1. Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirds
- Author
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Kees Camphuysen, Jannik Hansen, Tanya Pyk, Wayne Z. Trivelpiece, Sébastien Descamps, Craig A. Walling, William A. Montevecchi, Richard A. Phillips, Johannes Lang, Michael J. Dunn, Olof Olsson, Carolyn Mostello, Paulo Catry, A. G. Wood, Magdalene Langset, Amélie Lescroël, Yutaka Watanuki, David G. Ainley, Phil O'b. Lyver, Børge Moe, Raül Ramos, Walter S. Svagelj, Pete Warzybok, Peter H. Becker, Kjell Einar Erikstad, Peter G. Ryan, Ian C. T. Nisbet, Jaime Jahncke, Svein-Håkon Lorentsen, Signe Christensen-Dalsgaard, Sveinn Are Hanssen, Michael P. Harris, Hugh Drummond, Benoît Sittler, Daniel Oro, T. K. Reiertsen, Francis Daunt, Peter J. Kappes, Grant Ballard, Peter R. Wilson, Robert T. Barrett, William R. Fraser, Tycho Anker-Nilssen, José Pedro Granadeiro, Christopher A. Surman, Mark Newell, Flavio Quintana, Cristina Rodríguez, Zofia M. Burr, Sue Lewis, Sarah Wanless, Nina Dehnhard, Meritxell Genovart, Niels Martin Schmidt, Ana Sanz-Aguilar, Colin Southwell, Katharine Keogan, Henri Weimerskirch, Russell W. Bradley, David Monticelli, Sandra Bouwhuis, Katie M. Dugger, Mark L. Mallory, Ian L. Jones, André Chiaradia, Paula Shannon, April Hedd, Alexander L. Bond, Maud Poisbleau, Kerry J. Barton, Vivian Pattison, George J. Divoky, Jérôme Fort, Lisa W. Nicholson, Philippa Agnew, José Manuel Igual, David Grémillet, Richard J. Cuthbert, Louise Emmerson, Jaime A. Ramos, Loïc Bollache, Jefferson T. Hinke, Tony Diamond, Per-Arvid Berglund, Olivier Gilg, Albert B. Phillimore, Claus Bech, Jacob González-Solís, Watanuki, Yutaka, Institute of Evolutionary Biology, Ashworth Laboratories-University of Edinburgh, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology [Edinburgh] ( CEH ), Natural Environment Research Council ( NERC ), Centre for Ecology and Hydrology ( CEH ), British Antarctic Survey ( BAS ), Oamaru Blue Penguin Colony, H.T. Harvey & Associates, Norwegian Institute for Nature Research, Point Blue Conservation Science, Department of Natural Sciences, Tromsø University Museum, Landcare Research [Lincoln], Norwegian University of Science and Technology [Trondheim] ( NTNU ), Institute of Avian Research, Department of Aquatic Resources, Institute of Marine Research-Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences ( SLU ), Laboratoire Chrono-environnement ( LCE ), Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté ( UBFC ) -Université de Franche-Comté ( UFC ) -Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique ( CNRS ), RSPB Centre for Conservation Science, Royal Society for the Protection of Birds, Department of Biology, Memorial University of Newfoundland [St. John's], The University Centre in Svalbard ( UNIS ), Department of Coastal Systems, Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research ( NIOZ ) -Utrecht University [Utrecht], Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre ( MARE ), Instituto Universitário de Ciências Psicológicas, Sociais e da Vida ( ISPA ), Phillip Island Nature Parks, School of Biological Sciences, Monash University [Melbourne], Behavioural Ecology and Ecophysiology Group, University of Antwerp ( UA ), Norvegian Polar Research Institute ( NPRI ), Norwegian Polar Institute, University of New Brunswick ( UNB ), Instituto de Ecología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México ( UNAM ), Oregon Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, United States Geological Survey [Reston] ( USGS ), Australian Antarctic Division ( AAD ), Australian Government, Department of the Environment and Energy, High North Research Centre for Climate and the Environment, Centre for Conservation Biology, LIttoral ENvironnement et Sociétés - UMR 7266 ( LIENSs ), Université de La Rochelle ( ULR ) -Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique ( CNRS ), Polar Oceans Research Group [USA], Institut Mediterrani d'Estudis Avançats, Institut Mediterrani d'Estudis Avancats ( IMEDEA ), Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [Spain] ( CSIC ) -Universidad de las Islas Baleares ( UIB ) -Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [Spain] ( CSIC ) -Universidad de las Islas Baleares ( UIB ), Biogéosciences [Dijon] ( BGS ), Université de Bourgogne ( UB ) -AgroSup Dijon - Institut National Supérieur des Sciences Agronomiques, de l'Alimentation et de l'Environnement-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique ( CNRS ), Institut de Recerca de la Biodiversitat i Departament de Biologia Animal, Universitat de Barcelona ( UB ), CESAM, Universidade de Lisboa ( ULISBOA ), Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive ( CEFE ), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement ( IRD [France-Sud] ) -Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique ( CNRS ) -Université de Montpellier ( UM ) -Institut national de la recherche agronomique [Montpellier] ( INRA Montpellier ) -École pratique des hautes études ( EPHE ) -Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques ( Montpellier SupAgro ) -Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 ( UM3 ) -Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier ( Montpellier SupAgro ), DST-NRF Centre of Excellence, University of Cape Town-Percy FitzPatrick Institute of African Ornithology, Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University [Aarhus], Norwegian Institute for Nature Research (NINA), Wildlife Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Antarctic Ecosystem Research Division, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA ) -National Marine Fisheries Service, Population Ecology Group, Department of Fisheries and Wildlife, Clinic for Birds, Reptiles, Amphibians and Fish, Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen ( JLU ), Biology, Acadia University, Norwegian Institute for Nature Research ( NINA ), Department of Psychology, Biology and Ocean Sciences, University of Coimbra [Portugal] ( UC ), Massachusetts Division of Fisheries and Wildlife, Halfmoon Biosciences, I. C. T. Nisbet & Company, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Population Ecology Group ( IMEDEA ), Universidad de las Islas Baleares ( UIB ) -Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [Spain] ( CSIC ), Laskeek Bay Conservation Society, Department of Biology, Behavioural Ecology and Ecophysiology Group, Deakin Centre for Integrative Ecology, Deakin University [Burwood], Instituto de Biologia de Organismos Marinos (IBIOMAR), IMAR-Institute of Marine Research, Department of Zoology, Departament de Biologia Animal, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona [Barcelona] ( UAB ), DST/NRF Centre of Excellence, Arctic Research Centre, National Audubon Society Seabird Restoration Program, Chair Nature Protection and Landscape Ecology, University of Freiburg [Freiburg], Instituto de Investigaciones Marinas y Costeras ( IIMyC ), Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas ( CONICET ) -Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata, Graduate School of Fisheries Sciences, Hokkaido University, Centre d'Études Biologiques de Chizé - UMR 7372 ( CEBC ), Landcare Research, University of Edinburgh-Ashworth Laboratories, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology [Edinburgh] (CEH), Natural Environment Research Council (NERC), Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (CEH), British Antarctic Survey (BAS), Norwegian University of Science and Technology [Trondheim] (NTNU), Institute of Marine Research-Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU), Laboratoire Chrono-environnement - UFC (UMR 6249) (LCE), Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté [COMUE] (UBFC)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Franche-Comté (UFC), The University Centre in Svalbard (UNIS), Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research (NIOZ)-Utrecht University [Utrecht], Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre (MARE), Instituto Universitário de Ciências Psicológicas, Sociais e da Vida (ISPA), University of Antwerp (UA), Norvegian Polar Research Institute (NPRI), University of New Brunswick (UNB), Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (UNAM), United States Geological Survey [Reston] (USGS), Australian Antarctic Division (AAD), LIttoral ENvironnement et Sociétés - UMR 7266 (LIENSs), Université de La Rochelle (ULR)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Institut Mediterrani d'Estudis Avancats (IMEDEA), Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [Spain] (CSIC)-Universidad de las Islas Baleares (UIB)-Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [Spain] (CSIC)-Universidad de las Islas Baleares (UIB), Biogéosciences [UMR 6282] [Dijon] (BGS), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Bourgogne (UB)-AgroSup Dijon - Institut National Supérieur des Sciences Agronomiques, de l'Alimentation et de l'Environnement, Universitat de Barcelona (UB), Universidade de Lisboa (ULISBOA), Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive (CEFE), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD [France-Sud])-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-École pratique des hautes études (EPHE)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier (Montpellier SupAgro)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques (Montpellier SupAgro)-Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 (UM3), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)-National Marine Fisheries Service, Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen (JLU), University of Coimbra [Portugal] (UC), Population Ecology Group (IMEDEA), Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [Spain] (CSIC)-Universidad de las Islas Baleares (UIB), Instituto de Biología de Organismos Marinos [Chubut] (IBIOMAR), Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas [Buenos Aires] (CONICET), Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona [Barcelona] (UAB), Instituto de Investigaciones Marinas y Costeras [Mar del Plata] (IIMyC), Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales [Mar del Plata], Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata [Mar del Plata] (UNMdP)-Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata [Mar del Plata] (UNMdP)-Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas [Buenos Aires] (CONICET), Centre d'Études Biologiques de Chizé - UMR 7372 (CEBC), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Université de La Rochelle (ULR), Universitat de Barcelona, Manaaki Whenua – Landcare Research [Lincoln], Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU), Laboratoire Chrono-environnement - CNRS - UBFC (UMR 6249) (LCE), Université de Franche-Comté (UFC), Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté [COMUE] (UBFC)-Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté [COMUE] (UBFC)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU)-Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), LIttoral ENvironnement et Sociétés - UMRi 7266 (LIENSs), Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [Madrid] (CSIC)-Universidad de las Islas Baleares (UIB)-Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [Madrid] (CSIC)-Universidad de las Islas Baleares (UIB), Université de Bourgogne (UB)-AgroSup Dijon - Institut National Supérieur des Sciences Agronomiques, de l'Alimentation et de l'Environnement-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-École pratique des hautes études (EPHE), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques (Montpellier SupAgro)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 (UPVM)-Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier (Montpellier SupAgro), Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD [France-Sud]), Department of Bioscience [Roskilde], Universidad de las Islas Baleares (UIB)-Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [Madrid] (CSIC), Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (UAB), Hokkaido University [Sapporo, Japan], and Université de La Rochelle (ULR)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)
- Subjects
0106 biological sciences ,Pelecaniformes ,VDP::Mathematics and natural science: 400::Zoology and botany: 480::Ecology: 488 ,SEABIRDS ,Otras Ciencias Biológicas ,[SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes ,Climate change ,Matematikk og Naturvitenskap: 400::Zoologiske og botaniske fag: 480 [VDP] ,[SDV.BID]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Biodiversity ,Environmental Science (miscellaneous) ,010603 evolutionary biology ,01 natural sciences ,OCEAN SCIENCE ,Ecology and Environment ,Predation ,VDP::Matematikk og Naturvitenskap: 400::Zoologiske og botaniske fag: 480::Økologi: 488 ,Ciencias Biológicas ,biology.animal ,Ocells marins ,ocean