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Leucine-rich repeat kinase 2 (LRRK2) inhibitors are currently in clinical development as interventions to slow progression of Parkinson's disease (PD). Understanding the rate of progression in PD as measured by both motor and nonmotor features is particularly important in assessing the potential therapeutic effect of LRRK2 inhibitors in clinical development. Using standardized data from the Critical Path for Parkinson's Unified Clinical Database, we quantified the rate of progression of the Movement Disorder Society-sponsored revision of the Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (MDS-UPDRS) Part I (nonmotor aspects of experiences of daily living) in 158 participants with PD who were carriers and 598 participants with PD who were noncarriers of at least one of three different LRRK2 gene mutations (G2019S, R1441C/G, or R1628P). Age and disease duration were found to predict baseline disease severity, while presence of at least one of these three LRRK2 mutations was a predictor of the rate of MDS-UPDRS Part I progression. The estimated progression rate in MDS-UPDRS Part I was 0.648 (95% confidence interval: 0.544, 0.739) points per year in noncarriers of a LRRK2 mutation and 0.259 (95% confidence interval: 0.217, 0.295) points per year in carriers of a LRRK2 mutation. This analysis demonstrates that the rate of progression based on MDS-UPDRS Part I is ~ 60% lower in carriers as compared with noncarriers of LRRK2 gene mutations., (© 2021 The Authors. Clinical Pharmacology & Therapeutics © 2021 American Society for Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics.)

A quantitative assessment of Parkinson's disease (PD) progression is critical for optimizing clinical trials design. Disease progression model was developed using pooled data from the Progression Marker Initiative study and the Incidence of Cognitive Impairment in Cohorts with Longitudinal Evaluation in Parkinson's Disease study. Age, gender, concomitant medication, and study arms were predictors of baseline. A mutation in the leucine-rich repeat kinase 2 (LRRK2) encoding gene was associated with the disease progression rate. The progression rate in subjects with PD who carried LRRK2 mutation was slightly slower (~0.170 points/month) than that in PD subjects without the mutation (~0.222 points/month). For a nonenriched placebo-controlled clinical trial, approximately 70 subjects/arm would be required to detect a drug effect of 50% reduction in the progression rate with 80% probability, whereas 85, 93, and 100 subjects/arm would be required for an enriched clinical trial with 30%, 50%, and 70% subjects with LRRK2 mutations, respectively., (© 2019 The Authors Clinical Pharmacology & Therapeutics © 2019 American Society for Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics.)