1. Extreme dependence in price transmission analysis.
- Author
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Qiu, Feng and Rude, James
- Subjects
PRICE levels ,WHEAT sales & prices ,COPULA functions ,FLOUR ,PRICES - Abstract
We propose a generalized procedure that combines conventional price transmission analysis with copula-based dynamic tail dependence, to examine price relationships under extreme conditions. This approach is used to examine Ukrainian wheat markets where export restrictions combined with price surges, 2006-2008 and 2010-2012, have contributed to a turbulent market. The results indicate that domestic prices were effectively insulated from world price shocks, but that a 'rocket and feathers' price relation held between domestic flour and wheat prices. These asymmetric price co-movements changed with the degree of restrictiveness of the export prohibitions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
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