sciences ,Canvi climàtic ,14. Life underwater ,Biology ,Trophic level ,Apex predator ,[ SDV.BID ] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Biodiversity ,[ SDE.BE ] Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology ,biology ,Primary producers ,Ecology ,010604 marine biology & hydrobiology ,Physics ,Sea birds ,Climatic changes ,biology.organism_classification ,Fenologia ,Climatic change ,Suliformes ,Chemistry ,[ SDE.MCG ] Environmental Sciences/Global Changes ,Phenology ,13. Climate action ,Seabird ,[SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology ,Social Sciences (miscellaneous) ,CIENCIAS NATURALES Y EXACTAS ,Canvis climàtics - Abstract
Reproductive timing in many taxa plays a key role in determining breeding productivity , and is often sensitive to climatic conditions . Current climate change may alter the timing of breeding at different rates across trophic levels, potentially resulting in temporal mismatch between the resource requirements of predators and their prey . This is of particular concern for highertrophic-level organisms, whose longer generation times confer a lower rate of evolutionary rescue than primary producers or consumers. However, the disconnection between studies of ecological change in marine systems makes it difficult to detect general changes in the timing of reproduction5 . Here, we use a comprehensive meta-analysis of 209 phenological time series from 145 breeding populations to show that, on average, seabird populations worldwide have not adjusted their breeding seasons over time (−0.020 days yr−1 ) or in response to sea surface temperature (SST) (−0.272 days °C−1 ) between 1952 and 2015. However, marked between-year variation in timing observed in resident species and some Pelecaniformes and Suliformes (cormorants, gannets and boobies) may imply that timing, in some cases, is affected by unmeasured environmental conditions. This limited temperature-mediated plasticity of reproductive timing in seabirds potentially makes these top predators highly vulnerable to future mismatch with lower-trophic-level resources Fil: Keogan, Katharine. University of Edinburgh; Reino Unido Fil: Daunt, Francis. Centre for Ecology & Hydrology; Reino Unido Fil: Wanless, Sarah. Centre for Ecology & Hydrology; Reino Unido Fil: Phillips, Richard A.. British Antarctic Survey; Reino Unido Fil: Walling, Craig A.. University of Edinburgh; Reino Unido Fil: Agnew, Philippa. Oamaru Blue Penguin Colony; . Oamaru Blue Penguin Colony; Nueva Zelanda Fil: Ainley, David G.. HT Harvey and Associates; Estados Unidos Fil: Anker-Nilssen, Tycho. Norwegian Institute For Nature Research; Noruega Fil: Ballard, Grant. Point Blue Conservation Science; Estados Unidos Fil: Barrett, Robert T.. Uit The Arctic University Of Norway; Noruega Fil: Barton, Kerry J.. Landcare Research; Nueva Zelanda Fil: Bech, Claus. Norges Teknisk-naturvitenskapelige Universitet; Noruega Fil: Becker, Peter. Institut Fur Vogelforschung "vogelwarte Helgoland"; Alemania Fil: Berglund, Per-Arvid. University of Agricultural Sciences. Institute of Marine Research, Department of Aquatic Resources; Suecia Fil: Bollache, Loïc. Universite de Bourgogne; Francia Fil: Bond, Alexander L.. Memorial University Of Newfoundland; Canadá Fil: Bouwhuis, Sandra. Institut Fur Vogelforschung "vogelwarte Helgoland"; Alemania Fil: Bradley, Russell W.. Point Blue Conservation Science; Estados Unidos Fil: Burr, Zofia M.. The University Centre In Svalbard; Noruega Fil: Camphuysen, Kees. University of Utrecht; Países Bajos Fil: Catry, Paulo. Ispa - Instituto Universitário; Portugal Fil: Chiaradia, Andre. Monash University; Australia. Phillip Island Nature Park; Australia Fil: Christensen-Dalsgaard, Signe. Norwegian Institute for Nature Research; Noruega Fil: Cuthbert, Richard. Royal Society For The Protection Of Birds; Reino Unido Fil: Dehnhard, Nina. Universiteit Antwerp; Bélgica Fil: Descamps, Sébastien. Norwegian Polar Institute; Noruega Fil: Diamond, Tony. University Of New Brunswick; Canadá Fil: Divoky, George. Friends of Cooper Island; Estados Unidos Fil: Drummond, Hugh. Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México; México Fil: Dugger, Katie M.. United States Geological Survey; Estados Unidos Fil: Dunn, Michael J.. British Antarctic Survey; Reino Unido Fil: Emmerson, Louise. Australian Antarctic Division; Australia Fil: Erikstad, Kjell Einar. Norwegian Polar Institute; Noruega Fil: Fort, Jérôme. Université de la Rochelle; Francia Fil: Fraser, William. Polar Oceans Research Group; Estados Unidos Fil: Genovart, Meritxell. Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cientificas. Instituto Mediterraneo de Estudios Avanzados; España Fil: Gilg, Olivier. Universite de Bourgogne; Francia. Groupe de Recherches En Ecologie Arctique; Fil: González-Solís, Jacob. Universidad de Barcelona; España Fil: Granadeiro, José Pedro. Universidade de Lisboa; Portugal Fil: Grémillet, David. University Of Cape Town; Sudáfrica Fil: Hansen, Jannik. University Aarhus; Dinamarca Fil: Hanssen, Sveinn A.. Norwegian Institute For Nature Research; Noruega Fil: Harris, Mike. Centre for Ecology & Hydrology; Reino Unido Fil: Hedd, April. Environment Canada; Canadá Fil: Hinke, Jefferson. National Oceanic And Atmospheric Administration; Estados Unidos Fil: Igual, José Manuel. Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cientificas. Instituto Mediterraneo de Estudios Avanzados; España Fil: Jahncke, Jaime. Point Blue Conservation Science; Estados Unidos Fil: Jones, Ian. Memorial University Of Newfoundland; Canadá Fil: Kappes, Peter J.. Oregon Cooperative Fish And Wildlife Research Unit; Estados Unidos Fil: Lang, Johannes. Groupe de Recherche en Ecologie Arctique; Francia Fil: Langset, Magdalene. Norwegian Institute For Nature Research; Noruega Fil: Lescroël, Amélie. Géosciences Montpellier; Francia Fil: Lorentsen, Svein-Håkon. Norwegian Institute For Nature Research; Noruega Fil: Lyver, Phil O'B.. Landcare Research; Nueva Zelanda Fil: Mallory, Mark. Acadia University; Canadá Fil: Moe, Børge. Norwegian Institute For Nature Research; Noruega Fil: Montevecchi, William A.. Memorial University Of Newfoundland; Canadá Fil: Monticelli, David. University Of Coimbra, Marine And Environmental Sciences Center; Portugal Fil: Mostello, Carolyn. Massachusetts Division Of Fisheries And Wildlife; Estados Unidos Fil: Newell, Mark. Centre for Ecology & Hydrology; Reino Unido Fil: Nicholson, Lisa. Halfmoon Biosciences; Australia Fil: Nisbet, Ian. I. C. T. Nisbet & Company; Estados Unidos Fil: Olsson, Olof. Stockholms Universitet; Suecia Fil: Oro, Daniel. Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cientificas. Instituto Mediterraneo de Estudios Avanzados; España Fil: Pattison, Vivian. Laskeek Bay Conservation Society; Canadá Fil: Poisbleau, Maud. Universiteit Antwerp; Bélgica Fil: Pyk, Tanya. Deakin University; Australia Fil: Quintana, Flavio Roberto. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina Fil: Ramos, Jaime A.. University Of Coimbra, Marine And Environmental Sciences Center; Portugal Fil: Ramos, Raül. Universidad de Barcelona; España Fil: Reiertsen, Tone Kirstin. Norwegian Polar Institute; Noruega Fil: Rodríguez, Cristina. Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México; México Fil: Ryan, Peter. University Of Cape Town; Sudáfrica Fil: Sanz-Aguilar, Ana. Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cientificas. Instituto Mediterraneo de Estudios Avanzados; España Fil: Schmidt, Niels M.. University Aarhus; Dinamarca Fil: Shannon, Paula. National Audubon Society Seabird Restoration Program; Estados Unidos Fil: Sittler, Benoit. Groupe de Recherche en Ecologie Arctique; Francia Fil: Southwell, Colin. Australian Antarctic Division; Australia Fil: Surman, Christopher. Halfmoon Biosciences; Australia Fil: Svagelj, Walter Sergio. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mar del Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Marinas y Costeras. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Investigaciones Marinas y Costeras; Argentina Fil: Trivelpiece, Wayne. Bolinas; Estados Unidos Fil: Warzybok, Pete. Point Blue Conservation Science; Estados Unidos Fil: Watanuki, Yutaka. Hokkaido University; Japón Fil: Weimerskirch, Henri. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique; Francia Fil: Wilson, Peter R.. Landcare Research; Nueva Zelanda Fil: Wood, Andrew G.. British Antarctic Survey; Reino Unido Fil: Phillimore, Albert B.. University of Edinburgh; Reino Unido Fil: Lewis, Sue. University of Edinburgh; Reino Unido
- Published
- 2018