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The mediterranean ecosystems of the world harbor exceptional biodiversity, and factors such as livestock grazing which may negatively affect biodiversity are of global concern. The mediterranean ecosystems of southern Africa have only sporadically been exposed to high densities of indigenous herbivores and may not be as typically resilient to livestock grazing pressure as the savannah and grassland ecosystems of semiarid Africa. We investigate this issue by assessing the impacts of two contrasting livestock grazing intensities associated with communal and commercial ranching systems on the dwarf succulent shrublands of the Succulent Karoo in Namaqualand, South Africa. We interpret the results in terms of vegetation dynamics and the implications for the current debate on nonequilibrium rangelands. The results demonstrate that the relative extent of plant community divergence between the communal and commercial rangeland has been maintained over the past 10 years, overall and within different plant growth forms. Recruitment of certain palatable shrub species occurred on the heavily grazed communal rangeland, indicating that a further decline in their populations is not inevitable. Recruitment of the unpalatable shrub Galenia africana on the communal rangeland was disproportionately greater than that of the palatable species, reenforcing the dominance of this species. Due to the longevity of woody shrubs, short-term vegetation shifts are small, limiting the potential for the recovery of overgrazed shrublands during periods of low grazing pressure. The shift on the communal rangeland toward annuals and geophytes has increased the variability of forage production and contrasts with the dominance of dwarf shrubs on the commercial rangeland. Shrub-dominated ecosystems create the potential for forage storage and inter-annual transfer of excess production, buffering livestock numbers in the face of a fluctuating environment. Despite the semiarid nature of the area and contrary to the predictions of the nonequilibrium theory, livestock and vegetation in Namaqualand interact strongly, and a close relationship between livestock numbers and primary production persists over the long-term on the communal rangeland.

Summary 1 Gradients of animal impact known as piospheres tend to develop around artificial watering points, particularly in arid zones. Such grazing gradients represent a potential opportunity for differentiating the long-term effects of livestock activity from other environmental patterns. In this study, the impact of watering point provision on the plant cover, species richness and community structure of Karoo shrublands, South Africa, was investigated in the context of the evolutionary history and current grazing management practices of the region. 2 The impacts of watering point provision were investigated by sampling plant cover and composition along transects placed at set distances, ranging from 10 m to 2200 m, from 11 watering points. 3 Karoo vegetation cover and structure are relatively resilient to livestock grazing. Karoo plant diversity, as measured by species richness, evenness and dominance, was not as resilient. Twice as many species decreased as increased near watering points. The majority of species that decreased were regarded as being highly palatable to livestock. Heavy grazing, leading to death or repeated reproductive failure, is the most likely mechanism leading to the decline of such species. 4 The highly disturbed area immediately adjacent to watering points was dominated by forbs and contained a large proportion of alien species. Adjacent to this was a zone dominated by widespread shrub species of medium to low palatability. Areas most distant from watering points contained a greater proportion of species known to be highly palatable to livestock. The ability of dominant Karoo shrubs to tolerate heavy grazing may have allowed rangeland managers to maintain stocking rates above that which can be tolerated by the majority of species but which are supported by a minority of grazing-tolerant species. 5 Synthesis and applications. Highly palatable species are more abundant in areas distant from water points. Larger paddocks therefore provide a refuge for sensitive species that might otherwise be lost from the rangeland as a whole. Species that tend to occur away from watering points represent potentially useful indicators of grazing pressure. The use of these species as indicators of rangeland condition among landowners should be promoted.