Rajan and Zingales (1998). The main result is that industries highly dependent on external financing do not experience higher growth in value added in countries with liberalized financial markets. Liberalization does, however, increase the growth rates of both output and firm creation among externally dependent industries—given that the countries have reached a relatively high level of financial development. These results are consistent both with increased competition and increased outsourcing. Some tentative evidence points towards the latter explanation. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
27. Publication Bias in the Economic Freedom and Economic Growth Literature.
- Author
-
Doucouliagos, Chris
- Subjects
ECONOMICS ,ECONOMIC development ,LIBERTY ,PUBLICATIONS ,COMMUNICATION - Abstract
The impact of institutions on economic performance has attracted significant attention from researchers, as well as from policy reformers. A rapidly growing area in this literature is the impact of economic freedom on economic growth. The aim of this paper was to explore publication bias in this literature by means of traditional funnel plots, meta-significance testing, as well as by bootstrapping these meta-significance tests. When all the available estimates are combined and averaged, there seems to be evidence of a genuine and positive economic freedom – economic growth effect. However, it is also shown that the economic freedom – economic growth literature is tainted strongly with publication bias. The existence of publication bias makes it difficult to identify the magnitude of the genuine effect of economic freedom on economic growth. The paper explores the differences between aggregate and disaggregate measures of economic freedom and shows that selection effects are stronger when aggregate measures are used. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
28. A Meta-Analysis of β-Convergence: the Legendary 2%.
- Author
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Abreu, Maria, De Groot, Henri L. F., and Florax, Raymond J. G. M.
- Subjects
META-analysis ,ECONOMIC development ,STOCHASTIC convergence ,ECONOMIC policy ,PSYCHOMETRICS - Abstract
The topic of convergence is at the heart of a wide-ranging debate in the growth literature, and empirical studies of convergence differ widely in their theoretical backgrounds, empirical specifications, and in their treatment of cross-sectional heterogeneity. Despite these differences, a rate of convergence of about 2% has been found under a variety of different conditions, resulting in the widespread belief that the rate of convergence is a natural constant. We use meta-analysis to investigate whether there is substance to the ‘myth’ of the 2% convergence rate and to assess several unresolved issues of interpretation and estimation. Our data set contains approximately 600 estimates taken from a random sample of empirical growth studies published in peer-reviewed journals. The results indicate that it is misleading to speak of a natural convergence rate since estimates of different growth regressions come from different populations, and we find that correcting for the bias resulting from unobserved heterogeneity in technology levels leads to higher estimates of the rate of convergence. We also find that correcting for endogeneity of the explanatory variables has a substantial effect on the estimates and that measures of financial and fiscal development are important determinants of long-run differences in per capita income levels. We show that although the odds of a study being published is not uniform for studies with different p-values, publication bias has no significant effect on the conclusions of the analysis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
29. Frontiers of the New Economic Geography.
- Author
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Fujita, Masahisa and Mori, Tomoya
- Subjects
ECONOMIC geography ,AGGLOMERATION (Materials) ,INTERNATIONAL trade ,ECONOMIC development ,TRANSPORTATION rates - Abstract
This article presents an overview of the recent development in the new economic geography (NEG), and discusses possible directions of its future development. Since several surveys on this topic already exist, we focus on the selected features of NEG which are important yet have attracted insufficient attention, and also on the recent refinements and extensions of the framework. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
30. Agricultural exports and economic growth in less developed countries.
- Author
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Dawson, P. J.
- Subjects
FARM produce ,EXPORTS ,ECONOMIC development ,DEVELOPING countries ,DUAL economy ,AGRICULTURAL industries ,AGRICULTURAL economics - Abstract
This article examines the contribution of agricultural exports to economic growth in less developed countries (LDCs). A sources-of-growth equation is developed from a dual economy model where agricultural and nonagricultural sectors are both divided into export and nonexport subsectors. This is then estimated using panel data for 62 LDCs for 1974–1995. Results provide evidence that there are significant structural differences in economic growth between low, lower-middle, and upper-income LDCs. Investment in the agricultural export subsector has a statistically identical impact on economic growth as investment in the nonagricultural export subsector. The marginal productivities in nonexport subsectors are over 30% lower than those in respective export subsectors. From a policy perspective, the results suggest that export-promotion policies should be balanced. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
