1. Estimating transition coefficients for reconstructing coherent series of mortality by cause of Death
- Author
-
Carlo Giovanni Camarda
- Subjects
Statistics and Probability ,Series (mathematics) ,Transition (fiction) ,05 social sciences ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,050902 family studies ,Econometrics ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Quadratic programming ,0509 other social sciences ,Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty ,Smoothing ,Mathematics ,Cause of death - Abstract
Regular revisions of the classification of diseases and the consequent disruptions of mortality series are well-known issues in long-term cause-of-death analysis. Given basic assumptions and medical knowledge about possible exchanges across causes of death in the revision years, redistribution of counts of causes of death into a new classification can be viewed as a constrained optimization problem. Penalized likelihood within a quadratic programming framework allows estimation of exchanges that vary smoothly over age groups. The approach is illustrated using both German data on malignant neoplasms and French data on heart diseases.
- Published
- 2019