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Daily hydrological modelling is among the most challenging tasks in water resource management, particularly in terms of streamflow prediction in semi-arid areas. Various methods were applied in order to deal with this complex phenomenon, but recently data-driven models have taken a better space, given their ability to solve prediction problems in time series. In this study, we have employed the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network to simulate the daily streamflow over the Ait Ouchene watershed (AIO) in the Oum Er-Rbia river basin in Morocco, based on a temporal sequence of in situ and remotely sensed hydroclimatic data ranging from 2001 to 2010. The analysis adopted in this work is based on three-dimension input required by the LSTM model (1); the input samples used three splitting approaches: 70% of the dataset as training, splitting the data considering the hydrological year and the cross-validation method; (2) the sequence length; (3) and the input features using two different scenarios. The prediction results demonstrate that the LSTM performs poorly using the default data input scenario, whereas the best results during the testing were found in a sequence length of 30 days using approach 3 (R2 = 0.58). In addition, the LSTM fed with the lagged data input scenario using the Forward Feature Selection (FFS) method provides high performance accuracy using approach 2 (R2 = 0.84) in a sequence length of 20 days. Eventually, in applications related to water resources management where data are limited, the use of the deep learning technique is able to create high predictive accuracy, which can be enhanced with the right combination subset of features by using FFS. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Mapping seasonal snow cover dynamics provides essential information to predict snowmelt during spring and early summer. Such information is vital for water supply management and regulation by national stakeholders. Recent advances in remote sensing have made it possible to reliably estimate and quantify the spatial and temporal variability of snow cover at different scales. However, because of technological constraints, there is a compromise between the temporal, spectral, and spatial resolutions of available satellites. In addition, atmospheric conditions and cloud contamination may increase the number of missing satellite observations. Therefore, data from a single satellite is insufficient to accurately capture snow dynamics, especially in semi-arid areas where snowfall is extremely variable in both time and space. Considering these limitations, the combined use of the next generation of multispectral sensor data from the Landsat-8 (L8) and Sentinel-2 (S2), with a spatial resolution ranging from 10 to 30 m, provides unprecedented opportunities to enhance snow cover mapping. Hence, the purpose of this study is to examine the effectiveness of the combined use of optical sensors through image fusion techniques for capturing snow dynamics and producing detailed and dense normalized difference snow index (NDSI) time series within a semi-arid context. Three different models include the enhanced spatial and temporal adaptive reflectance fusion model (ESTARFM), the flexible spatio-temporal data fusion model (FSDAF), and the pre-classification flexible spatio-temporal data fusion model (pre-classification FSDAF) were tested and compared to merge L8 and S2 data. The results showed that the pre-classification FSDAF model generates the most accurate precise fused NDSI images and retains spatial detail compared to the other models, with the root mean square error (RMSE = 0.12) and the correlation coefficient (R = 0.96). Our results reveal that, the pre-classification FSDAF model provides a high-resolution merged snow time series and can compensate the lack of ground-based snow cover data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In arid and semi-arid areas, rainfall is often characterized by a strong spatial and temporal variability. These environmental factors, combined with the sparsity of the measurement networks in developing countries, constitute real constraints for water resources management. In recent years, several spatial rainfall measurement sources have become available, such as TRMM data (Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission). In this study, the TRMM 3B42 Version 7 product was evaluated using rain gauges measurements from 19 stations in the Oum-Er-Bia (OER) basin located in the center of Morocco. The relevance of the TRMM product was tested by direct comparison with observations at different time scales (daily, monthly, and annual) between 1998 and 2010. Results show that the satellite product provides poor estimations of rainfall at the daily time scale giving an average Pearson correlation coefficient (r) of 0.2 and average Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 10 mm. However, the accuracy of TRMM rainfall is improved when temporally averaged to monthly time scale (r of 0.8 and RMSE of 28 mm) or annual time scale (r of 0.71 and RMSE of 157 mm). Moreover, improved correlation with observed data was obtained for data spatially averaged at the watershed scale. Therefore, at the monthly and annual time scales, TRMM data can be a useful source of rainfall data for water resources monitoring and management in ungauged basins in semi-arid regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Hydrological models, with different levels of complexity, have become inherent tools in water resource management. Conceptual models with low input data requirements are preferred for streamflow modeling, particularly in poorly gauged watersheds. However, the inadequacy of model structures in the hydrologic regime of a given watershed can lead to uncertain parameter estimation. Therefore, an understanding of the model parameters' behavior with respect to the dominant hydrologic responses is of high necessity. In this study, we aim to investigate the parameterization of the HBV (Hydrologiska Byråns Vattenbalansavedelning) conceptual model and its influence on the model response in a semi-arid context. To this end, the capability of the model to simulate the daily streamflow was evaluated. Then, sensitivity and interdependency analyses were carried out to identify the most influential model parameters and emphasize how these parameters interact to fit the observed streamflow under contrasted hydroclimatic conditions. The results show that the HBV model can fairly reproduce the observed daily streamflow in the watershed of interest. However, the reliability of the model simulations varies from one year to another. The sensitivity analysis showed that each of the model parameters has a certain degree of influence on model behavior. The temperature correction factor (ETF) showed the lowest effect on the model response, while the sensitivity to the degree-day factor (DDF) highly depends on the availability of snow cover. Overall, the changes in hydroclimatic conditions were found to be mostly responsible for the annual variability of the optimal parameter values. Additionally, these changes seem to actuate the interdependency between the parameters of the soil moisture and the response routines, particularly Field Capacity (FC), the recession coefficient K0, the percolation coefficient (KPERC), and the upper reservoir threshold (UZL). The latter combines either to shrink the storage capacity of the model's reservoirs under extremely high peak flows or to enlarge them under overestimated water supply, mainly provoked by abundant snow cover. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]