1. Risk of Major Abdominal Surgery in an Asian Population-based Crohnʼs Disease Cohort
- Author
-
Christina Ong, Wei Lin Tay, Anuradha Pandey, Eric Wee, Sai Wei Chuah, Khoon Lin Ling, Jeannie Ong, Nivedita Nadkarni, David E. Ong, Marion M. Aw, Ennaliza Salazar, Christopher S. C. Kong, Wee Chian Lim, and Valerie Tan
- Subjects
Adult ,Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Population ,Constriction, Pathologic ,Kaplan-Meier Estimate ,Young Adult ,Asian People ,Crohn Disease ,Risk Factors ,Internal medicine ,Abdomen ,Humans ,Immunology and Allergy ,Medicine ,Young adult ,education ,Retrospective Studies ,Singapore ,Crohn's disease ,education.field_of_study ,business.industry ,Incidence (epidemiology) ,Age Factors ,Gastroenterology ,Retrospective cohort study ,medicine.disease ,Surgery ,Logistic Models ,medicine.anatomical_structure ,Cohort ,Female ,business ,Abdominal surgery - Abstract
Background Crohn's disease (CD) is increasing in incidence and prevalence in Asia, but there is a paucity of population-based studies on risk factors for surgery in Asian patients with CD. This will be useful to identify patients who may benefit from top-down treatment. This study describes the rates of abdominal surgery and identifies associated risk factors in Singaporean patients with CD. Methods This was a retrospective observational study. The medical records of Singaporeans diagnosed with CD from 1970 to 2013 were reviewed from 8 different hospitals in Singapore. The cumulative probability of CD-related abdominal surgery was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The logistic regression model was used to assess associations between independent risk factors and surgery. Results The cohort of 430 Singaporean patients with CD included 63.5% Chinese, 11.9% Malay, and 24.7% Indians, with a male to female ratio of 1.6; median follow-up was 7.3 years (range, 2.9-13.0 yr) and median age at diagnosis 30.5 years (range, 19.5-43.7 yr). One hundred twelve patients (26.0%) required major abdominal surgery: the cumulative risk of surgery was 14.9% at 90 days, 21.2% at 5 years, 28.8% at 10 years, 38.3% at 20 years, and 50.6% at 30 years from diagnosis. Of the surgical patients, 75.0% were Chinese, 10.7% Malays, and 14.3% Indians; 21.4% underwent surgery for inflammatory disease, 40.2% for stricturing disease, and 38.4% for penetrating disease. Age at diagnosis (A2 17-40 yr, OR: 2.75, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.14-7.76), ileal disease (L1 location, OR: 2.35, 95% CI, 1.14-5.0), stricturing (B2 OR: 6.09, 95% CI, 3.20-11.8), and penetrating behavior (B3 OR: 21.6, 95% CI, 9.0-58.8) were independent risk factors for CD-related abdominal surgery. Indian patients were less likely to require surgery (OR: 0.40, 95% CI, 0.19-0.78). Conclusions Age at diagnosis, L1 location, B2, and B3 disease behavior are independent risk factors for abdominal surgery. Interestingly, despite a higher prevalence of CD in Indians, a smaller proportion of Indian patients required surgery. These findings suggest that both environmental and genetic factors contribute to the risk of surgery in Asian patients with CD.
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF