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This study aimed to develop and validate a simple scoring system to determine the high-risk group for pancreatic cancer (PC) in the asymptomatic general population. The scoring system was developed using data from PC cases and randomly selected non-PC cases undergoing annual medical checkups between 2008 and 2013. The performance of this score was validated for participants with medical checkups between 2014 and 2016. In the development set, 45 PC cases were diagnosed and 450 non-PC cases were identified. Multivariate analysis showed three changes in clinical data from 1 year before diagnosis as independent risk factors: ΔHbA1c ≥ 0.3%, ΔBMI ≤ -0.5, and ΔLDL ≤ -20 mg/dL. A simple scoring system, incorporating variables and abdominal ultrasound findings, was developed. In the validation set, 36 PC cases were diagnosed over a 3-year period from 32,877 participants. The AUROC curve of the scoring system was 0.925 (95%CI 0.877-0.973). The positive score of early-stage PC cases, including Stage 0 and I cases, was significantly higher than that of non-PC cases (80% vs. 6%, p = 0.001). The simple scoring system effectively narrows down high-risk PC cases in the general population and provides a reasonable approach for early detection of PC.

The diagnosis of autoimmune pancreatitis (AIP) and immunoglobulin G4-related sclerosing cholangitis (IgG4-SC) may require a somewhat invasive pathological examination and steroid responsiveness. This retrospective study assessed the complemental diagnosis of AIP and IgG4-SC using submandibular gland (SG) ultrasonography (US) in 69 patients, including 54 patients with AIP, 2 patients with IgG4-SC, and 13 patients with both AIP and IgG4-SC. The data from the physical examination and US of SGs to diagnose AIP ( n = 67) and IgG4-SC ( n = 15) were analyzed. The steroid therapy efficacy in resolving hypoechoic lesions in SGs was evaluated in 36 cases. The presence of IgG4-related pancreaticobiliary disease with multiple hypoechoic lesions in SGs was reduced from 31 to 11 cases after steroid therapy, suggesting that multiple hypoechoic lesions in SGs are strongly associated with IgG4-positive cell infiltrations. Multiple hypoechoic lesions in SGs were observed in 53 cases, whereas submandibular swelling on palpation was observed in 21 cases of IgG4-related pancreaticobiliary diseases. A complemental diagnosis of IgG4-related pancreaticobiliary diseases without a histological diagnosis and steroid therapy was achieved in 57 and 68 cases without and with multiple hypoechoic lesions in SGs, respectively. In conclusion, multiple hypoechoic lesions in SGs are useful for the complemental diagnosis of IgG4-related pancreaticobiliary diseases.