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Background Our aim was to calibrate and externally revalidate the ELAN‐HF (European Collaboration on Acute Decompensated Heart Failure) score, to confirm and improve on a previous external validation of the risk score. Methods and Results The ELAN‐HF score predicts 6‐month all‐cause mortality in patients hospitalized for acute decompensated heart failure using absolute and percentage change of NT‐proBNP (N‐terminal pro‐B‐type natriuretic peptide) levels in addition to clinical variables. For the external validation, we used the PRIMA II (Can NT‐proBNP–Guided Therapy During Hospital Admission for Acute Decompensated Heart Failure Reduce Mortality and Readmissions?) trial. For both data sets, observed versus predicted mortality was compared for the 4 risk categories; and the mean predicted mortality was plotted against the observed mortality with calculation of a correlation coefficient and SEE. The model discriminant ability was determined by comparing the C‐statistics for both data sets. The predicted versus actual 6‐month mortality values in the derivation cohort were 3.7% versus 3.6% for the low‐risk category, 9.4% versus 9.2% for the intermediate‐risk category, 24.2% versus 23.5% for the high‐risk category, and 54.2% versus 51.1% for the very‐high‐risk category. The correlation between predicted and observed mortality by deciles was 0.92, with an SEE of ±4%. In the validation cohort, predicted versus actual 6‐month mortality values were 3.0% versus 2.2% for the low‐risk category, 9.4% versus 8.2% for the intermediate‐risk category, 25.0% versus 22.9% for the high‐risk category, and 56.8% versus 53.6% for the very‐high‐risk category. The correlation between predicted and actual mortality by quintiles was 0.99, with an SEE of ±2%. There was no significant difference in C‐statistic between the derivation cohort (0.78; 95% CI, 0.74–0.82) and the validation cohort (0.77; 95% CI, 0.69–0.84; P=0.693). Conclusions Our study confirms that the ELAN‐HF score predicts accurately 6‐month mortality in patients hospitalized for acute decompensated heart failure with the use of easily obtained characteristics.

Background Infective endocarditis (IE) after transcatheter pulmonary valve implantation (TPVI) in dysfunctioning right ventricular outflow tract conduits has evoked growing concerns. We aimed to investigate the incidence and the natural history of IE after TPVI with the Melody valve through a systematic review of published data. Methods and Results PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science databases were systematically searched for articles published until March 2017, reporting on IE after TPVI with the Melody valve. Nine studies (including 851 patients and 2060 patient‐years of follow‐up) were included in the analysis of the incidence of IE. The cumulative incidence of IE ranged from 3.2% to 25.0%, whereas the annualized incidence rate ranged from 1.3% to 9.1% per patient‐year. The median (interquartile range) time from TPVI to the onset of IE was 18.0 (9.0–30.4) months (range, 1.0–72.0 months). The most common findings were positive blood culture (93%), fever (89%), and new, significant, and/or progressive right ventricular outflow tract obstruction (79%); vegetations were detectable on echocardiography in only 34% of cases. Of 69 patients with IE after TPVI, 6 (8.7%) died and 35 (52%) underwent surgical and/or transcatheter reintervention. Death or reintervention was more common in patients with new/significant right ventricular outflow tract obstruction (69% versus 33%; P=0.042) and in patients with non‐streptococcal IE (73% versus 30%; P=0.001). Conclusions The incidence of IE after implantation of a Melody valve is significant, at least over the first 3 years after TPVI, and varies considerably between the studies. Although surgical/percutaneous reintervention is a common consequence, some patients can be managed medically, especially those with streptococcal infection and no right ventricular outflow tract obstruction.

Background Multiple scores have been proposed to stratify bleeding risk, but their value to guide dual antiplatelet therapy duration has never been appraised. We compared the performance of the CRUSADE (Can Rapid Risk Stratification of Unstable Angina Patients Suppress Adverse Outcomes With Early Implementation of the ACC/AHA Guidelines), ACUITY (Acute Catheterization and Urgent Intervention Triage Strategy), and HAS‐BLED (Hypertension, Abnormal Renal/Liver Function, Stroke, Bleeding History or Predisposition, Labile INR, Elderly, Drugs/Alcohol Concomitantly) scores in 1946 patients recruited in the Prolonging Dual Antiplatelet Treatment After Grading Stent‐Induced Intimal Hyperplasia Study (PRODIGY) and assessed hemorrhagic and ischemic events in the 24‐ and 6‐month dual antiplatelet therapy groups. Methods and Results Bleeding score performance was assessed with a Cox regression model and C statistics. Discriminative and reclassification power was assessed with net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement. The C statistic was similar between the CRUSADE score (area under the curve 0.71) and ACUITY (area under the curve 0.68), and higher than HAS−BLED (area under the curve 0.63). CRUSADE, but not ACUITY, improved reclassification (net reclassification index 0.39, P=0.005) and discrimination (integrated discrimination improvement index 0.0083, P=0.021) of major bleeding compared with HAS‐BLED. Major bleeding and transfusions were higher in the 24‐ versus 6‐month dual antiplatelet therapy groups in patients with a CRUSADE score >40 (hazard ratio for bleeding 2.69, P=0.035; hazard ratio for transfusions 4.65, P=0.009) but not in those with CRUSADE score ≤40 (hazard ratio for bleeding 1.50, P=0.25; hazard ratio for transfusions 1.37, P=0.44), with positive interaction (Pint=0.05 and Pint=0.01, respectively). The number of patients with high CRUSADE scores needed to treat for harm for major bleeding and transfusion were 17 and 15, respectively, with 24‐month rather than 6‐month dual antiplatelet therapy; corresponding figures in the overall population were 67 and 71, respectively. Conclusions Our analysis suggests that the CRUSADE score predicts major bleeding similarly to ACUITY and better than HAS BLED in an all‐comer population with percutaneous coronary intervention and potentially identifies patients at higher risk of hemorrhagic complications when treated with a long‐term dual antiplatelet therapy regimen. Clinical Trial Registration URL: http://clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00611286.