1. SARS-CoV-2 viral load as a predictor for disease severity in outpatients and hospitalised patients with COVID-19: A prospective cohort study.
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Knudtzen, Fredrikke Christie, Jensen, Thøger Gorm, Lindvig, Susan Olaf, Rasmussen, Line Dahlerup, Madsen, Lone Wulff, Hoegh, Silje Vermedal, Bek-Thomsen, Malene, Laursen, Christian B., Nielsen, Stig Lønberg, and Johansen, Isik Somuncu
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COVID-19 ,SARS-CoV-2 ,VIRAL load ,OUTPATIENTS ,COHORT analysis ,LONGITUDINAL method ,HOSPITAL mortality - Abstract
Introduction: We aimed to examine if severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) polymerase chain reaction (PCR) cycle quantification (C
q ) value, as a surrogate for SARS-CoV-2 viral load, could predict hospitalisation and disease severity in adult patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Methods: We performed a prospective cohort study of adult patients with PCR positive SARS-CoV-2 airway samples including all out-patients registered at the Department of Infectious Diseases, Odense University Hospital (OUH) March 9-March 17 2020, and all hospitalised patients at OUH March 10-April 21 2020. To identify associations between Cq -values and a) hospital admission and b) a severe outcome, logistic regression analyses were used to compute odds ratios (OR) and 95% Confidence Intervals (CI), adjusting for confounding factors (aOR). Results: We included 87 non-hospitalised and 82 hospitalised patients. The median baseline Cq -value was 25.5 (interquartile range 22.3–29.0). We found a significant association between increasing Cq -value and hospital-admission in univariate analysis (OR 1.11, 95% CI 1.04–1.19). However, this was due to an association between time from symptom onset to testing and Cq -values, and no association was found in the adjusted analysis (aOR 1.08, 95% CI 0.94–1.23). In hospitalised patients, a significant association between lower Cq -values and higher risk of severe disease was found (aOR 0.89, 95% CI 0.81–0.98), independent of timing of testing. Conclusions: SARS-CoV-2 PCR Cq -values in outpatients correlated with time after symptom onset, but was not a predictor of hospitalisation. However, in hospitalised patients lower Cq -values were associated with higher risk of severe disease. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2021
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