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Context: Achievement of hypocortisolemia following transsphenoidal surgery (TSS) for Cushing's disease (CD) is associated with successful adenoma resection. However, up to one-third of these patients recur., Objective: We assessed whether delay in reaching post-operative cortisol nadir may delineate patients at risk of recurrence for CD following TSS., Methods: A retrospective review of 257 patients who received 291 TSS procedures for CD at NIH, between 2003 and 2016. Early biochemical remission (serum cortisol nadir <5 μg/dL) was confirmed with endocrinological and clinical follow-up. Recurrence was detected by laboratory testing, clinical stigmata or medication dependence during a median follow-up of 11 months., Results: Of the 268 unique admissions, remission was recorded in 241 instances. Recurrence was observed in 9% of these cases with cortisol nadir ≤5 μg/dL and 6% of cases with cortisol nadir ≤2 μg/dL. The timing of hypocortisolemia was critical in detecting late recurrences. Morning POD-1 cortisol <3.3 μg/dL was 100% sensitive in predicting durable remission and morning POD-3 cortisol ≥18.5 μg/dL was 98.6% specific in predicting remote recurrence. AUROC analysis revealed that hypocortisolemia ≤5 µg/dL before 15 h (post-operative) had 95% sensitivity and an NPV of 0.98 for durable remission. Serum cortisol level ≤2 µg/dL, when achieved before 21 h, improved sensitivity to 100%., Conclusions: In our cohort, early, profound hypocortisolemia could be used as a clinical prediction tool for durable remission. Achievement of hypocortisolemia ≤2 µg/dL before 21 post-operative hours appeared to accurately predict durable remission in the intermediate term., (© 2018 European Society of Endocrinology.)

Context: Perioperative increases in adrenocorticotropic hormone (ACTH) and cortisol mimic results of corticotropin-releasing hormone (CRH) stimulation testing. This phenomenon may help identify patients with residual adenoma after transsphenoidal surgery (TSS) for Cushing disease (CD)., Objective: To predict nonremission after TSS for CD., Design: Retrospective case-control study of patients treated at a single center from December 2003 until July 2016. Early and medium-term remission were assessed at 10 days and 11 months., Patients and Setting: Two hundred and ninety-one consecutive TSS cases from 257 patients with biochemical evidence of CD seen at a clinical center., Interventions: Normalized early postoperative values (NEPVs) for cortisol and ACTH were calculated as immediate postoperative cortisol or ACTH levels minus preoperative post-CRH-stimulation test levels., Main Outcome Measures: Prediction of early nonremission was evaluated using logistic regression. Prediction of medium-term remission was assessed using Cox regression. Predictive ability was quantified by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC)., Results: NEPVs for cortisol and ACTH predicted early nonremission [adjusted odds ratio (OR): 1.1; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.0, 1.1; P = 0.016 and adjusted OR: 1.0; 95% CI: 1.0, 1.0; P = 0.048, respectively]. AUROC for NEPV of cortisol was 0.78 (95% CI: 0.61, 0.95); for NEPV of ACTH, it was 0.80 (95% CI: 0.61, 0.98). NEPVs for cortisol and ACTH predicted medium-term nonremission [hazard ratio (HR): 1.1; 95% CI: 1.0, 1.1; P = 0.023 and HR: 1.0; 95% CI: 1.0, 1.0; P = 0.025, respectively]., Conclusions: NEPVs for cortisol and ACTH predicted nonremission after TSS for CD., (Copyright © 2017 Endocrine Society)