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Purpose: Experimental data have demonstrated a relevant role for IL-6 in the modulation of acute ocular toxoplasmosis. Therefore, we aim to investigate the possible association between the IL-6 gene polymorphism at position -174 and toxoplasmic retinochoroiditis (TR) in humans. Methods: Ninety-seven patients with diagnosed TR were recruited from the Uveitis Section, Federal University of Minas Gerais. For comparison, 83 healthy blood donors with positive serology for toxoplasmosis and without retinal signs of previous TR were included in the study. Genomic DNA was obtained from oral swabs of individuals and amplified using polymerase chain reaction (PCR) with specific primers flanking the locus −174 of IL-6 (−174G/C). PCR products were submitted to restriction endonuclease digestion and analysed by polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis to distinguish allele G and C of the IL-6 gene, allowing the detection of the polymorphism and determination of genotypes. Results: There was a significant difference in the genotype (χ2 = 12.9, p = 0.001) and allele (χ2 = 6.62, p = 0.01) distribution between TR patients and control subjects. In a subgroup analysis, there was no significant difference in genotypes and allele frequencies regarding TR recurrence. Conclusions: This study suggests that the genotypes related with a lower production of IL-6 may be associated with the occurrence of TR.

Objective: To validate the performance of a first-trimester simple risk score based on the ASPRE trial algorithm for pre-eclampsia. Design: Multicentre retrospective cohort analysis. Setting: Four Italian hospitals. Population: Unselected nulliparous women at 11–13weeks of gestation from January 2014 through to January 2018. Methods: Model performance was evaluated based on discrimination and calibration. Main outcome measures: Delivery before 37weeks of gestation with a diagnosis of pre-eclampsia. Results: Based on 73 preterm pre-eclampsia cases and 7546 controls (including 101 cases of late pre-eclampsia), the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve was 0.659 (95% CI 0.579–0.726). The sensitivity was 32.9% (95% CI 22.1–43.7) at a false-positive rate of 8.8%. The positive likelihood ratio was 3.74 (95% CI 2.67–5.23), the positive predictive value was 3.49% (95% CI 2.12–4.86%) and the negative predictive value was 99.3% (95% CI 99.1–99.5%). The sensitivity and positive likelihood ratio were approximately 40% lower than in the original study. The calibration analysis showed a good agreement between observed and expected risks (P=0.037). Comparison with the Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) algorithm yielded a difference in the area under the curve of 0.084 (P=0.007). Conclusions: In our Italian population, the simple risk score had a lower performance than expected for the prediction of preterm pre-eclampsia in nulliparous women. The FMF algorithm applied to the same data set resulted in a better prediction. Tweetable abstract: Simple risk score predicts preterm pre-eclampsia in Italy.