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Objective: The aim of this work was to estimate the conditioned probability for the diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection with reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR), viral antigen rapid diagnostic tests (Ag-RDT), and antibody detection tests depending on the prevalence in the specific healthcare settings in Spain in 2020, and on the pre-test probability (PTP) according to the clinical situation, age and unknown or close contacts of the patient., Methods: Performance parameters of tests were obtained from literature. Prevalence data and PTP were obtained from Spanish sources and a survey, respectively. The post-test probability is the positive predictive value (PPV) when test is positive. For negative result, we also calculated the probability of having the infection (false negatives)., Results: For both RT-PCR and viral Ag-RDT, the lowest PPV values were for the population screenings. This strategy proved to be useful in ruling out infection but generates a high number of false positives. At individual level, both tools provided high PPV (≥ 97%) when the PTP values are over 35%. In seroprevalence studies, though the specificity of IgG alone tests is high, under low seroprevalence, false positives cannot be avoided. Total antibodies tests are useful for diagnosis of COVID-19 in those doubtful cases with RT-PCR or Ag-RDT tests being repeatedly negative., Conclusions: The interpretating of results depends not only on the accuracy of the test, but also on the prevalence of the infection in different settings, and the PTP associated to the patient before performing the test., (©The Author 2023. Published by Sociedad Española de Quimioterapia. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0)(https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).)

Fosfomycin, a low molecular weight and hydrophilic drug with negligible protein binding, is eliminated almost exclusively by glomerular filtration, whose clearance is subject to patient renal function. The volume of distribution approximates to the extracellular body water (about 0.3 L/Kg) in healthy volunteers, but it is increased in critically ill patients with bacterial infections. Fosfomycin presents a high ability to distribute into many tissues, including inflamed tissues and abscess fluids. Based on PK/PD analysis and Monte Carlo simulations, we have evaluated different fosfomycin dosing regimen to optimize the treatment of septic patients due to Enterobacterales and Pseudomonas aeruginosa. As PK/PD targets, we selected %T>MIC > 70% for all pathogens, and AUC24/MIC > 24 and AUC24/MIC > 15 for net stasis of Enterobacterales and P. aeruginosa, respectively. Pharmacokinetic parameters in critically ill patients were obtained from the literature. Several dosing regimens were studied in patients with normal renal function: fosfomycin 2-8 g given every 6-12 hours, infused over 30 minutes- 24 hours. At the susceptibility EUCAST breakpoint for Enterobacterales and Staphylococcus spp. (MIC ≤ 32 mg/L), fosfomycin 4 g/8h or higher infused over 30 minutes achieved a probability of target attainment (PTA) > 90%, based in both %T>MIC and AUC24/MIC. For MIC of 64 mg/L, fosfomycin 6 g/6h in 30-minute infusion and 8 g/ 8h in 30-minute and 6 hours infusions also achieved PTA values higher than 90%. No fosfomycin monotherapy regimen was able to achieve PK/PD targets related to antimicrobial efficacy for P. aeruginosa with MICs of 256-512 mg/L.

Objective: To evaluate, by applying pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) analysis, if the change in antibiotic susceptibility after the introduction of the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) in Spain had any influence on the usefulness of the antimicrobials more frequently used as empirical treatment of pediatric acute otitis media (AOM)., Methods: PK parameters and susceptibility of Streptococcus pneumoniae and Haemophilus influenzae were obtained from bibliography. Monte Carlo simulation was used to estimate the cumulative fraction of response (CFR), understood as the expected probability of therapy success. For amoxicillin and amoxicillin/clavulanate, the target was free antibiotic concentration remaining above the minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) for ≥50% of the dosing interval (fT>MIC≥50%), whereas for cefuroxime axetil and cefotaxime, the target was fT>MIC≥60%. CFR values ≥90% were considered successful., Results: When all serotypes of S. pneumoniae are considered, amoxicillin and cefotaxime turned out to reach a high probability of success, and difference before and after vaccination was scarce. For H. influenzae, CFR values were higher with amoxicillin/clavulanate than with amoxicillin. For both microorganisms, cefuroxime axetil resulted in low probability of success in the two periods of study., Conclusions: We have shown that the introduction of the PCV7 vaccination did not lead to changes in the probability of success of the current empiric treatments of the AOM. Integrated PK/PD analysis has demonstrated to be a useful tool to identify changes in antimicrobial activity after the implantation of a vaccination program, providing complementary information to the simple assessment of MIC values., (©The Author 2019. Published by Sociedad Española de Quimioterapia. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0)(https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).)