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Background: Thrombotic and bleeding complications are major concerns during orthopedic surgery. Given the frequency of orthopedic surgical procedures and the limited data in the literature, we sought to investigate the incidence and risk factors for thrombotic (myocardial necrosis and infarction) and bleeding events in patients undergoing orthopedic surgery., Methods and Results: We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of 3,082 consecutive subjects ≥21 years of age undergoing hip, knee, or spine surgery between November 1, 2008, and December 31, 2009. Patient characteristics were ascertained using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, diagnosis coding and retrospective review of medical records, and laboratory/blood bank databases. In-hospital outcomes included myocardial necrosis (elevated troponin), major bleeding, coded myocardial infarction, and coded hemorrhage as defined by International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, coding. Of the 3,082 subjects, mean age was 60.8 ± 13.3 years, and 59% were female. Myocardial necrosis, coded myocardial infarction, major bleeding, and coded hemorrhage occurred in 179 (5.8%), 20 (0.7%), 165 (5.4%), and 26 (0.8%) subjects, respectively. Increasing age (P < .001), coronary artery disease (P < .001), cancer (P = .004), and chronic kidney disease (P = .01) were independent predictors of myocardial necrosis, whereas procedure type (P < .001), cancer (P < .001), female sex (P < .001), coronary artery disease (P < .001), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (P = .01) were independent predictors of major bleeding., Conclusion: There is a delicate balance between thrombotic and bleeding events in the perioperative period after orthopedic surgery. Perioperative risk of both thrombosis and bleeding deserves careful attention in preoperative evaluation, and future prospective studies aimed at attenuating this risk are warranted., (Copyright © 2013 Mosby, Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Studies suggest that the New York State Cardiac Surgery and Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Reporting System, which makes public the operator-specific mortality for patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) or percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), may deter operators from providing revascularization to high-risk cardiac patients in New York compared to other states., Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis of 545 US patients with acute myocardial infarction and cardiogenic shock due to predominant left ventricular failure enrolled in the SHOCK Registry. Adjusting for case mix using a propensity score method, we compared the use of coronary angiography, PCI, CABG, and outcomes between 220 patients in New York and 325 in other states., Results: New York patients were older with similar or less severe baseline characteristics. After propensity score adjustment, New York patients were less likely than non-New York patients to undergo coronary angiography (odds ratio 0.46, 95% CI 0.31-0.68, P < .001) and PCI (odds ratio 0.51, 95% CI 0.33-0.77, P = .002). Coronary artery bypass graft rates were similarly low (14.1% vs 15.1%, P = not significant), but New York patients waited significantly longer after shock onset for surgery (101.2 vs 10.3 hours, P < .001) with only 32.3% of New York patients vs 75.5% of non-New York patients (P < .001) taken for CABG within 3 days of shock onset., Conclusions: In our propensity-adjusted retrospective analysis, New York patients with acute myocardial infarction and cardiogenic shock were less likely to undergo coronary angiography and PCI and waited significantly longer to receive CABG than their non-New York counterparts. These findings suggest that state-required reporting to the New York State Cardiac Surgery and Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Reporting System may result in the reluctance to revascularize the highest-risk cardiac patients.

