36 results on '"Wei-Chiang Hong"'
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2. Adoption of Blockchain Technology in Healthcare: Challenges, Solutions, and Comparisons
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Dilbag Singh, Suhasini Monga, Sudeep Tanwar, Wei-Chiang Hong, Ravi Sharma, and Yi-Lin He
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blockchain ,healthcare ,electronic health records (EHR) ,consensus ,decentralized applications ,healthcare management systems (HMS) ,Technology ,Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) ,TA1-2040 ,Biology (General) ,QH301-705.5 ,Physics ,QC1-999 ,Chemistry ,QD1-999 - Abstract
Blockchain technology was bestowed through bitcoin; research has continuously stretched out its applications in different sectors, proving blockchain as a versatile technology expanded in non-financial use cases. In the healthcare industry, blockchain is relied upon to have critical effects. Although exploration here is generally new yet developing quickly, along these lines, researchers in computer science, healthcare information technology, and professionals are continually geared to stay up with research progress. The study presents an exhaustive study on blockchain as a technology in depth from all possible perspectives and its adoption in the healthcare sector. A mapping study has been conducted to search different scientific databases to identify the existing challenges in healthcare management systems and to analyze the existing blockchain-based healthcare applications. Though blockchain has inherent highlights, such as distributed ledger, encryption, consensus, and immutability, blockchain adoption in healthcare has challenges. This paper also provides insights into the research challenges in blockchain and proposes solution taxonomy through comparative analysis.
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- 2023
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3. OD-XAI: Explainable AI-Based Semantic Object Detection for Autonomous Vehicles
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Harsh Mankodiya, Dhairya Jadav, Rajesh Gupta, Sudeep Tanwar, Wei-Chiang Hong, and Ravi Sharma
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explainable AI ,DL ,autonomous vehicles ,semantic segmentation ,KITTI dataset ,object detection ,Technology ,Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) ,TA1-2040 ,Biology (General) ,QH301-705.5 ,Physics ,QC1-999 ,Chemistry ,QD1-999 - Abstract
In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has become one of the most prominent fields in autonomous vehicles (AVs). With the help of AI, the stress levels of drivers have been reduced, as most of the work is executed by the AV itself. With the increasing complexity of models, explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques work as handy tools that allow naive people and developers to understand the intricate workings of deep learning models. These techniques can be paralleled to AI to increase their interpretability. One essential task of AVs is to be able to follow the road. This paper attempts to justify how AVs can detect and segment the road on which they are moving using deep learning (DL) models. We trained and compared three semantic segmentation architectures for the task of pixel-wise road detection. Max IoU scores of 0.9459 and 0.9621 were obtained on the train and test set. Such DL algorithms are called “black box models” as they are hard to interpret due to their highly complex structures. Integrating XAI enables us to interpret and comprehend the predictions of these abstract models. We applied various XAI methods and generated explanations for the proposed segmentation model for road detection in AVs.
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- 2022
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4. A Comprehensive Review of the Technological Solutions to Analyse the Effects of Pandemic Outbreak on Human Lives
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Ishwa Shah, Chelsy Doshi, Mohil Patel, Sudeep Tanwar, Wei-Chiang Hong, and Ravi Sharma
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COVID-19 ,human lives ,social ,healthcare ,behavioural ,Medicine (General) ,R5-920 - Abstract
A coronavirus outbreak caused by a novel virus known as SARS-CoV-2 originated towards the latter half of 2019. COVID-19’s abrupt emergence and unchecked global expansion highlight the inability of the current healthcare services to respond to public health emergencies promptly. This paper reviews the different aspects of human life comprehensively affected by COVID-19. It then discusses various tools and technologies from the leading domains and their integration into people’s lives to overcome issues resulting from pandemics. This paper further focuses on providing a detailed review of existing and probable Artificial Intelligence (AI), Internet of Things (IoT), Augmented Reality (AR), Virtual Reality (VR), and Blockchain-based solutions. The COVID-19 pandemic brings several challenges from the viewpoint of the nation’s healthcare, security, privacy, and economy. AI offers different predictive services and intelligent strategies for detecting coronavirus signs, promoting drug development, remote healthcare, classifying fake news detection, and security attacks. The incorporation of AI in the COVID-19 outbreak brings robust and reliable solutions to enhance the healthcare systems, increases user’s life expectancy, and boosts the nation’s economy. Furthermore, AR/VR helps in distance learning, factory automation, and setting up an environment of work from home. Blockchain helps in protecting consumer’s privacy, and securing the medical supply chain operations. IoT is helpful in remote patient monitoring, distant sanitising via drones, managing social distancing (using IoT cameras), and many more in combating the pandemic. This study covers an up-to-date analysis on the use of blockchain technology, AI, AR/VR, and IoT for combating COVID-19 pandemic considering various applications. These technologies provide new emerging initiatives and use cases to deal with the COVID-19 pandemic. Finally, we discuss challenges and potential research paths that will promote further research into future pandemic outbreaks.
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- 2022
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5. QoS Improvement Using In-Network Caching Based on Clustering and Popularity Heuristics in CCN
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Sumit Kumar, Rajeev Tiwari, and Wei-Chiang Hong
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content-centric networking ,content caching ,network clustering ,content popularity ,Chemical technology ,TP1-1185 - Abstract
Content-Centric Networking (CCN) has emerged as a potential Internet architecture that supports name-based content retrieval mechanism in contrast to the current host location-oriented IP architecture. The in-network caching capability of CCN ensures higher content availability, lesser network delay, and leads to server load reduction. It was observed that caching the contents on each intermediate node does not use the network resources efficiently. Hence, efficient content caching decisions are crucial to improve the Quality-of-Service (QoS) for the end-user devices and improved network performance. Towards this, a novel content caching scheme is proposed in this paper. The proposed scheme first clusters the network nodes based on the hop count and bandwidth parameters to reduce content redundancy and caching operations. Then, the scheme takes content placement decisions using the cluster information, content popularity, and the hop count parameters, where the caching probability improves as the content traversed toward the requester. Hence, using the proposed heuristics, the popular contents are placed near the edges of the network to achieve a high cache hit ratio. Once the cache becomes full, the scheme implements Least-Frequently-Used (LFU) replacement scheme to substitute the least accessed content in the network routers. Extensive simulations are conducted and the performance of the proposed scheme is investigated under different network parameters that demonstrate the superiority of the proposed strategy w.r.t the peer competing strategies.
