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In this work, the authors provide a case study of time series regression techniques for water quality forecasting. With the constant striving to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG), the need for sensitive and reliable water management tools has become critical. Continuous online surface water quality monitoring systems that record time series data about surface water parameters are essential for the supervision of water conditions and proper water management practices. The time series data obtained from these systems can be used to develop mathematical models for the prediction of the temporal evolution of water quality parameters. Using these mathematical models, predictions can be made about future trends in water quality to pinpoint irregular behaviours in measured data and identify the presence of anomalous events. We compared the performance of regression models with different structures for the forecasting of water parameters by utilizing a data set collected from the Kis-Balaton Water Protection System (KBWPS) wetland region of Hungary over an observation period of eleven months as a case study. In our study, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) regression models with different structures have been compared based on forecasting performance. Using the resulting models, trends of the oxygen saturation, pH level, electrical conductivity, and redox potential of the water could be accurately forecast (validation data residual standard deviation between 0.09 and 20.8) while in the case of turbidity, only averages of future values could be predicted (validation data residual standard deviation of 56.3). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this article, the authors focus on the introduction of a hybrid method for risk-based fault detection (FD) using dynamic principal component analysis (DPCA) and failure method and effect analysis (FMEA) based Bayesian networks (BNs). The FD problem has garnered great interest in industrial application, yet methods for integrating process risk into the detection procedure are still scarce. It is, however, critical to assess the risk each possible process fault holds to differentiate between non-safety-critical and safety-critical abnormalities and thus minimize alarm rates. The proposed method utilizes a BN established through FMEA analysis of the supervised process and the results of dynamical principal component analysis to estimate a modified risk priority number (RPN) of different process states. The RPN is used parallel to the FD procedure, incorporating the results of both to differentiate between process abnormalities and highlight critical issues. The method is showcased using an industrial benchmark problem as well as the model of a reactor utilized in the emerging liquid organic hydrogen carrier (LOHC) technology. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this study, the decomposition of five different raw materials (maize, wheat and piney biomass, industrial wood chips and sunflower husk) were investigated using the TG-FTIR method to obtain raw data for model-based calculations. The data obtained from the thermogravimetric analysis served as a basis for kinetic analysis with three different isoconversional, model-free methods, which were the KAS, FWO and Friedman methods. Afterwards, the activation energy and the pre-exponential factor were determined, and no significant difference could be identified among the used methods (difference was under 5%), achieving 203–270 kJ/mol of Ea on average. Thereafter, the thermodynamic parameters were studied. Based on the TG-FTIR data, a logistic regression model was fitted to the data, which gives information about the thermal degradation and the obtained components with different heating rates. The FTIR analysis resulted in differential peaks corresponding to the studied components that were detected within the temperature range of 350–380 °C. The primary degradation processes occurred within a broader temperature range of 200–600 °C. Accordingly, in this work, the use of logistic mixture models as an alternative to traditional kinetic models for the description of the TGA process was also investigated, reaching adequate performance in fitting by a validation data coefficient of determination of R2 = 0.9988. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The properties of 3D-printed bodies are an essential part of both the industrial and research sectors, as the manufacturers try to improve them in order to make this now additive manufacturing method more appealing compared to conventional manufacturing methods, like injection moulding. Great achievements were accomplished in both 3D printing materials and machines that made 3D printing a viable way to produce parts in recent years. However, in terms of printing parameters, there is still much room for advancements. This paper discusses four of the 3D printing parameters that affect the properties of the final products made by chopped glass fibre-filled nylon filaments; these parameters are the printing temperature, nozzle diameter, layer height, and infill orientation. Furthermore, a polynomial function was fitted to the measured data points, which made it possible to calculate the tensile strength, flexural strength, and Young's modulus of the 3D-printed samples based on their printing parameters. A Pearson correlation analysis was also carried out to determine the impact of each parameter on all three mechanical properties studied. Both the infill orientation and printing temperature had a significant effect on both strengths and Young's modulus, while the effect of nozzle diameters and layer heights were dependent on the infill orientation used. Also, a model with excellent performance was established to predict the three mechanical properties of the samples based on the four major parameters used. As expected from a fibre-reinforced material, the infill orientation had the most significant effect on the tensile strength, flexural strength, and Young's modulus. The temperature was also quite significant, while the nozzle diameters and layer height effect were situational. The highest values for the tensile strength, flexural strength, and Young's modulus were 72 MPa, 78.63 MPa, and 4243 MPa, respectively, which are around the same values the manufacturer states. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]