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Introduction/objectives: To identify the frequency, correlates and progression of frailty in systemic sclerosis (SSc)., Method: All Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study participants meeting ACR/EULAR criteria with a calculable FRAIL Scale score were included. FRAIL Scale scores were calculated annually and were used to group participants as 'robust', 'pre-frail' or 'frail'. Progression of frailty over time was examined by comparing first-recorded, highest-recorded and last-recorded FRAIL Scale scores for each participant. Determinants of frailty at each visit were evaluated with ordinal logistic regression. Survival was analysed using Cox hazard modelling., Results: Of 1703 participants, 14% and 53% met criteria for frailty or pre-frailty respectively, with 33% consistently robust. Among initially frail participants, 40% remained frail and 60% improved to pre-frailty/robustness. Of pre-frail participants, 15% became frail while 32% improved to robustness. One-third of initially robust participants progressed to pre-frailty/frailty. SSc-specific determinants of frailty included diffuse SSc (odds ratio (OR) 1.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-1.8, p < 0.01), pulmonary arterial hypertension (OR 7.1, 95% CI 5.1-9.9, p < 0.01), interstitial lung disease (OR 1.6, 95% CI 1.3-2.0, p < 0.01), proximal weakness (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.2-2.0, p < 0.01) and lower-tract gastrointestinal symptoms (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.3-1.8, p < 0.01). Older age (OR 1.1, 95% CI 1.1-1.2, p < 0.01), raised CRP (OR 1.7, 95% CI 1.4-2.0, p < 0.01) and anaemia (OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.2-1.7, p < 0.01) were also significantly associated with frailty. A graded risk of death was observed with the diagnosis of pre-frailty and frailty states (hazard ratio (HR) 3.5, 95% CI 2.6-4.8, p < 0.01; and HR 9.8, 95% CI 6.8-14.1, p < 0.01 respectively). Frailty and pre-frailty were associated with reduced health-related quality-of-life and physical function (p < 0.05)., Conclusions: Frailty and pre-frailty are common in SSc and contribute to morbidity and mortality. Both SSc and non-SSc determinants of frailty exist. Frailty in SSc is a dynamic phenomenon with potential to deteriorate or improve over time., Competing Interests: Compliance with ethical standards. Competing interests: SP has received honoraria from Janssen and Boehringer Ingelheim. JS and JW have received honoraria from Boehringer Ingelheim Pty Ltd. WS has received consultancies from Jansen and Boehringer-Ingelheim. MN has received honoraria or consultancies from Janssen, AstraZeneca, GlaxoSmithKlein, Boehringer-Ingelheim and Bristol-Myers Squibb. JF has received conference sponsorship from Pfizer and honoraria from Boehringer-Ingelheim. LH has been a paid speaker for the Limbic publication and received honoraria from Janssen and Abbvie. The other authors declare no competing interests. Disclosures: None., (© 2024. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to International League of Associations for Rheumatology (ILAR).)