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- 2021
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6. Internet of Things: Evolution, Concerns and Security Challenges
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Parushi Malhotra, Yashwant Singh, Pooja Anand, Deep Kumar Bangotra, Pradeep Kumar Singh, and Wei-Chiang Hong
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Internet of Things (IoT) ,machine learning ,deep learning ,intrusion detection system ,wireless sensor network ,testbed ,Chemical technology ,TP1-1185 - Abstract
The escalated growth of the Internet of Things (IoT) has started to reform and reshape our lives. The deployment of a large number of objects adhered to the internet has unlocked the vision of the smart world around us, thereby paving a road towards automation and humongous data generation and collection. This automation and continuous explosion of personal and professional information to the digital world provides a potent ground to the adversaries to perform numerous cyber-attacks, thus making security in IoT a sizeable concern. Hence, timely detection and prevention of such threats are pre-requisites to prevent serious consequences. The survey conducted provides a brief insight into the technology with prime attention towards the various attacks and anomalies and their detection based on the intelligent intrusion detection system (IDS). The comprehensive look-over presented in this paper provides an in-depth analysis and assessment of diverse machine learning and deep learning-based network intrusion detection system (NIDS). Additionally, a case study of healthcare in IoT is presented. The study depicts the architecture, security, and privacy issues and application of learning paradigms in this sector. The research assessment is finally concluded by listing the results derived from the literature. Additionally, the paper discusses numerous research challenges to allow further rectifications in the approaches to deal with unusual complications.
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- 2021
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7. An Intelligent Opportunistic Routing Algorithm for Wireless Sensor Networks and Its Application Towards e-Healthcare
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Deep Kumar Bangotra, Yashwant Singh, Arvind Selwal, Nagesh Kumar, Pradeep Kumar Singh, and Wei-Chiang Hong
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wireless sensor networks (WSN) ,opportunistic routing (OR) ,naïve Bayes ,relay node ,energy efficiency ,reliability ,Chemical technology ,TP1-1185 - Abstract
The lifetime of a node in wireless sensor networks (WSN) is directly responsible for the longevity of the wireless network. The routing of packets is the most energy-consuming activity for a sensor node. Thus, finding an energy-efficient routing strategy for transmission of packets becomes of utmost importance. The opportunistic routing (OR) protocol is one of the new routing protocol that promises reliability and energy efficiency during transmission of packets in wireless sensor networks (WSN). In this paper, we propose an intelligent opportunistic routing protocol (IOP) using a machine learning technique, to select a relay node from the list of potential forwarder nodes to achieve energy efficiency and reliability in the network. The proposed approach might have applications including e-healthcare services. As the proposed method might achieve reliability in the network because it can connect several healthcare network devices in a better way and good healthcare services might be offered. In addition to this, the proposed method saves energy, therefore, it helps the remote patient to connect with healthcare services for a longer duration with the integration of IoT services.
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- 2020
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8. Application of the Weighted K-Nearest Neighbor Algorithm for Short-Term Load Forecasting
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Guo-Feng Fan, Yan-Hui Guo, Jia-Mei Zheng, and Wei-Chiang Hong
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short-term load forecasting ,weighted k-nearest neighbor (W-K-NN) algorithm ,comparative analysis ,Technology - Abstract
In this paper, the historical power load data from the National Electricity Market (Australia) is used to analyze the characteristics and regulations of electricity (the average value of every eight hours). Then, considering the inverse of Euclidean distance as the weight, this paper proposes a novel short-term load forecasting model based on the weighted k-nearest neighbor algorithm to receive higher satisfied accuracy. In addition, the forecasting errors are compared with the back-propagation neural network model and the autoregressive moving average model. The comparison results demonstrate that the proposed forecasting model could reflect variation trend and has good fitting ability in short-term load forecasting.
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- 2019
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9. Hybrid Empirical Mode Decomposition with Support Vector Regression Model for Short Term Load Forecasting
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Wei-Chiang Hong and Guo-Feng Fan
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empirical mode decomposition (EMD) ,particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm ,intrinsic mode function (IMF) ,support vector regression (SVR) ,short term load forecasting ,Technology - Abstract
For operational management of power plants, it is desirable to possess more precise short-term load forecasting results to guarantee the power supply and load dispatch. The empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method and the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm have been successfully hybridized with the support vector regression (SVR) to produce satisfactory forecasting performance in previous studies. Decomposed intrinsic mode functions (IMFs), could be further defined as three items: item A contains the random term and the middle term; item B contains the middle term and the trend (residual) term, and item C contains the middle terms only, where the random term represents the high-frequency part of the electric load data, the middle term represents the multiple-frequency part, and the trend term represents the low-frequency part. These three items would be modeled separately by the SVR-PSO model, and the final forecasting results could be calculated as A+B-C (the defined item D). Consequently, this paper proposes a novel electric load forecasting model, namely H-EMD-SVR-PSO model, by hybridizing these three defined items to improve the forecasting accuracy. Based on electric load data from the Australian electricity market, the experimental results demonstrate that the proposed H-EMD-SVR-PSO model receives more satisfied forecasting performance than other compared models.
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- 2019
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10. Support Vector Regression Model Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition and Auto Regression for Electric Load Forecasting
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Hong-Juan Li, Wei-Chiang Hong, Hua Wang, Shan Qing, and Guo-Feng Fan
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electric load prediction ,support vector regression ,empirical mode decomposition auto regression ,Technology - Abstract
Electric load forecasting is an important issue for a power utility, associated with the management of daily operations such as energy transfer scheduling, unit commitment, and load dispatch. Inspired by strong non-linear learning capability of support vector regression (SVR), this paper presents a SVR model hybridized with the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method and auto regression (AR) for electric load forecasting. The electric load data of the New South Wales (Australia) market are employed for comparing the forecasting performances of different forecasting models. The results confirm the validity of the idea that the proposed model can simultaneously provide forecasting with good accuracy and interpretability.
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- 2013
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11. SVR with Hybrid Chaotic Immune Algorithm for Seasonal Load Demand Forecasting
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Shih-Yung Wei, Wei-Chiang Hong, Li-Yueh Chen, Chien-Yuan Lai, and Yucheng Dong
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support vector regression (SVR) ,seasonal adjustment ,chaotic immune algorithm (CIA) ,electric load forecasting ,Technology - Abstract
Accurate electric load forecasting has become the most important issue in energy management; however, electric load demonstrates a seasonal/cyclic tendency from economic activities or the cyclic nature of climate. The applications of the support vector regression (SVR) model to deal with seasonal/cyclic electric load forecasting have not been widely explored. The purpose of this paper is to present a SVR model which combines the seasonal adjustment mechanism and a chaotic immune algorithm (namely SSVRCIA) to forecast monthly electric loads. Based on the operation procedure of the immune algorithm (IA), if the population diversity of an initial population cannot be maintained under selective pressure, then IA could only seek for the solutions in the narrow space and the solution is far from the global optimum (premature convergence). The proposed chaotic immune algorithm (CIA) based on the chaos optimization algorithm and IA, which diversifies the initial definition domain in stochastic optimization procedures, is used to overcome the premature local optimum issue in determining three parameters of a SVR model. A numerical example from an existing reference is used to elucidate the forecasting performance of the proposed SSVRCIA model. The forecasting results indicate that the proposed model yields more accurate forecasting results than the ARIMA and TF-ε-SVR-SA models, and therefore the SSVRCIA model is a promising alternative for electric load forecasting.