Background: To better understand hospital performance in door-to-drug and door-to-balloon times for patients with STEMI, we examined hospital-level variation in key subintervals of door-to-drug time (door-to-electrocardiogram [ECG] and ECG-to-drug) and of door-to-balloon time (door-to-ECG, ECG-to-lab, lab-to-balloon). We sought to identify achievable subinterval times based on the experience of top performing hospitals., Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis, using data from the National Registry of Myocardial Infarction, of admissions between January 1, 2001, and December 31, 2002 (20435 patients receiving fibrinolytic therapy in 693 hospitals, and 13387 patients receiving percutaneous coronary intervention in 340 hospitals). Using hierarchical regression modeling, we estimated hospital-level geometric means of each subinterval, adjusted for patient clinical characteristics. We ranked hospitals based on the proportion of patients treated within 30 minutes for door-to-drug time and 90 minutes for door-to-balloon times and compared adjusted subinterval times across these groups., Results: The higher performing hospitals (top 20%) in door-to-drug time and door-to-balloon times had significantly shorter times in nearly all subintervals compared with other hospitals, adjusted for patient clinical characteristics. Adjusted mean subinterval times in higher performing hospitals in door-to-drug time were 6.8 minutes (SD = 1.7) for door-to-ECG and 18.7 minutes (SD = 3.5) for ECG-to-drug. Adjusted mean subinterval times in higher performing hospitals in door-to-balloon time were 7.9 minutes (SD = 1.7) for door-to-ECG, 47.8 minutes (SD = 7.1) for ECG-to-lab, and 29.0 minutes (5.4) for lab-to-balloon, adjusted for patient clinical characteristics., Conclusions: Substantial national attention is being directed at improving time to treatment of patients with STEMI. These data suggest achievable subinterval times for hospitals seeking to improve performance in this important quality indicator.

Background: Although warfarin and other anticoagulants can prevent ischemic events, they can cause hemorrhage. Quantifying the rate of hemorrhage is crucial for determining the risks and net benefits of prescribing antithrombotic therapy. Our objective was to find a bleeding classification scheme that could quantify the risk of hemorrhage in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation., Methods: We combined bleeding risk factors from existing classification schemes into a new scheme, HEMORR2HAGES, and validated all bleeding classification schemes. We scored HEMORR2HAGES by adding 2 points for a prior bleed and 1 point for each of the other risk factors: hepatic or renal disease, ethanol abuse, malignancy, older (age > 75 years), reduced platelet count or function, hypertension (uncontrolled), anemia, genetic factors, excessive fall risk, and stroke. We used data from quality improvement organizations representing 7 states to assemble a registry of 3791 Medicare beneficiaries with atrial fibrillation., Results: There were 162 hospital admissions with an International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification code for hemorrhage. With each additional point, the rate of bleeding per 100 patient-years of warfarin increased: 1.9 for 0, 2.5 for 1, 5.3 for 2, 8.4 for 3, 10.4 for 4, and 12.3 for > or =5 points. In patients prescribed warfarin, HEMORR2HAGES had greater predictive accuracy (c statistic 0.67) than other bleed prediction schemes (P < .001)., Conclusions: Adaptations of existing classification schemes, especially a new bleeding risk scheme, HEMORR2HAGES, can quantify the risk of hemorrhage and aid in the management of antithrombotic therapy.

Background: Despite national efforts to improve cholesterol management for patients with coronary artery disease, many patients are not reaching recommended cholesterol target levels. We sought to determine whether a nurse-based educational intervention, designed to educate patients with confirmed coronary artery disease about personal low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol target levels and encourage partnership with physicians, could increase adherence with National Cholesterol Education Program target levels (LDL cholesterol level < or =100 mg/dL)., Methods: Patients hospitalized with confirmed coronary artery disease were randomized to undergo a nurse-based educational intervention (375 patients) or usual care (381 patients) for a 12-month period after hospitalization. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients at the LDL cholesterol target level 1 year after hospitalization. The secondary outcome was the proportion of patients with accurate knowledge of LDL cholesterol target levels., Results: The groups were similar at baseline in demographic and clinical characteristics, percent at LDL cholesterol target level (43.9% and 41.1%, respectively), and percent with knowledge of LDL cholesterol target levels (both 5%). The proportion of patients at LDL cholesterol target levels at 1 year did not differ between the intervention (70.2%) and usual care group (67.4%, P =.46). At the conclusion of the trial, patient knowledge about LDL cholesterol target level was higher for the intervention group than the usual care group (19.6% and 6.7%, respectively, P =.001), but this was not associated with improved cholesterol management., Conclusions: Our nurse-based educational intervention did not result in a significant increase in the proportion of patients who reached target LDL cholesterol levels 1 year after hospitalization. Although the intervention improved patient knowledge of LDL cholesterol target levels, overall rates of LDL cholesterol knowledge remained low, and it was not associated with improved cholesterol management.