31. Foreign aid and long-run economic growth: empirical evidence for a panel of developing countries.
- Author
-
Karras, Georgios
- Subjects
INTERNATIONAL economic assistance ,ECONOMIC development ,PER capita ,GROWTH rate ,GROSS domestic product - Abstract
This paper investigates the relationship between foreign aid and growth in per capita GDP using annual data from the 1960 to 1997 period for a sample of 71 aid-receiving developing economies. The results show that the effect of foreign aid on economic growth is positive, permanent, statistically significant, and sizable: raising foreign aid by $20 per person of the receiving country results in a permanent increase in the growth rate of real GDP per capita by approximately 0.16 per cent. Using an alternative foreign-aid measure, a permanent increase in aid by 1 per cent of the receiving economy's GDP permanently raises the per capita growth rate by 0.14 to 0.26 per cent. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
32. AN ANALYSIS OF INVENTORY INVESTMENT IN SOUTH AFRICA.
- Author
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Smith, H., Blignaut, J., and Van Heerden, J. H.
- Subjects
INVENTORIES ,SAVINGS ,ECONOMIC development ,BUSINESS cycles ,PRICE levels - Abstract
This paper describes the evolution of inventory investment in South Africa over the past two decades, and identifies the factors influencing inventory investment over this period. An econometric model of inventory investment in South Africa, based on the production smoothing approach, is constructed. The results of the model indicate that actual sales, production, unfilled orders, price levels, interest rates and expected sales have an influence on the evolution of inventory investment. These variables are directly or indirectly influenced by macroeconomic policy decisions and through their influence on inventory investment they also influence changes in gross domestic product. Therefore, prior information on the factors that influence inventory investment contributes to explaining changes in gross domestic product and may help to prepare more accurate short-term forecasts of overall economic activity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
33. Market-oriented institutions and policies and economic growth: A critical survey.
- Author
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De Haan, Jakob, Lundström, Susanna, and Sturm, Jan-Egbert
- Subjects
MARKET orientation ,ECONOMIC development ,LIBERALISM ,EMPIRICAL research ,RESEARCH institutes - Abstract
This paper surveys recent evidence suggesting that market-oriented institutions and policies are strongly related to economic growth, focusing on studies using the economic freedom (EF) indicator of the Fraser Institute. This index is critically discussed. Also various serious shortcomings of empirical studies using this index are identified. Nevertheless, there are strong indications that liberalization, i.e. an increase in the EF index, stimulates economic growth. This paper also reviews studies on the determinants of EF. Political liberalization is often found to enhance economic liberalization, whereas there is less evidence for causality running in the other direction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
34. Aid, social policies and pro-poor growth.
- Author
-
Verschoor, Arjan and Kalwij, Adriaan
- Subjects
ECONOMIC development ,ECONOMIC policy ,SOCIAL indicators ,SOCIAL services ,INCOME ,POVERTY ,INFANT mortality - Abstract
Recent literature reports that foreign aid contributes to economic growth when economic policies are good. This paper claims that aid can contribute not just to growth but also to pro-poor growth, through increasing the responsiveness of social indicators to economic growth. The empirical evidence we present is in favour of this claim, suggesting that both aid itself and a recipient government's budget share allocated to social services tend to increase the (absolute) size of the income elasticity of poverty and infant mortality, and that, moreover, aid tends to increase this budget share. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
35. FACTORS INHIBITING DEFLATIONARY BIAS IN CURRENCY BOARD ECONOMIES: EVIDENCE FROM THE COLONIAL ERA.
- Author
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Treadgold, Malcolm
- Subjects
REGIONAL economic disparities ,CURRENCY boards ,COLONIAL administration ,FINANCIAL institutions ,ECONOMIC development - Abstract
A traditional criticism of currency boards is that they impart a deflationary bias to growing economies. Three factors, however, may inhibit the bias: increases in the velocity of money; increases in the monetary base, which under a currency board occur only through balance-of-payments surpluses; and increases in the money multiplier. This article investigates each of the factors in Fiji, Ghana, Jamaica and Malaya over various periods near the end of the colonial era. Except in Malaya, where the money multiplier declined, all helped prevent deflationary outcomes. In broad terms, growth in the monetary base was the most important. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
36. ‘GUNS OR BUTTER?’ REVISITED: ROBUSTNESS AND NONLINEARITY ISSUES IN THE DEFENSE–GROWTH NEXUS.