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- 2011
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12. Hybridizing Chaotic and Quantum Mechanisms and Fruit Fly Optimization Algorithm with Least Squares Support Vector Regression Model in Electric Load Forecasting
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Ming-Wei Li, Jing Geng, Wei-Chiang Hong, and Yang Zhang
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least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR) ,chaos theory ,quantum computing mechanism (QCM) ,fruit fly optimization algorithm (FOA) ,microgrid electric load forecasting (MEL) ,Technology - Abstract
Compared with a large power grid, a microgrid electric load (MEL) has the characteristics of strong nonlinearity, multiple factors, and large fluctuation, which lead to it being difficult to receive more accurate forecasting performances. To solve the abovementioned characteristics of a MEL time series, the least squares support vector machine (LS-SVR) hybridizing with meta-heuristic algorithms is applied to simulate the nonlinear system of a MEL time series. As it is known that the fruit fly optimization algorithm (FOA) has several embedded drawbacks that lead to problems, this paper applies a quantum computing mechanism (QCM) to empower each fruit fly to possess quantum behavior during the searching processes, i.e., a QFOA algorithm. Eventually, the cat chaotic mapping function is introduced into the QFOA algorithm, namely CQFOA, to implement the chaotic global perturbation strategy to help fruit flies to escape from the local optima while the population’s diversity is poor. Finally, a new MEL forecasting method, namely the LS-SVR-CQFOA model, is established by hybridizing the LS-SVR model with CQFOA. The experimental results illustrate that, in three datasets, the proposed LS-SVR-CQFOA model is superior to other alternative models, including BPNN (back-propagation neural networks), LS-SVR-CQPSO (LS-SVR with chaotic quantum particle swarm optimization algorithm), LS-SVR-CQTS (LS-SVR with chaotic quantum tabu search algorithm), LS-SVR-CQGA (LS-SVR with chaotic quantum genetic algorithm), LS-SVR-CQBA (LS-SVR with chaotic quantum bat algorithm), LS-SVR-FOA, and LS-SVR-QFOA models, in terms of forecasting accuracy indexes. In addition, it passes the significance test at a 97.5% confidence level.
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- 2018
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13. Combining Grey Model and Self-Adapting Intelligent Grey Model with Genetic Algorithm and Annual Share Changes in Natural Gas Demand Forecasting
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Guo-Feng Fan, An Wang, and Wei-Chiang Hong
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grey model ,self-adapting intelligent grey model ,genetic algorithm ,annual consumption share factor ,natural gas demand forecasting ,Technology - Abstract
Along with the high growth rate of economy and fast increasing air pollution, clean energy, such as the natural gas, has played an important role in preventing the environment from discharge of greenhouse gases and harmful substances in China. It is very important to accurately forecast the demand of natural gas in China is for the government to formulate energy policies. This paper firstly proposes a combined forecasting model, name GM-S-SIGM-GA model, to forecast the demand of natural gas in China from 2011 to 2017, by constructing the grey model (GM(1,1)) and the self-adapting intelligent grey model (SIGM), respectively; then, it employs a genetic algorithm to determine the combined weight coefficients between these two models. Finally, using the tendency index (the annual changes of the share of natural gas consumption from the total energy consumption), which completely reveal the annual natural gas consumption share among the market, to successfully adjust the fluctuated changes for each data period. The natural gas demand data from 2002 to 2010 in China are used to model the proposed GM-S-SIGM-GA model, and the data from 2011 to 2017 are used to evaluate the forecasting accuracy. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed GM-S-SIGM-GA model is superior to other single forecasting models in terms of the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE; 4.48%), the root mean square error (RMSE; 11.59), and the mean absolute error (MAE; 8.41), respectively, and the forecasting performances also receive the statistical significance under 97.5% and 95% confident levels, respectively.
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- 2018
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14. A Hybrid Seasonal Mechanism with a Chaotic Cuckoo Search Algorithm with a Support Vector Regression Model for Electric Load Forecasting
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Yongquan Dong, Zichen Zhang, and Wei-Chiang Hong
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support vector regression ,tent chaotic mapping function ,cuckoo search algorithm ,seasonal mechanism ,load forecasting ,Technology - Abstract
Providing accurate electric load forecasting results plays a crucial role in daily energy management of the power supply system. Due to superior forecasting performance, the hybridizing support vector regression (SVR) model with evolutionary algorithms has received attention and deserves to continue being explored widely. The cuckoo search (CS) algorithm has the potential to contribute more satisfactory electric load forecasting results. However, the original CS algorithm suffers from its inherent drawbacks, such as parameters that require accurate setting, loss of population diversity, and easy trapping in local optima (i.e., premature convergence). Therefore, proposing some critical improvement mechanisms and employing an improved CS algorithm to determine suitable parameter combinations for an SVR model is essential. This paper proposes the SVR with chaotic cuckoo search (SVRCCS) model based on using a tent chaotic mapping function to enrich the cuckoo search space and diversify the population to avoid trapping in local optima. In addition, to deal with the cyclic nature of electric loads, a seasonal mechanism is combined with the SVRCCS model, namely giving a seasonal SVR with chaotic cuckoo search (SSVRCCS) model, to produce more accurate forecasting performances. The numerical results, tested by using the datasets from the National Electricity Market (NEM, Queensland, Australia) and the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO, NY, USA), show that the proposed SSVRCCS model outperforms other alternative models.
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- 2018
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15. Wind Speed Forecasting Based on EMD and GRNN Optimized by FOA
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Dongxiao Niu, Yi Liang, and Wei-Chiang Hong
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wind speed forecasting ,empirical mode decomposition ,general regression neural network ,fruit fly optimization algorithm ,Technology - Abstract
As a kind of clean and renewable energy, wind power is winning more and more attention across the world. Regarding wind power utilization, safety is a core concern and such concern has led to many studies on predicting wind speed. To obtain a more accurate prediction of the wind speed, this paper adopts a new hybrid forecasting model, combing empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and the general regression neural network (GRNN) optimized by the fruit fly optimization algorithm (FOA). In this new model, the original wind speed series are first decomposed into a collection of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and a residue. Next, the inherent relationship (partial correlation) of the datasets is analyzed, and the results are then used to select the input for the forecasting model. Finally, the GRNN with the FOA to optimize the smoothing factor is used to predict each sub-series. The mean absolute percentage error of the forecasting results in two cases are respectively 8.95% and 9.87%, suggesting that the hybrid approach outperforms the compared models, which provides guidance for future wind speed forecasting.