Background: Studies have suggested that cardiologists may provide higher quality heart failure care than generalists. However, national rates of specialty care during hospitalization for heart failure and factors associated with care by a cardiologist are unknown., Methods: We assessed specialty care in a sample of Medicare patients hospitalized nationwide with heart failure between 1998 and 1999 (n = 25,869). Multivariable hierarchical logistic regression models were used to identify factors independently associated with treatment by a cardiologist., Results: One-quarter (25.5%) of patients had a cardiologist as their attending physician, 31.3% of patients received a cardiology consult, and 43.2% of patients were not treated by a cardiologist during hospitalization. Older patients (age <75 years: referent; age 75-84 years: risk ratio [RR], 0.92; 95% CI, 0.86-0.98; age > or =85 years: RR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.74-0.88) and women (RR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.83-0.93) were less likely to have an attending cardiologist. Patients with a history of heart failure (RR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.06-1.20), coronary disease (RR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.14-1.32), coronary artery bypass grafting (RR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.32-1.42), or percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (RR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.19-1.42) were more likely to be treated by a cardiologist, whereas patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (RR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.70-0.79) and dementia (RR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.54-0.70) were less likely to be treated by a cardiologist. Patient race was not associated with treatment by a cardiologist. The strongest predictors of attending cardiology care were hospital factors, including large volume (>300 beds; RR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.32-1.42) and geographic location (RR, 1.00 Northeast (referent) vs RR, 0.55; 95% CI 0.46-0.65 Midwest)., Conclusions: Slightly more than half of older patients with heart failure received care from a cardiologist. Several patient characteristics, including age and sex, were associated with the use of specialty care, suggesting that factors other than clinical presentation may independently influence the use of specialty care.

Background: Some experts have raised concerns about the ability to generalize randomized trials, emphasizing that patients who participate in these studies are often not representative of those seen in clinical practice, particularly in the case of elderly patients. To determine the effect of implicit exclusion criteria on a trial study sample, we compared data from the Global Utilization of Streptokinase and t-PA for Occluded Coronary Arteries (GUSTO) trial with data from a retrospective registry from selected hospitals, the National Registry of Myocardial Infarction (NRMI), and a nationally representative study of myocardial infarction care, the Cooperative Cardiovascular Project (CCP)., Methods: We compared GUSTO subjects aged 65 years and older who were enrolled in the United States with similarily aged patients in the 2 observational studies who met the trial's eligibility criteria. We examined baseline characteristics, clinical presentation, treatments, procedures, clinical events, and in-hospital mortality rates., Results: We found modest, although significant, differences between patients in NRMI, CCP, and GUSTO in demographic and clinical characteristics, treatment, and outcome. For example, GUSTO patients were significantly younger (73.1 +/- 5.7 vs 74.7 +/- 6.8 for NRMI and 75.8 +/- 7.2 for CCP), less likely to have Killip class III/IV at presentation (3.1% vs 6.2% for NRMI and 32.7% for CCP), and more likely to receive aspirin (95.5% vs 86.3% for NRMI and 86.5% for CCP) and beta-blockers (71.9% vs 43.5% for NRMI and 52.7% for CCP). Overall, NRMI and CCP patients had a lower risk of 30-day mortality after adjustment for demographic, clinical, and hospital characteristics than patients in GUSTO (odds ratio, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.73-0.86 for NRMI; odds ratio, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.59-0.71 for CCP)., Conclusions: Older patients enrolled in a randomized trial without an age restriction had many similarities compared with patients seen in clinical practice. The higher mortality rate of the GUSTO patients does not support the hypothesis that the trial enrolled a healthier cohort than is seen in practice.

Background: Previous studies have reported that myocardial infarction (MI) treatment in New England differs from that of other regions of the United States. We sought to determine whether regional differences in MI treatment were independent of regional differences in patient, hospital, or physician characteristics, and whether the New England region's practice pattern was associated with better outcomes than those of patients in other regions., Methods: We evaluated 167,180 patients aged > or =65 years who were hospitalized with MI between 1994 to 1996 to assess regional variations in quality of care. Patients were evaluated for the use of reperfusion therapy, aspirin, and beta-blockers on admission and 30-day mortality rate. Hierarchical logistic regression models were used to determine whether practice patterns specific to New England were independent of regional variations in patient, physician, hospital, or other geographic characteristics., Results: New England had the highest use of beta-blockers (72% vs 52% other regions, P <.001), and aspirin (80% vs 76% other regions, P <.001), a lower use of reperfusion therapy (61% vs 67% other regions, P <.001), and the lowest risk-standardized 30-day mortality rate (15% vs 19% other regions, P <.001). These differences persisted after adjusting for patient, physician, and hospital characteristics., Conclusions: Patients with MI in New England have higher rates of medical therapy use and lower 30-day mortality rates than patients in other US regions. This pattern is independent of patient or provider characteristics, suggesting other factors likely contribute to better short-term outcomes in New England.

Background: The role of early revascularization among patients with acute myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock remains controversial. Angioplasty registries, while suggesting a benefit, are subject to selection bias, and clinical trials have been underpowered to detect early benefits. If an invasive strategy is beneficial in this population, patients admitted to hospitals with onsite coronary revascularization might be expected to have a better prognosis. We sought to determine whether access to cardiovascular resources at the admitting hospital influenced the prognosis of patients with acute myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock., Methods: By use of the Cooperative Cardiovascular Project database (a retrospective medical record review of Medicare patients discharged with acute myocardial infarction), we identified patients aged > or =65 years whose myocardial infarction was complicated by cardiogenic shock., Results: Of the 601 patients with cardiogenic shock, 287 (47.8%) were admitted to hospitals without revascularization services and 314 (52.2%) were admitted to hospitals with coronary angioplasty and coronary artery bypass surgery facilities. Clinical characteristics were similar across the subgroups. Patients admitted to hospitals with revascularization services were more likely to undergo coronary revascularization during the index hospitalization and during the first month after acute myocardial infarction. After adjustment for demographic, clinical, hospital, and treatment strategies, the presence of onsite revascularization services was not associated with a significantly lower 30-day (odds ratio 0.83, 95% CI 0.47, 1.45) or 1-year mortality (odds ratio 0.91, 95% CI 0.49, 1.72)., Conclusions: In a community-based cohort, patients with acute myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock did not have significantly different adjusted 30-day and 1-year mortality, irrespective of the revascularization capabilities of the admitting hospital.

Background: Many older patients undergo therapy with nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), medications that produce effects on platelets and inflammation similar to those produced with aspirin. The impact of these agents on mortality after acute myocardial infarction is not known. We sought to determine whether the use of NSAIDs alone, or in addition to aspirin, is associated with a lower 1-year mortality rate in elderly patients after acute myocardial infarction., Methods: We performed an analysis of the Cooperative Cardiovascular Project, a retrospective medical record review that included demographic and clinical information for Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized with a diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction during 1994 and 1995. The cohort included 48,584 elderly patients with acute myocardial infarction without contraindications to NSAID or aspirin therapy. There were 736 patients (1.5%) who were prescribed NSAIDs alone, 36,211 (74.5%) prescribed aspirin alone, 2096 (4.3%) prescribed both NSAIDs and aspirin, and 9541 (19.6%) prescribed neither medication at discharge., Results: Compared with patients discharged with neither medication, prescriptions of NSAID therapy alone (hazard ratio [HR], 0.77; 95% CI, 0.65-0.90), aspirin alone (HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.77-0.86), and both medications (HR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.69-0.88) were associated with lower adjusted 1-year mortality rates. Compared with patients prescribed NSAID therapy at discharge, there was no significant benefit associated with the addition of aspirin, and the benefit of NSAID therapy was not significantly different from that of aspirin alone., Conclusion: The prescription of NSAID therapy at hospital discharge for elderly Medicare beneficiaries who survived acute myocardial infarction was associated with similarly lower 1-year mortality rates as compared with aspirin therapy. The addition of aspirin to NSAID therapy was not associated with an additional survival benefit.

