56 results on '"Gunnell D"'
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2. Confounding by ill health in the observed association between BMI and mortality: evidence from the HUNT Study using offspring BMI as an instrument.
- Author
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Carslake D, Davey Smith G, Gunnell D, Davies N, Nilsen TIL, and Romundstad P
- Abstract
Background: The observational association between mortality and body mass index (BMI) is U-shaped, leading to highly publicized suggestions that moderate overweight is beneficial to health. However, it is unclear whether elevated mortality is caused by low BMI or if the association is confounded, for example by concurrent ill health., Methods: Using HUNT, a Norwegian prospective study, 32 452 mother-offspring and 27 747 father-offspring pairs were followed up to 2009. Conventional hazard ratios for parental mortality per standard deviation of BMI were estimated using Cox regression adjusted for behavioural and socioeconomic factors. To estimate hazard ratios with reduced susceptibility to confounding, particularly from concurrent ill health, the BMI of parents' offspring was used as an instrumental variable for parents' own BMI. The shape of mortality-BMI associations was assessed using cubic splines., Results: There were 18 365 parental deaths during follow-up. Conventional associations of mortality from all-causes, cardiovascular disease and cancer with parents' own BMI were substantially nonlinear, with elevated mortality at both extremes and minima at 21-25 kg m-2. Equivalent associations with offspring BMI were positive and there was no evidence of elevated parental mortality at low offspring BMI. The linear instrumental variable hazard ratio for all-cause mortality per standard deviation increase in BMI was 1.18 (95% confidence interval: 1.10, 1.26), compared with 1.05 (1.03, 1.06) in the conventional analysis., Conclusions: Elevated mortality rates at high BMI appear causal, whereas excess mortality at low BMI is likely exaggerated by confounding by factors including concurrent ill health. Conventional studies probably underestimate the adverse population health consequences of overweight., (© The Author 2017. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Epidemiological Association.)
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- 2018
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3. Impact of paraquat regulation on suicide in South Korea.
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Cha ES, Chang SS, Gunnell D, Eddleston M, Khang YH, and Lee WJ
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- Adult, Age Distribution, Female, Herbicides supply & distribution, Humans, Incidence, Male, Middle Aged, Paraquat supply & distribution, Republic of Korea epidemiology, Sex Distribution, Suicide ethnology, Suicide trends, Government Regulation, Herbicides poisoning, Paraquat poisoning, Poisoning mortality, Suicide statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: Ingestion of pesticides (mainly paraquat) accounted for one-fifth of suicides in South Korea in 2006-10. We investigated the effect on suicide mortality of regulatory action, culminating in a ban on paraquat in South Korea in 2011-12., Methods: We calculated age-standardized method-specific suicide mortality rates among people aged ≥15 in South Korea (1983-2013) using registered death data. Negative binomial regression was used to estimate changes in the rate and number of pesticide suicides in 2013, compared with those expected based on previous trends (2003-11)., Results: Pesticide suicide mortality halved from 5.26 to 2.67 per 100 000 population between 2011 and 2013. Compared with the number expected based on previous trends, the regulations were followed by an estimated 847 [95% confidence interval (CI) -1180 to -533] fewer pesticide suicides, a 37% reduction in rates (rate ratio = 0.63, 95% CI 0.55 to 0.73) in 2013. The decline in pesticide suicides after the regulations was seen in all age/sex/geographical groups. The absolute reduction in the number of suicides was greatest among men, the elderly and in rural areas. The reduction in pesticide suicides contributed to 56% of the decline in overall suicides that occurred between 2011 and 2013. There was no impact of the regulations on crop yield., Conclusions: The regulation of paraquat in South Korea in 2011-12 was associated with a reduction in pesticide suicide. Further legislative interventions to prevent the easy availability of highly lethal suicide methods are recommended for reducing the number of suicides worldwide., (© The Author 2015; all rights reserved. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Epidemiological Association.)
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- 2016
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4. Health and unemployment: 14 years of follow-up on job loss in the Norwegian HUNT Study.
- Author
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Kaspersen SL, Pape K, Vie GÅ, Ose SO, Krokstad S, Gunnell D, and Bjørngaard JH
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- Adult, Aged, Alcohol Drinking epidemiology, Female, Gastrointestinal Diseases epidemiology, Humans, Male, Mental Health statistics & numerical data, Middle Aged, Norway, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Sleep Initiation and Maintenance Disorders epidemiology, Socioeconomic Factors, Employment statistics & numerical data, Health Status, Unemployment statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: Many studies have investigated how unemployment influences health, less attention has been paid to the reverse causal direction; how health may influence the risk of becoming unemployed. We prospectively investigated a wide range of health measures and subsequent risk of unemployment during 14 years of follow-up., Methods: Self-reported health data from 36 249 participants in the Norwegian HUNT2 Study (1995-1997) was linked by a personal identification number to the National Insurance Database (1992-2008). Exact dates of unemployment were available. Cox's proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for the association of unemployment with several health measures. Adjustment variables were age, gender, education, marital status, occupation, lifestyle and previous unemployment., Results: Compared to reporting no conditions/symptoms, having ≥3 chronic somatic conditions (HR 1.78, 95% CI 1.46-2.17) or high symptom levels of anxiety and depression (HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.35-1.83) increased the risk of subsequent unemployment substantially. Poor self-rated health (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.24-1.51), insomnia (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.09-1.32), gastrointestinal symptoms (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.08-1.26), high alcohol consumption (HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.95-1.44) and problematic use of alcohol measured by the CAGE questionnaire (HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.17-1.48) were also associated with increased risk of unemployment., Conclusion: People with poor mental and physical health are at increased risk of job loss. This contributes to poor health amongst the unemployed and highlights the need for policy focus on the health and welfare of out of work individuals, including support preparing them for re-employment., (© The Author 2015. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Public Health Association. All rights reserved.)
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- 2016
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5. Economic shocks, resilience, and male suicides in the Great Recession: cross-national analysis of 20 EU countries.
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Reeves A, McKee M, Gunnell D, Chang SS, Basu S, Barr B, and Stuckler D
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- Adult, Europe epidemiology, European Union statistics & numerical data, Humans, Male, Men psychology, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Suicide economics, Unemployment psychology, Unemployment statistics & numerical data, Economic Recession, Resilience, Psychological, Suicide psychology, Suicide statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: During the 2007-11 recessions in Europe, suicide increases were concentrated in men. Substantial differences across countries and over time remain unexplained. We investigated whether increases in unaffordable housing, household indebtedness or job loss can account for these population differences, as well as potential mitigating effects of alternative forms of social protection., Methods: Multivariate statistical models were used to evaluate changes in suicide rates in 20 EU countries from 1981-2011. Models adjusted for pre-existing time trends and country-fixed effects. Interaction terms were used to evaluate modifying effects., Results: Changes in levels of unaffordable housing had no effect on suicide rates (P = 0.32); in contrast, male suicide increases were significantly associated with each percentage point rise in male unemployment, by 0.94% (95% CI: 0.51-1.36%), and indebtedness, by 0.54% (95% CI: 0.02-1.06%). Spending on active labour market programmes (ALMP) (-0.26%, 95% CI: -0.08 to -0.45%) and high levels of social capital (-0.048%, 95% CI: -0.0096 to -0.087) moderated the unemployment-suicide association. There was no interaction of the volume of anti-depressant prescriptions (P = 0.51), monetary benefits to unemployed persons (P = 0.77) or total social protection spending per capita (P = 0.37). Active labour market programmes and social capital were estimated to have prevented ∼ 540 and ∼ 210 male suicides, respectively, arising from unemployment in the countries studied., Conclusion: Job losses were a critical determinant of variations in male suicide risks in Europe's recessions. Greater spending on ALMP and levels of social capital appeared to mitigate suicide risks., (© The Author 2014. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Public Health Association. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2015
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6. Factors influencing coroners' verdicts: an analysis of verdicts given in 12 coroners' districts to researcher-defined suicides in England in 2005.
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Palmer BS, Bennewith O, Simkin S, Cooper J, Hawton K, Kapur N, and Gunnell D
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- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Child, Decision Making, England epidemiology, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Regression Analysis, Young Adult, Accidents statistics & numerical data, Cause of Death, Coroners and Medical Examiners, Death Certificates, Suicide statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: To investigate the variation between coroners in the verdicts given to deaths thought by researchers to be probable suicides and analyse factors associated with the coroners' verdict., Methods: Data were collected from 12 English coroner districts on all deaths in 2005 given a suicide, open, accidental or narrative verdict where suicide was considered a possibility. The data were reviewed by three experienced suicide researchers. Regression models were used to investigate factors associated with the coroners' verdict., Results: The researchers classified 593 deaths as suicide, of which 385 (65.4%) received a suicide verdict from the coroner. There was marked variation between coroner districts in the verdicts they gave. The suicide method was associated strongly with the coroners' verdict; deaths from poisoning and drowning were the least likely to be given suicide verdicts. The other factors strongly associated with a coroner's verdict of suicide were: whether a note was left, age over 60 years and being married or widowed compared with being single., Conclusion: Coroners vary considerably in the verdicts they give to individuals who probably died by suicide. This may compromise the usefulness of suicide statistics for assessing area differences in rates for public health surveillance., (© The Author 2014. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Faculty of Public Health. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)
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- 2015
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7. Sleep problems and hospitalization for self-harm: a 15-year follow-up of 9,000 Norwegian adolescents. The Young-HUNT Study.
