1. Chronic flooding events due to sea-level rise in French Guiana
- Author
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Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Departament de Física, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. DF-GeoTech - Dinàmica de Fluids i Aplicacions Geofísiques i Tecnològiques, Thieblemont, Remi, Le Cozannet, Gonéri, D'Anna, Maurizio, Idier, Déborah, Bel Madani, Ali, Slangen, Aimee, Longueville, Francois, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Departament de Física, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. DF-GeoTech - Dinàmica de Fluids i Aplicacions Geofísiques i Tecnològiques, Thieblemont, Remi, Le Cozannet, Gonéri, D'Anna, Maurizio, Idier, Déborah, Bel Madani, Ali, Slangen, Aimee, and Longueville, Francois
- Abstract
The version of record of this article, first published in [Journal name], is available online at Publisher’s website: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-48807-w, As sea levels are rising, the number of chronic flooding events at high tide is increasing across the world coastlines. Yet, many events reported so far either lack observational evidence of flooding, or relate to coastal areas where ground subsidence or oceanic processes often enhance climate change-induced sea-level rise (SLR). Here we present observational and modelling evidence of high-tide flooding events that are unlikely to occur without SLR in French Guiana, where sea-level rise rates are close to the global average and where there is no significant ground subsidence. In particular, on 16 October 2020, a well-documented flooding event happened in Cayenne under calm weather conditions. Our probabilistic assessment of daily maximum water levels superimposed on SLR shows that this event can be modelled and is a consequence of SLR. As sea levels will continue to rise, we show that the number, severity and extent of such high-tide flooding events will increase across several urban areas of French Guiana, with an evolution depending on the topography. As concerns are growing regarding the economic impacts and adaptation challenges of high-tide chronic events across the world, our study provides new evidence that this early impact of SLR is emerging now., This study was supported by the GuyaClimat project co-funded by the Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières—French Geological Survey (BRGM), Météo-France, the French Ministry of Ecological Transition, the French Development Agency (AFD), French Environmental and Energy Management Agency (ADEME) and the Water Office. The analysis performed also benefited an additional funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 869304, PROTECT contribution number 81. We thank Thomas Frederikse and colleagues for sharing their outstanding 20th century mean sea level dataset. We also thank the SONEL service for processing and providing the enriched vertical land motion coastal dataset., Peer Reviewed, Postprint (published version)
- Published
- 2023