Search

Managing the amount of greenspace (i.e., increasing or decreasing greenspace coverage) and optimizing greenspace configuration (i.e., increasing or decreasing greenspace fragmentation) are cost-effective approaches to cooling the environment. The spatial variations in their impacts on the thermal environment, as well as their relative importance, are of great importance for greenspace planning and management but are far from thoroughly understood. Taking Changsha, China as an example, this study investigated the spatial variations of the impacts of greenspace amount (measured as a percent of greenspace) and greenspace fragmentation (measured by edge density of greenspace) on the Landsat-derived land surface temperature (LST) using geographically weighted regression (GWR), and also uncovered the spatial pattern of their relative importance. The results indicated that: (1) Greenspace amount showed significantly negative relationships with LST for 91.73% of the study area. (2) Both significantly positive and negative relationships were obtained between greenspace fragmentation and LST, covering 14.90% and 13.99% of the study area, respectively. (3) The negative relationship between greenspace fragmentation and LST is mainly located in the urban areas, while the positive relationship appeared in the rural areas. (4) Greenspace amount made a larger contribution to regulating LST than greenspace fragmentation in 93.31% of the study area, but the latter had stronger roles in about 6.69% of the study area, mainly in the city center. These findings suggest that spatially varied greenspace planning and management strategies should be adopted to improve the thermal environment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study investigates the spatial disparities in flood risk and social vulnerability across 66,543 census tracts in the Conterminous United States (CONUS), emphasizing urban–rural differences. Utilizing the American Community Survey (ACS) 2016–2020 data, we focused on 16 social factors representing socioeconomic status, household composition, racial and ethnic minority status, and housing and transportation access. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) reduced these variables into five principal components: Socioeconomic Disadvantage, Elderly and Disability, Housing Density and Vehicle Access, Youth and Mobile Housing, and Group Quarters and Unemployment. An additive model created a comprehensive Social Vulnerability Index (SVI). Statistical analysis, including the Mann–Whitney U test, indicated significant differences in flood risk and social vulnerability between urban and rural areas. Spatial cluster analysis using Local Indicators of Spatial Association (LISA) revealed significant high flood risk and social vulnerability clusters, particularly in urban regions along the Gulf Coast, Atlantic Seaboard, and Mississippi River. Global and local regression models, including Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR), highlighted social vulnerability's spatial variability and localized impacts on flood risk. The results showed substantial regional disparities, with urban areas exhibiting higher flood risks and social vulnerability, especially in southeastern urban centers. The analysis also revealed that Socioeconomic Disadvantage, Group Quarters and Unemployment, and Housing Density and Vehicle Access are closely related to flood risk in urban areas, while in rural areas, the relationship between flood risk and factors such as Elderly and Disability and Youth and Mobile Housing is more pronounced. This study underscores the necessity for targeted, region-specific strategies to mitigate flood risks and enhance resilience, particularly in areas where high flood risk and social vulnerability converge. These findings provide critical insights for policymakers and planners aiming to address environmental justice and promote equitable flood risk management across diverse geographic settings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) has become an emerging public health problem. The impact of multiple environmental factors on the prevalence of ASD remains unclear. This study examined the association between the prevalence of ASD and the environmental quality index (EQI), an indicator of cumulative environmental quality in five major domains, including air, water, land, built and sociodemographic variables in the United States. The results from Poisson regression models show that the prevalence of ASD has a positive association with the overall EQI with a risk ratio (RR) of 1.03 and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of 1.01–1.06, indicating that children in counties with poor environmental quality might have a higher risk of ASD. Additionally, the prevalence of ASD has a positive association with the air index (RR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.01–1.06). These associations varied in different rural–urban groups and different climate regions. This study provided evidence for adverse effects of poor environmental quality, particularly air pollutants, on children's neurodevelopment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The rapid proliferation of peer-to-peer short-term vacation rentals has sparked a debate regarding their impact on housing markets. This study further investigates this issue by examining the effect of Airbnb on relative rent costs in San Francisco. The research addresses a critical gap in understanding whether Airbnb financially burdens local renters within different income groups. The authors also differentiated the effect of Airbnb accommodations with different levels of commercialization by categorizing Airbnb listings based on their level of commercialization. Using the multiscale geographically weighted regression technique, this study also considered spatial variations in the relationship between short- and long-term rental markets. The findings indicate that the density of Airbnb only affects the relative rent of renters with a yearly household income between USD 50,000 and USD 75,000. Furthermore, the density of Airbnb listings from more commercialized hosts that own between three and eleven showed a positive relationship with the relative rent cost. This study highlighted the variability in the impact of Airbnb on the local community by income group, listing characteristic, and geographic region. This finding underscores the need for differentiated regulation toward peer-to-peer accommodations, as the impact on rent affordability varies by host commercialization level and renter income group. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The scientific field of precision agriculture employs increasingly innovative techniques to optimize inputs, maximize profitability, and reduce environmental impact. However, obtaining a high number of soil samples is challenging in order to make precision agriculture viable. There is a trade-off between the amount of data needed and the time and resources spent to obtain these data compared to the accuracy of the maps produced with more or fewer points. In the present study, the research was based on an exhaustive dataset of apparent electrical conductivity (aEC) containing 3906 points distributed along 26 transects with spacing between each of up to 40 m, measured by the proximal soil sensor EM38-MK2, for a grain-producing area of 72 ha in São Paulo, Brazil. A second sparse dataset was simulated, showing only four transects with a 400 m distance and, in the end, only 162 aEC points. The aEC map via ordinary kriging (OK) from the grid with 26 transects was considered the reference, and two other mapping approaches were used to map aEC via sparse grid: kriging with external drift (KED) and geographically weighted regression (GWR). These last two methods allow the increment of auxiliary variables, such as those obtained by remote sensors that present spatial resolution compatible with the pivot scale, such as data from the Landsat-8, Aster, and Sentinel-2 satellites, as well as ten terrain covariates derived from the Alos Palsar digital elevation model. The KED method, when used with the sparse dataset, showed a relatively good fit to the aEC data (R2 = 0.78), with moderate prediction accuracy (MAE = 1.26, RMSE = 1.62) and reasonable predictability (RPD = 1.76), outperforming the GWR method, which had the weakest performance (R2 = 0.57, MAE = 1.78, RMSE = 2.30, RPD = 0.81). The reference aEC map using the exhaustive dataset and OK showed the highest accuracy with an R2 of 0.97, no systematic bias (ME = 0), and excellent precision (RMSE = 0.56, RPD = 5.86). Management zones (MZs) derived from these maps were validated using soil texture data from clay samples measured at 0–10 cm depth in a grid of 72 points. The KED method demonstrated the highest potential for accurately defining MZs for irrigation, producing a map that closely resembled the reference MZ map, thereby providing reliable guidance for irrigation management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Land use and land cover (LULC) changes driven by ecological restoration and protection projects play a pivotal role in reshaping landscape patterns. However, the specific impacts of these projects on landscape structure remain understudied. In this research, we applied geographically weighted regression (GWR) to analyze the spatial relationships between typical land use expansion and landscape pattern characteristics in the Lesser Khingan Mountains–Sanjiang Plain region between 2017 and 2022. Our results indicate three key findings: (1) Significant spatial heterogeneity exists in the relationship between landscape patterns and land use expansion, which varies across geographic locations; (2) Ecological restoration projects generally reduce fragmentation, dominance, and heterogeneity while enhancing connectivity, particularly in forest and farmland regions. However, excessive land use expansion in certain areas may reverse these positive effects; (3) Landscape complexity increases in high-altitude mountainous regions due to land use expansion but decreases in plains, particularly in forest-to-farmland conversions. These findings provide new insights into how landscape patterns respond to ecological restoration efforts and offer actionable guidance for improving future land use planning and policy decisions. Our study highlights the need to consider local geomorphological factors when designing ecological projects, ensuring that restoration efforts align with regional landscape dynamics to maintain landscape integrity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Featured Application: (1) The methodological approach based on multiscale geographically weighted regression provides a nuanced understanding of how urban factors influence health disparities. (2) The findings highlight the importance of food accessibility as a determinant of health, reinforcing the need for interdisciplinary approaches that combine public health, urban planning, and nutrition science. (3) Policymakers can use this data to identify priority areas for improving food access, particularly in economically disadvantaged neighborhoods. This could involve incentivizing grocery stores and markets