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Marine Heatwaves (MHWs) can directly influence survival of marine fishes, particularly for early life stages, including age-0 juveniles during their residence in coastal nursery habitats. However, the ability of nurseries to support high fish densities, optimize foraging and growth, and protect against predators may be altered during MHWs. Gulf of Alaska Pacific cod (Gadus macrocephalus) larval, juvenile, and adult abundances declined dramatically following MHW events in 2014–2016 and 2019. To evaluate coastal nursery function during MHWs, we compared diet composition, recent growth, size, condition, and abundance of age-0 juveniles throughout their first summer before, during, and between MHWs. Diet shifted to larger prey during MHWs, particularly mysids, but diet did not appear to influence growth. We observed faster growth rates during MHWs, yet even when accounting for growth, we could not explain the higher body sizes observed in August during MHWs. Together with lower abundance and the near absence of small fish in the nursery by August during MHWs, these patterns highlight potential for size-selection and a reduced ability of nursery habitats to buffer against environmental variability during MHWs, with only a small number of large "super survivors" persisting through the summer. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The eastern North Pacific is simultaneously experiencing ocean warming (OW) and ocean acidification (OA), which may negatively affect fish early life stages. Pacific cod (Gadus macrocephalus) is an economically and ecologically important species with demonstrated sensitivity to OW and OA, but their combined impacts are unknown. Through a ~ 9-week experiment, Pacific cod embryos and larvae were reared at one of six combinations of three temperatures (3, 6, 10 °C) and two CO2 levels (ambient: ~ 360 μatm; high: ~ 1560 μatm) in a factorial design. Both embryonic and larval mortality were highest at the warmest temperature. Embryonic daily mortality rates were lower under elevated CO2 and there was no effect of CO2 level on larval daily mortality rates. Growth rates of young larvae (0 to 11 days post-hatch) were faster at warmer temperatures and at high CO2 levels, but growth during the 11–28 days post-hatch interval increased by temperature alone. The condition of larvae decreased with age, but less markedly under high CO2 levels. However, at 6 °C, fish incubated in ambient CO2 remained in higher condition than fish in the high CO2 treatment throughout the experiment. Overall, temperature had the greater influence on Pacific cod early life stages across each measurement endpoint, while CO2 effects were more modest and inconsistent. Subtle developmental differences in larval Pacific cod could be magnified later in life and important in the context of recruitment. These results show the complexity of stage- and trait-specific responses to and value of investigating the combined effects of co-occurring climatic stressors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Sustainability—maintaining catches within the historical range of socially and ecologically acceptable values—is key to fisheries success. Climate change may rapidly threaten sustainability, and recognizing these instances is important for effective climate adaptation. Here, we present one approach for evaluating changing sustainability under a changing climate. We use Bayesian regression models to compare fish population processes under historical climate norms and emerging anthropogenic extremes. To define anthropogenic extremes we use the Fraction of Attributable Risk (FAR), which estimates the proportion of risk for extreme ocean temperatures that can be attributed to human influence. We illustrate our approach with estimates of recruitment (production of young fish, a key determinant of sustainability) for two exploited fishes (Pacific cod Gadus macrocephalus and walleye pollock G. chalcogrammus) in a rapidly warming ecosystem, the Gulf of Alaska. We show that recruitment distributions for both species have shifted towards zero during anthropogenic climate extremes. Predictions based on the projected incidence of anthropogenic temperature extremes indicate that expected recruitment, and therefore fisheries sustainability, is markedly lower in the current climate than during recent decades. Using FAR to analyze changing population processes may help fisheries managers and stakeholders to recognize situations when historical sustainability expectations should be reevaluated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Climate change in Arctic and sub-Arctic seas is leading to rapid changes in the dispersal potential of marine organisms. In Alaskan waters, loss of sea ice and salinity changes associated with warming may have a strong effect on the distribution and survival of eggs and larvae of key fish species at the Pacific–Arctic interface, such as polar cod (Boreogadus saida) in the Chukchi Sea and walleye pollock (Gadus chalcogrammus) in the northern Bering Sea. We conducted laboratory experiments to investigate how changes in ontogeny and salinity influenced the buoyancy and survival of eggs and larvae of these and two other gadids (Pacific cod, Gadus macrocephalus and saffron cod, Eleginus gracilis). Polar cod egg density varied among family groups, but eggs were more buoyant than those of walleye pollock overall. Eggs of both species followed a typical pattern of increasing density early in development. After hatching, polar cod and walleye pollock larvae were similar in density, and were notably more buoyant than the larvae of species with demersal eggs (Pacific cod and saffron cod). Larvae of the two Arctic species (polar cod and saffron cod) were less sensitive to salinity challenges than the sub-Arctic gadids, but polar cod became more sensitive at 6 weeks post-hatch. These results highlight possible adaptations of polar cod to ensure that their eggs are positioned under or near ice after spawning so that larvae hatch in productive surface waters during ice break-up. A comparison of modeled seawater densities to egg densities during the post-spawning period suggests that walleye pollock eggs would only be in contact with seasonal sea ice on the northern edge of their distribution at latitudes above ~ 63 °N. The synergic effects of environmental variables on vertical distribution of eggs and their survival potential will be important biogeographic mechanisms to consider with climatic warming and continued loss of sea ice. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The lipid/fatty acid composition of marine fish eggs and larvae is linked with buoyancy regulation, but our understanding of such processes is largely restricted to species with pelagic eggs. In this study, we examined developmental changes in the lipid/fatty acids of eggs and embryos of Pacific cod ( Gadus macrocephalus), a species that spawns demersal eggs along coastal shelf edges, but as larvae must make a rapid transition to the upper reaches of the water column. Adult Pacific cod were collected in the Gulf of Alaska during the spawning season and eggs of two females were artificially fertilized with sperm from three males for each female. The eggs were subsequently reared in the laboratory to determine (1) how lipids/fatty acids were catabolized during egg and larval development, and (2) whether lipid/fatty acid catabolism had measurable effects on egg/embryo density. Eggs incubated at 4°C began hatching after 3-weeks and continued to hatch over a 10-day period, during which there was a distinct shift in lipid classes (phospholipids (PL), triacyglycerols (TAG), and sterols (ST)) and essential fatty acids (EFAs: 22:6n-3 (DHA), 20:5n-3 (EPA), and 20:4n-6 (AA)). In the egg stage, total lipid content steadily decreased during the first 60% of development, but just prior to hatch we observed an unexpected 2–3-fold lipid increase (~6–9 μg individual−1) and a significant drop in egg density. The increase in lipids was largely driven by PL, with evidence of long-chained fatty acid synthesis. Late-hatching larvae had progressively decreasing lipid and fatty acid reserves, suggesting a shift from lipogenesis to lipid catabolism with continued larval development. Egg density measures suggest that lipid/fatty acid composition is linked to buoyancy regulation as larvae shift from a demersal to a pelagic existence following hatch. The biochemical pathway by which Pacific cod are apparently able to synthesize EFAs is unknown, therefore representing a remarkable finding meriting further investigation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]