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OBJECTIVES Our goal was to evaluate the impact of gender on the 10-year outcome of patients after isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) included in the Italian nationwide PRedictIng long-term Outcomes afteR Isolated coronary arTery bypass surgery (PRIORITY) study. METHODS The PRIORITY project was designed to evaluate the long-term outcomes of patients who underwent CABG and were included in 2 prospective multicentre cohort studies. The primary end point of this analysis was major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events. Baseline differences between the study groups were balanced with propensity score matching and inverse probability of treatment. Time to events was analysed using Cox regression and competing risk analysis. RESULTS The study population comprised 10 989 patients who underwent isolated CABG (women 19.6%). Propensity score matching produced 1898 well-balanced pairs. The hazard of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular event was higher in women compared to men [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.13, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03–1.23; P = 0.009]. The incidence of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular event in women was significantly higher at 1 year (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.11–1.55; P CONCLUSIONS The present study documented an excess of non-fatal cardiac events after CABG among women despite comparable 10-year survival with men. These findings suggest that studies investigating measures of tertiary prevention are needed to decrease the risk of adverse cardiovascular events among women.

OBJECTIVES We sought to develop and validate a novel risk assessment tool for the prediction of 30-day mortality after surgical aortic valve replacement incorporating a patient’s frailty. METHODS Overall, 4718 patients from the multicentre study OBSERVANT was divided into derivation (n = 3539) and validation (n = 1179) cohorts. A stepwise logistic regression procedure and a criterion based on Akaike information criteria index were used to select variables associated with 30-day mortality. The performance of the regression model was compared with that of European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) II. RESULTS At 30 days, 90 (2.54%) and 35 (2.97%) patients died in the development and validation data sets, respectively. Age, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, concomitant coronary revascularization, frailty stratified according to the Geriatric Status Scale, urgent procedure and estimated glomerular filtration rate were independent predictors of 30-day mortality. The estimated OBS AVR score showed higher discrimination (area under curve 0.76 vs 0.70, P CONCLUSIONS The OBS AVR risk score showed high discrimination and calibration abilities in predicting 30-day mortality after surgical aortic valve replacement. The addition of a simplified frailty assessment into the model seems to contribute to an improved predictive ability over the EuroSCORE II. The OBS AVR risk score showed a significant association with long-term mortality.

Background The debate on the advantages and limitations of off-pump (OPCAB) on long-term outcomes has not still arrived to a conclusion. This study was designed to compare the impact of OPCAB vs on-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) on long-term mortality and major adverse cardiac events (MACEs). Methods The PRIORITY project was designed to evaluate the long-term outcomes of 2 large prospective multicenter cohort studies on CABG conducted between 2002–2004 and 2007–2008. Data on isolated CABG were linked to 2 administrative datasets. Time-to-event methods were employed to analyze outcomes. Results The population consisted of 11021 patients who underwent isolated CABG (27.2% OPCAB) that were divided into development and validation datasets. The median follow-up time was 8 years (interquartile range 7.6–10 years) and was 100% complete. Unadjusted long-term survival was significantly worst for OPCAB, nonetheless the adjustment did not confirm OPCAB as a risk factor for mortality (HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.85–1.03, p=0.19). OPCAB was associated to an increased risk of MACE at 10 years (adjusted HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.06–1.23, p=0.001). Inside the MACEs, OPCAB was significantly related to increased incidence of rehospitalization for percutaneous cardiac intervention (PCI), (adjusted HR 1.33, 95% CI 1.16–1.53, p Conclusions OPCAB did not affect long-term mortality but is associated with an increased long-term risk of repeat PCI. These findings may have important implications towards health resources allocation, particularly in a climate of cost containment of healthcare expenditures. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Italian Minister of Health

Background The advantages of the employment of double internal thoracic artery grafts (BITA) for coronary artery bypass grafting have been recently questioned and no data on long-term follow-up are available. This observational retrospective cohort study was designed by the PRIORITY planning committee to evaluate 10-year follow-up of isolated CABG performed with and without BITA in order to clarify and consolidate the contrasting literature. Methods The PRIORITY project was designed to evaluate the long-term outcomes of 2 large prospective multicenter cohort studies on CABG conducted between 2002–2004 and 2007–2008. Data on isolated CABG were linked to 2 administrative datasets. Time-to-event distributions were separately analyzed accordingly to primary event-type (death, MACEs), using Kaplan-Meier estimates and Cox regression. Results The population consisted of 11021 patients who underwent isolated CABG that were divided into development and validation datasets; double thoracic internal artery grafts was employed in 24.6%. The median follow-up time was 8 years (interquartile range 7.6–10 years) and was 100% complete. After adjustment for potential confounding factors, BITA was significantly associated with better survival (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.76–0.95, p=0.003). Moreover, the employment of BITA reduced the incidence of MACEs at follow-up (adjusted HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.80–0.94, p=0.001). In details, BITA was demonstrated to be a protective factor for acute myocardial infarction (adjusted HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.71–0.99, p=0.05) and for rehospitalization for percutaneous cardiac intervention (PCI; adjusted HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.70–0.96, p=0.013). Conclusions The employment of double internal thoracic artery grafts for coronary artery bypass grafting has been associated to survival advantage at 10-year. Moreover, it significantly decreased the incidence of acute myocardial infarction and rehospitalization for percutaneous cardiac intervention. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Italian Minister of Health

Background Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a well-known cardiovascular risk factor present in up to a third of patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). How DM might influence outcomes after TAVI procedures remains controversial. The aim of this study was to determine differences in outcomes after TAVI according to diabetes status. Methods The CENTER (Cerebrovascular EveNts in patients undergoing TranscathetER aortic valve implantation with balloon-expandable valves versus self-expandable valves)-collaboration was a global patient level dataset of patients undergoing transfemoral TAVI from 2007 to 2018. In this analysis, the study examined differences in baseline patient characteristics, 30-day stroke and mortality, and in-hospital outcomes between DM and non-DM patients. Results Of the 11,440 patients included, 31% (n=3,550) were diabetic and 69% (n=7,890) were non-diabetic. Diabetics were younger, had a higher body mass index (BMI) and overall a worse cardiovascular risk profile than non-diabetics. There were no differences between DM and non-DM patients regarding in-hospital mortality (4.8% vs 5.3%, RR: 0.9, 95% CI: 0.7–1.1, p=0.46), myocardial infarction (0.9% vs 0.7%, RR: 1.4, 95% CI: 0.9–2.2, p=0.17), stroke (1.7% vs 2.0%, RR: 0.9, 95% CI: 0.6–1.2, p=0.36), major or life threatening bleeding (5.9% vs 6.3%, RR: 0.9, 95% CI: 0.8–1.1, p=0.44) and permanent pacemaker implantation (13.6% vs 13.4%, RR: 1.0, 95% CI: 0.9–1.1, p=0.69). Similarly, 30-day rates of all-cause mortality (5.4% vs 6.1%, RR: 0.9, 95% CI: 0.8–1.1, p=0.30) and stroke (2.0% vs 2.4%, RR: 0.8, 95% CI: 0.6–1.1, p=0.23) did not differ between diabetic and non-diabetic patients. Accordingly, in multivariate analysis, DM was not an independent predictor of mortality. Conclusions In this global collaboration, diabetic patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement had more cardiovascular comorbidities, were younger and had a higher body mass index than non-diabetics. They had similar periprocedural complications, in-hospital and 30-day mortality rates. In multivariate analysis, diabetes was not associated with increased mortality. Predicted vs observed mortality in DM Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Dutch Heart Foundation; the Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development