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- 2017
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16. Hybrid Chaotic Quantum Bat Algorithm with SVR in Electric Load Forecasting
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Ming-Wei Li, Jing Geng, Shumei Wang, and Wei-Chiang Hong
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support vector regression ,chaos theory ,quantum behavior ,bat algorithm (BA) ,load forecasting ,Technology - Abstract
Hybridizing evolutionary algorithms with a support vector regression (SVR) model to conduct the electric load forecasting has demonstrated the superiorities in forecasting accuracy improvements. The recently proposed bat algorithm (BA), compared with classical GA and PSO algorithm, has greater potential in forecasting accuracy improvements. However, the original BA still suffers from the embedded drawbacks, including trapping in local optima and premature convergence. Hence, to continue exploring possible improvements of the original BA and to receive more appropriate parameters of an SVR model, this paper applies quantum computing mechanism to empower each bat to possess quantum behavior, then, employs the chaotic mapping function to execute the global chaotic disturbance process, to enlarge bat’s search space and to make the bat jump out from the local optima when population is over accumulation. This paper presents a novel load forecasting approach, namely SVRCQBA model, by hybridizing the SVR model with the quantum computing mechanism, chaotic mapping function, and BA, to receive higher forecasting accuracy. The numerical results demonstrate that the proposed SVRCQBA model is superior to other alternative models in terms of forecasting accuracy.
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- 2017
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17. Applications of Hybrid EMD with PSO and GA for an SVR-Based Load Forecasting Model
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Guo-Feng Fan, Li-Ling Peng, Xiangjun Zhao, and Wei-Chiang Hong
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support vector regression ,empirical mode decomposition (EMD) ,particle swarm optimization (PSO) ,genetic algorithm (GA) ,load forecasting ,Technology - Abstract
Providing accurate load forecasting plays an important role for effective management operations of a power utility. When considering the superiority of support vector regression (SVR) in terms of non-linear optimization, this paper proposes a novel SVR-based load forecasting model, namely EMD-PSO-GA-SVR, by hybridizing the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) with two evolutionary algorithms, i.e., particle swarm optimization (PSO) and the genetic algorithm (GA). The EMD approach is applied to decompose the load data pattern into sequent elements, with higher and lower frequencies. The PSO, with global optimizing ability, is employed to determine the three parameters of a SVR model with higher frequencies. On the contrary, for lower frequencies, the GA, which is based on evolutionary rules of selection and crossover, is used to select suitable values of the three parameters. Finally, the load data collected from the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO) in the United States of America (USA) and the New South Wales (NSW) in the Australian electricity market are used to construct the proposed model and to compare the performances among different competitive forecasting models. The experimental results demonstrate the superiority of the proposed model that it can provide more accurate forecasting results and the interpretability than others.
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- 2017
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18. Icing Forecasting of Transmission Lines with a Modified Back Propagation Neural Network-Support Vector Machine-Extreme Learning Machine with Kernel (BPNN-SVM-KELM) Based on the Variance-Covariance Weight Determination Method
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Dongxiao Niu, Yi Liang, Haichao Wang, Meng Wang, and Wei-Chiang Hong
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icing forecasting ,back propagation neural network ,mind evolutionary computation ,bat algorithm ,support vector machine ,extreme learning machine with kernel ,variance-covariance ,Technology - Abstract
Stable and accurate forecasting of icing thickness is of great significance for the safe operation of the power grid. In order to improve the robustness and accuracy of such forecasting, this paper proposes an innovative combination forecasting model using a modified Back Propagation Neural Network-Support Vector Machine-Extreme Learning Machine with Kernel (BPNN-SVM-KELM) based on the variance-covariance (VC) weight determination method. Firstly, the initial weights and thresholds of BPNN are optimized by mind evolutionary computation (MEC) to prevent the BPNN from falling into local optima and speed up its convergence. Secondly, a bat algorithm (BA) is utilized to optimize the key parameters of SVM. Thirdly, the kernel function is introduced into an extreme learning machine (ELM) to improve the regression prediction accuracy of the model. Lastly, after adopting the above three modified models to predict, the variance-covariance weight determination method is applied to combine the forecasting results. Through performance verification of the model by real-world examples, the results show that the forecasting accuracy of the three individual modified models proposed in this paper has been improved, but the stability is poor, whereas the combination forecasting method proposed in this paper is not only accurate, but also stable. As a result, it can provide technical reference for the safety management of power grid.
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- 2017
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19. Correction: Liang, Y., et al. Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Wavelet Transform and Least Squares Support Vector Machine Optimized by Improved Cuckoo Search. Energies 2016, 9, 827
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Yi Liang, Dongxiao Niu, Minquan Ye, and Wei-Chiang Hong
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n/a ,Technology - Abstract
n/a
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- 2016
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20. Analysis and Modeling for China’s Electricity Demand Forecasting Using a Hybrid Method Based on Multiple Regression and Extreme Learning Machine: A View from Carbon Emission
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Yi Liang, Dongxiao Niu, Ye Cao, and Wei-Chiang Hong
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electricity demand forecasting ,multiple regression (MR) ,extreme learning machine (ELM) ,induced ordered weighted harmonic averaging operator (IOWHA) ,grey relation degree (GRD) ,carbon emission ,Technology - Abstract
The power industry is the main battlefield of CO2 emission reduction, which plays an important role in the implementation and development of the low carbon economy. The forecasting of electricity demand can provide a scientific basis for the country to formulate a power industry development strategy and further promote the sustained, healthy and rapid development of the national economy. Under the goal of low-carbon economy, medium and long term electricity demand forecasting will have very important practical significance. In this paper, a new hybrid electricity demand model framework is characterized as follows: firstly, integration of grey relation degree (GRD) with induced ordered weighted harmonic averaging operator (IOWHA) to propose a new weight determination method of hybrid forecasting model on basis of forecasting accuracy as induced variables is presented; secondly, utilization of the proposed weight determination method to construct the optimal hybrid forecasting model based on extreme learning machine (ELM) forecasting model and multiple regression (MR) model; thirdly, three scenarios in line with the level of realization of various carbon emission targets and dynamic simulation of effect of low-carbon economy on future electricity demand are discussed. The resulting findings show that, the proposed model outperformed and concentrated some monomial forecasting models, especially in boosting the overall instability dramatically. In addition, the development of a low-carbon economy will increase the demand for electricity, and have an impact on the adjustment of the electricity demand structure.
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- 2016
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21. Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Wavelet Transform and Least Squares Support Vector Machine Optimized by Improved Cuckoo Search
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Yi Liang, Dongxiao Niu, Minquan Ye, and Wei-Chiang Hong
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short-term load forecasting ,wavelet transform ,least squares support vector machine ,cuckoo search ,Gauss disturbance ,Technology - Abstract
Due to the electricity market deregulation and integration of renewable resources, electrical load forecasting is becoming increasingly important for the Chinese government in recent years. The electric load cannot be exactly predicted only by a single model, because the short-term electric load is disturbed by several external factors, leading to the characteristics of volatility and instability. To end this, this paper proposes a hybrid model based on wavelet transform (WT) and least squares support vector machine (LSSVM), which is optimized by an improved cuckoo search (CS). To improve the accuracy of prediction, the WT is used to eliminate the high frequency components of the previous day’s load data. Additional, the Gauss disturbance is applied to the process of establishing new solutions based on CS to improve the convergence speed and search ability. Finally, the parameters of the LSSVM model are optimized by using the improved cuckoo search. According to the research outcome, the result of the implementation demonstrates that the hybrid model can be used in the short-term forecasting of the power system.
