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Key Message: Association mapping with immortalized lines of landraces offers several advantages including a high mapping resolution, as demonstrated here in maize by identifying the causal variants underlying QTL for oil content and the metabolite allantoin. Landraces are traditional varieties of crops that present a valuable yet largely untapped reservoir of genetic variation to meet future challenges of agriculture. Here, we performed association mapping in a panel comprising 358 immortalized maize lines from six European Flint landraces. Linkage disequilibrium decayed much faster in the landraces than in the elite lines included for comparison, permitting a high mapping resolution. We demonstrate this by fine-mapping a quantitative trait locus (QTL) for oil content down to the phenylalanine insertion F469 in DGAT1-2 as the causal variant. For the metabolite allantoin, related to abiotic stress response, we identified promoter polymorphisms and differential expression of an allantoinase as putative cause of variation. Our results demonstrate the power of this approach to dissect QTL potentially down to the causal variants, toward the utilization of natural or engineered alleles in breeding. Moreover, we provide guidelines for studies using ancestral landraces for crop genetic research and breeding., (© 2021. The Author(s).)

Key Message: Inclusion of historical training data improved the genomics-based prediction of performance of maize hybrids, the extent depending on the phenotypic trait and genotype-by-year interaction. Prediction of hybrid performance using existing phenotypic data on previous hybrids combined with molecular data collected on the parent lines allows to identify the most promising candidates from a huge number of possible hybrids at an early stage. Phenotypic data on yield and dry matter of 1970 grain maize hybrids from 19 years of a public breeding program were aggregated considering the underlying structure of factorial sets of hybrids. Pedigree records and 50 K SNP data were collected on their 170 Dent and 127 Flint parent lines. The performance of untested hybrids was predicted by best linear unbiased predictors (BLUP) on basis of pedigree or genomic data. For composition of training sets (TRN) and test sets (TST), three schemes for collecting factorials from specific years were employed which resulted in 490 scenarios. For each scenario, the predictive ability and genomic relationship between TRN and TST hybrids were determined. For extended TRNs, where earlier years were successively added to the TRN, the maximum relationship increased and the predictive ability improved, with the extent of the latter depending on the phenotypic trait and its genotype-by-year interaction. Genomic BLUP outperformed pedigree BLUP and better utilized the early years' data, especially for prediction of hybrids from factorials in a more distant future. This study on hybrid prediction in grain maize illustrated that including historical phenotypic data for training, although consisting of less related genotypes, can improve genomic prediction and enables optimization of hybrid variety development.

Key Message: Complementing genomic data with other "omics" predictors can increase the probability of success for predicting the best hybrid combinations using complex agronomic traits. Accurate prediction of traits with complex genetic architecture is crucial for selecting superior candidates in animal and plant breeding and for guiding decisions in personalized medicine. Whole-genome prediction has revolutionized these areas but has inherent limitations in incorporating intricate epistatic interactions. Downstream "omics" data are expected to integrate interactions within and between different biological strata and provide the opportunity to improve trait prediction. Yet, predicting traits from parents to progeny has not been addressed by a combination of "omics" data. Here, we evaluate several "omics" predictors-genomic, transcriptomic and metabolic data-measured on parent lines at early developmental stages and demonstrate that the integration of transcriptomic with genomic data leads to higher success rates in the correct prediction of untested hybrid combinations in maize. Despite the high predictive ability of genomic data, transcriptomic data alone outperformed them and other predictors for the most complex heterotic trait, dry matter yield. An eQTL analysis revealed that transcriptomic data integrate genomic information from both, adjacent and distant sites relative to the expressed genes. Together, these findings suggest that downstream predictors capture physiological epistasis that is transmitted from parents to their hybrid offspring. We conclude that the use of downstream "omics" data in prediction can exploit important information beyond structural genomics for leveraging the efficiency of hybrid breeding.