Background The debate on the benefits and limitations of off-pump (OPCAB) coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) on long-term outcomes is not yet settled. This study aimed to compare the impact of OPCAB vs on-pump CABG on long-term outcomes and to evaluate possible public health implications linked to their use. Methods The PRIORITY project was planned to evaluate the long-term outcomes of two prospective multicenter studies on CABG conducted between 2002-2004 and 2007-2008. Data on isolated CABG were linked to administrative data in order to retrieve patients' late outcome. Time-to-event distributions were analyzed accordingly to primary event-type (death, major adverse cardiac events (MACEs)) using the Kaplan-Meier and the Cox proportional hazards methods. Results The study population consisted of 11 021 patients who underwent isolated CABG (27.2% OPCAB). The median follow-up time was 8.0 years (interquartile range 7.6-10.0 years). OPCAB had comparable late all-cause mortality to on-pump CABG (HR 0.94, 95%CI 0.85-1.03, p = 0.19), but it was associated to an increased risk of MACE (adjusted HR 1.14, 95%CI 1.06-1.23, p = 0.001). In particular, OPCAB had an increased risk of repeated revascularization with percutaneous cardiac intervention (PCI) (adjusted HR 1.33, 95%CI 1.16-1.53, p Conclusions OPCAB does not affect long-term mortality, but it significantly increases the risk of MACEs. In particular, OPCAB had an increased risk of repeated revascularization with PCI. These findings may have important implications towards health resources allocation. Key messages Off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting strategy is associated with an increased long-term risk of MACE and repeated PCI. Off-pump strategy is mainly based on operator preferences and can have important implications in terms of healthcare costs.

Background Although the improvement of therapeutic strategies is leading to a dramatic decline of in-hospital acute coronary syndrome (ACS) death rates, differences in care and prognosis of ACS patients exist when age, gender and admission department are considered. Methods The national administrative hospital discharge record (HDR) system was used. Only data recorded from January 1, 2017 to Dicember 31, 2018 were analyzed. This approach allowed to identify 205775 patients reporting ACS as primary or secondary diagnosis: 122812 with non-ST-elevation ACS (NSTE-ACS) and 82963 with ST-elevation ACS (STEMI). The ACS cohort was stratified by age ( Results Among the 205775 patients hospitalized for ACS, 6% of STEMI and 8.3% of NSTE-ACS patients have been treated only in a general medicine ward and have never passed through a specific cardiology ward. For STEMI patients, the proportion becomes 4% when males are considered, increases up to 10% for females and up to 13% for elderly patients (≥75 years). During the index hospitalization, about 25% of female and more than 30% of elderly patients with STEMI do not undergo a coronary procedure or other extensive investigations; the same happens only in about 10% of male and 6% of younger patients. The proportion of improperly managed patients reaches 35% for women aged ≥75 years. Conclusions In-hospital management of women and elderly patients with ST-elevation ACS does not completely comply with the recommended guidelines and exposes them to unfavourable prognosis. Key messages Women and elderly STEMI patients are markedly less intensively investigated and treated in cardiologic departments. This medical policy could lead to unfavourable prognosis.

Background Identifying potential tools that could help improving the standard of care and lead to a better allocation of economic resources represents a main objective of research in public health. Using data from the PRIORITY cohort, this study aims to describe inpatients costs after a discharge for isolated coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG). Methods The PRIORITY project was designed to evaluate the long-term outcomes of 2 large multicenter cohort studies on CABG conducted between 2002-04 and 2007-08. For each patient discharged alive after a CABG intervention, costs of hospitalizations were estimated as the sum of costs of all the admissions occurred during 3 years of follow-up. NHS reimbursement rates were used as standard costs (in Euros). Inpatients costs were analysed according to their baseline risk factors. Results Among the 7363 patients included in this analysis, the median 3-year hospitalization costs were 4341€ (IQR: 1865-11699). Median costs were around 4.000€ for subjects alive at the end of follow up but higher for patients dying within 1 (about 8.600€) and 2-3 years of follow up (about 20.000€). The presence of comorbidities (such as diabetes and cancer) lead to higher median hospitalization costs while the on-pump approach was associated to lower median cost. Sixteen per cent of patients were at zero cost having no re-hospitalizations during the 3 years of follow-up (97% alive). Subjects at zero cost received more frequently on-pump approach, had a lower frequency of cancer, arteriopathy and ictus, but a higher frequency of angina and infarction. Conclusions Inpatient costs after isolated CABG are affected by preoperative comorbidities and by operative variables that could be removed or managed. Identifying independent risk factors for re-hospitalization will lead to the definition of a preoperative clinical and decision-making path that will bring both a clinical advantage for the patient and an optimization of costs for the NHS. Key messages Inpatient costs after isolated CABG are affected by preoperative comorbidities and operative characteristics like the on-pump approach. Appropriate management of operative approaches mainly based on operator preferences can have important implications in terms of healthcare costs.

