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We evaluated the role of early response after 3 weeks of neoadjuvant treatment (NAT) assessed by ultrasound (US), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and Ki-67 dynamics for prediction of pathologic complete response (pCR) in different early breast cancer subtypes. Patients with HR+/HER2+, HR-/HER2- and HR-/HER2+ tumors enrolled into three neoadjuvant WSG ADAPT subtrials underwent US, MRI and Ki-67 assessment at diagnosis and after 3 weeks of NAT. Early response was defined as complete or partial response (US, MRI) and >= 30% proliferation decrease or <500 invasive tumor cells (Ki-67). Predictive values and area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curves for prediction of pCR (ypT0/is ypN0) after 12-week NAT were calculated. Two hundred twenty-six had MRI and 401 US; 107 underwent both MRI and US. All three methods yielded a similar AUC in HR+/HER2+ (0.66-0.67) and HR-/HER2- tumors (0.53-0.63), while MRI and Ki-67 performed better than US in HR-/HER2+ tumors (0.83 and 0.79 vs 0.56). Adding MRI+/-Ki-67 increased AUC of US in HR-/HER2+ tumors to 0.64 to 0.75. MRI and Ki-67 demonstrated highest sensitivity in HR-/HER2- (0.8-1) and HR-/HER2+ tumors (1, both). Negative predictive value was similar for all methods in HR+/HER2+ (0.71-0.74) and HR-/HER2- tumors (0.85-1), while it was higher for MRI and Ki-67 compared to US in HR-/HER2+ subtype (1 vs 0.5). Early response assessed by US, MRI and Ki-67 is a strong predictor for pCR after 12-week NAT. Strength of pCR prediction varies according to tumor subtype. Adding MRI+/-Ki-67 to US did not improve pCR prediction in majority of our patients.

In the neoadjuvant WSG-ADAPT-TN trial, 12-week nab-paclitaxel + carboplatin (nab-pac/carbo) was highly effective and superior to nab-paclitaxel + gemcitabine (nab-pac/gem) in triple-negative breast cancer regarding pathological complete response (pCR). Predictive markers for deescalated taxane/carbo use in TNBC need to be identified. Patients received 4 x nab-pac 125 mg/m(2) (plus carbo AUC2 or gem 1,000 mg/m(2) d1,8 q21). Expression of 119 genes and PAM50 scores by nCounter were available in 306/336 pretherapeutic samples. Interim survival analysis was planned after 36 months median follow-up. Basal-like (83.3%) compared to other subtypes was positively associated with pCR (38% vs. 20%, p = 0.015), as was lower HER2 score (p < 0.001). Proliferation biomarkers were positively associated with pCR, that is, PAM50 proliferation, ROR scores (all p < 0.004), higher Ki-67 (IHC; p < 0.001). For nab-pac/carbo, expression of immunological (CD8, PD1 and PFDL1) genes and proliferation markers (proliferation and ROR scores, MKI67, CDC20, NUF2, KIF2C, CENPF, EMP3 and TYMS) were positively associated with pCR (p < 0.05 for all). For nab-pac/gem, angiogenesis genes were negatively associated with pCR (ANGPTL4: p = 0.05; FGFR4: p = 0.02; VEGFA: p = 0.03). pCR after 12 weeks was strongly associated with favorable outcome (3y event-free survival: 92% vs. 71%, p < 0.001). In early TNBC, basal-like subtype, higher Ki-67 (IHC) and lower HER2 score were, associated with chemosensitivity. Chemoresistance pathways differed between the two taxane based combinations. Combination of proliferation/immune markers and PAM50 subtype could allow patient selection for further deescalated chemotherapy and/or immune treatment approaches.