- Author
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Cuaresma, Jesús Crespo and Reitschuler, Gerhard
- Subjects
MILITARY budgets ,MILITARY spending ,ECONOMETRIC models ,ECONOMIC development ,MILITARY readiness - Abstract
The relationship between military expenditure and growth is studied taking into account potential nonlinearities and robustness issues in the specification of the econometric models used. Using cross-country growth regressions and the widely used Feder–Ram model, the partial correlation between defense spending and economic growth appears robust and significantly negative only for countries with a relatively low military expenditure ratio. While the externality effect appears positive in this subgroup of countries, the overall effect turns negative due to the size effect of the military sector. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
37. Controversies over the impact of development aid: it works; it doesn't; it can, but that depends ...
- Author
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McGillivray, Mark, Feeny, Simon, Hermes, Niels, and Lensink, Robert
- Subjects
MACROECONOMICS ,SURVEYS ,EMPIRICAL research ,ECONOMIC development ,ECONOMICS - Abstract
This paper surveys five decades of empirical research on the macroeconomic impact of aid, looking mainly at studies examining the link between aid and growth. It argues that studies dating until the late 1990s produced either contradictory or inconclusive results. Aid either worked, or it didn't, according to this research. The paper then highlights a major shift in the literature that coincided with the release of the World Bank's Assessing Aid: What Works, What Doesn't and Why. Practically, all research published since that report agrees with its general finding that aid works to the extent that in its absence, growth would be lower. One controversy may therefore have been settled. Yet, as shown in this paper, the report has set-off an intense debate over the context in which aid works. That debate centres on whether the effectiveness of these inflows depends on the policy regime of recipient countries. Some possible avenues through which the heat might be taken out of this debate are considered. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
38. Sustaining Economic Growth in China under Energy and Climate Security Constraints.
- Author
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Xuedu Lu, Jiahua Pan, and Ying Chen
- Subjects
ECONOMIC development ,DEVELOPING countries ,GREENHOUSE gas mitigation ,INTERNATIONAL cooperation - Abstract
After over a quarter of a century of high economic growth, there is no sign that China will slow its pace of economic development. In the meantime, domestic energy security and international climate security have become of increasing concern given China's growth patterns. In this paper, the authors look at the future prospects of growth of the economy, energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions. For China as a developing country, energy security constitutes a more immediate and challenging constraint for China in meeting its development target than the problem of emission reduction. Energy efficiency and diversification have been actively pursued for addressing energy security issue but with positive co-benefit of climate security. International cooperation can promote both securities for a health growth of the economy. (Edited by Xinyu Fan) [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
39. Reform complementarities and economic growth in the Middle East and North Africa.
- Author
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Nabli, Mustapha Kamel and Véganzonès-Varoudakis, Marie-Ange
- Subjects
ECONOMIC reform ,HUMAN capital ,DEVELOPING countries ,MACROECONOMICS ,ECONOMIC development - Abstract
In this paper we empirically analyse the linkages amongst economic reforms, human capital, physical infrastructure, and growth for a panel of 44 developing countries over 1970–1980 to 1999. For this purpose, we generate aggregated reform indicators using principal component analysis. We show that the growth performance of Middle East and North Africa (MENA) has been disappointing because these economies have lagged behind in terms of economic reforms. However, our analysis also reveals that the growth dividend of some reforms has been small. This is the case when structural reforms are implemented in an unstable macroeconomic environment (which corresponds to the situation of the MENA countries in the 1980s), and when macroeconomic reforms are accompanied by a low level of structural reforms (as observed during the 1990s). Our result illustrates the complementarities between reforms as modelled by Mussa (1987) and Williamson (1994). Actually, after human capital and physical infrastructure, our analysis finds that macroeconomic and external stability are key variables for the reform process and for the growth prospects of the developing world. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
40. Is Financial Globalization Beneficial?
- Author
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MISHKIN, FREDERIC S.
- Subjects
INTERNATIONAL competition ,CAPITAL movements ,ECONOMIC development ,GLOBALIZATION ,INTERNATIONAL trade ,FINANCIAL crises - Abstract
This lecture examines whether financial globalization is beneficial to developing countries by first examining the evidence on financial development and economic growth and concludes that financial development is indeed a key element in promoting economic growth. It then asks why if financial development is so beneficial, it often does not occur. It then goes on to examine whether globalization, particularly of the financial kind, can help encourage financial and economic development and argues that it can. However, financial globalization does not always work to encourage economic development because it often leads to devastating financial crises. The issue is thus not whether financial globalization is inherently good or bad, but whether it can be done right. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
41. A GUIDE TO WAVELETS FOR ECONOMISTS.
- Author
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Crowley, Patrick M.
- Subjects
WAVELETS (Mathematics) ,HARMONIC analysis (Mathematics) ,BUSINESS cycles ,ECONOMIC development ,ECONOMETRICS - Abstract
Wavelet analysis, although used extensively in disciplines such as signal processing, engineering, medical sciences, physics and astronomy, has not fully entered the economics discipline yet. In this survey article, wavelet analysis is introduced in an intuitive manner, and the existing economics and finance literature that utilizes wavelets is surveyed and explored. Extensive examples of exploratory wavelet analysis are given, most using Canadian, US and Finnish industrial production data. Finally, potential and possible future applications for wavelet analysis in economics are discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
42. Does China's Huge External Surplus Imply an Undervalued Renminbi?
- Author
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Makin, Anthony J.
