1. External validation of the SI 2 NCAL 2 C score for outcomes following cerebral venous thrombosis.
- Author
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Klein P, Shu L, Lindgren E, de Winter MA, Siegler JE, Simpkins AN, Omran SS, Heldner MR, de Havenon A, Abdalkader M, Al Kasab S, Stretz C, Wu TY, Wilson D, Asad SD, Almallouhi E, Frontera J, Kuohn L, Rothstein A, Bakradze E, Henninger N, Zubair AS, Sharma R, Kerrigan D, Aziz Y, Mistry EA, van Kammen MS, Tatlisumak T, Krzywicka K, Aguiar de Sousa D, Jood K, Field TS, Yaghi S, Coutinho JM, and Nguyen TN
- Subjects
- Humans, Female, Male, Middle Aged, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, Adult, Reproducibility of Results, Time Factors, Prognosis, Aged, Decision Support Techniques, Risk Assessment, Venous Thrombosis mortality, Venous Thrombosis diagnosis, Venous Thrombosis therapy, Predictive Value of Tests, Disability Evaluation, Intracranial Thrombosis mortality, Intracranial Thrombosis diagnosis, Intracranial Thrombosis therapy, Functional Status
- Abstract
Objectives: Prognostication for cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) remains difficult. We sought to validate the SI
2 NCAL2 C score in an international cohort., Materials and Methods: The SI2 NCAL2 C score was originally developed to predict poor outcome (modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 3-6) at 6 months, and mortality at 30 days and 1 year using data from the International CVT Consortium. The SI2 NCAL2 C score uses 9 variables: the absence of any female-sex-specific risk factors, intracerebral hemorrhage, central nervous system infection, focal neurological deficits, coma, age, lower level of hemoglobin, higher level of glucose, and cancer. The ACTION-CVT study was an international retrospective study that enrolled consecutive patients across 27 centers. The poor outcome score was validated using 90-day mRS due to lack of follow-up at the 6-month time-point in the ACTION-CVT cohort. Model performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration plots. Missing data were imputed using the additive regression and predictive mean matching methods. Bootstrapping was performed with 1000 iterations., Results: Mortality data were available for 950 patients and poor outcome data were available for 587 of 1,025 patients enrolled in ACTION-CVT. Compared to the International CVT Consortium, the ACTION-CVT cohort was older, less often female, and with milder clinical presentation. Mortality was 2.5% by 30 days and 6.0% by one year. At 90-days, 16.7% had a poor outcome. The SI2 NCAL2 C score had an AUC of 0.74 [95% CI 0.69-0.79] for 90-day poor outcome, 0.72 [0.60-0.82] for mortality by 30 days, and 0.82 [0.76-0.88] for mortality by one year., Conclusions: The SI2 NCAL2 C score had acceptable to good performance in an international external validation cohort. The SI2 NCAL2 C score warrants additional validation studies in diverse populations and clinical implementation studies., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest Thanh Nguyen reports research support from Medtronic and the Society of Vascular and Interventional Neurology; advisory board with Brainomix, Aruna Bio; Associate Editor of Stroke. Erik Lindgren reports research support from the Swedish state, ALF agreement (ALFGBG 942851), the Swedish Neurological Society, Elsa and Gustav Lindh's Foundation, Wennerström's Foundation, P-O Ahl's Foundation, and the Rune and Ulla Amlöv's Foundation. Katarina Jood reports research support from the Swedish state ALF agreement (ALFGBG-965417). Mirjam R. Heldner reports grants from SITEM Research Support Funds and Swiss National Science Foundation, Swiss Heart Foundation, not directly related to this manuscript. Thalia S Field reports honoraria for advisory board work for HLS Therapeutics, Roche Canada, AstraZeneca, in-kind study medication from Bayer Canada, is on the board of DESTINE Health, and is supported by a Heart and Stroke/Sauder Family Professorship of Stroke Research at the University of British Columbia. Christoph Stretz reports departmental funding (funds managed by Rhode Island Hospital) for his site's participation in the Neuro AFib study from Massachusetts General Hospital/BSC. Nils Henninger was supported by NINDS R21NS131756 during the conduct of this study (unrelated). Turgut Tatlisumak serves or has served on advisory boards for Astra Zeneca, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol Myers Squibb, Inventiva, and Portola Pharma and received research funding from European Union, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, University of Gothenburg, and Wennerström's Foundation. Diana Aguiar de Sousa reports advisory board participation for Astrazenica, Organon, and Johnson & Johnson, speaker fees from Bial, Bayer, and Astrazeneca, and DSMB participation for the SECRET trial (all unrelated)., (Copyright © 2024. Published by Elsevier Inc.)- Published
- 2024
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