1. High winds associated with cold surges and their relevance to climate patterns in the Yellow and Bohai Seas.
- Author
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Zhang, Xuecheng, Shi, Luming, Liang, Bingchen, Wu, Guoxiang, Wang, Zhenlu, Lin, Qianru, and Wu, Yi
- Subjects
EL Nino ,ARCTIC oscillation ,SPRING ,ORTHOGONAL functions ,AUTUMN - Abstract
Cold surges represent one of the most hazardous weather events impacting the Yellow and Bohai Seas. The current limited comprehension of their wind impacts motivated the present study. The investigation delved into the spatial and temporal features of high winds during cold surges from 1960 to 2021, scrutinizing trends in interannual and monthly variations, as well as their relevance with large-scale climate patterns. The results revealed an overall declining trend in wind impacts at an annual rate of ∼ 8%. The decline was primarily attributed to the reduction in high wind duration and was irrelevant to alterations in wind speed. Spatial analysis revealed a distinct bimodal pattern, with a short-lived but enhanced center in Liaodong Bay and a longer-lasting albeit less intense center in the central Yellow Sea. Monthly variabilities were characterized by the formation, intensification, and dissipation of this bimodal pattern. Wind impacts showed a tendency to decrease substantially during late autumn and to slightly increase in the spring season. Furthermore, empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis revealed modes of variation in high winds, with the primary modes closely linked to the intensity of the Siberian High (SH) and East Asian Winter Monsoon (EAWM). Increased incidence of cold surges and stronger high wind impacts were associated with SH + and EAWM+. Additionally, cold surge frequency and associated high winds showed moderate but statistically significant relevance to the Arctic Oscillation (AO), with more frequent and intensified wind impacts observed during AO-. Marginal influence from the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) was also noted, with a positive (negative) ENSO phase corresponding to less (more) frequent cold surges but more (less) intense high wind impacts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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