Key Message: Six quantitative trait loci (QTL) for Gibberella ear rot resistance in maize were tested in two different genetic backgrounds; three QTL displayed an effect in few near isogenic line pairs. Few quantitative trait loci (QTL) mapping studies for Gibberella ear rot (GER) have been conducted, but no QTL have been verified so far. QTL validation is prudent before their implementation into marker-assisted selection (MAS) programs. Our objectives were to (1) validate six QTL for GER resistance, (2) evaluate the QTL across two genetic backgrounds, (3) investigate the genetic background outside the targeted introgressions. Pairs of near isogenic lines (NILs) segregating for a single QTL (Qger1, Qger2, Qger10, Qger13, Qger16, or Qger21) were developed by recurrent backcross until generation BC 3 S 2 . Donor parents (DP) carrying QTL were backcrossed to a susceptible (UH009) and a moderately resistant (UH007) recurrent parent. MAS was performed using five SNP markers covering a region of 40 cM around each QTL. All NILs were genotyped with the MaizeSNP50 assay and phenotyped for GER severity and deoxynivalenol and zearalenone content. Traits were significantly (P < 0.001) intercorrelated. Out of 34 NIL pairs with the UH009 genetic background, three pairs showed significant differences in at least one trait for three QTL (Qger1, Qger2, Qger13). Out of 25 NIL pairs with the UH007 genetic background, five pairs showed significant differences in at least one trait for two QTL (Qger2, Qger21). However, Qger16, Qger10 and Qger13 were most likely false positives. The genetic background possibly affected NIL pairs comparisons due to linkage drag and/or epistasis with residual loci from the DP in non-target regions. In conclusion, validation rates were disappointingly low, which further indicates that GER resistance is controlled by many low-effect QTL.

Key Message: QTL analysis for Fusarium resistance traits with multiple connected families detected more QTL than single-family analysis. Prediction accuracy was tightly associated with the kinship of the validation and training set., Abstract: QTL mapping has recently shifted from analysis of single families to multiple, connected families and several biometric models have been suggested. Using a high-density consensus map with 2472 marker loci, we performed QTL mapping with five connected bi-parental families with 639 doubled-haploid (DH) lines in maize for ear rot resistance and analyzed traits DON, Gibberella ear rot severity (GER), and days to silking (DS). Five biometric models differing in the assumption about the number and effects of alleles at QTL were compared. Model 2 to 5 performing joint analyses across all families and using linkage and/or linkage disequilibrium (LD) information identified all and even further QTL than Model 1 (single-family analyses) and generally explained a higher proportion pG of the genotypic variance for all three traits. QTL for DON and GER were mostly family specific, but several QTL for DS occurred in multiple families. Many QTL displayed large additive effects and most alleles increasing resistance originated from a resistant parent. Interactions between detected QTL and genetic background (family) occurred rarely and were comparatively small. Detailed analysis of three fully connected families yielded higher pG values for Model 3 or 4 than for Model 2 and 5, irrespective of the size NTS of the training set (TS). In conclusion, Model 3 and 4 can be recommended for QTL-based prediction with larger families. Including a sufficiently large number of full sibs in the TS helped to increase QTL-based prediction accuracy (rVS) for various scenarios differing in the composition of the TS.

High-density genotyping is extensively exploited in genome-wide association mapping studies and genomic selection in maize. By contrast, linkage mapping studies were until now mostly based on low-density genetic maps and theoretical results suggested this to be sufficient. This raises the question, if an increase in marker density would be an overkill for linkage mapping in biparental populations, or if important QTL mapping parameters would benefit from it. In this study, we addressed this question using experimental data and a simulation based on linkage maps with marker densities of 1, 2, and 5 cM. QTL mapping was performed for six diverse traits in a biparental population with 204 doubled haploid maize lines and in a simulation study with varying QTL effects and closely linked QTL for different population sizes. Our results showed that high-density maps neither improved the QTL detection power nor the predictive power for the proportion of explained genotypic variance. By contrast, the precision of QTL localization, the precision of effect estimates of detected QTL, especially for small and medium sized QTL, as well as the power to resolve closely linked QTL profited from an increase in marker density from 5 to 1 cM. In conclusion, the higher costs for high-density genotyping are compensated for by more precise estimates of parameters relevant for knowledge-based breeding, thus making an increase in marker density for linkage mapping attractive.