Objective: In this prospective cohort study, we provide several prognostic models to predict functional status as measured by the modified Health Assessment Questionnaire (mHAQ). The early adoption of the treat-to-target strategy in this cohort offered a unique opportunity to identify predictive factors using longitudinal data across 20 years., Methods: A cohort of 397 patients with early RA was used to develop statistical models to predict mHAQ score measured at baseline, 12 months, and 18 months post diagnosis, as well as serially measured mHAQ. Demographic data, clinical measures, autoantibodies, medication use, comorbid conditions, and baseline mHAQ were considered as predictors., Results: The discriminative performance of models was comparable to previous work, with an area under the receiver operator curve ranging from 0.64 to 0.88. The most consistent predictive variable was baseline mHAQ. Patient-reported outcomes including early morning stiffness, tender joint count (TJC), fatigue, pain, and patient global assessment were positively predictive of a higher mHAQ at baseline and longitudinally, as was the physician global assessment and C-reactive protein. When considering future function, a higher TJC predicted persistent disability while a higher swollen joint count predicted functional improvements with treatment., Conclusion: In our study of mHAQ prediction in RA patients receiving treat-to-target therapy, patient-reported outcomes were most consistently predictive of function. Patients with high disease activity due predominantly to tenderness scores rather than swelling may benefit from less aggressive treatment escalation and an emphasis on non-pharmacological therapies, allowing for a more personalized approach to treatment. Key Points • Long-term use of the treat-to-target strategy in this patient cohort offers a unique opportunity to develop prognostic models for functional outcomes using extensive longitudinal data. • Patient reported outcomes were more consistent predictors of function than traditional prognostic markers. • Tender joint count and swollen joint count had discordant relationships with future function, adding weight to the possibility that disease activity may better guide treatment when the components are considered separately., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Digital ulcers (DU) are a common, severe vascular manifestation of systemic sclerosis (SSc) with few effective treatment options. Using data from the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study (ASCS), we sought to evaluate the effect of calcium channel blockers (CCB) on the treatment and prevention of DU.Using data from 1953 participants, with a median of 4.34 years of follow-up, we used generalised estimating equations to evaluate the clinical characteristics associated with CCB use and ascertain the risk factors for the presence of DU at subsequent study visits. A time-dependent Cox-proportional hazard model was applied to evaluate the risk of future occurrence of DU with CCB use.Sixty-six percent of participants received CCB and patients with a history of DU were more likely to be prescribed a CCB (76.76% vs 53.70%, p < 0.01). CCB use was more frequent in patients with severe complications of DU including chronic DU (OR 1.47, p = 0.02), need for hospitalisation for iloprost (OR 1.30, p = 0.01) or antibiotics (OR 1.36, p = 0.04) and digital amputation (OR 1.48, p < 0.01). Use of CCB was more likely in patients who experienced DU at subsequent study visits (OR 1.32, p < 0.01) and was not associated with a decreased risk of the development of a first DU (HR 0.94, p = 0.65).CCB are frequently used in the management of SSc in the ASCS and their use is associated with severe peripheral vascular manifestations of SSc. However, our results suggest that CCB may not be effective in the healing or prevention of DU., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Assessment of disease activity in systemic sclerosis (SSc) is limited by the absence of a fully validated, multisystem measure of disease activity. The European Scleroderma Trials and Research Group (EUSTAR) SSc activity index (EScSG-AI) was recently revised, and a validation study within the EUSTAR cohort was performed. In this study, we evaluated the performance of the revised EScSG-AI in an external Australian cohort. The association between the EScSG-AI and the physician global assessment of disease activity (PhGA), both collected prospectively at each annual visit over up to 12 years follow-up, was evaluated using Pearson's correlation coefficient and Cohen's kappa coefficient. Generalized linear modelling and time-dependent Cox regression analysis were performed to determine the association of disease activity measured by the EScSG-AI and the summed Medsger Severity Scale (MSS) and death, respectively. There was a moderate correlation between EScSG-AI and PhGA scores (r 0.42, p < 0.001) and moderate association between rising EScSG-AI and summed MSS (r 0.60, p < 0.001). High disease activity, measured by the EScSG-AI at any time during follow-up, was associated with a hazard ratio of 2.07 (95% CI 1.51-2.79) for mortality. The EScSG-AI has a moderate correlation with physician-assessed SSc disease activity. This suggests that the criterion and construct validity of the EScSG-AI are yet to be demonstrated in an external cohort of SSc patients. Key Points •There remains no gold standard measure of SSc disease activity. •The revised 2017 EUSTAR SSc disease activity index shows moderate correlation with physician-rated global disease activity. •Significant work remains to develop a validated multisystem measure of disease activity in SSc.

