1. Investigating Limits in Exploiting Assembled Landslide Inventories for Calibrating Regional Susceptibility Models: A Test in Volcanic Areas of El Salvador.
- Author
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Martinello, Chiara, Mercurio, Claudio, Cappadonia, Chiara, Hernández Martínez, Miguel Ángel, Reyes Martínez, Mario Ernesto, Rivera Ayala, Jacqueline Yamileth, Conoscenti, Christian, and Rotigliano, Edoardo
- Subjects
LANDSLIDES ,LANDSLIDE hazard analysis ,INVENTORIES ,DEBRIS avalanches - Abstract
Featured Application: This research deals with a very relevant topic in the framework of landslide susceptibility mapping, highlighting some very critical drawbacks in using a weak landslide inventory for regional-scale assessment. Tools and strategies for recognizing and approaching such limits are given. This research is focused on the evaluation of the reliability of regional landslide susceptibility models obtained by exploiting inhomogeneous (for quality, resolution and/or triggering related type and intensity) collected inventories for calibration. At a large-scale glance, merging more inventories can result in well-performing models hiding potential strong predictive deficiencies. An example of the limits that such kinds of models can display is given by a landslide susceptibility study, which was carried out for a large sector of the coastal area of El Salvador, where an apparently well-performing regional model (AUC = 0.87) was obtained by regressing a dataset through multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), including five landslide inventories from volcanic areas (Ilopango and Coatepeque caldera; San Salvador, San Miguel, and San Vicente Volcanoes). A multiscale validation strategy was applied to verify its actual predictive skill on a local base, bringing to light the loss in the predictive power of the regional model, with a lowering of AUC (20% on average) and strong effects in terms of sensitivity and specificity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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