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The article offers a discussion on the Tunisia, Morocco, and Mauritania and their path towards democratization. It is noted that based from the late 1987 assessment of political scientists on the prospect countries for democratization in the Arab world, Tunisia turned out to be the frontrunner, the spark of the region's first democratic transition. Twenty years later, the country, together with Morocco and Mauritania, underwent a democratization differential which was surprisingly and dramatically divergent from the previous forecasts.