Recent advances in high-throughput sequencing technologies have triggered a shift toward single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) markers. A systematic bias can be introduced if SNPs are ascertained in a small panel of genotypes and then used for characterizing a larger population (ascertainment bias). With the objective of evaluating a potential ascertainment bias of the Illumina MaizeSNP50 array with respect to elite European maize dent and flint inbred lines, we compared the genetic diversity among these materials based on 731 amplified fragment length polymorphisms (AFLPs), 186 simple sequence repeats (SSRs), 41,434 SNPs of the MaizeSNP50 array (SNP-A), and two subsets of it, i.e., 30,068 Panzea (SNP-P) and 11,366 Syngenta markers (SNP-S). We evaluated the bias effects on major allele frequency, allele number, gene diversity, modified Roger's distance (MRD), and on molecular variance (AMOVA). We revealed ascertainment bias in SNP-A, compared to AFLPs and SSRs. It affected especially European flint lines analyzed with markers (SNP-S) specifically developed to maximize differences among North American dent germplasm. The bias affected all genetic parameters, but did not substantially alter the relative distances between inbred lines within groups. For these reasons, we conclude that the SNP markers of the MaizeSNP50 array can be employed for breeding purposes in the investigated material. However, attention should be paid in case of comparisons between genotypes belonging to different heterotic groups. In this case, it is advisable to prefer a marker subset with potentially low ascertainment bias, like in our case the SNP-P marker set.

Identifying high performing hybrids is an essential part of every maize breeding program. Genomic prediction of maize hybrid performance allows to identify promising hybrids, when they themselves or other hybrids produced from their parents were not tested in field trials. Using simulations, we investigated the effects of marker density (10, 1, 0.3 marker per mega base pair, Mbp(-1)), convergent or divergent parental populations, number of parents tested in other combinations (2, 1, 0), genetic model (including population-specific and/or dominance marker effects or not), and estimation method (GBLUP or BayesB) on the prediction accuracy. We based our simulations on marker genotypes of Central European flint and dent inbred lines from an ongoing maize breeding program. To simulate convergent or divergent parent populations, we generated phenotypes by assigning QTL to markers with similar or very different allele frequencies in both pools, respectively. Prediction accuracies increased with marker density and number of parents tested and were higher under divergent compared with convergent parental populations. Modeling marker effects as population-specific slightly improved prediction accuracy under lower marker densities (1 and 0.3 Mbp(-1)). This indicated that modeling marker effects as population-specific will be most beneficial under low linkage disequilibrium. Incorporating dominance effects improved prediction accuracies considerably for convergent parent populations, where dominance results in major contributions of SCA effects to the genetic variance among inter-population hybrids. While the general trends regarding the effects of the aforementioned influence factors on prediction accuracy were similar for GBLUP and BayesB, the latter method produced significantly higher accuracies for models incorporating dominance.

The performance of hybrids can be predicted with gene expression data from their parental inbred lines. Implementing such prediction approaches in breeding programs promises to increase the efficiency of hybrid breeding. The objectives of our study were to compare the accuracy of prediction models employing multiple linear regression (MLR), partial least squares regression (PLS), support vector machine regression (SVM), and transcriptome-based distances (D(B)). For a factorial of 7 flint and 14 dent maize lines, the grain yield of the hybrids was assessed and the gene expression of the parental lines was profiled with a 56k microarray. The accuracy of the prediction models was measured by the correlation between predicted and observed yield employing two cross-validation schemes. The first modeled the prediction of hybrids when testcross data are available for both parental lines (type 2 hybrids), and the second modeled the prediction of hybrids when no testcross data for the parental lines were available (type 0 hybrids). MLR, SVM, and PLS resulted in a high correlation between predicted and observed yield for type 2 hybrids, whereas for type 0 hybrids D(B) had greater prediction accuracy. The regression methods were robust to the choice of the set of profiled genes and required only a few hundred genes. In contrast, for an accurate hybrid prediction with D(B), 1,000-1,500 genes were required, and the prediction accuracy depended strongly on the set of profiled genes. We conclude that for prediction within one set of genetic material MLR is a promising approach, and for transferring prediction models from one set of genetic material to a related one, the transcriptome-based distance D(B) is most promising.