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- 2016
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22. Hybridizing DEMD and Quantum PSO with SVR in Electric Load Forecasting
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Li-Ling Peng, Guo-Feng Fan, Min-Liang Huang, and Wei-Chiang Hong
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electric load forecasting ,support vector regression ,quantum theory ,particle swarm optimization ,differential empirical mode decomposition ,auto regression ,Technology - Abstract
Electric load forecasting is an important issue for a power utility, associated with the management of daily operations such as energy transfer scheduling, unit commitment, and load dispatch. Inspired by strong non-linear learning capability of support vector regression (SVR), this paper presents an SVR model hybridized with the differential empirical mode decomposition (DEMD) method and quantum particle swarm optimization algorithm (QPSO) for electric load forecasting. The DEMD method is employed to decompose the electric load to several detail parts associated with high frequencies (intrinsic mode function—IMF) and an approximate part associated with low frequencies. Hybridized with quantum theory to enhance particle searching performance, the so-called QPSO is used to optimize the parameters of SVR. The electric load data of the New South Wales (Sydney, Australia) market and the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO, New York, USA) are used for comparing the forecasting performances of different forecasting models. The results illustrate the validity of the idea that the proposed model can simultaneously provide forecasting with good accuracy and interpretability.
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- 2016
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23. Electric Load Forecasting Based on a Least Squares Support Vector Machine with Fuzzy Time Series and Global Harmony Search Algorithm
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Yan Hong Chen, Wei-Chiang Hong, Wen Shen, and Ning Ning Huang
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electric load forecasting ,least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) ,global harmony search algorithm (GHSA) ,fuzzy time series (FTS) ,fuzzy c-means (FCM) ,Technology - Abstract
This paper proposes a new electric load forecasting model by hybridizing the fuzzy time series (FTS) and global harmony search algorithm (GHSA) with least squares support vector machines (LSSVM), namely GHSA-FTS-LSSVM model. Firstly, the fuzzy c-means clustering (FCS) algorithm is used to calculate the clustering center of each cluster. Secondly, the LSSVM is applied to model the resultant series, which is optimized by GHSA. Finally, a real-world example is adopted to test the performance of the proposed model. In this investigation, the proposed model is verified using experimental datasets from the Guangdong Province Industrial Development Database, and results are compared against autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and other algorithms hybridized with LSSVM including genetic algorithm (GA), particle swarm optimization (PSO), harmony search, and so on. The forecasting results indicate that the proposed GHSA-FTS-LSSVM model effectively generates more accurate predictive results.
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- 2016
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24. Design of Metaheuristic Optimization Algorithms for Deep Learning Model for Secure IoT Environment
- Author
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Amit Sagu, Nasib Singh Gill, Preeti Gulia, Pradeep Kumar Singh, and Wei-Chiang Hong
- Subjects
deep learning models ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,IoT security ,Geography, Planning and Development ,optimization algorithms ,Building and Construction ,Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law - Abstract
Because of the rise in the number of cyberattacks, the devices that make up the Internet of Things (IoT) environment are experiencing increased levels of security risks. In recent years, a significant number of centralized systems have been developed to identify intrusions into the IoT environment. However, due to diverse requirements of IoT devices such as dispersion, scalability, resource restrictions, and decreased latency, these strategies were unable to achieve notable outcomes. The present paper introduces two novel metaheuristic optimization algorithms for optimizing the weights of deep learning (DL) models, use of DL may help in the detection and prevention of cyberattacks of this nature. Furthermore, two hybrid DL classifiers, i.e., convolutional neural network (CNN) + deep belief network (DBN) and bidirectional long short-term memory (Bi-LSTM) + gated recurrent network (GRU), were designed and tuned using the already proposed optimization algorithms, which results in ads to improved model accuracy. The results are evaluated against the recent approaches in the relevant field along with the hybrid DL classifier. Model performance metrics such as accuracy, rand index, f-measure, and MCC are used to draw conclusions about the model’s validity by employing two distinct datasets. Regarding all performance metrics, the proposed approach outperforms both conventional and cutting-edge methods.
- Published
- 2023
25. Blockchain Adoption to Secure the Food Industry: Opportunities and Challenges
- Author
-
Sudeep Tanwar, Akshay Parmar, Aparna Kumari, Nilesh Kumar Jadav, Wei-Chiang Hong, and Ravi Sharma
- Subjects
Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,blockchain ,food industry ,food supply chain ,traceability ,food data security ,Geography, Planning and Development ,Building and Construction ,Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law ,ComputingMilieux_MISCELLANEOUS - Abstract
With the growth in food products’ usage, ensuring their quality and safety has become progressively difficult. Specifically, food traceability turns out to be a very critical task for retailers, sellers, consumers, surveillance authorities, and other stakeholders in the food supply chain system. There are requirements for food authenticity verification (correct declaration of cultivation, origin, and variety), quality checks (e.g., justification for higher prices), and preventing food products from fraudsters in the food industry. The ubiquitous and promising technology of blockchain ensures the traceability of food trade networks with high potential and handles the aforementioned issues. Blockchain makes the food industry more transparent at all levels by storing data immutably and enabling quick tracking across the stages of the food supply chain. Hence, commodities, stakeholders, and semi-finished food items can be recognized significantly faster. Motivated by these facts, in this paper, we present an in-depth survey of state-of-the-art approaches to the food industry’s security, food traceability, and food supply chain management. Further, we propose a blockchain-based secure and decentralized food industry architecture to alleviate security and privacy aspects and present a comprehensive solution taxonomy for a blockchain-based food industry. Then, a comparative analysis of existing approaches with respect to various parameters, i.e., scalability, latency, and food quality, is presented, which facilitates the end-user in selecting approaches based on the merits over other approaches. Finally, we provide insights into the open issues and research challenges with concluding remarks.