to establish themselves in underserved areas or enhancing public transportation links to existing food resources. (4) The call for sustainable food systems to support public health highlights the importance of long-term strategies that ensure consistent access to healthy, affordable food. This can influence agricultural policies, support for local food producers, and the promotion of urban agriculture initiatives. This study examines the link between food deserts and cardiovascular health in older adults in Santiago's Metropolitan Region, Chile. As the population ages and chronic diseases rise, understanding the impact of food accessibility on health is essential. Using multiscale geographically weighted regression, we analyzed data from the Cardiovascular Health Program, socioeconomic indicators, and food desert maps, sourced from the Chilean Ministry of Health and other databases. Spatial analysis, including Voronoi diagrams, assessed the influence of food deserts on health outcomes. Findings show a significant correlation between limited access to healthy foods and higher cardiovascular disease rates, especially in economically disadvantaged areas. The regression model is significant to contribute to the explanation of disease prevalence, emphasizing the impact of food availability on health. This study highlights the importance of considering spatial factors in urban planning and public health policies. By showcasing the role of food environments in health disparities, it advocates for integrated health interventions. Targeted urban planning to address food deserts can enhance access to healthy foods, improving cardiovascular health and well-being among Santiago's elderly. The findings provide insights for policymakers to create healthier urban environments and stress the need for sustainable food systems to support public health. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Ecosystems offer natural resources and habitats for humans, serving as the foundation for human social development. Taking the Tianshan Mountains as the study area, this study investigated the changing trends, hot spots, and driving factors of water yield (WY), soil conservation (SC), carbon storage (CS), and habitat quality (HQ), in the Tianshan region, from 1990 to 2020. To determine the trade-offs and synergies between the ESs, we employed the Spearman correlation coefficient, geographically weighted regression, the self-organizing map (SOM), and other methods. Five main results were obtained. (1) There were similar spatial distribution patterns for WY, HQ, CS, and SC, with high-value areas mainly concentrated in grassland zones, forest zones, river valleys, and the intermountain basins of the mountain range, while regions with low value were clustered in desert zones and snow/ice zones. (2) According to the hotspot analysis, areas with relatively strong ES provisioning for WY, HQ, CS, and SC, were primarily concentrated in the BoroHoro Ula Mountains and Yilianhabierga Mountains. In contrast, areas with relatively weak ES provisioning were mainly located in the Turpan Basin. (3) Precipitation was the primary explanatory factor for WY. Soil type, potential evapotranspiration (PET), and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) were the primary explanatory factors for HQ. Soil type and NDVI were the primary explanatory factors for CS. PET was the primary explanatory factor for SC. (4) There were synergistic relationships between the WY, HQ, CS, and SC, with the strongest synergies found between CS–HQ, WY–HQ, and WY–SC. (5) Six ES bundles were identified through the SOM method, with their composition varying at different spatial scales, indicating the need for different ES management priorities in different regions. Our analysis of ESs, from various perspectives, offers insights to aid sustainable ecosystem management and conservation efforts in the Tianshan region and other major economic areas worldwide. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In the current context of urbanization, urban agglomerations face complex challenges in maintaining an ecological balance. This study uses remote sensing images of the Central Yunnan urban agglomeration from 2000 to 2020, along with socioeconomic data, to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of the green space evolution. Utilizing dynamic geographically weighted regression analysis based on principal components (PCA-GWR), we identify the key socioeconomic factors influencing these changes and quantitatively analyze the driving forces in each stage. Our findings reveal a continuing trend of decreasing total green space alongside increasing individual forest types and pronounced regional disparities in green space dynamics. The results indicate that socioeconomic factors exert both positive facilitative effects and negative pressures, with evident spatial and temporal variability. Urbanization and economic development promote forest expansion in certain areas, while contributing to the reduction in farmland and shrub–grass lands. Significant variations are influenced by factors such as the urbanization rate, the agricultural population, the industrial composition, and fiscal revenue. This study enhances the in-depth understanding of the relationship between the spatiotemporal dynamics of green spaces and socially driven mechanisms, offering significant insights for sustainable urban planning and landscape management and harmonizing urban agglomeration development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Rurality is an important indicator to reflect the development of villages and reveal internal differences in rural areas. The unbalanced development of transportation infrastructure in the current period of rapid urbanization has become one of the principal elements triggering spatial differences in rurality and changes in rural territorial characteristics. However, there are few studies on the impact of transportation infrastructure accessibility on the multidimensional characteristics of rurality from the perspective of heterogeneity. This paper analyzed the spatio-temporal characteristics of transport accessibility (TA) and the county rurality index (CRI) in Guangdong in 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2020 using an accessibility model and the rurality index and explored the clustering characteristics and interactions of TA and the CRI through exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA) and geographic weighted regression (GWR) modeling. The findings showed that (1) TA and the CRI in Guangdong were significantly unbalanced in terms of space. The CRI showed a weakening trend in general, forming a distribution pattern of "high in the north and low in the south, high in the west and low in the east", while TA was on the rise, maintaining a stable pattern of "high in the middle and low in the periphery". (2) Both TA and the CRI in Guangdong had a Moran's I value greater than 0.6 during the study period, exhibiting strong spatial agglomeration, while the two showed a significant spatial negative correlation. (3) The influence of TA on the CRI in different dimensions showed dynamic changes in stages, with TA having a higher intensity of effect on society rurality and land rurality in 2005, while on society rurality and industry rurality in 2020. (4) This paper grouped 77 counties in Guangdong into four types of policy zonings—coordination types, lagged types of accessibility, lagged types of rurality and double lagged types—and put forward corresponding development recommendations. The study conducted in this paper contributes to an in-depth understanding of the impact of transportation infrastructure development on the multidimensional characteristics of rurality and provides a basis for policy formulation for coordinated urban–rural development and sustainable rural development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Estimating tree height at the national to regional scale is crucial for assessing forest health and forest carbon storage and understanding forest ecosystem processes. It also aids in formulating forest management and restoration policies to mitigate global climate change. Extensive ground-survey data offer a valuable resource for estimating tree height. In tree height estimation modeling, a few comparative studies have examined the effectiveness of global-based versus local-based models, and the spatial heterogeneity of independent variable parameters remains insufficiently explored. This study utilized ~200,000 ground-survey data points covering the entire provincial region to compare the performance of the global-based Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Random Forest (RF) model, as well as local-based Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model, for predicting the average tree height of Chinese fir forests in Zhejiang Province China. The results showed that the GWR model outperformed both OLS and RF in terms of predictive accuracy, achieving an R-squared (R2) and adjusted R2 of 0.81 and MAE and RMSE of 0.93 and 1.28, respectively. The performance indicated that the local-based GWR held advantages over global-based models, especially in revealing the spatial non-stationarity of forests. Visualization of parameter estimates across independent variables revealed spatial non-stationarity in their impact effects. In mountainous areas with dense forest coverage, the parameter estimates for average age were notably higher, whereas in forests proximate to urban areas, the parameters were comparatively lower. This study demonstrates the effectiveness of large ground-survey data and GWR in tree height estimation modeling at a provincial scale. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study investigates the factors influencing pricing in Romanian rural tourism using a hedonic pricing model through a hybrid LASSO-OLS regression and geographically weighted regression (GWR). By analyzing data from 5028 unique accommodation units across 1170 local administrative units, we identify some key pricing determinants, including accommodation size, capacity, facilities, and environmental attributes. The results reveal that larger accommodations and those with higher guest capacities command higher prices. Luxurious facilities, such as massage services, pools, and fireplaces, significantly increase pricing, although the impact of such features varies by region, as do accommodation type and natural scenery, with agritouristic boarding houses and proximity to natural attractions like water bodies and forests being more valued in certain regions. These factors can aid rural entrepreneurs in optimizing pricing to enhance competitiveness and profitability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The number of electric vehicles (EVs) continues to increase in the automobile market, driven by public policies since they contribute to the global decarbonization of the transportation sector. Still, the main challenge to increasing EV adoption is charging infrastructure. Therefore, the site selection of public EV charging stations should be made very carefully to maximize EV usage and address the population's range anxiety. Since electricity demand for charging EVs introduces new load shapes, the interrelationship between the location of charging stations and long-term electrical grid planning must be addressed. The selection of the most suitable site involves conflicting criteria, requiring the application of multi-criteria analysis. Thus, a geographic information system-based Multicriteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) approach is applied in this work to address the charging station site selection, where the demographic criteria and energy density are taken into account to formulate an EV increase model. Several methods, including Fuzzy TOPSIS, are applied to validate the selection of suitable sites. In this evaluation, the impact of the EV charging station on the substation capacity is assessed through a high EV penetration scenario. The proposed method is applied in Cuenca, Ecuador. Results show the effectiveness of MCDA in assessing the impact of charging stations on power distribution systems ensuring suitable system operation under substation capacity reserves. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Exploring the relationship and driving forces between supply–demand of ecosystem services (ESs) and urbanization can help solve the environmental problems and promote regional sustainable development. This study analyzed the spatio-temporal distribution characteristics of supply–demand of ESs and comprehensive urbanization level (CUL) in Shaanxi Province from 2010 to 2019 and assessed the coupling relationship between ecosystem service supply–demand ratio (ESSDR) and CUL using the coupling coordination degree (CCD) model. Random forests and geographically weighted regression methods were utilized to characterize the contribution and spatial distribution of the drivers of CCD. The results showed that: (1) except for habitat quality, the ESSDR of the other three types of services as well as the comprehensive services showed a decreasing trend, CUL exhibited increasing trend; (2) Although CCD was generally increasing, a significant portion (78.51%) of regions still remained uncoordinated, with relatively better coordination shown around the Guanzhong urban agglomeration, which has a higher urbanization level; (3) The CCD in Shaanxi Province was primarily influenced by local financial income, the secondary industry, and temperature forces. In regions with high and increasing CCD, the tertiary industry was the decisive force. In other areas, there were significant spatial variations in the driving forces. These findings provide a coupled and coordinated perspective for urban ecological management, which can provide scientific reference and practical guidance for cities with different development modes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The traditional settlements are of paramount significance as indispensable elements of China's cultural heritage, simultaneously functioning as prime assets for the enhancement of rural economic and social dynamics. Nestled within the comprehensive framework of China's rural revitalization endeavor and Shandong Province's proactive initiatives toward the amalgamation of cultural and tourism sectors, a meticulous exploration of the spatiotemporal evolution and connectivity of traditional villages in Shandong Province is indispensable for their preservation and forward-thinking evolution. For this study, 557 traditional villages across Shandong Province are identified as pivotal points, with the application of geographic information system (GIS) techniques to scrutinize their spatiotemporal transformation patterns and spatial characteristics. Additionally, a suite of analytical instruments, encompassing metrics for accessibility assessment, ordinary least squares (OLS) linear regression, and geographically weighted regression (GWR) models, are deployed to evaluate the accessibility levels and influential factors shaping traditional villages within the region. The analytical outcomes reveal the following: (1) Chronologically, approximately 80% of the traditional villages in the province of Shandong were established during the Ming and Qing epochs, and they demonstrate a migratory pattern that is spatially and temporally oriented from "southwest to northeast"; geographically, these traditional villages are characterized by pronounced clustering, predominantly situated at the confluence of Jinan and Zibo Cities, the Shantou District of Zaozhuang City, Zhaoyuan City of Yantai City, and Rongcheng City of Weihai City, forming a coherent "four-core" spatial distribution configuration. (2) Considering the criteria for village location, traditional villages in Shandong are predominantly found in areas with a predominantly flat landscape and a certain proximity to water bodies. (3) On the whole, the accessibility of traditional villages in Shandong is relatively high, with the average accessibility assessed at 199.92 min, a range spanning from 175 min, and approximately 57.99% of the villages falling within the 100 to 200 min accessibility bracket, indicating a systematic decline in accessibility from the central areas to the periphery. (4) The pivotal factors influencing the accessibility of traditional villages in Shandong are primarily altitude, slope, and road network density, with altitude and slope showing a negative correlation with accessibility, whereas road network density exhibits a positive correlation, and the proximity to water bodies has a relatively minor impact on accessibility. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The listed price of real estate is a subjective reflection of its value by sellers, usually related to structural, neighborhood, and environmental attributes. Although previous studies have proposed the hedonic pricing model, factors related to perception are rarely seen in explanatory variables. This study aims to explore the impact of street-level perceived qualities on the listed price per square meter of plot set by the seller of the real estate using the Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR)-based hedonic pricing model and analyzes the spatially heterogeneous effects of the coefficients. In the city of Eindhoven, the Netherlands, Google Street View photos collected at 200 m intervals were employed to calculate representative variables of perceptual quality via a validated convolutional neural network, alongside structural and neighborhood attributes. The final model includes eight explanatory variables, and the results indicate that, apart from the plot area and the number of rooms, the influencing mechanisms of other factors are different. The impact of perceived beautiful quality on listed real estate prices demonstrates obvious distinctions between the north and the south. Perceived livability (positive) and depressing (negative) qualities show similar heterogeneous characteristics. This study offers a comprehensive approach to promote diverse strategies for real estate development across urban areas and recommends a heightened emphasis on the design quality of residential streets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Identifying the relationship between forest roads and wildfires in forest ecosystems is a crucial priority to integrate suppression and prevention within wildfire management. In various investigations, the interaction of these elements has been studied by using road density as one of the anthropogenic dependent variables. This study focused on the use of a broader set of metrics associated with forest road networks, such as road density, the number of links (edges), and access percentage based on two effect zones (road buffers of 75 m and 97 m). These metrics were employed as response variables to assess forest road network suitability in relation to wildfires, specifically the number and size of fires (2000–2021), using the Apulia region (Italy) as a case study. In addition, to enhance the comprehensive understanding of road networks in forest ecosystems in relation to wildfires, this study considered various affecting factors, including land-cover data (forest, maquis, natural grassland), geomorphology (slope, aspect), vegetation (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)), and morphometric indexes (Topographic Position Index (TPI), Terrain Ruggedness Index (TRI), Topographic Wetness Index (TWI)). We used geographically weighted regression (GWR) and ordinary least squares (OLS) to analyze the interaction between forest road metrics and dependent variables. Results showed that the GWR models outperformed the OLS models in term of statistical results such as R2 and the Akaike Information Criterion (AICc). We found that among road metrics, road density and number of links do not effectively demonstrate the correlation between roads and wildfires as a singular criterion. However, they prove to be a beneficial supplementary variable when considered alongside access percentage, particularly within the 75-m buffer zone. Our findings are used to discuss implications for forest road network planning in a broader wildfire management analysis. Our findings demonstrate that forest roads are not one-dimensional and static infrastructure; rather, they are a multi-dimensional and dynamic structure. Hence, they need to be analyzed from various perspectives, including accessibility and ecological approaches, in order to obtain an integrated understating of their interaction with wildfire. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Our study examines how dengue fever incidence is associated with spatial (demographic and socioeconomic) alongside temporal (environmental) factors at multiple scales in the city of Ibagué, located in the Andean region of Colombia. We used the dengue incidence in Ibagué from 2013 to 2018 to examine the associations with climate, socioeconomic, and demographic factors from the national census and satellite imagery at four levels of local spatial aggregation. We used geographically weighted regression (GWR) to identify the relevant socioeconomic and demographic predictors, and we then integrated them with environmental variables into hierarchical models using integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA) to analyze the spatio-temporal interactions. Our findings show a significant effect of spatial variables across the different levels of aggregation, including human population density, gas and sewage connection, percentage of woman and children, and percentage of population with a higher education degree. Lagged temporal variables displayed consistent patterns across all levels of spatial aggregation, with higher temperatures and lower precipitation at short lags showing an increase in the relative risk (RR). A comparative evaluation of the models at different levels of aggregation revealed that, while higher aggregation levels often yield a better overall model fit, finer levels offer more detailed insights into the localized impacts of socioeconomic and demographic variables on dengue incidence. Our results underscore the importance of considering macro and micro-level factors in epidemiological modeling, and they highlight the potential for targeted public health interventions based on localized risk factor analyses. Notably, the intermediate levels emerged as the most informative, thereby balancing spatial heterogeneity and case distribution density, as well as providing a robust framework for understanding the spatial determinants of dengue. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Enhancing soil organic carbon (SOC) content in farmland is crucial for soil quality maintenance and food security. However, the relationship between crop rotation and SOC sequestration remains unclear. We used sample data on SOC, collected in September of every year, from cultivated land for quality monitoring from 2017 to 2021, combined with spatially extracted planting system information, and focused on the effects of wheat–maize crop rotation on SOC in the Sushui River Basin. An analysis of variance (ANOVA) indicated that the SOC content was only significantly different between wheat monoculture and maize monoculture. Among the three cropping systems, wheat–maize rotation did not show absolute superiority. The Geodetector analysis showed that the planting system dominated the spatial distribution of soil organic carbon (p = 0.05), but its explanatory factor was only 5%, and the explanatory power was significantly improved after interaction with other factors. Geographically weighted regression showed that wheat–maize rotation had a trade-off effect with elevation and synergistic effects with rainfall and pH. It displayed a synergistic effect with temperature in the southwest and a trade-off effect in the northeast. The degrees of trade-offs and synergy varied spatially among all interacting factors. We focused on the spatial heterogeneity of soil organic carbon in a small watershed, and the results had scientific significance for the layout of planting systems according to local conditions and the improvement in soil organic carbon levels. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The classical linear regression model allows for a continuous quantitative variable to be modeled simply from other variables. However, this model assumes independence between observations, which, if ignored, can lead to methodological issues. Additionally, not all data follow a normal distribution, prompting the need for alternative modeling methods. In this context, geographically weighted beta regression (GWBR) incorporates spatial dependence into the modeling process and analyzes rates or proportions using the beta distribution. In this study, GWBR was applied to the traffic injury (fatal and non-fatal) crash proportions in Fortaleza, Ceará, Brazil, from 2009 to 2011. The results demonstrated that the local approach using the beta distribution is a viable model for explaining the traffic injury crash proportions, due to its flexibility in handling both symmetric and skewed distributions. Therefore, when analyzing rates or proportions, the use of the GWBR model is recommended. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

As an essential part of daily life, commuting produces considerable carbon emissions and is currently receiving increased amounts of attention. Comprehensive explorations of carbon emissions and the spatial distribution of their effects based on previous studies are lacking. First, we adopt stepwise regression and geographically weighted regression (GWR) to explore the diverse impacts of carbon emissions on the different layers of metropolitan areas, employing factors from the perspectives of socioeconomics, transportation services, and road networks. Our findings show that optimizing the road network structure could be an effective approach to reducing carbon emissions from commuting, especially in the periphery of metropolitan areas. In addition, the mixed use of land contributes to reducing carbon emissions from commuting, especially in the central areas. Thus, the coverage of public transport should be improved, especially in peripheral regions. Policymakers should monitor the spatial heterogeneity of variables and develop suitable policies to adapt to the conditions of the different layers of metropolitan areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Shoho Castle Maps are maps of castle towns throughout Japan drawn by Kano School painters on the order of the shogun in 1644. The Shoho Castle Map of Takada, Joetsu City, Niigata Prefecture was used to visualize local distortions in historical maps and to scrutinize the mapmaking process. A novel method, geographically weighted bidimensional regression, was developed and applied to visualize the local distortions of the map. Exaggerated expressions by mapmakers that have not been identified in previous studies were revealed. That is, in addition to the castle being drawn enlarged, the town where the merchants and artisans lived was drawn larger than the castle. Therefore, the Takada Shoho Castle Map reflects mapmakers' intentions, besides enlarging military facilities, which appear to have emphasized the pictorial composition of the map by placing the main gate to the castle at the center and drawing the map area evenly from the center in a well-balanced layout. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study aims to explore the factors affecting variation in ozone concentration, using ozone concentration monitoring data from the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (Jing–Jin–Ji) region from 2015 to 2022. The characteristics of the spatial and temporal variation in ozone concentration, as well as the impact of meteorological and land-use types on this variation, were investigated. Seasonally, ozone concentrations in the Jing–Jin–Ji region were highest in summer, followed by spring and autumn, and were lowest in winter. Spatially, a characteristic trend of lower concentrations in urban centers and higher concentrations in suburban areas was found. From the results of correlation analysis and a stepwise regression model, temperature and solar radiation were found to be the primary factors affecting seasonal variations in ozone concentration, explaining 67.9% of the variance. Additionally, the results of geographically weighted regression models confirmed the spatial heterogeneity of the impact of temperature and solar radiation on ozone concentration. In urban centers, such as Beijing and Tianjin, temperature and solar radiation more strongly influenced ozone concentration. To determine the factors driving this spatial heterogeneity, a geodetector was employed to analyze the impact of various geographical factors on the spatial distribution of ozone concentration. In winter, the impact of various factors of urbanization, such as lighting index, population density, and construction land, as well as air quality factors (PM2.5 and NO2), on ozone concentration was stronger, with q values greater than 0.2. However, in autumn, the influence of these factors on ozone concentration weakened. Furthermore, the results of the two-factor interaction detection analysis showed that the q values for the interaction between urban and air quality factors ranged between 0.40 and 0.47, which were substantially higher than those for other interactions. This further confirmed the strong influence of urban activities on ozone concentration. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With the advancement of urban modernization, more and more residents are flocking to large cities, leading to problems such as severe traffic congestion, uneven distribution of spatial resources, and deterioration of the urban environment. These challenges pose a serious threat to the coordinated development of cities. In order to better understand the travel behavior of metropolitan residents and provide valuable insights for urban planning, this study utilizes taxi trajectory data from the central areas of Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Wuhan. First, the relationship between daytime taxi drop-off points and urban amenities is explored using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS). Subsequently, Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) techniques were applied to identify spatial differences in these urban drivers. The results show that commonalities emerge across the four cities in the interaction between external transport stops and commercial areas. In addition, the average daily travel patterns of residents in these four cities show a trend of "three peaks and three valleys", indicating the commonality of travel behavior. In summary, this study explores the travel characteristics of urban residents, which can help urban planners understand travel patterns more effectively. This is crucial for the strategic allocation of transport resources across regions, the promotion of sustainable urban transport, and the reduction in carbon emissions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Anthropogenic nitrogen (N) inputs can have detrimental environmental effects, necessitating a comprehensive understanding of the nitrogen budget (NB) and its spatial correlation with the water quality. This study, utilizing a 2016 dataset, scrutinized 850 subwatersheds with diverse land covers across the Republic of Korea (ROK). Employing Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR), it examined the spatial correlations between the NBs and the quality of the groundwater and river water at the watershed scale. Robust correlations (R2 = 0.87) were observed between the groundwater quality and NBs, surpassing those of the surface water (R2 = 0.48). Sensitivity analyses highlighted the importance of high-resolution spatial data in capturing nuances within complex land covers. The integration of such data led to increases in the spatial correlations between the groundwater and river water quality of approximately 0.6–0.9 and 0.3–0.5, respectively. Notably, when the agricultural land cover exceeded 10%, significant enhancements in the spatial correlations were observed, emphasizing the pivotal role of agriculture in nutrient and water quality. At a 10% cropland ratio, the spatial correlations between the watershed-scale NBs and river/groundwater quality increased by approximately 76% and 501%, respectively. This study provides novel insights into the spatial relationships among NBs, water quality, and land use, highlighting the significance of high-resolution data and the impact of agricultural practices on watershed management. These findings contribute valuable information for developing strategies to mitigate nitrogen pollution. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To prevent damage to human life and health caused by high temperatures and extreme weather and to promote sustainable urban development, it is necessary to optimize the layout of urban development elements to improve the urban wind–heat environment. Taking the high-density urban area of Shanghai as an example, this study used wavelet analysis to investigate the cyclic changes of the average annual temperature of Shanghai from 1950 to 2022 and the average annual wind speed of Shanghai from 2000 to 2020. The correlation between the urban heat environment and the urban development elements was analyzed using geographically weighted regression. The correlation was then examined using BP neural network, and finally, the impacts of different urban spatial patterns on the wind environment were analyzed using CFD numerical simulation. The results show that the average annual temperature of Shanghai city has an overall upward trend, with significant cycles of 44 and 32 years that are shortening over time. The average annual wind speed has a downward trend, with a significant main cycle of 22 years. Greening and water coverage, as well as the floor area ratio, have a significant reducing effect on surface temperature, whereas building density is positively correlated with surface temperature. Building density has a significant reducing effect on wind speed, whereas the effect of floor area ratio is not significant. The effect of building density on wind speed is significantly weakened, whereas the effect of the floor area ratio is not significant. This study provides valuable references for Shanghai and other high-density cities to optimize urban spatial patterns in order to improve the safety and comfort of the urban wind–heat environments. This study is of significant importance and value in promoting sustainable urban development, protecting the health of urban residents, and advancing spatial justice and equal well-being. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Biodiversity is profoundly influenced by habitat quality, and Harbin, a provincial capital situated in a cold climate zone, stands out as one of China's regions most susceptible to the repercussions of climate change. To ensure the city's continued sustainable growth, a thorough assessment of habitat quality must be conducted. This study employs a comprehensive approach integrating the InVEST model, the PLUS model, a landscape pattern analysis, geographic detector, and a geographically weighted regression model. The goal is to assess how land use and habitat quality have changed in Harbin City, investigate factors contributing to spatial heterogeneity in habitat quality, thoroughly examine evolutionary patterns under the inertial development scenario from 2030 to 2050, and propose spatial optimization strategies. There are four key findings. First, from 2000 to 2020, agricultural land and forest were Harbin City's two most prevalent land use types. The most notable transition occurred from forest to grassland, and the expansion of construction land primarily resulted from its encroachment into agricultural areas. Second, within the area of study, the landscape heterogeneity increased while simultaneously experiencing a decrease in connectivity, and the landscape had a tendency toward a more fragmented spatial distribution. Third, overall habitat quality rose between 2000 and 2020 but declined between 2030 and 2050. There was a "weak in the west and high in the east" distribution pattern in the spatial heterogeneity of habitat quality. Fourth, population density has the most impact on habitat quality, with the NDVI and GDP close behind. Conversely, precipitation and slope had comparatively smaller influences on habitat quality. Natural factors combined had a primarily favorable influence on habitat quality across the research region in terms of spatial distribution. Conversely, population density had a discernibly detrimental impact. Given these findings, this study suggests targeted strategies to optimize habitat quality. These recommendations are relevant not only for biodiversity conservation but also for the development of an ecologically sustainable community, particularly in a cold climate region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Huashan Creek watershed is the largest water source and the main production area of honeydew in Pinghe County, whose extensive cultivation of honeydew has exacerbated soil and water pollution. However, the spatial application of remote sensing ecological index (RSEI) in this watershed and key driving factors are not clear considering the applicability of data quality and the diversity of methodological scales. To explore the RSEI and driving factors at distinct scales in Huashan Creek watershed, this study constructed the RSEI based on the environmental balance matrix at seven scales in 2020, revealed its spatial response characteristics at different scales, and analyzed the key drivers. The results show that the 240 m grid as well as rural and watershed scale convergence analyses satisfy the assessment of RSEI, whose Moran indexes are 0.558, 0.595, and 0.146, respectively. The RSEIs at different scales have significant spatial aggregation characteristics, but the overall status is moderate. The central town–riparian area with poor RSEI contrasts with the western mountainous area, which has comparatively better quality. Population has a major influence on RSEI at multiple scales (0.8), with elevation and patch index acting significantly at the village and grid scales, respectively. These findings help to identify the spatial distribution of quality and control mechanisms of RSEI in the Huashan Creek watershed and provide new insights into key scales and drivers of ecological restoration practices in the watershed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The price of a house is affected by both the subjective and objective factors of the street environment in a neighborhood. However, the relationships between these factors and housing prices are not fully understood. Street view imagery (SVI) has recently emerged as a new data source for housing price studies. The SVI contains both objective and subjective information and can be used to extract objective measurements describing the physical environment and subjective measurements depicting human perceptions. Compared to conventional methods, there is consistency between subjective and objective information extracted from SVIs, and the two types of information are acquired from the perspective of the human visual perceptual system. Therefore, using both objective and subjective information extracted from street view images to study their relationship with housing prices has several advantages. In this study, focusing on the city of Suzhou, China, we extracted subjective perception and objective view indices from SVIs and systematically assessed their effects on housing prices. The global ordinary least squares (OLS) regression model and the local geographically weighted regression (GWR) model were used to model the correlations between these measures and housing prices. The OLS reveals that overall objective measures have stronger explanatory power, and built environment factors have a greater impact on housing prices. GWR shows that subjective factors can explain more variance in housing prices on the local scale and that home buyers care more about the subjective perceptions of the neighborhood's surroundings. The map of the GWR local coefficients demonstrates that the perception indicators have both positive and negative effects on housing prices in different places. In addition, a Monte Carlo test was performed to verify the spatially varying relationships between these measures. Our findings provide important references for urban designers and guide various applications, such as safe neighborhood design and sustainable city planning. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Identifying the changes in landscape pattern and ecosystem service value (ESV) and clarifying their relationship in temporal changes and spatial variations can provide insight into regional landscape features and scientific support for regional landscape planning. Leveraging land use data from the Yihe River Basin, we quantitatively assessed the landscape pattern and ESV shifts spanning from 2000 to 2018 using the landscape pattern indexes and the equivalence factor method. We employed Pearson correlation metrics and the geographically weighted regression model to explore the interrelation of their spatiotemporal variations. Our results show the following: (1) Forestland represents the most expansive land cover category. Apart from construction land, all other types experienced a decline in area. The most notable change occurred in the area of construction land. (2) The aggregation of the overall landscape shows a downward trend. The levels of fragmentation, landscape diversity, and richness increased. (3) Throughout the entire study period, the overall ESV gradually decreased, and the land cover type with the greatest contribution to the ESV was forestland. (4) In terms of temporal changes, the patch density and edge density of the overall area are significantly negatively correlated with total ESVs. The largest values for the patch index, perimeter–area fractal dimension (PAFRAC), and aggregation are significantly positively correlated with total ESVs. (5) In terms of spatial variation, the contagion index (CONTAG), PAFRAC, and the Shannon diversity index (SHDI) were noticeably correlated with ESVs. The CONTAG is positively correlated with ESVs upstream, but negatively midstream and downstream. The SHDI is negatively correlated with ESVs upstream, but positively midstream and downstream. The PAFRAC exhibits a positive correlation with ESVs for the most part. The association between the landscape pattern indexes and ESVs exhibits temporal and spatial inconsistencies in most instances, suggesting a spatiotemporal scale effect in their relationship. This study recommends that the local government devises a long-term strategy for urban development and exercises stringent control over the unregulated expansion of construction land. Through reasonable territorial spatial planning, government departments could enhance the connectivity of the overall landscape pattern of the Yihe River Basin to achieve the reasonable allocation and sustainable development of regional resources. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With the development of the Chinese Fengyun satellite series, Fengyun-2G (FY-2G) quantitative precipitation estimates (QPE) can provide real-time and high-quality precipitation data over East Asia. However, FY-2G QPE cannot offer precipitation information beyond the latitude band of 50°N due to the limitation of the observation coverage of the FY-2G-based satellite-borne sensor. To this end, a precipitation space reconstruction using the geographically weighted regression (GWR) coupled with a geographical differential analysis (GDA) (PSR2G) algorithm was developed, based on the land surface variables related to precipitation, including vegetational cover, land surface temperature, geographical location, and topographic characteristics. This study used the PSR2G-based reconstructed model to estimate the FY-2G QPE over Northeast China (the latitude band beyond 50°N) from December 2015 to November 2019 with a spatiotemporal resolution of 0.1°/month. The PSR2G-based reconstructed results were validated with the ground observations of 80 rain gauges, and also compared to the reconstructed results using random forest (RF) and GWR. The results show that the spatio-temporal pattern of PSR2G QPE is closer to ground observations than those of RF and GWR, which indicates that the PSR2G QPE is more competent to capture the spatio-temporal variation of rainfall over Northeast China than other two reconstruction methods. In addition, the reconstructed precipitation dataset using PSR2G has higher accuracy over study area than the FY-2G QPE below the band of 50°N. It suggested that PSR2G reconstruction precipitation strategies do not lose the precision of the original satellite precipitation data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Rapid urbanization threatens the ecological environment and quality of life by significantly altering land use and land cover (LULC) and heat distribution. One of the most significant environmental consequences of urbanization is the urban heat island effect (UHI). This study investigated the spatiotemporal characteristics of the SUHI and its relationship with land use types from 2000 to 2020 in Urumqi City, located in an arid and semi-arid region of northwestern China. Additionally, the ordinary least squares (OLS) and geographically weighted regression (GWR) models were used to quantify the relationship between the land surface temperature (LST) and influencing factors. The results showed that the area of the lower surface temperature classes has decreased significantly. In comparison, the area of the higher surface temperature classes has experienced a steady rise over the last two decades. From 2000 to 2020, the share of the area occupied by the temperature range <30 °C decreased by 67.09%. In addition, the LST varied significantly from one category of land use to another. The average LST of built-up land and unused land was higher than the average LST of other land use types in all years, while the average LST of grassland, forest land, and water bodies was significantly lower. Finally, the results of the GWR model showed that R2 and adjusted R2 of the GWR were 0.75 and 0.73, obviously larger than the 0.58 of the OLS models. The GWR model's higher R2 and adjusted R2 compared to the OLS model indicates that the relationship between LST and the influencing factors underlying the model may exhibit spatial non-stationarity, and the GWR model performs better than the OLS model. The results of both OLS and GWR models show that the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and slope were negatively correlated with LST, while the urban index (UI) and normalized difference built-up index (NDBI) were positively correlated with LST. The findings of the study indicate that increasing green spaces and limiting the unplanned expansion of urban areas are effective measures to mitigate the UHIs in the study area. The results of the study may provide valuable insights into the spatiotemporal characteristics of the UHI and its drivers. Understanding the spatiotemporal characteristics of the UHI can help urban planners, policymakers, and scientists develop more effective urban cooling strategies and improve the urban thermal environment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Three Gorges Dam project and other human activities, including regional urbanization and industrialization, have had a substantial influence on the biological environment of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area (TGRA). They have changed the surface land use pattern, disrupted ecosystem structure and function, and influenced changes in the value of ecosystem services. The human activity intensity (HAI) assessment model, the ecosystem services value (ESV) assessment model, and the bivariate spatial autocorrelation model were used based on the spatiotemporal evolution data of towns along the Yangtze River in the TGRA in 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020. At the same time, the spatiotemporal impact of the HAI on land use patterns was evaluated and the magnitude of the spatiotemporal influences on the ESV was investigated. The findings demonstrate the following: (1) The TGRA's higher reaches are occupied by forested land, while the middle and lower portions are characterized by agricultural land. Land change in the reservoir region has mostly featured transitions between wooded land, agricultural land, grassland, and building land during the last 25 years. Because of differences in natural geography and administrative divisions, the intensity of human activity in the TGRA changes throughout the Yangtze River, with higher intensity in Chongqing and lower intensity in Hubei. By comparing the ESV and the HAI and validating with Moran scatter plots, it was determined that there is a negative relationship between the value of ecosystem services and the intensity of human activities. (2) The ESV rose from CNY 1017.16 × 108 in 1995 to CNY 1052.73 × 108 in 2020, suggesting that the policies of converting farmland back into forests, eliminating outdated production capacity, and developing green industries, among other ecological conservation measures, are effective. (3) In the research area, the effect coefficient of HAI on ESV ranges from −0.02 to −0.032 to −0.031. This coefficient represents the correlation between the HAI and ESV and can preliminarily judge the change in the degree of correlation between the HAI and ESV. The increase in HAI leads to a decrease in the value of ecosystem services, and there is a clear negative spatial correlation between the two. The low human activity area and low ecosystem service value area in the Chongqing section have been transformed into a high ecosystem service value area through years of returning farmland to forest and ecological management measures for sustainable development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: This study aimed at examining the prevalence and variations in undernutrition among children below five years of age in Uganda while considering the influence of space and time factors. Various studies conducted in Uganda analyzed the undernutrition phenomenon among children below five years of age with a focus on the risk factors and spatial variations; however, no study has ever integrated the elements of time in examining the problem of undernutrition in Uganda. The approach of spatial and spatiotemporal analysis is essential in identifying cluster patterns, hotspots, trends, and emerging hotspots, which is crucial in making timely and location-specific interventions. Methods: Data from the six Uganda Demographic and Health Surveys spanning from 1990 to 2016 were used, with the main outcome variable being undernutrition among children below five years of age. A Composite Index of Anthropometric Failure was derived from the three undernutrition outcomes and subsequently used as a proxy of undernutrition in this study. All data that were relevant to this study were retrieved from the survey datasets and combined with the 2014 shape files of Uganda to enable spatial and spatiotemporal analysis. Spatial maps with the spatial distribution of the prevalence of undernutrition, both in space and time, were generated using ArcGIS Pro version 2.8. Moran's I, an index of spatial autocorrelation, was used to test the hypothesis of no spatial autocorrelation, while the Getis–Ord (Gi*) statistic was used to examine hot and cold spot areas. Furthermore, space-time cubes were generated to establish the trend in undernutrition as well as to mirror its variations over time and across the country. Moreover, emerging hot spot analysis was done to help in identifying the patterns of undernutrition over time. Results: The national prevalence of undernutrition among children below five years of age was 31.96 percent, with significant spatial variations both in space across Uganda and in the time since 1989. The index of spatial autocorrelation (Moran's I) confirmed spatial clustered patterns as opposed to random distributions of undernutrition prevalence. Four hot spot areas, namely, the Karamoja, the Sebei, the West Nile, and the Toro regions, were significantly evident. Most of the central parts of Uganda were identified as cold spot clusters, while most of Western Uganda, the Acholi, and the Lango regions had no statistically significant spatial patterns by the year 2016. The spatio-temporal analysis identified the Karamoja and Sebei regions as clusters of persistent, consecutive, and intensifying hot spots, West Nile region was identified as a sporadic hotspot area, while the Toro region was identified with both sporadic and emerging hotspots. In conclusions, undernutrition is a silent pandemic that calls for immediate and stringent measures. At 31.96 percent, the prevalence is still very high and unpleasant. To reduce the prevalence of undernutrition and to achieve SDG goal 2, policymakers, as well as implementers, should consider the spatial effects and spatial and spatiotemporal variations across the country and prioritize interventions to hot spot areas. This would ensure efficient, timely, and region-specific interventions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Wheat is an important food crop in China. The quality of wheat affects the development of the agricultural economy. However, the high-quality wheat produced in China cannot meet the demand, so it would be an important direction for research to develop high-quality wheat. Grain protein content (GPC) is an important criterion for the quality of winter wheat and its content directly affects the quality of wheat. Studying the spatial heterogeneity of wheat grain proteins is beneficial to the prediction of wheat quality, and it plays a guiding role in the identification, grading, and processing of wheat quality. Due to the complexity and variability of wheat quality, conventional evaluation methods have shortcomings such as low accuracy and poor applicability. To better predict the GPC, geographically weighted regression (GWR) models, multiple linear regression, random forest (RF), BP neural networks, support vector machine, and long-and-short-term memory algorithms were used to analyze the meteorological data and soil data of Jiangsu Province from March to May in 2019–2022. It was found that the winter wheat GPC rises by 0.17% with every 0.1° increase in north latitude at the county level in Jiangsu. Comparison of the prediction accuracy of the coefficient of determination, mean deviation error, root mean square error, and mean absolute error by analyzing multiple algorithms showed that the GWR model was the most accurate, followed by the RF model. The regression coefficient of precipitation in April showed the smallest range of variation among all factors, indicating that precipitation in April had a more stable effect on GPC in the study area than the other meteorological factors. Therefore, consideration of spatial information might be beneficial in predicting county-level winter wheat GPC. GWR models based on meteorological and soil factors enrich the studies regarding the prediction of wheat GPC based on environmental data. It might be applied to predict winter wheat GPC and improve wheat quality to better guide large-scale production and processing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The development and functional perfection of urban areas have led to increasingly severe fire risks in recent decades. Previous urban fire risk assessment methods relied on subjective judgment, rough data collection, simple linear statistical methods, etc. These drawbacks can lead to low robustness of evaluation and inadequate generalization ability. To resolve these problems, this paper