Cardiac involvement in idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM) adversely affects prognosis but is commonly sub-clinical. Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) is an effective imaging modality for detecting myocardial inflammation and fibrosis but its use as a screening tool for cardiac disease in IIM has not been fully explored. Nineteen patients with IIM without cardiac symptoms underwent CMR using a specific cardiomyopathy protocol including specific sequences detecting focal and diffuse myocardial fibrosis. 9/19 patients demonstrated late gadolinium enhancement (LGE (3/9 right ventricular insertion, 1/9 sub-endocardial, 7/9 mid-wall/sub-epicardial)). T1 mapping was performed in 15 patients. In total, 7/15 had elevated native T1 values, of which four had detected LGE. Myocardial fibrosis was frequently detected in IIM patients without cardiac history. Detection of LGE and elevated T1 values may have negative prognostic implications. Longitudinal studies determining whether early or augmented treatment has a role in patients with sub-clinical cardiac involvement are needed.Key Points• Cardiac involvement in myositis adversely affects prognosis.• Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging is an effective tool for detecting cardiac involvement.• T1 mapping is a technique which detects diffuse myocardial inflammation and fibrosis.• In our study, focal and diffuse myocardial fibrosis was frequently found in myositis patients without cardiac symptoms.

Introduction: Silicone breast implants (SBI) may induce systemic autoimmune disease as part of autoimmune syndrome induced by adjuvants (ASIA). This syndrome bears similarities to fibromyalgia and chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS). We sought to determine whether there are any associations between SBI and depression, fibromyalgia and CFS in a rheumatology clinic population., Methods: The electronic files of rheumatology clinic patients at the Royal Adelaide Hospital between 2000 and 2017 were searched for patients who had received SBI prior to rheumatological diagnosis. Demographics, diagnosis, implant history and whether the patient had depression, fibromyalgia or CFS were recorded. Controls were rheumatology clinic patients, half of whom had systemic sclerosis (SSc) and the other half had systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). They were matched to cases 3:1 for age (within 2 years) and gender., Results: Thirty patients had received SBI (mean age 47.9, 100% female). Twelve had a diagnosis of depression, 6 of fibromyalgia and 3 of CFS. Implant rupture was not associated with any of these (p = 1). There was no difference in the incidence of depression (p = 1), fibromyalgia (p = 0.76) or CFS (p = 0.3) between cases and SLE controls. When compared with SSc controls, there were significantly more patients with fibromyalgia and/or CFS in the case group (20.0% of cases vs 2.2% of SSc controls, p = 0.01) but no difference in depression (p = 0.12)., Conclusion: Fibromyalgia and CFS are more common in patients with silicone implants than SSc controls but not SLE controls. Prospective study of development of depression, fibromyalgia and CFS in recipients of SBI is required.

Studies suggest elevated serum intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1) and vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (VCAM-1) levels may be markers of pulmonary arterial hypertension in systemic sclerosis (SSc-PAH). We sought to evaluate whether ICAM-1 and VCAM-1 levels are useful screening biomarkers for incident SSc-PAH. In this cross-sectional study, four groups were selected from the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study: group 1 (n = 15) had definite PAH; group 2 (n = 19) had interstitial lung disease (ILD); group 3 (n = 30) were SSc-controls; and group 4 (n = 34) were healthy controls. Serum ICAM-1 and VCAM-1 levels were measured using the Millipore Milliplex MAP Human 2-Plex Panel. There were no differences in ICAM-1 levels in the PAH versus ILD group (263.0 ± 85.4 vs 380.4 ± 168.3 ng/mL, p = 0.136), SSc-controls (263.0 ± 85.4 vs 253.1 ± 98.0 ng/mL, p = 1.00), or healthy controls (263.0 ± 85.4 vs 201.8 ± 57.2 ng/mL, p = 0.093). Similarly, there were no differences in VCAM-1 level in PAH versus ILD groups (1476.2 ± 434.9 vs 1424.8 ± 527.6 ng/mL, p = 1.00) and SSc-controls (1476.2 ± 434.9 vs 1409.5 ± 341.1 ng/mL, p = 1.00). SSc subjects had significantly higher levels of ICAM-1 (297.4 ± 134.0 vs 201.8 ± 57.2 ng/mL, p < 0.0001) and VCAM-1 compared to healthy controls (1432.7 ± 427.4 vs 1125.6 ± 273.4 ng/mL, p < 0.0001). Neither ICAM-1 nor VCAM-1 is a specific screening biomarker of SSc-PAH. Instead, increased levels of these adhesion molecules in SSc, irrespective of pulmonary complications, suggest that they may play a role in SSc pathogenesis.