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Purpose: Risk assessment of disease recurrence in pT1 colorectal cancer is crucial in order to select the appropriate treatment strategy. The study aimed to develop a prediction model, based on histopathological data, for the probability of disease recurrence and residual disease in patients with pT1 colorectal cancer., Methods: The model dataset consisted of 558 patients with pT1 CRC who had undergone endoscopic resection only (n = 339) or endoscopic resection followed by subsequent bowel resection (n = 219). Tissue blocks and slides were retrieved from Pathology Departments from all regions in Denmark. All original slides were evaluated by one experienced gastrointestinal pathologist (TPK). New sections were cut and stained for haematoxylin and eosin (HE) and immunohistochemical markers. Missing values were multiple imputed. A logistic regression model with backward elimination was used to construct the prediction model., Results: The final prediction model for disease recurrence demonstrated good performance with AUC of 0.75 [95% CI 0.72-0.78], HL chi-squared test of 0.59 and scaled Brier score of 10%. The final prediction model for residual disease demonstrated medium performance with an AUC of 0.68 [0.63-0.72]., Conclusion: We developed a prediction model for the probability of disease recurrence in pT1 CRC with good performance and calibration based on histopathological data. Together with lymphatic and venous invasion, an involved resection margin (0 mm) as opposed to a margin of ≤ 1 mm was an independent risk factor for both disease recurrence and residual disease., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Tumor budding is a long-established independent adverse prognostic marker in colorectal cancer, yet methods for its assessment have varied widely. In an effort to standardize its reporting, a group of experts met in Bern, Switzerland, in 2016 to reach consensus on a single, international, evidence-based method for tumor budding assessment and reporting (International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference [ITBCC]). Tumor budding assessment using the ITBCC criteria has been validated in large cohorts of cancer patients and incorporated into several international colorectal cancer pathology and clinical guidelines. With the wider reporting of tumor budding, new issues have emerged that require further clarification. To better inform researchers and health-care professionals on these issues, an international group of experts in gastrointestinal pathology participated in a modified Delphi process to generate consensus and highlight areas requiring further research. This effort serves to re-affirm the importance of tumor budding in colorectal cancer and support its continued use in routine clinical practice., (© 2021. The Author(s).)