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The growing tendency toward non-compliance with international obligations to refugees requires UNHCR to make contingency plans for asylum denials. Making such plans calls for tools, such as game theory and confrontation analysis, that link non-compliance in refugee asylum with the configuration of interests for asylum and donor countries in a potential crisis. We illustrate such tools in a case study of Afghan refugees in Pakistan in 1997-2001, which generated asylum denials by Pakistan ranging from brief border closings to threats of mass refoulernent, linked to the withholding of assistance by the United States and other donors. We also consider the prospects for using these tools to inform contingency planning for an impending crisis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The article presents information on a research regarding foreign trade of Latin America during the World War I. Foreign exchange fluctuations have occurred in response to commercial and financial exchanges in Latin American countries during the war. Many countries started credit exchange conventions with a purpose of exchange stabilization without resorting to gold shipments. Argentina made such an arrangement with the U.S. Most of the Latin American nations including Brazil showed a low level of exchange rate during the war than the levels of pre-war years.