The identification of superior hybrids is important for the success of a hybrid breeding program. However, field evaluation of all possible crosses among inbred lines requires extremely large resources. Therefore, efforts have been made to predict hybrid performance (HP) by using field data of related genotypes and molecular markers. In the present study, the main objective was to assess the usefulness of pedigree information in combination with the covariance between general combining ability (GCA) and per se performance of parental lines for HP prediction. In addition, we compared the prediction efficiency of AFLP and SSR marker data, estimated marker effects separately for reciprocal allelic configurations (among heterotic groups) of heterozygous marker loci in hybrids, and imputed missing AFLP marker data for marker-based HP prediction. Unbalanced field data of 400 maize dent x flint hybrids from 9 factorials and of 79 inbred parents were subjected to joint analyses with mixed linear models. The inbreds were genotyped with 910 AFLP and 256 SSR markers. Efficiency of prediction (R (2)) was estimated by cross-validation for hybrids having no or one parent evaluated in testcrosses. Best linear unbiased prediction of GCA and specific combining ability resulted in the highest efficiencies for HP prediction for both traits (R (2) = 0.6-0.9), if pedigree and line per se data were used. However, without such data, HP for grain yield was more efficiently predicted using molecular markers. The additional modifications of the marker-based approaches had no clear effect. Our study showed the high potential of joint analyses of hybrids and parental inbred lines for the prediction of performance of untested hybrids.

Heterosis is widely exploited in plant breeding, although its molecular basis is still not fully understood. For the characterization of this phenomenon and the development of transcriptome-based methods to predict hybrid performance (HP), we applied a microarray (46k) analysis of 21 European maize (Zea mays L.), 14 dent and 7 flint parental inbred lines. Expression profiles of the parental inbreds at the seedling stage were correlated with grain yield (GY) and grain dry matter content (GDMC) of 98 flint x dent factorial crosses at six locations. We observed highly significant correlations of the parental expression levels of certain differentially expressed genes with heterosis and HP for GY and also with HP for GDMC. This strong correlation provided first evidence toward a prediction potential of the genes and their expression levels. The identified gene set based on the parental transcriptome data revealed functional characteristics of HP and heterosis. Gene ontology (GO) analyses were performed to compare genes correlated with their expression pattern to HP for GY and GDMC, respectively. Between these gene groups, mostly different functional classes of genes were found to be enriched or underrepresented. The phenomenon of heterosis was characterized by the over- and underrepresentation of specific GO terms among heterosis-correlated genes.

Grouping of germplasm and prediction of hybrid performance and heterosis are important applications in hybrid breeding programs. Gene expression analysis is a promising tool to achieve both tasks efficiently. Our objectives were to (1) investigate distance measures based on transcription profiles, (2) compare these with genetic distances based on AFLP markers, and (3) assess the suitability of transcriptome-based distances for grouping of germplasm and prediction of hybrid performance and heterosis in maize. We analyzed transcription profiles from seedlings of the 21 parental maize lines of a 7 x 14 factorial with a 46-k oligonucleotide array. The hybrid performance and heterosis of the 98 hybrids were assessed in field trials. In cluster and principal coordinate analyses for germplasm grouping, the transcriptome-based distances were as powerful as the genetic distances for separating flint from dent inbreds. Cross validation showed that prediction of hybrid performance with transcriptome-based distances using selected markers was more precise than earlier prediction models using DNA markers or general combining ability estimates using field data. Our results suggest that transcriptome-based prediction of hybrid performance and heterosis has a great potential to improve the efficiency of maize hybrid breeding programs.