- Author
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Junker A, Bjørngaard JH, Gunnell D, and Bjerkeset O
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- Adolescent, Anxiety complications, Anxiety epidemiology, Cohort Studies, Depression complications, Depression epidemiology, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Male, Norway epidemiology, Prospective Studies, Risk, Young Adult, Health Surveys, Hospitalization statistics & numerical data, Self-Injurious Behavior complications, Self-Injurious Behavior epidemiology, Sleep Wake Disorders epidemiology, Sleep Wake Disorders psychology
- Abstract
Objectives: To investigate the association between sleeping problems in adolescence and subsequent hospital admission for self-harm (SH)., Design: Prospective cohort study, linking health survey information on sleep problems to hospital-based patient records., Setting: Residents of Nord-Trøndelag County, Norway, aged 13-19 years in 1995-97., Patients or Participants: 10,202 adolescents were invited to participate in the Young-HUNT study; 8,983 (88%) completed the health survey., Measurements and Results: 10% of participants reported difficulties initiating sleep, 4% reported early morning wakening. Ninety-eight participants (27% male) were hospitalized following SH over a mean 12 years follow-up. Difficulties initiating sleep/early morning wakening were associated with increased risk of SH (HR 2.11, 95% CI 1.29-3.46, sex- and age-adjusted) compared with no problems, yet coexistent symptoms of combined anxiety/depression explained most of the association with sleep problems (fully adjusted HR 1.19, 95% CI 0.66-2.16). The HR of combined difficulties initiating sleep/early morning wakening differed in those with and without anxiety/depression at baseline (P interaction = 0.03); among those without caseness symptoms of anxiety/depression it was 5.58 (95% CI 2.02-15.40), while in those with caseness symptoms of anxiety/ depression it was 0.82 (95% CI 0.19-3.44)., Conclusions: Sleep problems are common among Norwegian adolescents. The strong association between sleep problems and subsequent hospitalization for self-harm could mainly be related to coexistent symptoms of anxiety and depression. Prevention of adolescent sleep problems, anxiety and depression should be targeted when seeking to reduce and prevent self-harm.
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- 2014
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8. Perinatal risk factors for suicide in young adults in Taiwan.
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Chen YY, Gunnell D, Lu CL, Chang SS, Lu TH, and Li CY
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- Adolescent, Adult, Age Factors, Case-Control Studies, Cohort Studies, Educational Status, Family Characteristics, Fathers statistics & numerical data, Female, Humans, Logistic Models, Male, Odds Ratio, Risk Factors, Sex Factors, Siblings, Socioeconomic Factors, Suicide psychology, Taiwan epidemiology, Young Adult, Birth Order, Maternal Age, Mothers statistics & numerical data, Registries, Single-Parent Family statistics & numerical data, Suicide statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: We investigated the association of early life social factors-maternal age, single motherhood, socioeconomic position, birth order and family size-with future risk of suicide in Taiwan., Methods: Using a nested case-control design, we used linked data from Taiwan's Birth Registry (1978-93) and Taiwan's Death Registry (1993-2008) and identified 3984 suicides aged 15-30 years. For each suicide, 30 controls matched by age and sex were randomly selected, using incidence density sampling. Conditional logistic regression models were estimated to assess the association of early life risk factors with suicide., Results: Younger maternal age (<25 years), single motherhood, lower paternal educational level and higher birth order were independently associated with increased risk of suicide. Stratified analyses suggest that lower paternal educational level was associated with male, but not female suicide risk (Pinteraction=0.02). Single motherhood was a stronger risk factor for suicide in female than in male offspring [odds ratios (95% confidence interval)=2.30 (1.47, 3.58) vs. 1.50 (1.01, 2.20), Pinteraction=0.12]. There was a suggestion that in families with large sibship size (≥4 siblings), the excess in suicide risk was greater among later born daughters compared with later born sons (Pinteraction=0.05)., Conclusions: Our findings provide support for the results of European studies, suggesting that early life social circumstances influence future risk of suicide. Factors specific to Taiwanese culture, such as a preference for male offspring, may have influenced gender-specific patterns of risk.
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- 2013
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9. Suicide by burning barbecue charcoal in England.
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Chen YY, Bennewith O, Hawton K, Simkin S, Cooper J, Kapur N, and Gunnell D
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- Adolescent, Age Factors, England, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Suicide ethnology, Suicide statistics & numerical data, Unemployment, Young Adult, Carbon Monoxide Poisoning epidemiology, Charcoal
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Background: Suicide by carbon monoxide poisoning from burning barbecue charcoal has become a common method of suicide in several Asian countries over the last 15 years. The characteristics of people using this method in Western countries have received little attention., Method: We reviewed the inquest reports of 12 English Coroners (11% of all Coroners) to identify charcoal-burning suicides. We compared socio-demographic and clinical characteristics of suicide by charcoal burning occurring between 2005 and 2007 with suicides using other methods in 2005., Results: Eleven charcoal-burning suicides were identified; people using this method were younger (mean age 33.4 versus 44.8 years, P = 0.02), and more likely to be unemployed (70.0 versus 30.1%, P = 0.01) and unmarried (100 versus 70%, P = 0.04) than those using other methods. Charcoal-burning suicides had higher levels of contact with psychiatric services (80.0 versus 59.1%) and previous self-harm (63.6 versus 53.0%) compared with suicides using other methods, but these differences did not reach conventional levels of statistical significance. Over one-third of people dying by charcoal burning obtained information on this method from the Internet., Conclusions: Working with media, including Internet Service Providers, and close monitoring of changes in the incidence of suicide using this method might help prevent an epidemic of charcoal-burning suicides such as that seen in some Asian countries.
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- 2013
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10. Maternal age at child birth, birth order, and suicide at a young age: a sibling comparison.
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Bjørngaard JH, Bjerkeset O, Vatten L, Janszky I, Gunnell D, and Romundstad P
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- Adolescent, Adult, Age Factors, Child, Cohort Studies, Humans, Norway, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Factors, Socioeconomic Factors, Young Adult, Birth Order, Maternal Age, Siblings, Suicide statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Previous studies have reported strong associations between birth order, maternal age, and suicide, but these results might have been confounded by socioeconomic and other factors. To control for such factors, we compared suicide risk between siblings and studied how maternal age at child birth and birth order influenced risk in a cohort study of 1,690,306 Norwegians born in 1967-1996 who were followed up until 2008. Using stratified Cox regression, we compared suicide risk within families with 2 or more children in which one died from suicide. Altogether, 3,005 suicides occurred over a mean follow-up period of 15 years; 2,458 of these suicides occurred among 6,741 siblings within families of 2 or more siblings. Among siblings, a higher position in the birth order was positively associated with risk; each increase in birth order was associated with a 46% (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.46, 95% confidence interval: 1.29, 1.66) higher risk of suicide. For each 10-year increase in maternal age at child birth, the offspring's suicide risk was reduced by 57% (adjusted hazard ratio = 0.43, 95% confidence interval: 0.30, 0.62). Our study suggests that confounding due to familial factors is not likely to explain the associations of birth order and maternal age at child birth with suicide risk.
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- 2013
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11. Diurnal variation in probability of death following self-poisoning in Sri Lanka--evidence for chronotoxicity in humans.
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Carroll R, Metcalfe C, Gunnell D, Mohamed F, and Eddleston M
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- Adolescent, Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Female, Hospitalization statistics & numerical data, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Pesticides pharmacokinetics, Sex Factors, Sri Lanka epidemiology, Suicide, Attempted statistics & numerical data, Time Factors, Young Adult, Circadian Rhythm, Pesticides poisoning, Seeds toxicity, Suicide statistics & numerical data, Thevetia
- Abstract
Background: The absorption, distribution, metabolism and elimination of medicines are partly controlled by transporters and enzymes with diurnal variation in expression. Dose timing may be important for maximizing therapeutic and minimizing adverse effects. However, outcome data for such an effect in humans are sparse, and chronotherapeutics is consequently less practised. We examined a large prospective Sri Lankan cohort of patients with acute poisoning to seek evidence of diurnal variation in the probability of survival., Methods: In all, 14 840 patients admitted to hospital after yellow oleander (Cascabela thevetia) seed or pesticide [organophosphorus (OP), carbamate, paraquat, glyphosate] self-poisoning were investigated for variation in survival according to time of ingestion., Results: We found strong evidence that the outcome of oleander poisoning was associated with time of ingestion (P < 0.001). There was weaker evidence for OP insecticides (P = 0.041) and no evidence of diurnal variation in the outcome for carbamate, glyphosate and paraquat pesticides. Compared with ingestion in the late morning, and with confounding by age, sex, time of and delay to hospital presentation and year of admission controlled, case fatality of oleander poisoning was over 50% lower following evening ingestion (risk ratio = 0.40, 95% confidence interval 0.26-0.62). Variation in dose across the day was not responsible., Conclusions: We have shown for the first time that timing of poison ingestion affects survival in humans. This evidence for chronotoxicity suggests chronotherapeutics should be given greater attention in drug development and clinical practice.
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- 2012
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12. Childhood milk consumption is associated with better physical performance in old age.
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Birnie K, Ben-Shlomo Y, Gunnell D, Ebrahim S, Bayer A, Gallacher J, Holly JM, and Martin RM
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- Adolescent, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Animals, Calcium, Dietary, Child, Child, Preschool, Cohort Studies, Dietary Proteins, Health Surveys, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Middle Aged, Postural Balance physiology, Prospective Studies, Socioeconomic Factors, United Kingdom, Walking physiology, Aging physiology, Dairy Products, Eating physiology, Health Status, Milk, Physical Fitness physiology
- Abstract
Background: studies have shown that milk and dairy consumption in adulthood have beneficial effects on health., Methods: we examined the impact of childhood and adult diet on physical performance at age 63-86 years. The Boyd Orr cohort (n = 405) is a 65-year prospective study of children who took part in a 1930's survey; the Caerphilly Prospective Study (CaPS; n = 1,195) provides data from mid-life to old age. We hypothesised that higher intakes of childhood and adult milk, calcium, protein, fat and energy would be associated with a better performance., Results: in fully adjusted models, a standard deviation (SD) increase in natural log-transformed childhood milk intake was associated with 5% faster walking times from the get-up and go test in Boyd Orr (95% CI: 1 to 9) and 25% lower odds of poor balance (OR: 0.75; 0.55 to 1.02). Childhood calcium intake was positively associated with walking times (4% faster per SD; 0 to 8) and a higher protein intake was associated with lower odds of poor balance (OR: 0.71; 0.54 to 0.92). In adulthood, protein intake was positively associated with walking times (2% faster per SD; 1 to 3; Boyd Orr and CaPS pooled data)., Conclusion: this is the first study to show positive associations of childhood milk intake with physical performance in old age.
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- 2012
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13. Impact of the growing use of narrative verdicts by coroners on geographic variations in suicide: analysis of coroners' inquest data.
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Carroll R, Hawton K, Kapur N, Bennewith O, and Gunnell D
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- England, Humans, Mental Health, Mortality, Statistics, Nonparametric, Wales, Cause of Death, Coroners and Medical Examiners statistics & numerical data, Decision Making, Geography, Narration, Suicide statistics & numerical data
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Background: Coroners' death certificates form the basis of suicide statistics in England and Wales. Recent increases in coroners' use of narrative verdicts may affect the reliability of local and national suicide rates., Method: We used Ministry of Justice data on inquests held between 2008 and 2009 and Local Authority suicide data (2001-02 and 2008-09) to investigate variations between coroners in their use of narrative verdicts and the impact of these on suicide rates, using 'other' verdicts (79% of which are narratives) as a proxy for narrative verdicts., Results: There was wide geographic variation in Coroners' use of 'other' (mainly narrative) verdicts--they comprised between 0 and 50% (median = 9%) of verdicts given by individual coroners in 2008-09. Coroners who gave more 'other' verdicts gave fewer suicide verdicts (r = - 0.41; P < 0.001). In the 10 English Coroners' jurisdictions where the highest proportion of 'other' verdicts were given, the incidence of suicide decreased by 16% between 2001-02 and 2008-09, whereas it did not change in areas served by the 10 coroners who used narratives the least., Conclusions: Variation in Coroners' use of narrative verdicts influences the validity of reported regional suicide rates. Small-area suicide rates, and changes in these rates over time in the last decade, should be interpreted with caution.
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- 2012
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14. Adiposity, its related biologic risk factors, and suicide: a cohort study of 542,088 taiwanese adults.
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Chang SS, Wen CP, Tsai MK, Lawlor DA, Yang YC, and Gunnell D
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- Adult, Blood Pressure, Cholesterol blood, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Multivariate Analysis, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Factors, Taiwan, Triglycerides blood, Waist-Hip Ratio, Adiposity, Body Mass Index, Suicide statistics & numerical data
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Recent studies in Western nations have shown inverse associations between body mass index (BMI, measured as weight (kg)/height (m)(2)) and suicide. However, it is uncertain whether the association is similar in non-Western settings, and the biologic pathways underlying the association are unclear. The authors investigated these issues in a cohort of 542,088 Taiwanese people 20 years of age or older who participated in a health check-up program (1994-2008); there were 573 suicides over a mean 8.1 years of follow up. There was a J-shaped association between BMI and suicide risk (P for the quadratic term = 0.033) but limited evidence of a linear association (adjusted hazard ratio per 1-standard-deviation increase = 0.95 (95% confidence interval: 0.85, 1.06)); compared with individuals whose BMI was 18.5-22.9, adjusted hazard ratios for those with a BMI <18.5 or ≥35 were 1.56 (95% confidence interval: 1.07, 2.28) and 3.62 (95% confidence interval: 1.59, 8.22), respectively. A high waist-to-hip ratio was associated with an increased risk of suicide. There was some evidence for a reverse J-shaped association of systolic blood pressure and high density lipoprotein cholesterol with suicide and an association of higher triglyceride level with increased suicide risk; these associations did not appear to mediate the associations of BMI and waist-to-hip ratio with suicide.
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- 2012
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15. Multiple risk behaviour in adolescence.
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Kipping RR, Campbell RM, MacArthur GJ, Gunnell DJ, and Hickman M
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- Adolescent, Humans, Risk-Taking, Adolescent Behavior
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- 2012
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16. Media reporting and suicide: a time-series study of suicide from Clifton Suspension Bridge, UK, 1974-2007.
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Hamilton S, Metcalfe C, and Gunnell D
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- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Cohort Studies, England, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Young Adult, Imitative Behavior, Mass Media, Suicide psychology, Suicide trends
- Abstract
Background: Media reports of suicide may provoke further 'copy-cat' suicides. Trends in reporting quality and impact of reporting on suicides from a particular 'hot-spot' have not been investigated previously., Methods: Inquest files and death certificates were used to identify suicides from Clifton Suspension Bridge, Bristol, UK, 1974-2007. Copies of local newspaper and television reports within 3 days of death or inquest were obtained. Parametric survival models were used to examine the impact of media reports on subsequent suicides., Results: Over 34 years, there were 206 suicides and 427 media reports of suicide from the bridge. The number of reports per suicide has declined markedly from 2.8 per suicide in the 1970s to 0.7 per suicide in the 2000s (P<0.001). While some aspects of reporting improved, others deteriorated or remained poorly reported. There has been an increase in sensational reporting (use of images was 5% in the 1970s and 16% in the 2000s) and in information about the suicide method. There was no evidence that media reports provoked further suicides., Conclusions: Media reporting of suicide from Clifton Suspension Bridge declined over the study period; however, most aspects of the quality of reporting remained poor. There was no evidence of media reports provoking further suicides.
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- 2011
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17. Sleeping problems and suicide in 75,000 Norwegian adults: a 20 year follow-up of the HUNT I study.
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Bjørngaard JH, Bjerkeset O, Romundstad P, and Gunnell D
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- Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Alcohol Drinking, Cohort Studies, Female, Health Surveys, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Norway epidemiology, Risk Factors, Sleep Wake Disorders epidemiology, Young Adult, Sleep Wake Disorders complications, Sleep Wake Disorders psychology, Suicide psychology, Suicide statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Objectives: To investigate the association of sleeping problems with suicide risk., Design: Prospective cohort study linking health survey information on sleep problems to Norway's national mortality registry. Participants were followed up from 1984-6 until December 31, 2004., Setting: Residents of Nord-Trøndelag County, Norway, aged 20 years or older in 1984-6., Participants: Altogether 87,285 people were eligible for the survey and 74,977 (86%) took part in one or more aspects of the study., Interventions: N/A., Measurements and Results: Three percent of participants experienced sleeping problems every night, 5% experienced problems "often" and 31% reported problems "sometimes." There were 188 suicides during follow-up. Sleeping problems at baseline were strongly associated with subsequent suicide risk. Compared to participants who reported no sleeping problems the age- and sex- adjusted hazard ratios for suicide were 1.9 (CI 1.3-2.6), 2.7 (CI 1.4-5.0), and 4.3 (CI 2.3-8.3) for reporting sleeping problems sometimes, often, or almost every night, respectively. Associations were stronger in younger (< 50 years) participants, but we found no statistical evidence for gender differences. Adjusting for measures of common mental disorder and alcohol use at baseline weakened the associations, but the 3% of subjects with the worst sleep patterns remained at two fold increased risk of suicide., Conclusions: Sleeping problems are a marker of suicide risk, mainly due to the presence of both sleeping problems and mixed anxiety and depression. Physicians should be aware of the possible vulnerability for people affected by sleeping problems.
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- 2011
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18. Suicidal behaviour and suicide from the Clifton Suspension Bridge, Bristol and surrounding area in the UK: 1994-2003.
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Bennewith O, Nowers M, and Gunnell D
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- Adult, Aged, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, United Kingdom, Young Adult, Suicide psychology, Suicide statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: Little is known about the characteristics of people who die by jumping from different locations (e.g. bridges, buildings) and the factors that might influence the effectiveness of suicide prevention measures at such sites., Methods: We collected data on suicides by jumping (n = 134) between 1994 and 2003 in Bristol, UK, an area that includes the Clifton Suspension Bridge, a site renowned for suicide. We also carried out interviews with Bridge staff and obtained records of fatal and non-fatal incidents on the bridge (1996-2005) before and after preventive barriers were installed in 1998., Results: The main sites from which people jumped were bridges (n = 71); car parks (n = 12); cliffs (n = 20) and places of residence (n = 20). People jumping from the latter tended to be older than those jumping from other sites; people jumping from different sites did not differ in their levels of past self-harm or current psychiatric care. As previously reported, suicides from the bridge halved after the barriers were erected; people jumping from the Clifton Suspension Bridge following their construction were more likely to have previously self-harmed and to have received specialist psychiatric care. The number of incidents on the bridge did not decrease after barriers were installed but Bridge staff reported that the barriers 'bought time', making intervention possible., Conclusion: There is little difference in the characteristics of people jumping from different locations. Barriers may prevent suicides among people at lower risk of repeat self-harm. Staff at suicide hotspots can make an important contribution to the effectiveness of installations to prevent suicide by jumping.
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- 2011
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19. Does smoking cessation cause depression and anxiety? Findings from the ATTEMPT cohort.
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Bolam B, West R, and Gunnell D
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- Adult, Aged, Anxiety diagnosis, Depression diagnosis, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Middle Aged, Anxiety etiology, Depression etiology, Smoking Cessation
- Abstract
Introduction: The impact of long-term smoking abstinence upon symptoms of depression and anxiety has not been adequately studied. The ATTEMPT cohort is the largest longitudinal study of smoking cessation currently available with sufficiently frequent follow-up to be able to address this question., Methods: A cohort of quitters free from symptoms of depression (n = 1,027) and anxiety (n = 936) at baseline were followed up over 9 months using an established Internet panel., Results: The age- and sex-adjusted odds ratios for incident symptoms of depression or anxiety associated with 6- to 9-month smoking abstinence compared with continued smoking were 1.03 (95% CI 0.41 to 2.56) and 1.05 (95% CI 0.39 to 2.82), respectively., Conclusions: Stopping smoking does not appear to increase the risk of symptoms of depression and anxiety in those free from symptoms when they quit.
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- 2011
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20. What was the immediate impact on population health of the recent fall in hormone replacement therapy prescribing in England? Ecological study.
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Martin RM, Wheeler BW, Metcalfe C, and Gunnell D
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- Aged, Breast Neoplasms epidemiology, Breast Neoplasms mortality, Colorectal Neoplasms epidemiology, Colorectal Neoplasms mortality, Confidence Intervals, Endometrial Neoplasms epidemiology, Endometrial Neoplasms mortality, England epidemiology, Female, Hip Fractures epidemiology, Humans, Middle Aged, Myocardial Infarction epidemiology, Practice Patterns, Physicians', Stroke epidemiology, Venous Thromboembolism epidemiology, Hormone Replacement Therapy statistics & numerical data, Population Surveillance
- Abstract
Background: The publication in 2002 of the women's health initiative (WHI) trial revealed long-term risks and benefits of hormone replacement therapy (HRT). Increased cardiovascular disease, venous thromboembolism and breast cancer risks outweighed benefits on hip fracture, colorectal and endometrial cancer. We investigated whether the subsequent 50% fall in HRT use in England impacted on population rates of these outcomes., Methods: Time-series analysis of hospital admissions, incidence and mortality amongst women aged 50-69, England 1997-2006., Results: There was no relationship between reduced HRT prescribing after 2002 and trends in breast cancer, colorectal cancer or hip fracture. Amongst 50-59 year olds, the annual percentage change in venous thromboembolism hospitalizations fell from 0.0% [95% confidence interval (CI): -2.3 to 2.3%] between 1997 and 2000 to -5.7% (-7.7 to -3.6%) between 2000 and 2006 (P-value = 0.001); the annual change in endometrial cancer mortality increased from 0.7% (-3.2 to 4.8%) between 1997 and 2003 to 11.0% (0.2 to 22.9%) after 2003 (P-value = 0.07); and previously falling acute myocardial infarction hospitalizations (annual change: -6.8%) and stroke (-3.0%) stabilized (-0.4%) or increased (+0.8%), respectively, around 2001 (P < 0.0001)., Conclusion: Although rates of venous thromboembolism (decline) and endometrial cancer mortality (increase) changed in line with WHI findings, the decline in venous thromboembolism may have started before 2002 and increased fatal endometrial cancers could be a chance finding.
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- 2010
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21. Suicide in England and Wales 1861-2007: a time-trends analysis.
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Thomas K and Gunnell D
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- Adolescent, Adult, Age Distribution, Aged, Cause of Death, England epidemiology, Female, Gas Poisoning history, Gas Poisoning mortality, History, 19th Century, History, 20th Century, History, 21st Century, Humans, International Classification of Diseases, Male, Middle Aged, Sex Distribution, Suicide statistics & numerical data, Time Factors, Wales epidemiology, Wounds and Injuries mortality, Young Adult, Suicide history, Suicide trends, Wounds and Injuries history
- Abstract
Background: Suicide is one of the leading causes of premature mortality worldwide. Few studies have assessed long-term trends or sex differences in its incidence over time. We have investigated the age-, sex- and method-specific trends in suicide in England and Wales from 1861 to 2007., Methods: Overall age-standardized suicide rates using the European Standard Population and age-, sex- and method-specific rates were calculated for ages ≥15 years from 1861 to 2007., Results: Rates in males were consistently higher than females throughout the 19th and 20th centuries, although the male-to-female sex ratio fluctuated from 4 : 1 in the 1880s to 1.5 : 1 in the 1960s. Suicide rates increased in all age groups in the 1930s, coinciding with the Great Depression. The highest male rates (30.3 per 100 000) were recorded in 1905 and 1934 and have since been declining. Female rates peaked in the 1960s (11.8 per 100 000), declining afterwards. In both sexes the lowest recorded rates were in the 21st century. There was a rapid rise in the use of domestic gas as a method of suicide in both sexes following its introduction at the end of the 19th century. There was no evidence that this rise was accompanied by a decline in the use of other methods. Self-poisoning also increased in popularity from the 1860s (5% of suicides) to the 1990s (22% of suicides)., Conclusions: The epidemiology of suicide in England and Wales has changed markedly over the past 146 years. The rapid rise in gas suicide deaths in the 1920s highlights how quickly a new method of suicide can be established in a population when it is easily available. The increase in suicides during the Great Depression has implications in relation to the current economic crisis. Changes in the acceptability and lethality of various suicide methods may account for the large variations in sex ratios over time.
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- 2010
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22. Risk factors across the life course and dementia in a Brazilian population: results from the Sao Paulo Ageing & Health Study (SPAH).
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Scazufca M, Menezes PR, Araya R, Di Rienzo VD, Almeida OP, Gunnell D, and Lawlor DA
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- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging physiology, Brazil, Cephalometry, Cohort Studies, Dementia diagnosis, Diabetes Mellitus, Female, Geriatric Assessment, Health Status, Humans, Hypertension, Leg anatomy & histology, Logistic Models, Male, Occupations, Odds Ratio, Risk Assessment methods, Risk Factors, Sex Distribution, Smoking, Socioeconomic Factors, Dementia etiology
- Abstract
Background: Several mechanisms have been suggested to explain the association between adversities across life and dementia. This study aimed to investigate the association between indicators of socioeconomic disadvantages throughout the life-course and dementia among older adults in Sao Paulo, Brazil and to explore possible causal pathways., Methods: We used baseline data from the SPAH study which involved participants aged 65 years and older (n = 2005). The outcome of interest was prevalent dementia. Exposures included in the analyses were socioeconomic position (SEP) indicators in childhood (place of birth and literacy) and adulthood (occupation and income), anthropometric measurements as markers of intrauterine and childhood environment (head circumference and leg length), smoking, diabetes and hypertension. Logistic regression models were used to test the hypothesized pathways and to assess whether there was an association between cumulative adversities across the life course and prevalent dementia., Results: Indicators of socioeconomic disadvantage in early life were associated with increased prevalence of dementia. This association was partially mediated through adulthood SEP. Head circumference and leg length were also clearly associated with dementia but there was no evidence that this association was mediated by early life socioeconomic disadvantage. There was an association between cumulative unfavourable conditions across the life course and dementia., Conclusions: Early life disadvantages seem to operate through biological mechanisms associated with passive brain reserve and opportunities in life representing active cognitive reserve. Prevention of dementia should start early in life and continue through life span as seen with many other chronic diseases.
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- 2008
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23. Associations of insulin-like growth factor (IGF)-I, IGF-II, IGF binding protein (IGFBP)-2 and IGFBP-3 with ultrasound measures of atherosclerosis and plaque stability in an older adult population.
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Martin RM, Gunnell D, Whitley E, Nicolaides A, Griffin M, Georgiou N, Davey Smith G, Ebrahim S, and Holly JM
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- Aged, Atherosclerosis diagnostic imaging, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Tunica Intima pathology, Tunica Media pathology, Ultrasonography, Atherosclerosis blood, Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 2 blood, Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 3 blood, Insulin-Like Growth Factor I analysis, Insulin-Like Growth Factor II analysis
- Abstract
Context: Circulating IGF-I is inversely associated with ischemic heart disease incidence. Whether this association relates to alterations in plaque growth or stability, and the role of IGF-II and the major binding proteins [IGF binding protein (IGFBP)-2 and -3], is unclear., Objective: Our objective was to test the hypothesis that circulating IGF-I is inversely, and IGF-II is positively, associated with subclinical atherosclerosis and plaque stability., Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a cross-sectional analysis based on 310 participants in the United Kingdom-based Boyd Orr cohort who were aged 63-82 yr. Cohort members from Aberdeen, Bristol, Dundee, Wisbech, and London were invited to clinics for fasted venepuncture and arterial ultrasound examination., Main Outcomes: Arterial intima-media thickness, arterial plaque prevalence, and computerized assessment of plaque echogenicity (a measure of stability), undertaken using the gray scale median, were calculated., Results: In total, 269 of 310 (86.8%) participants had at least one carotid or femoral plaque. In models controlling for IGFBP-3, there was a 44% (95% confidence interval 12-64%) reduction in the odds of any plaque and a 28% lower (0-48%) odds of echolucent (unstable) plaques per sd increase in IGF-I. IGFBP-3 was positively associated with plaque instability (odds ratio: 1.38; 0.99-1.93). IGF-II was positively associated (0.05-mm increase per sd; 95% confidence interval 0.01-0.09), and IGFBP-2 was inversely associated, with carotid bifurcation intima-media thickness. Neither IGF-II nor IGFBP-2 was associated with plaque prevalence or echogenicity., Conclusion: High-circulating IGF-I levels may promote arterial plaque stability. IGF-II and IGFBP-2 do not appear to play a role in plaque development or stability.
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- 2008
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24. Association of adult body mass index and height with anxiety, depression, and suicide in the general population: the HUNT study.
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Bjerkeset O, Romundstad P, Evans J, and Gunnell D
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- Adult, Alcohol Drinking epidemiology, Cohort Studies, Comorbidity, Female, Health Surveys, Humans, Linear Models, Male, Middle Aged, Norway epidemiology, Obesity epidemiology, Odds Ratio, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Sex Distribution, Smoking epidemiology, Socioeconomic Factors, Anxiety epidemiology, Body Height, Body Mass Index, Depression epidemiology, Suicide statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
A prospective cohort of 74,332 men and women was used to investigate the association of body mass index and height with suicide, anxiety, and depression. Participants in the Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (Norway, 1984-1986) (HUNT 1) were aged 20 years or more and followed up until December 31, 2002. Anxiety and depression were measured with the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Rating Scale (HADS) in 1995-1997. There were 183 suicides. Suicide risk decreased with increasing body mass index at baseline (1984-1986) in men and women. In models controlling for a range of psychological, social, and lifestyle factors, the hazard ratio per standard deviation increase in body mass index was 0.82 (95% confidence interval: 0.68, 0.98). In contrast, in the subset of participants (n = 44,396) with HADS measures, body mass index at baseline (1984-1986) was positively associated with depression. In fully adjusted models, the odds ratio for depression per standard deviation increase in body mass index (HADS-D: > or =8) was 1.11 (95% confidence interval: 1.07, 1.15). In fully adjusted models, there was no association of height with the incidence of suicide or depression. Raised body mass index is associated with an increased risk of depression but reduced risk of suicide in men and women. The mechanisms underlying these different associations require clarification.
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- 2008
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25. The impact of pesticide regulations on suicide in Sri Lanka.
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Gunnell D, Fernando R, Hewagama M, Priyangika WD, Konradsen F, and Eddleston M
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- Female, Government Regulation, Humans, Incidence, Male, Risk Factors, Sri Lanka, Suicide Prevention, Developing Countries, Drug and Narcotic Control legislation & jurisprudence, Pesticides, Suicide trends
- Abstract
Background: Between 1950 and 1995 suicide rates in Sri Lanka increased 8-fold to a peak of 47 per 100,000 in 1995. By 2005, rates had halved. We investigated whether Sri Lanka's regulatory controls on the import and sale of pesticides that are particularly toxic to humans were responsible for these changes in the incidence of suicide., Methods: Ecological analysis using graphical and descriptive approaches to identify time trends in suicide and risk factors for suicide in Sri Lanka, 1975-2005., Results: Restrictions on the import and sales of WHO Class I toxicity pesticides in 1995 and endosulfan in 1998, coincided with reductions in suicide in both men and women of all ages. 19,769 fewer suicides occurred in 1996-2005 as compared with 1986-95. Secular trends in unemployment, alcohol misuse, divorce, pesticide use and the years associated with Sri Lanka's Civil war did not appear to be associated with these declines., Conclusion: These data indicate that in countries where pesticides are commonly used in acts of self-poisoning, import controls on the most toxic pesticides may have a favourable impact on suicide. In Asia, there are an estimated 300,000 deaths from pesticide self-poisoning annually. National and international policies restricting the sale of pesticides that are most toxic to humans may have a major impact on suicides in the region.
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- 2007
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26. Age-related increases in DNA repair and antioxidant protection: a comparison of the Boyd Orr Cohort of elderly subjects with a younger population sample.
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Humphreys V, Martin RM, Ratcliffe B, Duthie S, Wood S, Gunnell D, and Collins AR
- Subjects
- Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cohort Studies, Comet Assay, DNA Damage, Humans, Middle Aged, Aging metabolism, Antioxidants metabolism, DNA Repair
- Abstract
Background: One commonly held theory of ageing is that it is caused by oxidative damage to critical molecules in the body, including proteins, lipids and nucleic acids. Accumulation of oxidative DNA damage with age will occur if there is an increase in reactive oxygen species in the body, or a decline in antioxidant defences, or a reduced efficiency of DNA repair., Subjects and Methods: Using the comet assay, we have measured DNA breaks and oxidised purines in lymphocytes from subjects of different age groups: 20-35 (n = 40), 63-70 (n = 35), and 75-82 (n = 22). We also measured the resistance of lymphocyte DNA to H(2)O(2)-induced oxidative damage, and the repair activity of cell-free lymphocyte extracts on a substrate containing 8-oxoguanine., Results: We found an increase in oxidative base damage in old age, but this apparently does not result from deterioration of either antioxidant defence or DNA repair. In fact, both of these tend to increase with age. There were few age-related differences in plasma levels of dietary antioxidants: tocopherols and retinol were higher in the older subjects, while lycopene was highest in the youngest age group., Conclusions: It is possible, that in old age, antioxidant defences and DNA repair are induced, in response to a higher level of oxidative damage, as mitochondria become more leaky and release more reactive oxygen. It is equally possible that older people, as survivors, had relatively high levels of antioxidant defences and DNA repair earlier in their lives, compared with those who did not survive to such an age.
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- 2007
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27. Schizophrenia and neural tube defects: comparisons from an epidemiological perspective.
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Zammit S, Lewis S, Gunnell D, and Smith GD
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- Birth Intervals, Female, Fetal Development physiology, Folic Acid Deficiency epidemiology, Geography, Homocysteine blood, Humans, Incidence, Methylenetetrahydrofolate Dehydrogenase (NAD+) genetics, Nutrition Disorders epidemiology, Nutrition Disorders metabolism, Phenotype, Pregnancy, Risk Factors, Seasons, Starvation, Neural Tube Defects epidemiology, Neural Tube Defects genetics, Schizophrenia epidemiology, Schizophrenia genetics
- Abstract
In this review, we examine and compare epidemiological studies of schizophrenia and neural tube defects (NTDs). Although there is no apparent link between these 2 disparate disorders in terms of clinical manifestation or phenotypes, overlapping patterns in the variation of incidence of schizophrenia with that of NTDs indicate the existence of one or more shared etiological risk factors. Evidence in support of such a phenomenon may enhance our understanding of underlying pathological mechanisms and may guide future studies of etiology and prevention. The similarities that occur in a number of epidemiological observations for these disorders are in keeping with a hypothesis of nutritional deficiencies in utero acting as a risk factor for both schizophrenia and NTDs. Programes of periconceptual folate and multivitamin supplementation aimed to reduce the risk of NTDs are already in place in many countries. Nevertheless, evidence of additional effects of specific maternal micronutrient deficiency on risk of schizophrenia may not only increase enthusiasm for expansion of such programes but also enhance understanding of etiology of this disorder and offer the potential for targeted interventions in high-risk groups.
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- 2007
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28. Trends in admissions to hospital involving an assault using a knife or other sharp instrument, England, 1997-2005.
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Maxwell R, Trotter C, Verne J, Brown P, and Gunnell D
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- Adolescent, Adult, Age Factors, England epidemiology, Female, Homicide statistics & numerical data, Homicide trends, Hospitals statistics & numerical data, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Sex Factors, Violence psychology, Violence statistics & numerical data, Wounds, Stab mortality, Patient Admission statistics & numerical data, Violence trends, Wounds, Stab epidemiology
- Abstract
Objectives: To investigate recent trends in in-patient admissions in England for assaults that involve a stabbing. Design and data source Time-series analysis of the NHS Health and Social Care Information Centre's Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) database. Setting England, April 1997 to March 2005. Main outcome measure All completed hospital admissions with a mention of assault by sharp object (International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, code X99) in the relevant diagnosis fields in HES., Results: In the eight years between 1st April 1997 and 31st March 2005 the number of people admitted to hospital reportedly following an assault involving a sharp object rose by 30%, from 3770 patients in 1997/8 to 4891 in 2004/5. One hundred and fifty-four of these people died (0.5%). Forty-two percent (14 220) of admissions were on a Saturday or Sunday. Males accounted for 90% (males 30 464 and females 3406) of admissions. Forty-nine percent (14 786) of the men, and 41% (1383) of the women, had injuries to the head, neck or thorax., Conclusions: The number of recorded hospital admissions from stabbing assaults increased between 1997 and 2005. Approximately 13 people a day are currently admitted to hospital for treatment after being stabbed. Further research is required to identify effective interventions to reduce the number of stabbings.
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- 2007
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29. Associations of adiposity from childhood into adulthood with insulin resistance and the insulin-like growth factor system: 65-year follow-up of the Boyd Orr Cohort.
- Author
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Martin RM, Holly JM, Davey Smith G, and Gunnell D
- Subjects
- Aged, Anthropometry, Body Mass Index, Cohort Studies, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 2 blood, Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 3 blood, Insulin-Like Growth Factor I metabolism, Insulin-Like Growth Factor II metabolism, Male, Multivariate Analysis, Regression Analysis, Adiposity physiology, Insulin Resistance physiology, Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Proteins physiology, Somatomedins physiology
- Abstract
Context: One metabolic pathway through which adiposity influences disease risk may be via alterations in insulin and IGF metabolism., Objective: Our objective was to investigate associations of adiposity at different stages of life with insulin and the IGF system., Design, Setting, and Participants: The study was a 65-yr follow-up of 728 Boyd Orr cohort participants (mean age, 71 yr) originally surveyed between 1937 and 1939., Main Outcomes: Outcomes included homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance, total IGF-I and IGF-II, IGF binding protein (IGFBP)-2, and IGFBP-3 in adulthood., Results: Childhood body mass index (BMI) was weakly inversely related to adult IGF-I (coefficient per BMI sd, -3.4 ng/ml; 95% confidence interval, -7.3 to 0.5; P = 0.09). IGF-II (but not IGF-I) increased with higher current fat mass index (coefficient, 26.1 ng/ml; 95% confidence interval, 4.6 to 47.6; P = 0.02) and waist-hip ratio (30.0 ng/ml; 9.4 to 50.5; P = 0.004). IGFBP-2 decreased by 21.2% (17.2 to 24.9; P < 0.001), and homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance increased by 38.8% (28.9 to 49.6; P < 0.001) per sd higher adult BMI. Among thin adults (BMI tertiles 1 and 2), IGFBP-2 was positively, and insulin resistance was inversely, associated with childhood BMI., Conclusion: There was only weak evidence that associations of childhood BMI with chronic disease risk may be mediated by adult IGF-I levels. Circulating IGFBP-2 in adulthood, a marker for insulin sensitivity, was inversely associated with current adiposity, but overweight children who became relatively lean adults were more insulin sensitive than thinner children. The findings may indicate programming of later insulin sensitivity and consequently IGFBP-2 levels in response to childhood adiposity. The role of IGF-II in obesity-related chronic diseases warrants additional investigation.
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- 2006
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30. Insulin-like growth factor-I and growth in height, leg length, and trunk length between ages 5 and 10 years.
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Rogers I, Metcalfe C, Gunnell D, Emmett P, Dunger D, and Holly J
- Subjects
- Anthropometry, Body Mass Index, Child, Child, Preschool, Female, Humans, Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 3 blood, Leg anatomy & histology, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Neoplasms, Prospective Studies, Puberty, Sex Characteristics, Body Height physiology, Growth physiology, Insulin-Like Growth Factor I physiology, Leg growth & development
- Abstract
Objective: IGF-I, a major regulator of childhood growth, is also associated with the risk of several cancers in adult life. Adult height and particularly leg length are also associated with cancer risk. Prepubertal growth is more in leg than trunk length, and it has been suggested that leg length might be a biomarker of childhood IGF-I. However, there is little information on the association between childhood IGF-I and subsequent leg and trunk growth. In this study, we investigated the association of IGF-I measured at 5 and 7-8 yr with growth in height and the components of height (leg and trunk length) from 5 yr to 9-10 yr., Participants: A total of 675 children participated in the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children., Results: IGF-I was strongly positively associated with growth in height in both sexes. Among boys, IGF-I was strongly associated with subsequent growth in both leg and trunk length, but there was no evidence that IGF-I was more strongly associated with one component of growth than the other. Among girls, IGF-I was strongly positively associated with growth in trunk but not leg length, although there was only weak evidence that these two associations differed in strength (P = 0.058)., Conclusions: These results support the contention that the associations between height and cancer may be mediated by variation in childhood IGF-I. However, they provide no evidence to support the hypothesis that leg length is a better biomarker of childhood IGF-I levels than trunk length.
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- 2006
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31. What influences diet in early old age? Prospective and cross-sectional analyses of the Boyd Orr cohort.
- Author
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Maynard M, Gunnell D, Ness AR, Abraham L, Bates CJ, and Blane D
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Alcohol Drinking, Body Mass Index, Child, Child, Preschool, Cohort Studies, Cross-Sectional Studies, Feeding Behavior, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Housing, Humans, Income, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Middle Aged, Multivariate Analysis, Prospective Studies, Smoking, Social Class, Socioeconomic Factors, Surveys and Questionnaires, Time Factors, United Kingdom, Vegetables, Diet standards, Health Behavior, Health Status
- Abstract
Background: The aim of this study is to identify the socio-economic and health-related factors in childhood and later life associated with healthy eating in early old age., Methods: The study is based on surviving members of the Boyd Orr cohort aged 61-80 years. Data are available on household diet and socio-economic position in childhood and on health and social circumstances in later life. A 12-item Healthy Diet Score (HDS) for each subject was constructed from food frequency questionnaire responses. Complete data on all exposures examined were available for 1234 cohort members., Results: Over 50% of study members had inadequacies in at least half of the 12 markers of diet quality. In multivariable models having a childhood diet which was rich in vegetables was associated with a healthy diet in early old age. The HDS for those in the upper quartile of childhood vegetable intake was 0.30 (95% confidence interval -0.01 to 0.61) higher than those with the lowest intake levels (P-trend across quartiles = 0.04). The adult factors that were most strongly associated with a healthy diet were not smoking, being an owner-occupier, and taking anti-hypertensive medication., Conclusion: Our analysis indicates that diet in early old age is influenced by childhood vegetable consumption, current socio-economic position, and smoking. Interventions for improving the diet of older people could usefully focus on both encouragement of healthy diet choices from an early age and higher levels of income or nutritional support for older people.
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- 2006
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32. Fetal growth and childhood behavioral problems: results from the ALSPAC cohort.
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Wiles NJ, Peters TJ, Heron J, Gunnell D, Emond A, and Lewis G
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- Birth Weight, Body Height, Child, Child, Preschool, England epidemiology, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Incidence, Male, Pregnancy, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, Surveys and Questionnaires, Child Behavior Disorders epidemiology, Fetal Growth Retardation epidemiology
- Abstract
Using data on 4,813 children from the ALSPAC cohort in Bristol, United Kingdom, recontacted in 1998-1999, the authors investigated whether intrauterine growth restriction (indexed by birth weight and length) was associated with behavioral problems at age 7 years. Childhood behavioral problems were measured by using a brief behavioral screening questionnaire (the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire (parental completion)). For term singleton infants, a one standard deviation increase in birth weight was associated with an 11% reduction in the odds of behavioral problems at age 81 months. After adjustment for confounders and birth length, this association was no longer seen. The association with birth length remained after adjustment for confounders. A one standard deviation increase in birth length was associated with a 14% decrease in the odds of being in the top tertile of total behavioral difficulties at age 81 months (odds ratio = 0.86, 95% confidence interval: 0.79, 0.95) and was similarly associated with hyperactivity and conduct problems. Evidence was weak for an association between birth length and behavioral problems earlier in childhood. In summary, there was a weak association between intrauterine growth restriction, indexed by birth length (rather than weight), and childhood behavioral problems. Future work should focus on elucidating the biologic mechanisms that lead to variations in birth length and underlie this association.
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- 2006
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33. Associations of childhood and adulthood height and the components of height with insulin-like growth factor levels in adulthood: a 65-year follow-up of the Boyd Orr cohort.
- Author
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Bray I, Gunnell D, Holly JM, Middleton N, Davey Smith G, and Martin RM
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aging physiology, Child, Child, Preschool, Cohort Studies, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 2 metabolism, Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 3 metabolism, Insulin-Like Growth Factor I metabolism, Insulin-Like Growth Factor II metabolism, Male, Middle Aged, United Kingdom epidemiology, Body Height physiology, Growth physiology, Somatomedins metabolism
- Abstract
Context: Taller individuals with longer legs have a higher risk of cancer but a lower risk of coronary heart disease., Objective: We investigated whether childhood height and its components are associated with the IGF system in adulthood., Design and Participants: We analyzed data from 429 participants of the Boyd Orr cohort, for whom height measured in childhood (mean age, 7.4 yr) in 1937-1939 could be related to levels of IGF-I, IGF-II, IGF binding protein (IGFBP)-2, and IGFBP-3 in adulthood (mean age, 71.1 yr). In 385 participants, measured height in adulthood could be related to IGF levels., Results: In fully adjusted models (controlling for age, sex, socioeconomic factors, lifestyle, and body mass index), childhood height and its components were not associated with adult circulating IGF-I, IGF-II, or IGFBP-2 levels. IGFBP-3 was 85.5 ng/ml higher (95% confidence interval, -11.6 to 182.5; P = 0.08) per sd increase in childhood trunk length and 83.6 ng/ml lower (95% confidence interval, -10.3 to 177.5; P = 0.08) per sd increase in childhood leg/trunk ratio. Height in adulthood was not associated with IGF-I, IGF-II, or IGFBP-3 and was inversely associated with IGFBP-2 (P = 0.05) after additionally controlling for childhood height., Conclusion: There was no evidence that associations of childhood height with cancer and coronary heart disease risk are mediated by IGF-I in adulthood. The anthropometric associations with IGFBP-2 and IGFBP-3 could be chance findings but warrant additional investigation. IGF levels in childhood may be more important determinants of long-term disease risk than adult levels.
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- 2006
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34. Association of body mass index with suicide mortality: a prospective cohort study of more than one million men.
- Author
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Magnusson PK, Rasmussen F, Lawlor DA, Tynelius P, and Gunnell D
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Causality, Depressive Disorder metabolism, Epidemiologic Studies, Humans, Male, Medical Record Linkage, Middle Aged, Military Personnel psychology, Overweight physiology, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Registries, Risk Factors, Suicide psychology, Sweden epidemiology, Thinness metabolism, Thinness psychology, Body Mass Index, Cause of Death trends, Suicide statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
The authors investigated the association of body mass index (BMI) with suicide in a record linkage study based on the Swedish Military Service Conscription Register, the Population and Housing Censuses, and the Cause of Death Register. The cohort studied consisted of 1,299,177 Swedish men who were conscripted in 1968-1999, had their BMI measured at age 18-19 years, and were followed up for as long as 31 years. A strong inverse association was found between BMI and suicide. For each 5-kg/m2 increase in BMI, the risk of suicide decreased by 15% (95% confidence interval: 9, 21). The association was similar when subjects with mental disorder at baseline were excluded from the analysis. BMI-suicide associations were similar in relation to suicide deaths occurring in the first 5 years of follow-up (hazard ratio for each 5-kg/m2 increase in BMI = 0.84, 95% confidence interval: 0.73, 0.96) compared with associations > or = 10 years after baseline (hazard ratio = 0.87, 95% confidence interval: 0.79, 0.96), indicating that weight loss as a consequence of mental illness does not explain the BMI-suicide association and that factors influencing BMI may be causally implicated in the etiology of mental disorders leading to suicide.
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- 2006
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35. Breast-feeding and cancer: the Boyd Orr cohort and a systematic review with meta-analysis.
- Author
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Martin RM, Middleton N, Gunnell D, Owen CG, and Smith GD
- Subjects
- Adult, Aged, Breast Neoplasms epidemiology, Breast Neoplasms prevention & control, Colorectal Neoplasms epidemiology, Colorectal Neoplasms prevention & control, Confidence Intervals, Confounding Factors, Epidemiologic, Female, Humans, Incidence, Male, Middle Aged, Odds Ratio, Proportional Hazards Models, Prostatic Neoplasms epidemiology, Prostatic Neoplasms prevention & control, Risk Assessment, Stomach Neoplasms epidemiology, Stomach Neoplasms prevention & control, Testicular Neoplasms epidemiology, Testicular Neoplasms prevention & control, United Kingdom epidemiology, Breast Feeding, Neoplasms epidemiology, Neoplasms prevention & control
- Abstract
Background: Having been breast-fed has been suggested to influence cancer risk in adulthood. We investigated associations between breast-feeding during infancy and adult cancer incidence and mortality in a cohort study and meta-analyses of published studies., Methods: The Boyd Orr cohort consisted of 4999 subjects who were originally surveyed in 1937-39, when they were 0-19 years of age. Cancer outcomes from 1948 through 2003 were available for 4379 (88%) subjects, and 3844 had complete data on all covariates. Associations of breast-feeding with cancer were investigated using proportional hazards models. We also identified 14 studies on infant feeding and cancer published from 1966 through July 2005, of which 10 could be combined with the Boyd Orr cohort results in a meta-analysis of breast cancer using random-effect models., Results: In the Boyd Orr cohort, ever having been breast-fed, compared with never having been breast-fed, was not associated with the incidence of all cancers (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.07, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.89 to 1.28) or of any individual cancer type examined (prostate HR = 1.43, 95% CI = 0.58 to 3.52; breast HR = 1.62, 95% CI = 0.89 to 2.94; colorectal HR = 0.86, 95% CI = 0.45 to 1.63; gastric HR = 1.22, 95% CI = 0.47 to 3.15). In the meta-analysis, there was also no association between breast-feeding and breast cancer (regardless of menopausal status) (relative risk [RR] = 0.94, 95% CI = 0.85 to 1.04). However, breast-fed women had a reduced risk of premenopausal breast cancer (RR = 0.88, 95% CI = 0.79 to 0.98) but not of postmenopausal breast cancer (RR = 1.00, 95% CI = 0.86 to 1.16)., Conclusion: Ever having been breast-fed was not associated with overall breast cancer risk, although the meta-analysis revealed a reduced risk of premenopausal breast cancer in women who had been breast-fed.
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- 2005
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36. Cohort profile: The Boyd Orr cohort--an historical cohort study based on the 65 year follow-up of the Carnegie Survey of Diet and Health (1937-39).
- Author
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Martin RM, Gunnell D, Pemberton J, Frankel S, and Davey Smith G
- Subjects
- Child, Child Welfare, Cross-Sectional Studies, Diet, Humans, Population Surveillance, Social Conditions, United Kingdom epidemiology, Cohort Studies, Health Status, Health Surveys, Sociology, Medical
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
37. The epidemiology and prevention of suicide by hanging: a systematic review.
- Author
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Gunnell D, Bennewith O, Hawton K, Simkin S, and Kapur N
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Cause of Death, England epidemiology, Humans, Incidence, Middle Aged, Survival Rate, Suicide Prevention, Suicide statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: Hanging is one of the most commonly used methods for suicide worldwide. In England and a number of other countries, its incidence has increased over the last 30 years. This review summarizes the published literature on suicide by hanging. The focus is on its epidemiology in England and on identifying potential means of prevention., Methods: We searched Medline (1966-2003), Embase (1980-2003), CINAHL (1982-2003) and PsycINFO (1967-2003). As considerable research on suicides occurring in prisons and psychiatric hospitals in England and Wales has been carried out by the National Confidential Inquiry into Suicide and Homicide (Manchester) and the Prison Service's Safer Custody Group, we obtained additional information from these sources., Results: Only a small proportion (around 10%) of hanging suicides occur in the controlled environments of hospitals, prisons, and police custody; the remainder occur in the community. The most commonly used ligatures (rope, belts, flex) and ligature points (beams, banisters, hooks, door knobs, and trees) are widely available; thus prevention strategies focused around restriction of access to means of hanging are of limited value. Around 50% of hanging suicides are not fully suspended--ligature points below head level are commonly used. Case fatality following attempted suicide by hanging is around 70%; the majority (80-90%) of those who reach hospital alive survive., Conclusion: Strategies to reduce suicide by hanging should focus on the prevention of suicide in controlled environments, the emergency management of 'near-hanging' and on the primary prevention of suicide in general. More research is required to better understand the recent rise in popularity of this method.
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
38. The epidemiology and management of self-harm amongst adults in England.
- Author
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Gunnell D, Bennewith O, Peters TJ, House A, and Hawton K
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, England epidemiology, Female, Humans, Male, Mental Disorders diagnosis, Mental Disorders therapy, Middle Aged, Psychiatric Department, Hospital statistics & numerical data, Sex Factors, Time, Suicide Prevention, Drug Overdose epidemiology, Drug Overdose therapy, Emergency Service, Hospital statistics & numerical data, Self-Injurious Behavior epidemiology, Self-Injurious Behavior therapy, Suicide, Attempted statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: Previous research into the epidemiology and management of self-harm has been largely based in centres with a special interest in this behaviour or focused on hospital admissions only. There are no national data on the characteristics and management of people presenting to hospital following self-harm., Methods: Data were collected from 8-week service audits carried out in a stratified random sample of 31 general hospitals in England., Results: 4033 episodes of self-harm resulting in presentation to Accident and Emergency Departments were identified. Overdose alone accounted for 79 per cent of episodes, 80 per cent of presentations were outside normal office hours (9 am - 5 pm, Monday to Friday) and the peak period of attendance was from 8 pm to 2 am. In only 56 per cent of episodes was a specialist psychosocial assessment conducted prior to discharge and less than half (46 per cent) led to admission to a hospital bed. Psychiatric admission occurred in 10 per cent. Episodes involving older subjects (>45 years) and those using methods other than laceration or overdose were the most likely to lead to assessment and admission., Conclusions: Non-fatal self-harm is one of the strongest predictors of suicide, yet nearly half of all hospital attendances in England following self-harm do not lead to a specialist assessment. Patterns of service provision should take account of the observation that most self-harm attendances occur outside normal working hours and those at greatest risk of repetition are the least likely to receive assessments.
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
39. Breastfeeding in infancy and blood pressure in later life: systematic review and meta-analysis.
- Author
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Martin RM, Gunnell D, and Smith GD
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aging, Child, Child, Preschool, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Middle Aged, Milk, Human, Blood Pressure physiology, Breast Feeding
- Abstract
The influence of breastfeeding on blood pressure in later life is uncertain. The authors conducted a systematic review of published studies from which estimates of a mean difference (standard error) in blood pressure between breastfed and bottle-fed subjects could be derived. They searched MEDLINE and Excerpta Medica (EMBASE) bibliographic databases, which was supplemented by manual searches of reference lists. Fifteen studies (17 observations) including 17,503 subjects were summarized. Systolic blood pressure was lower in breastfed compared with bottle-fed infants (pooled difference: -1.4 mmHg, 95% confidence interval (CI): -2.2, -0.6), but evidence of heterogeneity between study estimates was evident (chi(2)(16) = 42.0, p < 0.001). A lesser effect of breastfeeding on systolic blood pressure was observed in larger (n > or = 1,000) studies (-0.6 mmHg, 95% CI: -1.2, 0.02) compared with smaller (n < 1,000) studies (-2.3 mmHg, 95% CI: -3.7, -0.9) (p for difference in pooled estimates = 0.02). A small reduction in diastolic blood pressure was associated with breastfeeding (pooled difference: -0.5 mmHg, 95% CI: -0.9, -0.04), which was independent of study size. If causal, the small reduction in blood pressure associated with breastfeeding could confer important benefits on cardiovascular health at a population level. Understanding the mechanism underlying this association may provide insights into pathways linking early life exposures with health in adulthood.
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
40. Does the misreporting of adult body size depend upon an individual's height and weight? Methodological debate.
- Author
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Gunnell D, Berney L, Holland P, Maynard M, Blane D, Smith GD, and Frankel S
- Subjects
- Adult, Bias, Body Height, Body Weight, Epidemiologic Methods, Humans, Body Size
- Published
- 2004
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
41. Breastfeeding and cardiovascular mortality: the Boyd Orr cohort and a systematic review with meta-analysis.
- Author
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Martin RM, Davey Smith G, Mangtani P, Tilling K, Frankel S, and Gunnell D
- Subjects
- Cause of Death, Child, Preschool, Cohort Studies, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Infant, Male, Myocardial Ischemia mortality, Rural Health, Urban Health, Breast Feeding, Cardiovascular Diseases mortality
- Abstract
Aims: To investigate the association of breastfeeding with all-cause, cardiovascular, and ischaemic heart disease mortality., Methods and Results: A long-term follow-up of 4999 children originally surveyed from 1937 to 1939 was undertaken (Boyd Orr cohort). Four thousand three hundred and seventy-nine subjects (88%) were traced in adulthood and 3555 (71%) had complete data on all covariates. The results were combined with a meta-analysis of the published literature. In the Boyd Orr study, there was little evidence that breastfeeding was associated with all-cause (hazard ratio: 1.04 [95% CI: 0.90-1.20]), cardiovascular (1.04 [0.83-1.30]), or ischaemic heart disease (1.02 [0.77-1.36]) mortality, compared with bottle-feeding. Meta-analyses of observational studies showed little evidence of an association of breastfeeding with all-cause (pooled rate ratio: 1.01 [95% CI: 0.91-1.13]) or cardiovascular (1.06 [0.94-1.20]) mortality. There was a moderate-to-high degree of between-study heterogeneity for the association between breastfeeding and ischaemic heart disease mortality (I2 value-indicating the degree of between-study variation attributable to heterogeneity-66%), and estimates were consistent with both an important beneficial or adverse effect of breastfeeding., Conclusion: There is little consistent evidence that breastfeeding influences subsequent all-cause or cardiovascular disease mortality. Results from other well-designed cohorts may clarify residual uncertainty.
- Published
- 2004
- Full Text
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42. Do height-related variations in insulin-like growth factors underlie the associations of stature with adult chronic disease?
- Author
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Gunnell D, Oliver SE, Donovan JL, Peters TJ, Gillatt D, Persad R, Hamdy FC, Neal DE, and Holly JM
- Subjects
- Aged, Anthropometry, Body Constitution, Body Mass Index, Humans, Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 2 blood, Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 3 blood, Insulin-Like Growth Factor I analysis, Insulin-Like Growth Factor II analysis, Leg anatomy & histology, Male, Middle Aged, Body Height physiology, Chronic Disease epidemiology, Somatomedins analysis
- Abstract
Tall people, particularly those with long legs, have an increased risk of developing cancer but a reduced risk of cardiovascular disease and type II diabetes. We examined associations of stature and body mass index with IGF-I, IGF-II, and IGF binding protein (IGFBP)-2 and IGFBP-3 in 274 men aged 50-70 yr to investigate whether variations in growth factor levels underlie associations of anthropometry with a number of adult diseases. Height and leg and trunk length were not strongly associated with circulating levels of IGF-I, IGF-II, or IGFBP-3. The molar ratio of IGF-I/IGFBP-3 increased with increases in the leg/trunk length ratio (P = 0.06). IGFBP-2 was positively associated with leg length and inversely associated with trunk length. Mean levels of IGFBP-2 (in nanograms per milliliter) across quartiles of increasing leg length were 504.4 493.6, 528.7, and 578.8 (P(trend) = 0.06), and for trunk length were 615.2, 507.2, 498.6, 488.5 (P(trend) < 0.01), suggesting that variations in IGFBP-2, or a factor influencing its levels in the circulation, may contribute to biological mechanisms underlying height-disease associations. We conclude that whereas growth-influencing exposures during childhood, which may operate through effects on IGF-I levels, have long-term influences on disease risk, they do not necessarily program IGF-I levels throughout life. The associations of anthropometry with IGFBP-2 merit additional investigation.
- Published
- 2004
- Full Text
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43. Suicide by intentional ingestion of pesticides: a continuing tragedy in developing countries.
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Gunnell D and Eddleston M
- Subjects
- Age Distribution, Humans, Sex Distribution, Suicide Prevention, Developing Countries, Pesticides poisoning, Suicide statistics & numerical data
- Published
- 2003
- Full Text
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44. Patterns of fetal and childhood growth and the development of psychosis in young males: a cohort study.
- Author
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Gunnell D, Rasmussen F, Fouskakis D, Tynelius P, and Harrison G
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Birth Weight, Body Height, Diabetes, Gestational, Female, Humans, Male, Pregnancy, Risk Factors, Schizophrenia epidemiology, Sweden epidemiology, Embryonic and Fetal Development physiology, Growth physiology, Psychotic Disorders epidemiology
- Abstract
Factors influencing fetal and childhood growth may affect a person's risk of developing schizophrenia. Associations of size at birth and body size in young adulthood with schizophrenia and other nonaffective psychoses were assessed in a cohort of 334,577 Swedish male conscripts born in 1973-1980 for whom linked birth, census, hospital admission, and adult height and weight data were available. Complete data on all study variables were available for 246,655 subjects. Over a mean 3.4-year follow-up beginning at age 18 years, 80 subjects developed schizophrenia and 124 developed other nonaffective psychoses. A reverse J-shaped association was found between gestation-adjusted birth weight and schizophrenia. The hazard ratios were 7.03 (95% confidence interval: 1.59, 31.10) for males of low birth weight (<2.5 kg) and 3.37 (95% confidence interval: 1.68, 6.74) for those of high birth weight (>4.0 kg). Birth weight was not strongly related to other nonaffective psychoses. Taller males had a reduced risk of psychosis. The lowest risks were seen for low birth weight males who became tall adults. The associations with birth weight indicate that fetal exposures, including possible effects of gestational diabetes, are important in the etiology of psychosis. The role of childhood exposures, as indexed by adult height and body mass index, appears to be less strong.
- Published
- 2003
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
45. A chain is as strong as its weakest link but that link could be the subject matter of the questionnaire!
- Author
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Stocks N and Gunnell D
- Subjects
- Humans, Bias, Family Practice, Health Services Research, Surveys and Questionnaires
- Published
- 2002
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
46. Can adult anthropometry be used as a 'biomarker' for prenatal and childhood exposures?
- Author
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Gunnell D
- Subjects
- Adult, Anthropometry, Child, Cohort Studies, Diet, Humans, Sociology, Medical, Health Status, Leg anatomy & histology
- Published
- 2002
47. Secular trends in antidepressant prescribing in the UK, 1975-1998.
- Author
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Middleton N, Gunnell D, Whitley E, Dorling D, and Frankel S
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Child, Drug Utilization statistics & numerical data, Family Practice statistics & numerical data, Female, Health Care Surveys, Humans, Male, Mental Disorders drug therapy, Mental Disorders epidemiology, Middle Aged, Practice Patterns, Physicians' trends, State Medicine, United Kingdom epidemiology, Antidepressive Agents therapeutic use, Drug Utilization trends, Practice Patterns, Physicians' statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: We have examined secular trends in age- and sex-specific prescribing of antidepressants to determine whether these mirror changes in other population measures of mental health., Method: An analysis was carried out of age- and sex-specific rates of antidepressant prescribing by a representative sample or panel of UK general practitioners (GPs) in the period 1975-1998., Results: The number of antidepressant prescriptions issued increased more than twofold in the period 1975-1998 and, in 1998, a total of 23.4 million antidepressant prescriptions were issued by GPs in the United Kingdom. Rates of antidepressant prescribing increased markedly in all age and sex groups with as much as a threefold increase in the older age groups. With the exception of 12-19-year-olds, these increases have been more marked in males, although absolute levels of prescribing are still at least two times higher in females., Conclusions: Antidepressant prescribing has increased in all age and sex groups. This indicates either that there have been changes in the presentation, recognition and management of depression in general practice or that the prevalence of depression has increased, or a combination of these two phenomena. The higher prescribing rate in females is in keeping with evidence from psychiatric morbidity surveys suggesting that women experience higher levels of psychiatric morbidity than men. Decreases in the ratio of female to male prescribing, however, support other data indicating that, relative to females, the mental health of young males has declined in recent years. Changes in patterns of help-seeking may also contribute to the observed trends.
- Published
- 2001
- Full Text
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48. Commentary: Early insights into height, leg length, proportionate growth and health.
- Author
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Gunnell D
- Subjects
- Body Height, Child, Child, Preschool, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Leg physiology, Mortality, United Kingdom epidemiology, Anthropometry, Child Nutrition Disorders epidemiology, Growth, Health Status
- Published
- 2001
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
49. How accurately are height, weight and leg length reported by the elderly, and how closely are they related to measurements recorded in childhood?
- Author
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Gunnell D, Berney L, Holland P, Maynard M, Blane D, Frankel S, and Smith GD
- Subjects
- Aged, Aging, Anthropometry, Body Mass Index, Child, Cohort Studies, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Reproducibility of Results, Sensitivity and Specificity, Sex Factors, Body Height, Body Weight
- Abstract
Background: This paper examines (1) the accuracy of self-reported height, leg length and weight in a group of subjects aged 56-78; (2) whether recent measurement of height and weight influences the accuracy of self-reporting and (3) associations between childhood and adult height, leg length and BMI measured in old age., Methods: All 3182 surviving members of the Boyd Orr cohort were sent postal questionnaires in 1997-1998 and a sub-sample (294) was also clinically examined., Results: Self-reported height was overestimated and body mass index (BMI), based on reported height and weight, underestimated. The mean difference between self-report and measured values were for height: 2.1 cm in males and 1.7 cm in females; for BMI the difference was -1.3 kg/m(2) in males and -1.2 kg/m(2) in females. Shorter individuals and older subjects tended to over-report their height more than others. The overweight under-reported their weight to a greater extent. Recent measurement appeared to decrease over-reporting of height but not weight. Correlations between self-report and measured height and BMI were generally over 0.90, but weaker for leg length (r = 0.70 in males and 0.71 in females). Adult height and leg length were quite closely related to their relative values in childhood (correlation coefficients ranged from 0.66 to 0.84), but associations between adult and childhood BMI were weak (r = 0.19 in males and 0.21 in females)., Conclusions: Self-reported measures of height and weight may be used in studies of the elderly although systematic reporting errors may bias effect estimates. As overweight individuals tend to under-report and the short and underweight tend to over-report, studies investigating associations of disease with height and weight using self-reported measures will underestimate effects. The weak associations between childhood and adult BMI indicate that associations between childhood adiposity and adult cardiovascular disease found in this cohort may reflect the specific effect of childhood overweight, rather than its persistence into adulthood. This suggests that avoidance of adiposity may be as important in childhood as in adulthood.
- Published
- 2000
50. How great a burden does early discharge to hospital-at-home impose on carers? A randomized controlled trial.
- Author
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Gunnell D, Coast J, Richards SH, Peters TJ, Pounsford JC, and Darlow MA
- Subjects
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Surveys and Questionnaires, Time Factors, Caregivers psychology, Health Services for the Aged statistics & numerical data, Home Care Services, Hospital-Based statistics & numerical data, Patient Discharge standards, Process Assessment, Health Care statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Objective: to assess the effects of an early discharge hospital-at-home scheme on self-reported carer strain and quality of life., Design: a randomized controlled trial, Setting: Bristol, UK., Subjects: 133 carers of patients receiving either early discharge from hospital to hospital-at-home (n = 93) care or usual hospital care and discharge (n = 40)., Outcome Measures: modified 12-item Carer Strain Index, COOP-WONCA charts and EuroQol EQ-5D at 4 weeks and 3 months post-randomization., Results: the mean age of carers was 65 years; 56% were women. There were no marked differences between the groups in any of the outcomes used at either 4-week or 3-month follow-up., Conclusion: there was no evidence of increased self-reported burden imposed on carers of patients discharged early from hospital. Decisions on the implementation of hospital-at-home schemes should be influenced by considerations of cost and effectiveness rather than effects on carers. The effects on carers may, however, differ for other forms of home-based care.
- Published
- 2000
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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