- Published
- 2022
26. Sustainable Development Evaluation of Innovation and Entrepreneurship Education of Clean Energy Major in Colleges and Universities Based on SPA-VFS and GRNN Optimized by Chaos Bat Algorithm
- Author
-
Haichao Wang, Yi Liang, and Wei-Chiang Hong
- Subjects
Index (economics) ,Process (engineering) ,Computer science ,020209 energy ,Geography, Planning and Development ,Fuzzy set ,variable fuzzy sets ,TJ807-830 ,02 engineering and technology ,010501 environmental sciences ,Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law ,TD194-195 ,01 natural sciences ,Renewable energy sources ,generalized regression neural network ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,GE1-350 ,innovation and entrepreneurship education ,Bat algorithm ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Sustainable development ,Chaos bat algorithm ,ComputingMilieux_THECOMPUTINGPROFESSION ,Environmental effects of industries and plants ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,set pair analysis ,Building and Construction ,Investment (macroeconomics) ,clean energy major in colleges and universities ,Environmental sciences ,Variable (computer science) ,Engineering management ,Sustainability ,evaluation of sustainable development - Abstract
The research on the sustainability evaluation of innovation and entrepreneurship education for clean energy majors in colleges and universities can not only cultivate more and better innovative and entrepreneurial talents for the development of sustainable energy but also provide a reference for the sustainable development of innovation and entrepreneurship education for other majors. To achieve systematic and comprehensive scientific evaluation, this paper proposes an evaluation model based on SPA-VFS and Chaos bat algorithm to optimize GRNN. Firstly, the sustainability evaluation index system of innovation and entrepreneurship education for clean energy major in colleges and universities is constructed from the four aspects of the environment, investment, process, and results, and the meaning of each evaluation index is explained, Then, combined with variable fuzzy set evaluation theory (VFS) and set pair analysis theory (SPA), the classical evaluation model based on SPA-VFS is constructed, and the entropy weight method and rank method are coupled to obtain the index weight. The basic bat algorithm is improved by using Tent chaotic mapping, and the chaotic bat algorithm (CBA) is proposed. The generalized regression neural network (GRNN) model is optimized by CBA, and the intelligent evaluation model based on CBA-GRNN is obtained to realize fast real-time calculation, finally, a numerical example is used to verify the scientificity and accuracy of the model proposed in this paper. This study is conducive to a comprehensive evaluation of the sustainability of innovation and entrepreneurship education for clean energy major in colleges and universities, and is conducive to the healthy and sustainable development of innovation and entrepreneurship education for clean energy major in colleges and universities, so as to provide more innovative and entrepreneurial talents for the clean energy industry.
- Published
- 2021
27. An Intelligent Opportunistic Routing Algorithm for Wireless Sensor Networks and Its Application Towards e-Healthcare
- Author
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Wei-Chiang Hong, Arvind Selwal, Yashwant Singh, Deep Kumar Bangotra, Nagesh Kumar, and Pradeep Kumar Singh
- Subjects
Routing protocol ,Time Factors ,Computer science ,02 engineering and technology ,lcsh:Chemical technology ,Biochemistry ,Article ,Analytical Chemistry ,law.invention ,Machine Learning ,wireless sensor networks (WSN) ,Relay ,law ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,naïve Bayes ,Humans ,lcsh:TP1-1185 ,Electrical and Electronic Engineering ,Instrumentation ,energy efficiency ,reliability ,Wireless network ,business.industry ,Network packet ,Node (networking) ,ComputerSystemsOrganization_COMPUTER-COMMUNICATIONNETWORKS ,relay node ,Reproducibility of Results ,020206 networking & telecommunications ,opportunistic routing (OR) ,Atomic and Molecular Physics, and Optics ,Networking hardware ,Telemedicine ,Sensor node ,020201 artificial intelligence & image processing ,Routing (electronic design automation) ,business ,Wireless sensor network ,Wireless Technology ,Algorithms ,Computer network ,Efficient energy use - Abstract
The lifetime of a node in wireless sensor networks (WSN) is directly responsible for the longevity of the wireless network. The routing of packets is the most energy-consuming activity for a sensor node. Thus, finding an energy-efficient routing strategy for transmission of packets becomes of utmost importance. The opportunistic routing (OR) protocol is one of the new routing protocol that promises reliability and energy efficiency during transmission of packets in wireless sensor networks (WSN). In this paper, we propose an intelligent opportunistic routing protocol (IOP) using a machine learning technique, to select a relay node from the list of potential forwarder nodes to achieve energy efficiency and reliability in the network. The proposed approach might have applications including e-healthcare services. As the proposed method might achieve reliability in the network because it can connect several healthcare network devices in a better way and good healthcare services might be offered. In addition to this, the proposed method saves energy, therefore, it helps the remote patient to connect with healthcare services for a longer duration with the integration of IoT services.
- Published
- 2020
28. Indoor Air Quality Monitoring Systems for Enhanced Living Environments: A Review toward Sustainable Smart Cities
- Author
-
Maitreyee Dutta, Wei-Chiang Hong, Jagriti Saini, Pradeep Kumar Singh, and Gonçalo Marques
- Subjects
Architectural engineering ,smart cities ,Computer science ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Geography, Planning and Development ,Population ,TJ807-830 ,02 engineering and technology ,010501 environmental sciences ,Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law ,TD194-195 ,01 natural sciences ,Health informatics ,Occupational safety and health ,Renewable energy sources ,Indoor air quality ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Quality (business) ,GE1-350 ,education ,enhanced living environments ,health informatics ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,media_common ,education.field_of_study ,ambient assisted living ,Environmental effects of industries and plants ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,business.industry ,020206 networking & telecommunications ,Environmental sciences ,business ,Wireless sensor network ,indoor air quality - Abstract
Smart cities follow different strategies to face public health challenges associated with socio-economic objectives. Buildings play a crucial role in smart cities and are closely related to people’s health. Moreover, they are equally essential to meet sustainable objectives. People spend most of their time indoors. Therefore, indoor air quality has a critical impact on health and well-being. With the increasing population of elders, ambient-assisted living systems are required to promote occupational health and well-being. Furthermore, living environments must incorporate monitoring systems to detect unfavorable indoor quality scenarios in useful time. This paper reviews the current state of the art on indoor air quality monitoring systems based on Internet of Things and wireless sensor networks in the last five years (2014–2019). This document focuses on the architecture, microcontrollers, connectivity, and sensors used by these systems. The main contribution is to synthesize the existing body of knowledge and identify common threads and gaps that open up new significant and challenging future research directions. The results show that 57% of the indoor air quality monitoring systems are based on Arduino, 53% of the systems use Internet of Things, and WSN architectures represent 33%. The CO2 and PM monitoring sensors are the most monitored parameters in the analyzed literature, corresponding to 67% and 29%, respectively.
- Published
- 2020
29. Smart Evaluation of Green Campus Sustainability Considering Energy Utilization
- Author
-
Yang Xu, Wei-Chiang Hong, Yi Liang, Hongmei Zhao, and Dandan Zou
- Subjects
Operations research ,Computer science ,020209 energy ,Geography, Planning and Development ,Big data ,TJ807-830 ,02 engineering and technology ,Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law ,dynamic Bayesian inference ,TD194-195 ,Bayesian inference ,Renewable energy sources ,Spark (mathematics) ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,GE1-350 ,Sustainable development ,Adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system ,sustainable development ,Environmental effects of industries and plants ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,business.industry ,adaptive network fuzzy inference system ,green campus evaluation ,Environmental sciences ,Work (electrical) ,Sustainability ,020201 artificial intelligence & image processing ,business ,Energy (signal processing) - Abstract
With the change in energy utilization, a fast and accurate evaluation method is of great importance to promote green campus sustainability. In order to improve the feasibility and timeliness of evaluation, an intelligent evaluation model based on dynamic Bayesian inference and adaptive network fuzzy inference system (DBN-ANFIS) is proposed. Firstly, from the perspective of sustainability and considering the changes in energy utilization, a green campus evaluation index system is constructed from four levels: campus resource utilization, campus environment creation, campus usage management, and campus eco-efficiency. On this basis, the parameters of the adaptive network fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) are optimized based on dynamic Bayesian inference (DBN), so as to apply the modified model to the green campus evaluation work of the Spark big data operation platform. Finally, the scientificity of the model proposed in this paper is verified through example analysis, which is conducive to the real-time and effective evaluation of green campus sustainability and provides scientific and rational decision support to improve its management.
- Published
- 2021
30. Applications of Hybrid EMD with PSO and GA for an SVR-Based Load Forecasting Model
- Author
-
Li-Ling Peng, Guo-Feng Fan, Wei-Chiang Hong, and Xiangjun Zhao
- Subjects
support vector regression ,empirical mode decomposition (EMD) ,particle swarm optimization (PSO) ,genetic algorithm (GA) ,load forecasting ,Engineering ,Control and Optimization ,020209 energy ,Crossover ,Evolutionary algorithm ,Energy Engineering and Power Technology ,02 engineering and technology ,computer.software_genre ,lcsh:Technology ,Hilbert–Huang transform ,Genetic algorithm ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Electricity market ,Electrical and Electronic Engineering ,Engineering (miscellaneous) ,Interpretability ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,business.industry ,lcsh:T ,Particle swarm optimization ,Support vector machine ,020201 artificial intelligence & image processing ,Data mining ,business ,computer ,Energy (miscellaneous) - Abstract
Providing accurate load forecasting plays an important role for effective management operations of a power utility. When considering the superiority of support vector regression (SVR) in terms of non-linear optimization, this paper proposes a novel SVR-based load forecasting model, namely EMD-PSO-GA-SVR, by hybridizing the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) with two evolutionary algorithms, i.e., particle swarm optimization (PSO) and the genetic algorithm (GA). The EMD approach is applied to decompose the load data pattern into sequent elements, with higher and lower frequencies. The PSO, with global optimizing ability, is employed to determine the three parameters of a SVR model with higher frequencies. On the contrary, for lower frequencies, the GA, which is based on evolutionary rules of selection and crossover, is used to select suitable values of the three parameters. Finally, the load data collected from the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO) in the United States of America (USA) and the New South Wales (NSW) in the Australian electricity market are used to construct the proposed model and to compare the performances among different competitive forecasting models. The experimental results demonstrate the superiority of the proposed model that it can provide more accurate forecasting results and the interpretability than others.
- Published
- 2017
31. Support Vector Regression Model Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition and Auto Regression for Electric Load Forecasting
- Author
-
Wei-Chiang Hong, Hua Wang, Shan Qing, Guo-Feng Fan, and Hong-Juan Li
- Subjects
Engineering ,Control and Optimization ,Electrical load ,Scheduling (production processes) ,Energy Engineering and Power Technology ,computer.software_genre ,lcsh:Technology ,Hilbert–Huang transform ,electric load prediction ,Support vector regression model ,jel:Q40 ,Power system simulation ,jel:Q ,jel:Q43 ,jel:Q42 ,jel:Q41 ,jel:Q48 ,jel:Q47 ,Electrical and Electronic Engineering ,support vector regression ,Engineering (miscellaneous) ,jel:Q49 ,Interpretability ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,business.industry ,lcsh:T ,jel:Q0 ,jel:Q4 ,empirical mode decomposition auto regression ,Support vector machine ,Autoregressive model ,Data mining ,business ,computer ,Energy (miscellaneous) - Abstract
Electric load forecasting is an important issue for a power utility, associated with the management of daily operations such as energy transfer scheduling, unit commitment, and load dispatch. Inspired by strong non-linear learning capability of support vector regression (SVR), this paper presents a SVR model hybridized with the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method and auto regression (AR) for electric load forecasting. The electric load data of the New South Wales (Australia) market are employed for comparing the forecasting performances of different forecasting models. The results confirm the validity of the idea that the proposed model can simultaneously provide forecasting with good accuracy and interpretability.
- Published
- 2013
32. SVR with Hybrid Chaotic Immune Algorithm for Seasonal Load Demand Forecasting
- Author
-
Chien-Yuan Lai, Wei-Chiang Hong, Yucheng Dong, Shih-Yung Wei, and Li-Yueh Chen
- Subjects
support vector regression (SVR) ,Engineering ,Control and Optimization ,Electrical load ,seasonal adjustment ,Population ,Energy Engineering and Power Technology ,lcsh:Technology ,jel:Q40 ,Local optimum ,jel:Q ,jel:Q43 ,jel:Q42 ,jel:Q41 ,jel:Q48 ,jel:Q47 ,Seasonal adjustment ,Autoregressive integrated moving average ,Electrical and Electronic Engineering ,education ,Engineering (miscellaneous) ,jel:Q49 ,education.field_of_study ,electric load forecasting ,lcsh:T ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,business.industry ,jel:Q0 ,Demand forecasting ,chaotic immune algorithm (CIA) ,jel:Q4 ,Stochastic optimization ,business ,Algorithm ,Energy (miscellaneous) ,Premature convergence - Abstract
Accurate electric load forecasting has become the most important issue in energy management; however, electric load demonstrates a seasonal/cyclic tendency from economic activities or the cyclic nature of climate. The applications of the support vector regression (SVR) model to deal with seasonal/cyclic electric load forecasting have not been widely explored. The purpose of this paper is to present a SVR model which combines the seasonal adjustment mechanism and a chaotic immune algorithm (namely SSVRCIA) to forecast monthly electric loads. Based on the operation procedure of the immune algorithm (IA), if the population diversity of an initial population cannot be maintained under selective pressure, then IA could only seek for the solutions in the narrow space and the solution is far from the global optimum (premature convergence). The proposed chaotic immune algorithm (CIA) based on the chaos optimization algorithm and IA, which diversifies the initial definition domain in stochastic optimization procedures, is used to overcome the premature local optimum issue in determining three parameters of a SVR model. A numerical example from an existing reference is used to elucidate the forecasting performance of the proposed SSVRCIA model. The forecasting results indicate that the proposed model yields more accurate forecasting results than the ARIMA and TF-ε-SVR-SA models, and therefore the SSVRCIA model is a promising alternative for electric load forecasting.