Background: Guidelines for the management of unstable angina have been published by the United States Agency for Health Care Policy and Research (currently known as the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality); however, little information is available about the quality of unstable angina care, particularly among elderly patients., Methods: We examined 1196 elderly Medicare-insured patients hospitalized with unstable angina (ruled out for acute myocardial infarction) at Connecticut hospitals between August and November 1995 to evaluate quality of care provided during hospitalization. Patients without therapeutic contraindications were evaluated for the use of 5 Agency for Health Care Policy and Research guideline-recommended measures: electrocardiographic examination within 20 minutes of admission, use of aspirin on admission, intravenous heparin on admission, achievement of therapeutic anticoagulation among patients provided heparin, and prescription of aspirin on discharge., Results: Less than half (49.6%) of patients underwent electrocardiographic examination within 20 minutes of admission. After excluding patients with contraindications, aspirin was provided to 80.1% of patients and intravenous heparin to 59.2% of indicated patients, of whom only 43.3% achieved therapeutic anticoagulation. Aspirin was prescribed to 82.3% of eligible patients at discharge. Performance on the 5 quality measures varied widely among hospitals., Conclusions: Agency for Health Care Policy and Research guideline-recommended risk stratification and therapeutic interventions are underused in elderly patients hospitalized with unstable angina, with quality of care varying widely among hospitals.

Background: Investments in programs to improve outcomes and reduce readmissions for patients who survive hospitalization with heart failure will be economically most favorable for those who have the highest risk. Little information is available, however, to stratify the risk of these patients incurring costs after discharge. In this study, we sought to determine correlates of costs in a representative sample of patients with heart failure in the 6 months after discharge., Methods: We reviewed medical records of 2181 patients aged > or = 65 years who were discharged alive from 18 Connecticut hospitals in 1994 and 1995 with a principal discharge diagnosis of heart failure. Outcomes 6 months after discharge, including all-cause readmission and cost, heart failure-related readmission and cost, and death, were obtained from the Medicare administrative database. A 2-stage sample selection model was used to identify the independent correlates of cost. Risk scores were calculated to identify subsets of patients at risk for generating high costs., Results: On average, patients discharged with heart failure incurred costs of $2388 resulting from heart failure-related admissions and $7101 resulting from admissions from any cause during the 6 months after discharge. An average admission for heart failure cost $7174, whereas an admission resulting from any cause cost $8589. The multivariate models explained 7% of the variation in cost, although clinical characteristics such as recent heart failure admissions, kidney failure, and hypertension were significant independent correlates of increased cost. Older age and a history of stroke were independently associated with decreased cost. Patients without any of the risk factors associated with increased costs still incurred $1500 to $5000, on average, in the 6 months after discharge., Conclusions: Patients with heart failure generate substantial hospital costs in the 6 months after discharge. Given the emerging evidence for effective programs to reduce readmission, investments in interventions that produce even modest reductions in risk would be economically favorable.

