1. Plasma ceramides predict all-cause and cause-specific mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes.
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Liu S, Tham WK, Lee J, Ang K, Zheng H, Chan C, Gurung RL, Tavintharan S, Sum CF, Wenk MR, Torta F, Liu JJ, and Lim SC
- Abstract
Context: The CERT1 (Cardiovascular Event Risk Test) score derived from plasma ceramides has been applied clinically for cardiovascular risk assessment., Objective: To study whether plasma ceramides predict risk of mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes., Design, Setting and Participants: A prospective study which included 1903 outpatients with type 2 diabetes in a regional hospital and a primary care facility in Singapore., Exposure and Outcome: Plasma ceramides (d18:1/16:0, d18:1/18:0, d18:1/24:0, d18:1/24:1) were measured by mass spectrometry and CERT1 score was calculated accordingly. Main outcomes were all-cause and cause-specific mortality., Results: 252 death events were identified during median of 9.3 years of follow-up. Compared to those with low score (≤ 2), participants with a high CERT1 score (≥ 7) had 1.86 (95% CI 1.30-3.65) fold increased risk for all-cause death after adjustment for cardio-renal risk factors including eGFR and albuminuria. As continuous variable, one- unit increment in CERT1 was associated with 8% increased risk for all-cause death (adjusted HR 1.08 [1.04-1.13]). Adding CERT1 onto RECODe (Risk Equations for Complications Of type 2 Diabetes) mortality risk engine significantly improved prediction of 10- year risk of all-cause death (AUC 0.810 to 0.823, delta 0.013 [0.005-0.022]). The association between CERT1 and non-cardiovascular death remained significant (adjusted HR 2.12 [1.32-3.42]), whereas its association with cardiovascular death became non-significant after adjustment for kidney measurements (adjusted HR 1.41 [0.78-2.56])., Conclusion: CERT1 score predicts mortality risk independent of clinical cardio-renal risk factors. Further studies are warranted to elucidate the mechanistic linkage between ceramide and mortality, especially non-cardiovascular mortality., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Endocrine Society. All rights reserved. For commercial re-use, please contact reprints@oup.com for reprints and translation rights for reprints. All other permissions can be obtained through our RightsLink service via the Permissions link on the article page on our site—for further information please contact journals.permissions@oup.com. See the journal About page for additional terms.)
- Published
- 2024
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