1. Mapping flood inundation in Baro Akobo Basin, Itang area, Ethiopia: integrating machine learning and process-based models.
- Author
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Belina, Yonata, Kebede, Asfaw, and Masinde, Muthoni
- Abstract
Accurate flood mapping is essential for assessing flood hazards, particularly in areas like the lower Baro flood plain in Ethiopia where floods pose significant challenges to society. This study aims to enhance flood inundation mapping by integrating the Hydrologic Engineering Centre-Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) with the Hydrologic Engineering Centre-River Analysis System (HEC-RAS). Data from 14 meteorological stations and 3 streamflow stations, spanning from 2000 to 2016, including soil characteristics, Digital Elevation Model, and land use data, were used in the analysis. The combination of ANN and HEC-HMS models provided runoff values for input into the HEC-RAS model, resulting in the creation of accurate flood inundation maps. The HEC-HMS-ANN model was evaluated using statistical metrics such as Nash Sutcliffe (NSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Correlation coefficient (R²) demonstrating excellent performance with NSE of 0.9924, RMSE of 24 m³/s, and R² of 0.9926. Calibration and validation of flood inundation outputs from HEC-RAS using the Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) revealed high accuracy with overlapping percentages of 90.6% and 91% during the calibration and validation phases, respectively. This integration of models significantly enhances prediction accuracy compared to traditional flood forecasting methods in the Gambella gaging station and Itang area. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2025
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