Search

Abstract Dengue fever is the most important arbovirosis for public health, with more than 5 million cases worldwide in 2023. Mosnodenvir is the first anti-dengue compound with very high preclinical pan-serotype activity, currently undergoing phase 2 clinical evaluation. Here, by analyzing dengue virus (DENV) genomes from the 2023-2024 epidemic in the French Caribbean Islands, we show that they all exhibit mutation NS4B:V91A, previously associated with a marked decrease in sensitivity to mosnodenvir in vitro. Using antiviral activity tests on four clinical and reverse-genetic strains, we confirm a marked decrease in mosnodenvir sensitivity for DENV-2 ( > 1000 fold). Finally, combining phylogenetic analysis and experimental testing for resistance, we find that virus lineages with low sensitivity to mosnodenvir due to the V91A mutation likely emerged multiple times over the last 30 years in DENV-2 and DENV-3. These results call for increased genomic surveillance, in particular to track lineages with resistance mutations. These efforts should allow to better assess the activity profile of DENV treatments in development against circulating strains.

Abstract Serological surveys are essential to quantify immunity in a population but serological cross-reactivity often impairs estimates of the seroprevalence. Here, we show that modeling helps addressing this key challenge by considering the important cross-reactivity between Chikungunya (CHIKV) and O’nyong-nyong virus (ONNV) as a case study. We develop a statistical model to assess the epidemiology of these viruses in Mali. We additionally calibrate the model with paired virus neutralization titers in the French West Indies, a region with known CHIKV circulation but no ONNV. In Mali, the model estimate of ONNV and CHIKV prevalence is 30% and 13%, respectively, versus 27% and 2% in non-adjusted estimates. While a CHIKV infection induces an ONNV response in 80% of cases, an ONNV infection leads to a cross-reactive CHIKV response in only 22% of cases. Our study shows the importance of conducting serological assays on multiple cross-reactive pathogens to estimate levels of virus circulation.