1. House price, credit supply, and government policy in China
- Author
-
Yin Germaschewski
- Subjects
Float (money supply) ,Economics and Econometrics ,Liberalization ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium ,New Keynesian economics ,Economics ,Public policy ,Balance sheet ,Monetary economics ,Welfare ,Fiscal policy ,media_common - Abstract
This paper compares the effects of macroprudential policy, fiscal policy, and two liberalization policies on house prices and bank balance sheets and examines the welfare and distributional implications of each policy. Three prominent features of the Chinese economy, including monopolistically competitive banks, a managed float, and capital controls, are built into a New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to produce a quantitative analysis of these policies. The model is estimated with Bayesian methods using Chinese data from 1998Q1 to 2016Q4. Results show that macroprudential policy greatly improves welfare and is the most effective tool for strengthening banks' balance sheets.
- Published
- 2022
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