Ortiz JR, Bernstein DI, Hoft DF, Woods CW, McClain MT, Frey SE, Brady RC, Bryant C, Wegel A, Frenck RW, Walter EB, Abate G, Williams SR, Atmar RL, Keitel WA, Rouphael N, Memoli MJ, Makhene MK, Roberts PC, and Neuzil KM
Background: We evaluated the associations between baseline influenza virus-specific hemagglutination inhibition (HAI) and microneutralization (MN) titers and subsequent symptomatic influenza virus infection in a controlled human infection study., Methods: We inoculated unvaccinated healthy adults aged 18-49 years with an influenza A/California/04/2009/H1N1pdm-like virus (NCT04044352). We collected serial safety labs, serum for HAI and MN, and nasopharyngeal swabs for reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing. Analyses used the putative seroprotective titer of ≥40 for HAI and MN. The primary clinical outcome was mild-to-moderate influenza disease (MMID), defined as ≥1 postchallenge positive qualitative RT-PCR test with a qualifying symptom/clinical finding., Results: Of 76 participants given influenza virus challenge, 54 (71.1%) experienced MMID. Clinical illness was generally very mild. MMID attack rates among participants with baseline titers ≥40 by HAI and MN were 64.9% and 67.9%, respectively, while MMID attack rates among participants with baseline titers <40 by HAI and MN were 76.9% and 78.3%, respectively. The estimated odds of developing MMID decreased by 19% (odds ratio, 0.81 [95% confidence interval, .62-1.06]; P = .126) for every 2-fold increase in baseline HAI. There were no significant adverse events., Conclusions: We achieved a 71.1% attack rate of MMID. High baseline HAI and MN were associated with protection from illness. Clinical Trials Registration. NCT04044352., Competing Interests: Potential conflicts of interest. J. R. O. reports grants to his institution from the National Science Foundation, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Pfizer, NIH, and World Health Organization; consulting fees from Putnam; and participation on advisory boards for Pfizer, Seqirus, and Moderna, all outside the submitted work. D. I. B. reports consulting fees from Rational Vaccines and participation on an advisory board with Moderna and Dynavax, outside the submitted work. C. W. W. reports grants to his institution from Janssen and AstraZeneca, outside the submitted work. M. T. M. reports grants to his institution from NIH, outside the submitted work. R. W. F. reports grants to his institution from Pfizer, outside the submitted work, and clinical trial support from Pfizer. E. W. reports grants to his institution from Clinetic, Moderna, Pfizer, Seqirus, and Iliad Biotechnologies; consulting fees from Iliad Biotechnologies; and participation on the Vaxcyte advisory board. W. A. K. reports grants to her institution from Leidos, outside the submitted work; clinical trial support from Pfizer; subcontract from Leidos; and advisory board participation with the NIH. N. R. reports grants to her institution from Merck, Sanofi Pasteur, Quidel, Pfizer, and Lilly, outside the submitted work. All other authors report no potential conflicts. All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed., (Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America 2023.)