Search

This paper aims to offer an improved version of the new composite drought monitoring index (CDMI) and to test its applicability in the context of Tensift watershed in Morocco. A synergistic approach incorporating the remote sensing techniques, hydrometeorological data, simulated data and agricultural statistics was used for this purpose. After assessing the performance of CDMI, estimated Soil Moisture Anomaly Indicator (ISMA) was processed, validated and incorporated to the composite model. Random Forest algorithm was used to determine the weight of composite model components. Apart from comparative mapping, Pearson's correlation statistical analysis, linear regression and dependency tests were used to assess the performance of the improved composite model (CDMIa_RF). The result show that CDMIa_RF is better correlated with several indices such as: the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), (R2=0.74); Hydrological Drought Index (R2=0.70); grain productivity (R2=0.70), CDMI (R2=0.95), Vegetation Health Index (VHI), (R2=0.87), and Normalized Vegetation Supply Water Index (NVSWI), (R2= 0.85). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The occurrence of drought is related to complicated interactions between many factors, such as precipitation, temperature, evapotranspiration and vegetation. In this study, the relationships between drought and precipitation, temperature, vegetation and evapotranspiration were investigated with a random forest (RF), and a new combined drought monitoring index (CDMI) was constructed. The effectiveness of the CDMI in monitoring drought in Shaanxi Province was verified by the in situ 1 ∼ 12-month standardized precipitation index (SPI); relative soil moisture (RSM) and four other commonly used remote sensing drought monitoring indices. The results show that CDMI is more correlated with the SPI and RSM than the four indices. Moreover, the spatial distributions of drought for the CDMI and RSM are similar. Therefore, the CDMI can be used to monitor droughts in Shaanxi Province, and machine learning can explore the relationships between various factors and establish a drought index without knowledge of the causal mechanisms of these factors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]