- Subjects
FOREIGN exchange rates ,FOREIGN exchange ,ECONOMIC development ,ECONOMIC policy - Abstract
A pegged exchange rate regime has been pivotal to China's export-led development strategy. However, its huge trade surpluses and massive build up of international reserves have been matched by large deficits for major trading partners, creating acute policy concerns abroad, especially in the USA. This paper provides a straightforward conceptual framework for interpreting the effect of China's exchange rate policy on its own trade balance and that of trading partners in the context of discrepant economic growth rates. It shows how pegging the exchange rate when output is outstripping expenditure induces China's trade surpluses and counterpart deficits for its trading partners. An important corollary is that given its strictly regulated capital account, China's persistently large surpluses imply a significantly undervalued renminbi, which should gradually become more flexible. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
43. INSTITUTIONAL CHANGE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: THE EVOLUTION OF WATER RIGHTS IN VICTORIA, AUSTRALIA 1850-1886.
- Author
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Harris, Edwyna
- Subjects
ECONOMIC development ,WATER supply ,LEARNING ,CULTURE ,WATER rights - Abstract
This paper provides a preliminary exploration of the role of adaptive efficiency and institutional learning as the basis for long-run economic growth in Australia by means of an analysis of the institutional changes in water rights between 1850 and 1886 in the colony of Victoria. It is argued that the effects of adaptive efficiency and institutional learning led to the replacement of growth-hindering institutional arrangements in water supply in favour of growth-enhancing frameworks that provided the basis for better economic performance over the long-run. The analysis presents evidence that suggests that in addition to the colonial experience, adaptive efficiency embedded in the inheritance of British culture rather than institutions has played an important role in Australia's economic performance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
44. Early Starts, Reversals and Catch-up in the Process of Economic Development.
- Author
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Chanda, Areendam and Putterman, Louis
- Subjects
ECONOMIC development ,ECONOMIC history ,ASSOCIATIONS, institutions, etc. ,ECONOMIC expansion ,EUROPEANS - Abstract
Early states like China and India have been experiencing more rapid economic growth in recent decades. We show that more rapid growth by early starters has been the norm in economic history, and that the “reversal of fortune” associated with the European overseas expansion was both exceptional and temporary. Not only was the post-1500 reversal in the process of being reversed after 1960, but also the advantage conferred by early development in the latter period was considerably greater than the growth rate disadvantage that it conferred during 1500–1960, implying a rapid undoing of the first reversal. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
45. EVOLUTIONARY AND NEW GROWTH THEORIES. ARE THEY CONVERGING?
- Author
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Castellacci, Fulvio
- Subjects
EVOLUTIONARY theories ,STOCHASTIC convergence ,ECONOMIC development ,ECONOMICS ,TECHNOLOGICAL innovations - Abstract
This paper presents a critical review of evolutionary and new growth theories. The purpose is to discuss the often-made claim that the two approaches, both inspired by Schumpeter's seminal work, are becoming more and more similar in terms of the sources and mechanisms of the growth process on which they focus. According to this argument, some kind of theoretical convergence between the two paradigms is taking place. Differently from previous surveys of the field, this paper compares evolutionary and new growth theories by focusing on their major theoretical foundations. The discussion leads to the conclusion that the two approaches greatly differ with respect to all of their main theoretical building blocks, and that no convergence between the two paradigms is therefore taking place. This finding should be welcomed by both evolutionary and new growth scholars, because it is the process of interaction and the fruitful exchange of ideas between different approaches that lead to advances in growth theory, not their convergence to a common paradigm. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
46. Economic growth and the environment in Transitional China—an old topic with new perspectives.
- Author
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Dongyong Zhang, Kambhampati, Uma, and Morse, Stephen
- Subjects
ECONOMIC development ,ECONOMIC conditions in China ,ENVIRONMENTAL impact charges ,ECOLOGY ,INDUSTRIALIZATION - Abstract
Following experience elsewhere in the world, China has pinned its hopes for development on industrialisation and China's economy has grown exceptionally fast in the last two decades. But many unintended environmental consequences have been recognised. This paper asks whether there really is a trade-off between economic and environmental performance. This is considered in the context of China's macroeconomic performance as well as in the case study of a Chinese state-owned enterprise (SOE) (Zhengzhou Abrasive Company (ZZAC)). The feature of the paper is that stakeholders' perceptions of the trade-off were considered. Our results indicate that the low economic performance of ZZAC to some extent resulted in its improved environmental performance. However, other factors like investment in pollution abatement, which is also influenced by the economic performance, have had a positive impact. Furthermore, ZZAC is found to have increased its labour productivity level, but is retreating from social commitments. Finally, our results clearly indicate that the characteristics of the stakeholders, as well as their positions in the local economy, make a significant difference to their perception of trade-offs between economic growth and the environment, which will finally affect environmental policy making in China. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. From policy to practice: changing government attitudes towards the private sector in Malawi.
