1. Emissions Trading, Wealth Transfers and the Wounded Bull Scenario in Power Generation
- Author
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Simshauser, Paul and Doan, Thao
- Subjects
Electric utilities -- Analysis ,Electric power production -- Analysis ,Emissions credit trading -- Analysis ,Air pollution -- Analysis ,Air quality management -- Analysis ,Business ,Economics - Abstract
To authenticate to the full-text of this article, please visit this link: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8462.2009.00529.x Byline: Paul Simshauser ([dagger]), Thao Doan ([double dagger]) Abstract: Abstract Electricity generators accept that emissions trading is fundamental to meeting CO.sub.2 reduction targets. But unless a percentage of permits are allocated, existing generators will face non-trivial wealth transfers. Seldom contemplated in academic works are the adverse economic consequences of an all-auction approach to emissions trading. Using Victoria to illustrate, we find that once CO.sub.2 prices exceed $17.50/t, the marginal coal generator facing large wealth transfers will withhold generating capacity to raise prices and recoup stranded investments, thus becoming a 'wounded bull' in the market place. This has material welfare implications with modelling results indicate an intermediate-run 300 per cent increase in wholesale power prices. Author Affiliation: ([dagger])AGL Energy Ltd ([double dagger])Stanwell Corporation Limited Article History: First version received January 2008;final version accepted September 2008 (Eds).
- Published
- 2009