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Abstract Computational approaches for predicting the pathogenicity of genetic variants have advanced in recent years. These methods enable researchers to determine the possible clinical impact of rare and novel variants. Historically these prediction methods used hand-crafted features based on structural, evolutionary, or physiochemical properties of the variant. In this study we propose a novel framework that leverages the power of pre-trained protein language models to predict variant pathogenicity. We show that our approach VariPred (Variant impact Predictor) outperforms current state-of-the-art methods by using an end-to-end model that only requires the protein sequence as input. Using one of the best-performing protein language models (ESM-1b), we establish a robust classifier that requires no calculation of structural features or multiple sequence alignments. We compare the performance of VariPred with other representative models including 3Cnet, Polyphen-2, REVEL, MetaLR, FATHMM and ESM variant. VariPred performs as well as, or in most cases better than these other predictors using six variant impact prediction benchmarks despite requiring only sequence data and no pre-processing of the data.

A new protein domain classification protocol incorporating deep learning strategies for detecting sequence and structure similarities between domain is used to systematically study and analyse the predicted AlphaFold2 structural models for proteins of 21 organisms.

Here, Tan et al. find that the rapid spread of SARS-CoV-2 in mink and deer required minimal adaptation, has only caused moderate changes to the evolutionary trajectory of the virus, and has not led to viral mutations that greatly improve human transmission thus far.