Search

This paper investigates the impact of pandemic-induced uncertainty on the changes in the level and volatility of tourism demand. We estimate a structural VAR model using U.S. monthly data from January 2000 to December 2021 and find that pandemic-induced uncertainty shock has a negative and significant impact on inbound tourism. Our results reveal that, in the long run, a one-standard-deviation shock in the index of uncertainty induced by global pandemic shock explains about 50 per cent of the variations in the demand for tourism. Our findings on the predictive power of pandemic-induced uncertainty on tourism demand has important policy implications for tourism and hospitality management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we examine the impact of geopolitical risk on the demand for tourism service export. Using structural VAR model and U.S. monthly data from January 1999 to August 2020, we find that geopolitical risk has a negative and significant impact on tourism service exports. Our results reveal that, in the long-run, a one-standard-deviation shock in geopolitical risk shock explains about 12.6% of the variations in tourism net service exports. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study examines the impact of fiscal equalization payments on the composition of government spending under endogenous growth theory. Analytical conjectures stemming from the model are tested empirically. As an instrumental variable for within-province variations in provinces' equalization entitlements, we use plausibly exogenous variations in the grant eligibility rule for the Canadian fiscal equalization system. We find that fiscal equalization payments have a significant negative effect on the share of productive expenditures and a significant positive effect on the share of unproductive government expenditures. Furthermore, the results show that fiscal equalization lowers the speed of cross-regional convergence in real gross domestic product per worker. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article examines the long-run effect of higher education, measured in average years of tertiary schooling, on the level and growth rate of national per capita income. It uses an improved dataset on educational attainments which not only reduces measurement error but also overcomes data comparability issues and allows us to estimate the long-run effect of human capital through higher education on economic development. Using unique long panel data for 36 advanced and emerging economies spanning over the period 1870-2010, we find that higher education has a positive and significant effect on the level and the growth rate of national per capita income. Specifically, our empirical results indicate that a 1% increase in educational attainment at higher education level would raise the growth rate of per capita income by about 0.01% to 0.02% over a five-year period. That is, at the sample mean, an increase in average tertiary education by one year would raise output growth by about 6% to 11% in five years. We find that the returns to female education are lower than the returns to male education at tertiary schooling levels. Our results are robust to alternative specifications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]