Background: We sought to describe the dosages of angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor prescribed to elderly patients with heart failure at hospital discharge, the factors associated with dosing level, and the association of these dosages with 1-year outcomes., Methods: Demographic, procedural, and medication data were collected retrospectively from medical records at 18 Connecticut hospitals. Information on mortality and readmission was obtained from the Health Care Financing Administration administrative databases. Dosages of ACE inhibitor were grouped into 3 categories: dosages recommended in practice guidelines or higher (target dose), dosages used in clinical trials but lower than guideline recommendations (subtarget dose), and dosages lower than those used in clinical trials (low dose)., Results: A total of 554 patients, 65 years old or less with confirmed heart failure and systolic dysfunction, were prescribed an ACE inhibitor at discharge. Target, subtarget, and low doses were given in 19%, 63%, and 18% of the patients, respectively. Few demographic or clinical factors were related to lower dosages. Both subtarget and target doses of ACE inhibitors were associated with a significantly lower adjusted 1-year mortality (relative risk 0.67, P =.04; relative risk 0.51, P =.02, respectively) compared with low doses of ACE inhibitors., Conclusions: In a representative elderly cohort of patients with heart failure with systolic dysfunction, the majority (82%) were discharged on doses of ACE inhibitors consistent with those used in clinical trials. We observed a dose-response relationship between higher doses and lower mortality. Future studies will need to determine whether this association is causal.

Background: Many elderly patients with an acute myocardial infarction (AMI) do not receive thrombolysis within 30 minutes of hospital arrival as recommended by the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Guidelines. We sought to identify factors associated with delay in administration of thrombolysis after arrival to the hospital in these patients and to determine whether this delay is associated with increased mortality rates., Methods and Results: By using the Cooperative Cardiovascular Project database, we identified patients who received thrombolysis for an AMI. The patients were stratified into groups by time to thrombolysis after hospital arrival. Among a cohort of 17,379 patients, 22.2% received thrombolysis in the first 30 minutes after hospital arrival. Patients treated after the first 30 minutes were more likely to be older, be female, be diabetic, have a history of hypertension or heart failure, and have less marked ST elevation. They were also more likely to be admitted to smaller hospitals with a lower volume of AMIs and to hospitals without a cardiac catheterization laboratory. The 30-day mortality rate was significantly lower for patients treated within the first 30 minutes. After adjustments were made for clinical and hospital characteristics, delays in therapy beyond 30 and 90 minutes were associated with an increase in 1-year mortality rates of 9% and 27%, respectively, compared with delays for patients treated within 30 minutes., Conclusions: After hospital arrival, time to treatment with thrombolytic therapy is longer than recommended in a significant proportion of patients. Clinical characteristics and institutional factors are associated with the delay in treatment. The more rapid treatment of appropriate elderly patients with an AMI probably will reduce mortality rates.

Background: Readmission rates for patients discharged with heart failure approach 50% within 6 months. Identifying factors to predict risk of readmission in these patients could help clinicians focus resource-intensive disease management efforts on the high-risk patients., Methods: The study sample included patients 65 years of age or older with a principal discharge diagnosis of heart failure who were admitted to 18 Connecticut hospitals in 1994 and 1995. We obtained patient and clinical data from medical record review. We determined outcomes within 6 months after discharge, including all-cause readmission, heart failure-related readmission, and death, from the Medicare administrative database. We evaluated 2176 patients, including 1129 in the derivation cohort and 1047 in the validation cohort., Results: Of 32 patient and clinical factors examined, 4 were found to be significantly associated with readmission in a multivariate model. They were prior admission within 1 year, prior heart failure, diabetes, and creatinine level >2.5 mg/dL at discharge. The event rates according to number of risk predictors were similar in the derivation and the validation sets for all outcomes. In the validation cohort, rates for all-cause readmission and combined readmission or death were 26% and 31% in patients with no risk predictors, 48% and 54% in patients with 1 or 2 risk predictors, and 59% and 65% in patients with 3 or all risk predictors., Conclusions: Few patient and clinical factors predict readmission within 6 months after discharge in elderly patients with heart failure. Although we were unable to identify a group of patients at very low risk, a group of high-risk patients were identified for whom resource-intensive interventions designed to improve outcomes may be justified.

