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Understanding factors that impact prognosis for cancer patients have high clinical relevance for treatment decisions and monitoring of the disease outcome. Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and digital pathology offer an exciting opportunity to capitalize on the use of whole slide images (WSIs) of hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) stained tumor tissue for objective prognosis and prediction of response to targeted therapies. AI models often require hand-delineated annotations for effective training which may not be readily available for larger data sets. In this study, we investigated whether AI models can be trained without region-level annotations and solely on patient-level survival data. We present a weakly supervised survival convolutional neural network (WSS-CNN) approach equipped with a visual attention mechanism for predicting overall survival. The inclusion of visual attention provides insights into regions of the tumor microenvironment with the pathological interpretation which may improve our understanding of the disease pathomechanism. We performed this analysis on two independent, multi-center patient data sets of lung (which is publicly available data) and bladder urothelial carcinoma. We perform univariable and multivariable analysis and show that WSS-CNN features are prognostic of overall survival in both tumor indications. The presented results highlight the significance of computational pathology algorithms for predicting prognosis using H&E stained images alone and underpin the use of computational methods to improve the efficiency of clinical trial studies.

An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper.