1. Transmission Dynamics and Rare Clustered Transmission Within an Urban University Population Before Widespread Vaccination.
- Author
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Turcinovic J, Kuhfeldt K, Sullivan M, Landaverde L, Platt JT, Alekseyev YO, Doucette-Stamm L, Hamer DH, Klapperich C, Landsberg HE, and Connor JH
- Subjects
- Humans, Universities, SARS-CoV-2 genetics, Contact Tracing methods, Disease Outbreaks prevention & control, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control
- Abstract
Background: Universities returned to in-person learning in 2021 while SARS-CoV-2 spread remained high. At the time, it was not clear whether in-person learning would be a source of disease spread., Methods: We combined surveillance testing, universal contact tracing, and viral genome sequencing to quantify introductions and identify likely on-campus spread., Results: Ninety-one percent of viral genotypes occurred once, indicating no follow-on transmission. Less than 5% of introductions resulted in >3 cases, with 2 notable exceptions of 40 and 47 cases. Both partially overlapped with outbreaks defined by contact tracing. In both cases, viral genomics eliminated over half the epidemiologically linked cases but added an equivalent or greater number of individuals to the transmission cluster., Conclusions: Public health interventions prevented within-university transmission for most SARS-CoV-2 introductions, with only 2 major outbreaks being identified January to May 2021. The genetically linked cases overlap with outbreaks identified by contact tracing; however, they persisted in the university population for fewer days and rounds of transmission than estimated via contact tracing. This underscores the effectiveness of test-trace-isolate strategies in controlling undetected spread of emerging respiratory infectious diseases. These approaches limit follow-on transmission in both outside-in and internal transmission conditions., Competing Interests: Potential conflicts of interest . D. H. H. reports consulting on COVID-19 prevention strategies for Xenophon Strategies, Inc., Major League Soccer, Professional Golf Association, and Equinox. No reported conflicts for other authors. All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)
- Published
- 2024
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