Background: There is evidence for sex differences in treatment and outcome of ischemic heart disease. However, little and conflicting data exist about sex differences in the care and outcome of elderly patients with heart failure., Methods: We compared mortality rate, readmission, and use of selected treatments and procedures between women and men in a database of 2445 patients (1426 women) aged >/=65 admitted for heart failure to 18 Connecticut hospitals in 1994 and 1995. Demographic and clinical data were abstracted from the medical records., Results: Women were older and more likely to have a history of hypertension whereas men more often had previous coronary heart disease. Women had more preserved left ventricular systolic function and higher systolic blood pressure on presentation than men. Treatments on day 1 (aspirin, angiotensin-converting enzyme [ACE] inhibitors, and diuretics), procedures during admission (assessment of left ventricular function, coronary angiography, and revascularization), and use of ACE inhibitors among ideal candidates at discharge were similar in men and women. Six-month rehospitalization rates were also similar. Although 30-day mortality rate did not differ between men and women, 6-month and 1-year mortality rates were lower in women after age adjustment (relative risk for 6-month death 0.81, 95% confidence interval, 0.68-0.95). In multivariable analysis, sex differences in mortality rate were reduced (relative risk 0.90, 95% confidence intervals, 0.75-1.08). History of hypertension, systolic blood pressure on admission, and left ventricular function mostly explained the observed sex differences in mortality rate., Conclusions: Female and male patients hospitalized for heart failure have a similar hospital course, treatment pattern, and readmission rates, but women live longer than men. When baseline differences are accounted for, the mortality risk of women and men becomes very similar.

Study Objective: We quantify patient risk as related to the presence or absence of the Agency for Health Care Policy and Research (AHCPR) congestive heart failure (CHF) hospital admission criteria., Methods: This was a retrospective observational cohort study at 12 acute care hospitals examining consecutive patients with the final primary diagnosis of CHF. Trained record abstractors blinded to outcome extracted 386 data elements, including 6 AHCPR admission criteria: (1) pulmonary edema (determined by radiograph) or severe respiratory distress (respiration >40 breaths/min), (2) hypoxia (oxygen saturation <90%) not caused by pulmonary disease, (3) significant edema (>/=+2) or anasarca, (4) symptomatic hypotension (<90 mm Hg systolic blood pressure) or syncope, (5) CHF of recent onset, and (6) clinical evidence (chest pain) of myocardial ischemia. The association between admission criteria and mortality rate (30 days, 6 months, and 1 year) was quantified and risk adjusted by stepwise logistic regression analysis., Results: Of the 1,674 patients with CHF, 1,340 (80%) were admitted to the hospital. Patients not admitted had a lower mortality rate than admitted patients (30-day mortality rate, 2.1% [95% confidence interval [CI] 0.6 to 3.6] versus 11.5% [95% CI 9.8 to 13.2]; odds ratio 0.20 [95% CI 0.09 to 0.45]). Two of the admission criteria did not correlate with a higher mortality rate: CHF of recent onset and myocardial ischemia. Excluding those 2 criteria, the number of admission criteria present correlated with the patient's probability of hospital admission (P <.001), length of hospital stay (P =.014), and 30-day mortality rate (P <.0001). When zero or 1 admission criteria was present, physician clinical judgment did distinguish patients less likely to die in the subsequent 30 days (1.5% [95% CI 0.2 to 2.8] sent home versus 10.2% [95% CI 8.5 to 11.9] admitted). When 2 or more admission criteria were present, physician clinical judgment did not distinguish patients less likely to die in the subsequent 30 days (18.2% [95% CI 0 to 42.0] sent home versus 19.4% [95% CI 13.6 to 25.2] admitted)., Conclusion: Selected criteria of the AHCPR CHF admission guideline correlate with mortality rate. Combined with physician clinical judgment, they may be useful in the risk stratification of patients with CHF. Selected low-risk patients with CHF identified by the admission criteria who are presently managed in the acute care hospital may be candidates for outpatient management. [Graff L, Orledge J, Radford MJ, Wang Y, Petrillo M, Maag R: Correlation of the Agency for Health Care Policy and Research congestive heart failure admission guideline with mortality: Peer Review Organization Voluntary Hospital Association Initiative to Decrease Events (PROVIDE) for congestive heart failure.

