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Abstract Risk of progression of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) into multiple myeloma and related plasma cell disorders can be determined by three major risk stratification models, namely Mayo2005, Sweden2014, and NCI2019. This retrospective study of 427 patients with MGUS diagnosed according to the 2014 International Myeloma Working Group criteria aimed to describe and analyze the longitudinal applicability of these risk models. In all three models, the majority of patients remained at their baseline risk group, whereas small numbers of patients migrated to a different risk group. Proportions of patients among risk groups remained stable over time (e.g. Mayo2005 model, low-risk group, at baseline: 43%, after 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 8 years: 40%, 37%, 37%, 43%, 44%, and 43%). All three risk models reliably distinguished risk of progression at baseline, upon yearly reassessment (e.g. 1 year from diagnosis) and in time-dependent analyses. Upstaging to a high-risk category was associated with an increased risk of progression in all three models (Mayo2005: hazard ratio [HR] = 5.43, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.21–24.39, p = 0.027; Sweden2014: HR = 13.02, 95% CI 5.25–32.28, p

Abstract Mass spectrometry (MS) is a promising tool for monitoring monoclonal protein in plasma cell dyscrasias. We included 480 transplant-eligible newly-diagnosed multiple myeloma (MM) patients from the GMMG-MM5 trial (EudraCT No. 2010-019173-16) and performed a retrospective MS analysis at baseline (480 patients) and at the pre-defined, consecutive time points after induction (444 patients), prior to maintenance (305 patients) and after one year of maintenance (227 patients). We found that MS negativity was significantly associated with improved progression-free survival (PFS) even in patients with complete response (CR) at all investigated follow-up time points. The prognostic impact was independent of established risk factors, such as the revised International Staging System. Combining MS and baseline cytogenetics improved the prediction of outcome: MS-positive patients with high-risk cytogenetics had a dismal PFS of 1.9 years (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.6–2.3 years) from the start of maintenance. Testing the value of sequential MS prior to and after one year of maintenance, patients converting from MS positivity to negativity had an excellent PFS (median not reached) while patients converting from MS negativity to positivity progressed early (median 0.6 years, 95% CI: 0.3-not reached). Among patients with sustained MS positivity, the baseline high-risk cytogenetic status had a significant impact and defined a group with poor PFS. Combining minimal residual disease (MRD) in the bone marrow and MS allowed the identification of double negative patients with a favorable PFS (median 3.33 years, 95% CI: 3.08-not reached) and no overall survival events. Our study provides strong evidence that MS is superior to conventional response monitoring, highlighting the potential of MS to become a new standard. Our data indicate that MS should be performed sequentially and combined with baseline disease features and MRD to improve its clinical value. Clinical Trials Register: EudraCT No. 2010-019173-16

Abstract Lenalidomide (LEN) maintenance (MT) post autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) is standard of care in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (MM) but has not been compared to other agents in clinical trials. We retrospectively compared bortezomib (BTZ; n = 138) or LEN (n = 183) MT from two subsequent GMMG phase III trials. All patients received three cycles of BTZ-based triplet induction and post-ASCT MT. BTZ MT (1.3 mg/m2 i.v.) was administered every 2 weeks for 2 years. LEN MT included two consolidation cycles (25 mg p.o., days 1–21 of 28 day cycles) followed by 10–15 mg/day for 2 years. The BTZ cohort more frequently received tandem ASCT (91% vs. 33%) due to different tandem ASCT strategies. In the LEN and BTZ cohort, 43% and 46% of patients completed 2 years of MT as intended (p = 0.57). Progression-free survival (PFS; HR = 0.83, p = 0.18) and overall survival (OS; HR = 0.70, p = 0.15) did not differ significantly with LEN vs. BTZ MT. Patients with