1. Machine learning prediction of malignant middle cerebral artery infarction after mechanical thrombectomy for anterior circulation large vessel occlusion.
- Author
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Hoffman H, Wood JS, Cote JR, Jalal MS, Masoud HE, and Gould GC
- Subjects
- Humans, Logistic Models, Thrombectomy adverse effects, Thrombectomy methods, Retrospective Studies, Infarction, Middle Cerebral Artery diagnostic imaging, Infarction, Middle Cerebral Artery etiology, Infarction, Middle Cerebral Artery therapy, Machine Learning
- Abstract
Objective: Prediction of malignant middle cerebral artery infarction (MMI) could identify patients for early intervention. We trained and internally validated a ML model that predicts MMI following mechanical thrombectomy (MT) for ACLVO., Methods: All patients who underwent MT for ACLVO between 2015 - 2021 at a single institution were reviewed. Data was divided into 80% training and 20% test sets. 10 models were evaluated on the training set. The top 3 models underwent hyperparameter tuning using grid search with nested 5-fold CV to optimize the area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC). Tuned models were evaluated on the test set and compared to logistic regression., Results: A total of 381 patients met the inclusion criteria. There were 50 (13.1%) patients who developed MMI. Out of the 10 ML models screened on the training set, the top 3 performing were neural network (median AUROC 0.78, IQR 0.72 - 0.83), support vector machine ([SVM] median AUROC 0.77, IQR 0.72 - 0.83), and random forest (median AUROC 0.75, IQR 0.68 - 0.81). On the test set, random forest (median AUROC 0.78, IQR 0.73 - 0.83) and neural network (median AUROC 0.78, IQR 0.73 - 0.83) were the top performing models, followed by SVM (median AUROC 0.77, IQR 0.70 - 0.83). These scores were significantly better than those for logistic regression (AUROC 0.72, IQR 0.66 - 0.78), individual risk factors, and the Malignant Brain Edema score (p < 0.001 for all)., Conclusion: ML models predicted MMI with good discriminative ability. They outperformed standard statistical techniques and individual risk factors., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest None., (Copyright © 2023 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2023
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