Although cost estimates for acute myocardial infarction are necessary for decisions about allocating scarce resources, there is a relative paucity of studies that estimate these costs across the entire spectrum of hospitals in actual clinical practice. This study sought to determine the correlates of in-hospital costs for acute myocardial infarction in patients 65 years of age and older. In the Cooperative Cardiovascular Project pilot, medical records were abstracted for acute myocardial infarction hospitalizations in Connecticut from June 1, 1992, through May 20, 1993. In-hospital costs were calculated by multiplying charges from cost centers by the Medicare ratio of cost-to-charge. Among the 2628 patients in the study sample, the total mean in-hospital cost was $14,772, and the median in-hospital cost was $10,409 (twenty-fifth to seventy-fifth percentile, $6960 to $17,225). The largest proportion of the costs were concentrated in room costs (43% of the total). Although several demographic and clinical characteristics were significantly associated with cost, they accounted for only 7% of the variation. In-hospital procedures and adverse outcomes accounted for 53% of the variation.

Study Objective: To examine patients with abdominal pain for changes in probability of appendicitis during observation., Study Design: Retrospective cohort study., Setting: University-affiliated community hospital., Methods: 252 patients with abdominal pain who were examined underwent short-term (10.4 hours) observation (95% confidence interval [CI], 8.7, 12.1) before the decision to operate during a one-year period. Alvarado's scoring system and a probability-of-diagnosis nomogram were used to assign scores and estimate probability of appendicitis., Measurements and Results: In the study group, mean score of patients with appendicitis increased after observation from 6.8 (95% CI, 6.2, 7.4) to 7.8 (95% CI, 7.3, 8.3), corresponding to a change in probability of appendicitis from 50% to 65%. Mean score of patients without appendicitis decreased from 3.8 (95% CI, 3.5, 4.1) to 1.6 (95% CI, 1.58, 1.62), corresponding to a change in probability from 35% to 22%. The difference between mean scores for patients with and without appendicitis increased from 2.6 (95% CI, 2.0, 3.2) to 6.2 (95% CI, 6.15, 6.25) during observation. The study group initially had intermediate probability of appendicitis (score, 4.35; 95% CI, 4.04, 4.66) compared with high probability for patients who went directly to surgery after their initial evaluation (63 patients; score, 7.59; 95% CI, 7.05, 8.73) and low probability for patients with abdominal pain who were sent home after their initial evaluation without observation or surgery (2,097 patients; score, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.48, 2.26)., Conclusion: In this group of patients with intermediate initial probability of appendicitis, observation improved the ability to distinguish patients with from those without appendicitis.

Three hundred fifty patients in an observation unit attached to an emergency department received diagnostic workup of nine critical diagnostic syndromes (abdominal pain, flank pain, headache, possible cerebrovascular accident, chest pain, dizziness or syncope, head injury, seizure, multiple trauma). The decision to hospitalize for acute care after observation for 11.1 +/- 3.9 hours was examined. The objective diagnosis-related group (DRG) criteria for admission were compared retrospectively with the physician's clinical judgment of need for hospitalization. Clinical outcome was used to establish the correctness of the decision to hospitalize. Clinical judgment was compared with objective DRG criteria for reliability in predicting the presence of serious pathology necessitating acute care hospitalization; respective values were sensitivity, 100% vs 76%; specificity, 86% vs 80%; positive predictive value, 75% vs 62%; and negative predictive value, 100% vs 89%. The difference between the sensitivity of the two admission criteria was highly significant (P less than 10(-8); chi 2, 26.12). We conclude that the physician's clinical judgment outperforms DRG objective criteria in identifying which patients with critical diagnostic syndromes need acute care hospitalization for emergency medical or surgical therapy.