Maize (Zea mays L.) breeders are concerned about the narrowing of the genetic base of elite germplasm. To reverse this trend, elite germplasm from other geographic regions can be introgressed, but due to lack of adaptation it is difficult to assess their breeding potential in the targeted environment. The objectives of this study were to (1) investigate the relationship between European and US maize germplasm, (2) examine the suitability of different mega-environments and measures of performance to assess the breeding potential of exotics, and (3) study the relationship of genetic distance with mid-parent heterosis (MPH). Eight European inbreds from the Dent and Flint heterotic groups, 11 US inbreds belonging to Stiff Stalk (SS), non-Stiff Stalk (NSS), and CIMMYT Pool 41, and their 88 factorial crosses in F(1) and F(2) generations were evaluated for grain yield and dry matter concentration. The experiments were conducted in three mega-environments: Central Europe (target mega-environment), US Cornbelt (mega-environment where donor lines were developed), and Southeast Europe (an intermediate mega-environment). The inbreds were also fingerprinted with 266 SSR markers. Suitable criteria to identify promising exotic germplasm were F(1) hybrid performance in the targeted mega-environment and F(1) and parental performance in the intermediate mega-environment. Marker-based genetic distances reflected relatedness among the inbreds, but showed no association with MPH. Based on genetic distance, MPH, and F(1) performance, we suggest to introgress SS germplasm into European Dents and NSS into European Flints, in order to exploit the specific adaptation of European flint germplasm and the excellent combining ability of US germplasm in European maize breeding programs.

In hybrid breeding, the prediction of hybrid performance (HP) is extremely important as it is difficult to evaluate inbred lines in numerous cross combinations. Recent developments such as doubled haploid production and molecular marker technologies have enhanced the prospects of marker-based HP prediction to accelerate the breeding process. Our objectives were to (1) predict HP using a combined analysis of hybrids and parental lines from a breeding program, (2) evaluate the use of molecular markers in addition to phenotypic and pedigree data, (3) evaluate the combination of line per se data with marker-based estimates, (4) study the effect of the number of tested parents, and (5) assess the advantage of haplotype blocks. An unbalanced dataset of 400 hybrids from 9 factorial crosses tested in different experiments and data of 79 inbred parents were subjected to combined analyses with a mixed linear model. Marker data of the inbreds were obtained with 20 AFLP primer-enzyme combinations. Cross-validation was used to assess the performance prediction of hybrids of which no or only one parental line was testcross evaluated. For HP prediction, the highest proportion of explained variance (R (2)), 46% for grain yield (GY) and 70% for grain dry matter content (GDMC), was obtained from line per se best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP) estimates plus marker effects associated with mid-parent heterosis (TEAM-LM). Our study demonstrated that HP was efficiently predicted using molecular markers even for GY when testcross data of both parents are not available. This can help in improving greatly the efficiency of commercial hybrid breeding programs.

Marker-based prediction of hybrid performance facilitates the identification of untested single-cross hybrids with superior yield performance. Our objectives were to (1) determine the haplotype block structure of experimental germplasm from a hybrid maize breeding program, (2) develop models for hybrid performance prediction based on haplotype blocks, and (3) compare hybrid performance prediction based on haplotype blocks with other approaches, based on single AFLP markers or general combining ability (GCA), under a validation scenario relevant for practical breeding. In total, 270 hybrids were evaluated for grain yield in four Dent x Flint factorial mating experiments. Their parental inbred lines were genotyped with 20 AFLP primer-enzyme combinations. Adjacent marker loci were combined into haplotype blocks. Hybrid performance was predicted on basis of single marker loci and haplotype blocks. Prediction based on variable haplotype block length resulted in an improved prediction of hybrid performance compared with the use of single AFLP markers. Estimates of prediction efficiency (R(2)) ranged from 0.305 to 0.889 for marker-based prediction and from 0.465 to 0.898 for GCA-based prediction. For inter-group hybrids with predominance of general over specific combining ability, the hybrid prediction from GCA effects was efficient in identifying promising hybrids. Considering the advantage of haplotype block approaches over single marker approaches for the prediction of inter-group hybrids, we see a high potential to substantially improve the efficiency of hybrid breeding programs.