- Published
- 2011
33. Wind Speed Forecasting Based on EMD and GRNN Optimized by FOA
- Author
-
Wei-Chiang Hong, Yi Liang, and Dongxiao Niu
- Subjects
Control and Optimization ,Computer science ,020209 energy ,Energy Engineering and Power Technology ,02 engineering and technology ,computer.software_genre ,lcsh:Technology ,Hilbert–Huang transform ,Wind speed ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,wind speed forecasting ,fruit fly optimization algorithm ,empirical mode decomposition ,Electrical and Electronic Engineering ,Engineering (miscellaneous) ,Partial correlation ,Wind power ,lcsh:T ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,business.industry ,Mode (statistics) ,Renewable energy ,general regression neural network ,Mean absolute percentage error ,020201 artificial intelligence & image processing ,Data mining ,business ,computer ,Smoothing ,Energy (miscellaneous) - Abstract
As a kind of clean and renewable energy, wind power is winning more and more attention across the world. Regarding wind power utilization, safety is a core concern and such concern has led to many studies on predicting wind speed. To obtain a more accurate prediction of the wind speed, this paper adopts a new hybrid forecasting model, combing empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and the general regression neural network (GRNN) optimized by the fruit fly optimization algorithm (FOA). In this new model, the original wind speed series are first decomposed into a collection of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and a residue. Next, the inherent relationship (partial correlation) of the datasets is analyzed, and the results are then used to select the input for the forecasting model. Finally, the GRNN with the FOA to optimize the smoothing factor is used to predict each sub-series. The mean absolute percentage error of the forecasting results in two cases are respectively 8.95% and 9.87%, suggesting that the hybrid approach outperforms the compared models, which provides guidance for future wind speed forecasting.
- Published
- 2017
34. Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Wavelet Transform and Least Squares Support Vector Machine Optimized by Improved Cuckoo Search
- Author
-
Minquan Ye, Yi Liang, Dongxiao Niu, and Wei-Chiang Hong
- Subjects
Engineering ,Mathematical optimization ,Control and Optimization ,Electrical load ,020209 energy ,Load forecasting ,Energy Engineering and Power Technology ,short-term load forecasting ,02 engineering and technology ,lcsh:Technology ,Electric power system ,Least squares support vector machine ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Electrical and Electronic Engineering ,Cuckoo search ,wavelet transform ,Engineering (miscellaneous) ,lcsh:T ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,business.industry ,Gauss ,Wavelet transform ,cuckoo search ,least squares support vector machine ,Gauss disturbance ,020201 artificial intelligence & image processing ,Volatility (finance) ,business ,Energy (miscellaneous) - Abstract
Due to the electricity market deregulation and integration of renewable resources, electrical load forecasting is becoming increasingly important for the Chinese government in recent years. The electric load cannot be exactly predicted only by a single model, because the short-term electric load is disturbed by several external factors, leading to the characteristics of volatility and instability. To end this, this paper proposes a hybrid model based on wavelet transform (WT) and least squares support vector machine (LSSVM), which is optimized by an improved cuckoo search (CS). To improve the accuracy of prediction, the WT is used to eliminate the high frequency components of the previous day’s load data. Additional, the Gauss disturbance is applied to the process of establishing new solutions based on CS to improve the convergence speed and search ability. Finally, the parameters of the LSSVM model are optimized by using the improved cuckoo search. According to the research outcome, the result of the implementation demonstrates that the hybrid model can be used in the short-term forecasting of the power system.
- Published
- 2016
35. Hybridizing DEMD and Quantum PSO with SVR in Electric Load Forecasting
- Author
-
Min-Liang Huang, Li-Ling Peng, Wei-Chiang Hong, and Guo-Feng Fan
- Subjects
Mathematical optimization ,Engineering ,Control and Optimization ,Electrical load ,020209 energy ,electric load forecasting ,support vector regression ,quantum theory ,particle swarm optimization ,differential empirical mode decomposition ,auto regression ,Energy Engineering and Power Technology ,02 engineering and technology ,lcsh:Technology ,Hilbert–Huang transform ,Scheduling (computing) ,Power system simulation ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Electrical and Electronic Engineering ,Engineering (miscellaneous) ,Interpretability ,lcsh:T ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,business.industry ,Particle swarm optimization ,Support vector machine ,Autoregressive model ,020201 artificial intelligence & image processing ,Artificial intelligence ,business ,Energy (miscellaneous) - Abstract
Electric load forecasting is an important issue for a power utility, associated with the management of daily operations such as energy transfer scheduling, unit commitment, and load dispatch. Inspired by strong non-linear learning capability of support vector regression (SVR), this paper presents an SVR model hybridized with the differential empirical mode decomposition (DEMD) method and quantum particle swarm optimization algorithm (QPSO) for electric load forecasting. The DEMD method is employed to decompose the electric load to several detail parts associated with high frequencies (intrinsic mode function—IMF) and an approximate part associated with low frequencies. Hybridized with quantum theory to enhance particle searching performance, the so-called QPSO is used to optimize the parameters of SVR. The electric load data of the New South Wales (Sydney, Australia) market and the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO, New York, USA) are used for comparing the forecasting performances of different forecasting models. The results illustrate the validity of the idea that the proposed model can simultaneously provide forecasting with good accuracy and interpretability.
- Published
- 2016
36. Electric Load Forecasting Based on a Least Squares Support Vector Machine with Fuzzy Time Series and Global Harmony Search Algorithm
- Author
-
Ning Ning Huang, Yan Hong Chen, Wen Shen, and Wei-Chiang Hong
- Subjects
Engineering ,Control and Optimization ,020209 energy ,Energy Engineering and Power Technology ,02 engineering and technology ,global harmony search algorithm (GHSA) ,computer.software_genre ,lcsh:Technology ,Fuzzy logic ,Least squares support vector machine ,Genetic algorithm ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Autoregressive integrated moving average ,Electrical and Electronic Engineering ,fuzzy time series (FTS) ,Cluster analysis ,Engineering (miscellaneous) ,least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) ,electric load forecasting ,lcsh:T ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,business.industry ,Particle swarm optimization ,Support vector machine ,Harmony search ,fuzzy c-means (FCM) ,020201 artificial intelligence & image processing ,Data mining ,business ,computer ,Energy (miscellaneous) - Abstract
This paper proposes a new electric load forecasting model by hybridizing the fuzzy time series (FTS) and global harmony search algorithm (GHSA) with least squares support vector machines (LSSVM), namely GHSA-FTS-LSSVM model. Firstly, the fuzzy c-means clustering (FCS) algorithm is used to calculate the clustering center of each cluster. Secondly, the LSSVM is applied to model the resultant series, which is optimized by GHSA. Finally, a real-world example is adopted to test the performance of the proposed model. In this investigation, the proposed model is verified using experimental datasets from the Guangdong Province Industrial Development Database, and results are compared against autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and other algorithms hybridized with LSSVM including genetic algorithm (GA), particle swarm optimization (PSO), harmony search, and so on. The forecasting results indicate that the proposed GHSA-FTS-LSSVM model effectively generates more accurate predictive results.
- Published
- 2016
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