Background Uncertainties on long-term outcomes after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) still exist, despite the ongoing progresses in the management of patients with AMI. This study aims to appraise early and 1-year outcome of patients hospitalized due to AMI and to describe the role of heart failure (HF) as complication affecting prognoses. Methods Retrospective nationwide cohort study based on administrative data on patients with AMI admitted in all Italian hospitals from 2007 to 2017. Index admission mortality rate (I-MR), 30-day and 1-year post-discharge mortality rate (PD-MR), and 30-day and 1-year total mortality rate (T-MR) were analysed; mortality average annual changes (AC) and their 95% CI were calculated; the Cox model, adjusting for age, sex, comorbidities and length of stay, was used to analyse 1-year PD-MR Results 1,148,820 patients were considered. From 2007 to 2017, both I-MR and T-MR up to 1 year decreased significantly (from 10.9 to 8.4%; AC: -0.28%; CI: -0.31 to -0.25 and from 20.2% to 17.1%: AC: -0.33%; CI: -0.39 to -0.28, respectively). From 2010, also the rate of PD-MR decreased significantly from 11.7% to 10.4%, with such favourable trend confirmed at multivariable analyses. The HF diagnosis at the index admission is always associated with a significant increase in the risk of death (1-year T-MR average: 43% and 12% in patients with or without HF, respectively; both patients with and without HF show a constant improvement in I-MR, T-MR and PD-MR over time. Conclusions In the last decade, the remarkable improvements in the in-hospital treatment of patients with AMI and in the overall prognosis up to 1 year are confirmed by a constant decrease in both early and long-term mortality. Since complication from HF remains a dangerous condition that significantly worsens the prognosis of the AMI patient, appropriate management strategies must be identified and implemented to guarantee best results from both clinic and public health perspective. Key messages Remarkable improvements achieved in overall prognosis after AMI over the past 10 years. HF confirms to be a condition able to worsen AMI patients’ prognosis.

Background The advantages to use the bilateral internal thoracic artery grafting (BITA) technique for coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) have been recently questioned, but data on long-term follow-up is limited. Using data from the PRIORITY project, this study aims to assess the outcome with the use of BITA grafting and its implications for public health. Methods The PRIORITY project was planned to evaluate the long-term outcomes of two prospective multicenter studies on CABG conducted between 2002-2004 and 2007-2008. Data on isolated CABG were linked to administrative data in order to retrieve patients' late outcome. Time-to-event distributions were analyzed accordingly to primary event-type (death, major adverse cardiac events (MACEs)) using the Kaplan-Meier and the Cox proportional hazards methods. Results The study population consisted of 11021 patients who underwent isolated CABG. BITA grafting was employed in 24.6% of patients. The median follow-up time was 8.0 years (interquartile range 7.6-10.0 years). After adjustment for potential confounding factors, BITA grafting was significantly associated with better survival (HR 0.85, 95%CI 0.76-0.95, p = 0.003). Moreover, using BITA grafting reduced the incidence of MACE (HR 0.87, 95%CI 0.80-0.94, p = 0.001), showing to be a protective factor for recurrent acute myocardial infarction (HR 0.84, 95%CI 0.71-0.99, p = 0.05) and for rehospitalization for percutaneous cardiac intervention (HR 0.82, 95%CI 0.70-0.96, p = 0.013). Conclusions BITA grafting during isolated CABG is associated with survival advantage at 10-year with a significantly reduced incidence of MACE. Being the choice to perform isolated CABG with or without BITA based mainly on operator personal preferences, these findings may have important implications from a public health perspective. Key messages The choice to perform CABG with or without BITA grafting is associated to different outcomes. The choice to perform CABG with or without BITA grafting is mainly based on operator preferences and may have important implications in terms of healthcare expenditures.

