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Severe bleeding is the leading cause of early death in patients with newly diagnosed acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL). However, there are no means for hemorrhagic risk stratification in APL. This study aimed to identify optimized predictors of severe bleeding events related to APL. A total of 109 consecutive patients with newly diagnosed APL from January 2015 to April 2022 were retrospectively investigated. A systematic review of computer-based patient medical records was conducted to obtain clinical date, including baseline characteristics, routine blood examination findings, coagulation and fibrinolysis indexes, and bleeding events. Among the 109 patients, 89 were classified into the no-severe bleeding group, while 20 had severe bleeding. Compared with the patients with no severe bleeding, the patients with severe bleeding had significantly higher circulating leukemic cell percentages, disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) scores, D-dimer (D-D) levels, and fibrin degradation product (FDP) levels. They also had lower fibrinogen (FIB) levels and a longer prothrombin time. Multivariate analysis revealed that the circulating leukemic cell percentage (OR = 1.040, CI = 1.008–1.072, P = 0.012), FIB level (OR = 0.101, CI = 0.011–0.896, P = 0.040), and FDP level (OR = 1.012, CI = 1.000–1.024, P = 0.047) were independent risk factors for severe bleeding. FDP/FIB, D-D/FIB, and seven meaningful indicators in the single-factor analysis were included in the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The results showed that FDP/FIB was the best indicator for predicting severe bleeding related to newly diagnosed APL. The area under the ROC curve of FDP/FIB was 0.915, and the best cutoff value was 61.77, with 100% sensitivity and 74.2% specificity. Statistical analysis showed a higher incidence of severe bleeding and higher DIC scores when FDP/FIB was >61.77 in APL patients. FDP/FIB has obvious advantages in predicting the degree of bleeding associated with primary promyelocytic leukemia; the greater the FDP/FIB value, the more severe the bleeding. The risk of severe bleeding was the highest when FDP/FIB > 61.77. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: We aimed to determine the safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for stroke prevention and treatment in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods: A systematic search of four databases (PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library) was performed to identify randomized controlled trials (RCTs) reporting severe bleeding events in patients taking DOACs or vitamin K antagonists (VKAs). In this frequency-based network meta-analysis, odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were used for reporting. Based on the surface under the cumulative ranking curves (SUCRA), the relative ranking probability of each group was generated. Results: Twenty-three RCTs met the inclusion criteria, and a total of 87,616 patients were enrolled. The bleeding safety of DOACs for stroke prevention and treatment in patients with AF was ranked from highest to lowest as follows: fatal bleeding: edoxaban (SUCRA,80.2), rivaroxaban (SUCRA,68.3), apixaban (SUCRA,48.5), dabigatran (SUCRA,40.0), VKAs (SUCRA,12.9); major bleeding: dabigatran (SUCRA,74.0), apixaban (SUCRA,71.5), edoxaban (SUCRA,66.5), rivaroxaban (SUCRA,22.7), VKAs (SUCRA,15.4); gastrointestinal bleeding: apixaban (SUCRA,55.9), VKAs (SUCRA,53.7), edoxaban (SUCRA,50.5), rivaroxaban (SUCRA,50.4), dabigatran (SUCRA,39.5); intracranial hemorrhage: dabigatran (SUCRA,84.6), edoxaban (SUCRA,74.1), apixaban (SUCRA,65.8), rivaroxaban (SUCRA,24.4), VKAs (SUCRA,1.1). Conclusion: Based on current evidence, for stroke prevention and treatment in patients with AF, the most safe DOAC is edoxaban in terms of fatal bleeding; dabigatran in terms of major bleeding and intracranial hemorrhage and apixaban in terms of gastrointestinal bleeding. However, given the nature of indirect comparisons, more high-quality evidence from head-to-head comparisons is still needed to confirm them. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Despite evolving evidence, the use of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in patients with extremes of body weight remains controversial. This study aimed to measure the impact of DOACs compared to warfarin on safety and efficacy outcomes in extreme body weight patients. This multi-center, health system, retrospective study examined the outcomes of patients with all body weights and extreme body weights prescribed a DOAC (rivaroxaban, apixaban, dabigatran, edoxaban) or warfarin for atrial fibrillation or venous thromboembolism over a 9-year period. The primary outcome was a composite of thromboembolism, symptomatic recurrent VTE, or severe bleeding; analyzed by pre-determined BMI cutoffs. A total of 19,697 patients were included in the study: 11,604 in the DOAC group and in the 8093 in the warfarin group. 295 patients were underweight and 9108 patients were pre-obese to obese class 3. After adjusting for potential confounders, warfarin patients had higher odds of experiencing the composite outcome compared to DOAC patients (OR 1.337, 95% CI 1.212–1.475). Additionally, obese patients were 24.6% more likely to experience the outcome compared to normal BMI patients. Adjusted modeling showed that warfarin patients experienced higher bleed rates compared to DOAC patients (OR 1.432, 95% CI 1.266–1.620). Obese patients were less likely to be diagnosed with a bleed (OR 0.749, 95% CI 0.658–0.854), and underweight patients were more likely to be diagnosed with a bleed (OR 1.522, 95% CI 1.095–2.115) compared to normal BMI patients. In conclusion, DOACs for atrial fibrillation or VTE in patients with extreme body weights appear safe and effective when compared to warfarin. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose of review: Recurrent stroke after ischemic stroke (IS) or high-risk transient ischemic attack (TIA) increases morbidity and mortality. Secondary stroke prevention strategies include modification of behavioral and vascular risk factors and antithrombotic use, including single or dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT). In this review, we focus on DAPT indications, combinations, and treatment duration. Recent findings: Studies showed that for patients with mild to moderate non-cardioembolic strokes or those with symptomatic intracranial or mild extracranial stenosis (≤ 30% diameter reduction), short-term DAPT (21–90 days) with aspirin plus clopidogrel, compared with mono-antiplatelet therapy (MAPT), decreases recurrent stroke risk without significantly increasing major bleeding risk. The combination of aspirin plus extended release dipyridamole or cilostazol may confer decrease of risk for recurrent stroke with long-term use, at the expense of increasing major bleeding risk. Treatment with aspirin plus ticagrelor for a short time period is superior to aspirin monotherapy for decreasing risk for recurrent stroke, but significantly increases the risk for major bleeding. Summary: Short-term DAPT with aspirin plus clopidogrel, compared with MAPT, decreases risk for recurrent stroke without increasing major bleeding risk. Short-term DAPT with aspirin plus ticagrelor also reduces risk for recurrent stroke, but with a significant increase in the risk of major bleeding, compared with MAPT. Direct comparisons among different DAPT regimens are currently underway. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Severe bleeding is a major cause of death in acute leukemia (AL) patients with graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) after allogene hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). However, the prognostic value and prediction of HSCT-associated severe bleeding in GVHD patients have not been reported in cohort studies. We did a retrospective analysis of 200 AL patients with GVHD after allo-HSCT from Feb 1, 2014, to Dec 1, 2015. Multivariate analysis showed that the severe bleeding class was associated with the risk of death (HR 2.26, 95% CI 1.31–3.92, p<0.001***). In order to predict severe bleeding and figure out the solution to bleeding events, we established a multiple logistic regression model. HLA-DQB1 unmatching, megakaryocyte reconsititution failure, and III or IV GVHD were the independent risk factors for severe bleeding. Among all the variations above, OR of HLA-DQB1 was the highest (OR: 16.02, 95% CI: 11.54–48.68). Adding HLA-DQB1 to other factors improved the reclassification for predicting severe bleeding (NRI=0.195, z=2.634, p=0.008**; IDI=0.289, z=3.249, p<0.001***). Lasso regression was used to select variants. A nomogram of the logistic model was generated and displayed. Calibration curve demonstrated excellent accuracy in estimating severe bleeding (C index of 0.935). HLA-DQB1 showed excellent efficacy of predicting severe bleeding in HSCT patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background/Aims: The prevalence of acute lower gastrointestinal bleeding (ALGIB) has progressively increased worldwide but there are few studies in Asian populations. This study aimed to develop and validate a scoring system to predict severe ALGIB in Vietnamese. Methods: Risk factors for severe ALGIB were identified by multiple logistic regression analysis using data from a retrospective cohort of 357 patients admitted to a tertiary hospital. These factors were weighted to develop the severe acute lower gastrointestinal bleeding (SALGIB) score to predict severe ALGIB. The performance of SALGIB was validated in a prospective cohort of 324 patients admitted to 6 other hospitals using area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) analysis. Results: There were four factors at admission independently associated with severe ALGIB in the derivation cohort: heart rate ≥ 100/min, systolic blood pressure < 100 mmHg, hematocrit < 35%, and platelets ≤ 150 × 103/µL. The SALGIB score determined severe ALGIB with AUC values of 0.91 and 0.86 in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. A SALGIB score < 2 associated with low risk of severe ALGIB in both cohorts (3.7% and 1.2%; respectively). Conclusions: The SALGIB score has good performance in discriminating risk of severe ALGIB in Vietnamese. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: To investigate risk factors for severe bleeding during warfarin treatment, including the influence of sex, age, comorbidity and co-medication on bleeding risk. Methods: Patients initiating warfarin treatment between 2007 and 2011 were identified in the nationwide Swedish Prescribed Drug Register, and diagnoses of severe bleeding were retrieved from the National Patient Register. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for severe bleeding were estimated using multiple Cox regression adjusting for indications and including covariates age, sex, comorbidities and co-medications. Interactions between sex and other covariates were investigated. Results: The study cohort included 232,624 patients ≥ 18 years (101,011 women and 131,613 men). The incidence rate of severe bleeding was 37 per 1000 person-years, lower among women than men with an adjusted HR (95% CI) of 0.84 (0.80–0.88). Incidence of bleeding increased with age, HR 2.88 (2.37–3.50) comparing age ≥ 80 to < 40 years, and comorbidities associated with the highest risk of severe bleeding were prior bleeding, HR 1.85 (1.74–1.97); renal failure, HR 1.82 (1.66–2.00); and alcohol dependency diagnosis, HR 1.79 (1.57–2.05). Other comorbidities significantly associated with bleeding events were hypertension, diabetes, peripheral vascular disease, congestive heart failure, liver failure, stroke/TIA, COPD and cancer. Conclusion: Most of the well-established risk factors were found to be significantly associated with bleeding events in our study. We additionally found that women had a lower incidence of bleeding. Potential biases are selection effects, residual confounding and unmeasured frailty. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]