- Author
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Record, Richard
- Subjects
PRIVATE sector ,ECONOMIC development ,DICTATORSHIP ,DEMOCRACY ,MALAWI politics & government - Abstract
This paper reviews relations between government and the private sector in Malawi from independence to the present. The analysis charts the changing emphasis that official policy has attached to the role of the private sector throughout the transition from dictatorship to democracy; and from a PRSP that effectively ignored the role of the private sector in national development, to the current more balanced approach that recognises the private sector as the ‘engine of economic growth’ and the best means of achieving poverty reduction. However, in spite of progress, Malawi's private sector remains fragile and while the rhetoric from the highest levels of government towards the private sector has evolved, the enabling environment for private sector development is still inhospitable. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
48. Land inequality and economic growth: a dynamic panel data approach.
- Author
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Fort, Ricardo
- Subjects
ECONOMIC development ,DISTRIBUTION (Economic theory) ,DEVELOPMENT economics ,INCOME inequality ,ECONOMICS ,LAND economics - Abstract
The growing body of literature devoted to studying the impact of inequality on economic growth has centered its attention on the income distribution effect, even though the theoretical relationships are more related to assets distribution. While some recent studies have tried to overcome this limitation by introducing asset indicators, they meet new constraints when dealing only with time-invariant measurements for this explanatory variable. This article provides a theoretical discussion and some novel empirical tests to better understand the relationships between assets distribution and economic growth. We assembled a new panel database that includes observations for more than 30 countries over the last three decades. The data include a time-varying variable for changes in the Land Gini index over this period that enables us to overcome the limitations of previous studies. A system general method of moments (GMM) estimator is used to generate truly unbiased and consistent estimates for the parameters of interest. We explore some of the likely channels through which asset distribution and economic growth may be linked, paying particular attention to the role of secure property rights and the relations between land ownership and education. We find robust and significant negative signs for land inequality in the growth regressions, indicating that changes in asset distribution are an important factor for economic development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
49. Resource Curse or Not: A Question of Appropriability.
- Author
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Boschini, Anne D., Pettersson, Jan, and Roine, Jesper
- Subjects
NATURAL resources ,PROPERTY rights ,ECONOMIC development ,DEPLETION allowances ,FACTORS of production ,POWER resources ,SEVERANCE tax ,ECONOMIC indicators ,MINES & mineral resources ,NONFERROUS metal industries - Abstract
Whether natural resources are good or bad for a country's development are shown to depend on the interaction between institutional setting and, crucially, the types of resources possessed by the country. Some natural resources are, for economical and technical reasons, more likely to cause problems such as rent-seeking and conflicts than others. This potential problem can, however, be countered by good institutional quality. In contrast to the traditional resource curse hypothesis, we show the impact of natural resources on economic growth to be non-monotonic in institutional quality, and increasingly so for certain types of resources. In particular, countries rich in minerals are cursed only if they have low-quality institutions, while the curse is reversed if institutions are sufficiently good. Furthermore, if countries are rich in diamonds and precious metals, these effects—both positive and negative—are larger. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
50. EXPORT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NAMIBIA: A GRANGER CAUSALITY ANALYSIS.
- Author
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Jordaan, Andre C. and Eita, Joel Hinaunye
- Subjects
GROSS domestic product ,ECONOMIC indicators ,TIME series analysis ,STRATEGIC planning ,ECONOMETRICS ,INTERNATIONAL trade ,ECONOMIC development ,COINTEGRATION - Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to analyse the causality between exports and GDP of Namibia and to evaluate the relationship of these variables for the period 1970 to 2005. Time-series econometric techniques (Granger causality and cointegration) are applied to test the hypothesis of a growth strategy led by exports. It tests whether export Granger causes GDP, or whether the causality runs from GDP to exports, or if there is bi-directional causality between exports and GDP. The results revealed that exports Granger cause GDP and GDP per capita. This suggests that the export-led growth strategy through various incentives has a positive influence on growth. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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