Objectives: To compare the risk-adjustment model empirically derived from the 'Italian CABG Outcome Project' with that of the additive and logistic EuroSCORE in terms of accuracy, predictive power and ability to rank hospital performances.Methods: The Italian CABG model, the logistic and additive EuroSCORE were applied to the Italian CABG population; the observed deaths/expected deaths (O/E) ratios, as obtained by the three models, werecomputedfor eachItaliancardiacsurgery centreandforsixclassesofrisk-stratifiedpatients.The performanceofthethreemodelsin predictingthe30-daymortalitywasformallyassessedforcalibration(Hosmer—Lemeshowtest)anddiscrimination(ROCarea).Accordingtothethree models, risk-adjusted mortality rates (RAMR = O/EItalian CABG population mortality rate) were estimated for each centre; possible differences were detected in the identification of hospitals with mortality rates higher and lower than average. Results: The Italian CABG model uses fewer variables than the EuroSCORE system (14 vs 17) and exhibits the best performance in terms of discrimination and calibration. Contrary to the other testedmodels,thelogisticEuroSCOREshowsasignificantHosmer—Lemeshowtest(x 2� L ¼ 19:30,p < 0.0001),indicatingunsatisfactorycalibration, and a clear predicteddeath overestimationineach ofthe consideredriskclasses(O/E = 0.4). When a proper recalibrationprocedure is applied, the logistic EuroSCORE performance parameters achieve acceptable levels. The Italian CABG model identified seven centres as having higher than averagemortality,whiletheEuroSCOREidentifiedthesamesevencentresplusoneother.TheItalianCABGmodelidentifiedeightcentreswithlower than average mortality, five of which were identified by the additive EuroSCORE and four of which were identified by the logistic EuroSCORE. The additiveEuroSCOREidentifiedfourmoreandthelogisticEuroSCOREthree morelowmortalitycentres.Conclusions:Althoughthisanalysisrevealsa satisfactoryconcordancebetweenresultsfromthethreemodels,adetailedcomparisonshowsthattheItalianCABGmodelusesfewervariablesand performsbetterthantheothers.Nevertheless,whenproperlyrecalibrated,theEuroSCOREmodelcanbeexportedtotheItalianpopulationandused to rank hospital performance and evaluate preoperative risk of patients undergoing open-heart surgery. # 2007 European Association for Cardio-Thoracic Surgery. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Objective: During the last decade, a worldwide growing interest in evaluating performance of health services through ‘outcome studies’ took place. This study started in early 2002 and represents the first National Health System (NHS) experience to evaluate adjusted performance indicators at national level. The aim of this study was to compare 30 days mortality after coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) between cardiac surgery centres, adjusting by confounding risk factors. Methods: All patients, aged 15—99 years, undergoing a CABG intervention after 1st January 2002 in 82 participating centres were eligible for this observational longitudinal study. For each patient, data on severity and risk factors were collected (type of procedure, haemodynamic condition, co-morbidities, recent myocardial infarction and unstable angina, ventricular function, emergency condition, vital status at 30 days). Using a multiple logistic regression analysis the best predictive model was developed for risk-adjustment; a cross-validation procedure was applied; specific risk adjusted mortality rates (RAMR) were estimated. The overall study population was used as reference standard. Results: 34,310 isolated CABG were performed in 64 of the 82 participating centres. Thirty days mortality resulted 2.61%, ranging from 0.33 to 7.63%; eight centres presented a RAMR significantly lower and seven significantly higher than the reference. Conclusions: The study provides valid measures of the heterogeneity between outcomes of the Italian cardiac surgery centres, to support decision-makingbyNHS management and individualpatients. Althoughnotstatisticallysignificant, RAMRdroppedfromyear 2002 to 2004 (2.8—2.4%) suggesting that this comparative outcome assessment can contribute to the improvement of performances in cardiac surgery. # 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

nary heart disease death. The multivariate adjusted risks lor luture atrial fibrillation were 1.464old (p