selects the indicator and regression models based on the high-resolution data of the spatial distribution characteristics of Longquanyi distinct in Chengdu, China. and proposes an integrated machine learning algorithm for fire risk assessment. Firstly, the kernel density analysis is used to map the fourteen urban characteristics related to fire risks. The contributions of these indicators (characteristics) to fire risk and its corresponding index are determined by Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). Then, the spatial correlation of fire risks is determined through Moran's I, and the spatial distribution pattern of indicator weights is clarified through the raster coefficient space analysis. Finally, with these selected indicators, we test the regression performance with a backpropagation neural network (BPNN) algorithm and a geographically weighted regression (GWR) model. The results indicate that numerical variables are more suitable than dummy variables for estimating micro-scale fire risks. The main factors with a high contribution are all numerical variables, including roads, gas pipelines, GDP, hazardous chemical enterprises, petrol and charging stations, cultural heritage protection units, assembly occupancies, and high-rise buildings. The machine learning algorithm integrating RF and BPNN shows the best performance (R2 = 0.97), followed by the RF-GWR integrated algorithm (R2 = 0.87). Compared with previous methods, this algorithm reduces the subjectivity of the traditional assessment models and shows the ability to automatically obtain the key indicators of urban fire risks. Hence, this new approach provides us with a more robust tool for assessing the future fire safety level in urban areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Satellite precipitation data downscaling is gaining importance for climatic and hydrological studies at basin scale, especially in the data-scarce mountainous regions, e.g., the Upper Indus Basin (UIB). The relationship between precipitation and environmental variables is frequently utilized to statistically data and enhance spatial resolution; the non-stationary relationship between precipitation and environmental variables has not yet been completely explored. The present work is designed to downscale TRMM (Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission) data from 2000 to 2017 in the UIB, using stepwise regression analysis (SRA) to filter environmental variables first and a geographically weighted regression (GWR) model to downscale the data later. As a result, monthly and annual precipitation data with a high spatial resolution (1 km × 1 km) were obtained. The study's findings showed that elevation, longitude, the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and latitude, with the highest correlations with precipitation in the UIB, are the most important variables for downscaling. Environmental variable filtration followed by GWR model downscaling performed better than GWR model downscaling directly when compared with observation data. Generally, the SRA and GWR method are suitable for environmental variable filtration and TRMM data downscaling, respectively, over the complex and heterogeneous topography of the UIB. We conclude that the monthly non-stationary relationships between precipitation and variables exist and have the greatest potential to affect downscaling, which requires the most attention. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The optimal selection of characteristic bands and retrieval models for the hyperspectral retrieval of soil heavy metal concentrations poses a significant challenge. Additionally, satellite-based hyperspectral retrieval encounters several issues, including atmospheric effects, limitations in temporal and radiometric resolution, and data acquisition, among others. Given this, the retrieval performance of the soil arsenic (As) concentration in Pingtan Island, the largest island in Fujian Province and the fifth largest in China, is currently unclear. This study aimed to elucidate this issue by identifying optimal characteristic bands from the full spectrum from both statistical and physical perspectives. We tested three linear models, namely Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), Partial Least Squares Regression (PLSR) and Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR), as well as three nonlinear machine learning models, including Back Propagation Neural Network (BP), Support Vector Machine Regression (SVR) and Random Forest Regression (RFR). We then retrieved soil arsenic content using ground-based soil full spectrum data on Pingtan Island. Our results indicate that the RFR model consistently outperformed all others when using both original and optimal characteristic bands. This superior performance suggests a complex, nonlinear relationship between soil arsenic concentration and spectral variables, influenced by diverse landscape factors. The GWR model, which considers spatial non-stationarity and heterogeneity, outperformed traditional models such as BP and SVR. This finding underscores the potential of incorporating spatial characteristics to enhance traditional machine learning models in geospatial studies. When evaluating retrieval model accuracy based on optimal characteristic bands, the RFR model maintained its top performance, and linear models (MLR, PLSR and GWR) showed notable improvement. Specifically, the GWR model achieved the highest r value for the validation data, indicating that selecting optimal characteristic bands based on high Pearson's correlation coefficients (e.g., abs(Pearson's correlation coefficient) ≥0.45) and high sensitivity to soil active materials successfully mitigates uncertainties linked to characteristic band selection solely based on Pearson's correlation coefficients. Consequently, two effective retrieval models were generated: the best-performing RFR model and the improved GWR model. Our study on Pingtan Island provides theoretical and technical support for monitoring and evaluating soil arsenic concentrations using satellite-based spectroscopy in densely populated, relatively independent island towns in China and worldwide. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Precipitation in the Tianshan Mountains is abundant, and the quantitative estimation of precipitation in mountainous areas is important to the application and evaluation of regional water resources. With remote sensing technology, satellite inversion of precipitation can estimate precipitation in mountainous areas. However, the Tianshan Mountain terrain is complex, and the spatiotemporal variation in precipitation is large, so the accuracy of satellite precipitation inversion is not high. Here, precipitation data from around 1000 automatic weather stations in the Tianshan Mountains are used to study the correction technology of the Integrated Multisatellite Retrievals for the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission's (IMERG) monthly precipitation products using stepwise regression (STEP), geographically weighted regression (GWR), and random forest (RF). First, geographic information system technology was used to extract topographic variables from a digital elevation model, and vegetation indexes, which are important precipitation indicators, were introduced as explanatory factors to correct satellite precipitation data. Second, GPM IMERG precipitation was corrected by establishing the stepwise regression, the geographically weighted regression model, and the random forest model. The three correction methods can improve the GPM IMERG in terms of relative bias, root mean square error, correlation coefficient, and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency, while the random forest method shows better corrections than the two traditional methods. For dense rainfall stations, the geographically weighted regression method is as effective as random forest. For different altitudes, the results show that RF has the best correction effect in the first three zones, but the correction effect in the last zone (over 3000 m) is worse than STEP. This study provides a practical reference method for estimating precipitation data in the non-rainfall observation area, which helps to deepen the scientific understanding of the water resource distribution in the Tianshan Mountains and provide scientific data support for regional hydrological and meteorological research. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The accurate estimation of a regional ecosystem's carbon storage and the exploration of its spatial distribution and influencing factors are of great significance for ecosystem carbon sink function enhancements and management. Using the Yellow River Basin as the study area, we assessed the changes in regional terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage through geographically weighted regression modeling based on a large number of measured sample sites, explored the main influencing factors through geographic probe analysis, and predicted the carbon sequestration potentials under different scenarios from 2030 to 2050. The results showed that (1) the total carbon storage in the Yellow River Basin in 2020 was about 8.84 × 109 t. Above-ground biological carbon storage, below-ground biological carbon storage, and soil carbon storage accounted for 6.39%, 5.07%, and 89.70% of the total ecosystem carbon storage, respectively. From 2000 to 2020, the carbon storage in the basin showed a trend in decreasing and then increasing, and the carbon storage in the west was larger than in the east and larger in the south than in the north. (2) Forest ecosystem was the main contributor to the increase in carbon storage in the Yellow River Basin. Elevation, temperature, and precipitation were the main factors influencing the spatial pattern of carbon storage. (3) The ecological conservation scenario had the best carbon gain effect among the four future development scenarios, and appropriate ecological conservation policies could be formulated based on this scenario in the future to help achieve the goals of carbon sequestration and sink increase. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A scientific foundation for the sustainable development of ecosystems and the improvement of the ecological spatial security pattern in the area is provided by carrying out a scientific assessment of ecological risk levels in coastal counties. An ecological risk assessment model was established in Pulandian district, Dalian, based on four periods of land use data from 1990 to 2020 combined with the PSR model. The spatial and temporal evolution of ecological risk in Pulandian was analyzed on this basis, and an exploratory regression analysis and a geographically weighted regression model were then used to explore the driving role of natural and social factors on comprehensive ecological risk in coastal counties. The findings demonstrate that there is an obvious ecological landscape type of conversion, with the majority of arable land being converted to forest land in northcentral and southwest areas, reflecting an improvement in the ecological environment and air quality, and the majority of coastal beach land being converted to construction land among the volumes transferred out and in. The area of high risk increased by 73.17% during the course of 30 years, with the majority of it concentrated in the research areas southern Fengrong, Tiexi, and Taiping regions in 1990 before expanding to the northeast, southeast, and central regions. The status index and response index both show a decline followed by an increase in change, while the pressure index shows a rising tendency with socioeconomic progress. The comprehensive ecological risk in the study area is significantly influenced by the urbanization rate, the ratio of environmental protection investment to GDP, the ecosystem service index, and the ecological space–land use ratio, with the urbanization rate displaying more overt negative correlation-driving characteristics, the ratio of environmental protection investment to GDP displaying significant spatial division characteristics, and the ecological space–land use ratio being an important factor. The findings serve as a foundation for decisions on ecological risk avoidance, control, and construction in Pulandian. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cambodia has the most fires per area in Southeast Asia, with fire activity have significantly increased since the early 2000s. Wildfire occurrences are multi-factorial in nature, and isolating the relative contribution of each driver remains a challenge. In this study, we quantify the relative importance of each driver of fire by analyzing annual spatial regression models of fire occurrence across Cambodia from 2003 to 2020. Our models demonstrated satisfactory performance, explaining 69 to 81% of the variance in fire occurrence. We found that deforestation was consistently the dominant driver of fire across 48 to 70% of the country throughout the study period. Although the influence of low precipitation on fires has increased in 2019 and 2020, the period is not long enough to establish any significant trends. During the study period, wind speed, elevation, and soil moisture had a slight influence of 6–20% without any clear trend, indicating that deforestation continues to be the main driver of fire. Our study improves the current understanding of the drivers of biomass fires across Cambodia, and the methodological framework developed here (quantitative decoupling of the drivers) has strong potential to be applied to other fire-prone areas around the world. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The distribution of atmospheric CO2 is not homogenous, primarily due to variations in the CO2 budgets of regional terrestrial ecosystems. To formulate a comprehensive strategy to combat the increasing global CO2 levels and associated warming, it is crucial to consider both the distribution of atmospheric CO2 and the CO2 budgets of ecosystems. This study focused on analyzing the relationship between regional atmospheric CO2 and CO2 budgets in China from 2010 to 2017. Initially, a robust estimation model of net ecosystem CO2 exchange was developed to calculate CO2 budgets using collected emission data. Subsequently, Pearson correlation, redundancy analysis, and geographically weighted regression techniques were employed to examine the link between atmospheric CO2 levels, CO2 budgets, and other meteorological factors at various spatial and temporal scales. The findings from the redundancy analysis and geographically weighted regression indicated that the atmospheric CO2 content of each province could not be solely determined by the regional CO2 budgets. However, a significant and positive correlation between atmospheric CO2 levels and CO2 budgets was observed in non-coastal provinces for a period of six months (R2 ranging from 0.46 to 0.83). Consequently, it is essential to promote a balance between CO2 emissions and the CO2 uptake capacity of regional ecosystems. This balance would minimize positive CO2 budgets and effectively mitigate the increase in atmospheric CO2 levels. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Residential property values are influenced by a combination of physical, socio-economic and neighbourhood factors. This study investigated the influence of public schools on residential property prices. Relatively few existing models have taken the spatial heterogeneity of different submarkets into account. To fill this gap, three types of valuation models were applied to sales data from both non-strata and strata properties, and how the proximity and quality of public schools have influenced the prices of different residential property types was examined. The findings demonstrate that an increase of one unit in the normalised NAPLAN score of primary and high schools will lead to a 3.9% and 1.4%, 2.7% and 2.8% rise in housing prices for non-strata and strata properties, respectively. It is also indicated that the application of geographically weighted regression (GWR) can better capture the varying effects of schools across space. Moreover, properties located in the catchment of high-scoring schools in northern Greater Sydney are consistently the most influenced by school quality, regardless of the property type. These findings contribute to a comprehensive understanding of the relationships between public schools and the various submarkets of Greater Sydney. This is valuable for the decision-making processes of home buyers, developers and policymakers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The spatiotemporal transformations of rural residential lands and populations reflect changes in rural human–land relations. This study uses high-precision rural residential land patches and population distribution data to detect the area, population density, and spatial heterogeneity of newly added rural residential land (NARRL) in China from 2000 to 2020 through spatial local clustering and geographically weighted regression. The patch results were summarized into county-level units for regional comparison, spatial clustering identification, and policy recommendations. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) The total rural residential area increased by 13.86% between 2000 and 2020. The average population density of NARRL (APDNARRL) at patch scale is 701.64 person/km2, significantly exceeding the 507.23 person/km2 of the remaining patches. (2) There are obvious spatial differences in the distribution of APDNARRL as per county-level statistics. There are significant differences in APDNARRL on both sides of the Hu Huanyong Line; the APDNARRL on the left is significantly lower than that on the right. (3) Spatial heterogeneity was found to be among the driving factors of APDNARRL. This study also detected the number and location of hollowing counties; it is significant for monitoring dynamic changes in rural residential lands, revealing their spatial distribution patterns and driving factors, thus improving the optimization of rural land resources. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Ecosystem services are the beneficial goods and services that ecosystems provide to humans. Urbanization is an important feature of human social development. While promoting economic and social development, it also brings about land degradation, resource depletion, environmental pollution and other problems, intensifying the transformation of natural ecosystems into semi-natural and artificial ecosystems, ultimately leading to the loss of ecosystem service functions and declining value. The study of the impact of urbanization on the value of ecosystem services is of critical importance for the conservation of ecosystems and sustainable development. This study examined the spatio-temporal patterns of urbanization's impacts on ecosystem service value in the Yellow River Basin from the perspective of spatio-temporal heterogeneity. Findings: (1) Both the ecosystem service value (ESV) and urbanization level (UL) in the Yellow River Basin were on the rise on the whole, but they were significantly spatially negatively correlated and mainly characterized by the high–low spatial clustering of "low ESV–high UL" and "high ESV–low UL". This negative correlation was gradually weakened with the transformation of the urbanization development mode and ecological restoration projects in the Yellow River Basin. (2) The impacts of the five urbanization subsystems on the value of ecosystem services were diverse. Landscape urbanization had a negative impact on the value of ecosystem services in all regions; economic urbanization and innovation urbanization changed from having a negative to a positive impact; and demographic urbanization and social urbanization had both a positive and a negative impact. (3) To promote the coordinated development of ecological environmental protection and urbanization in the YRB, this paper proposes to change the urbanization development model, implement ecological restoration by zoning, and formulate classified development plans. This study compensates for the shortcomings of current studies that ignore the different impacts of urbanization subsystems on ecosystem service value and lack sufficient consideration of the spatio-temporal heterogeneity characteristics of urbanization and ESVs, enriches the theoretical understanding of the interrelationships between natural and human systems in basin areas, and provides a scientific basis for the rational formulation of urban planning and ecological protection policies in the region, which is of great theoretical and practical significance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The industrial transfer of heavy industries such as non-metallic mineral manufacturing, metal smelting and manufacturing from the eastern coast of China to the central region is beneficial to the economic development of the central region on the one hand, but increases carbon emissions in the central region on the other hand. In February 2022, the National Development and Reform Commission approved the "14th Five-Year Plan for the Development of the Urban Agglomeration in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River". This indicates that the urban agglomeration of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River is an important region for implementing green development in the central area. The spatial and temporal evolution of carbon emissions and influencing factors in this region are the foundation for achieving carbon peaking and the carbon neutrality goal. This paper calculates the total carbon emissions of the cities in the urban agglomeration of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River and uses models such as spatial autocorrelation, geographically weighted regression, and Geodetector to explore the spatial–temporal pattern of carbon emissions. The results show the following: (1) The total carbon emissions of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River urban agglomeration showed fluctuations during 2010–2020, and the carbon emission reduction effect is unstable. Additionally, the carbon emissions of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River city cluster show obvious spatial variability, but the high carbon emission area is always concentrated in Wuhan, and this remains unchanged. (2) In 2010, 2014 and 2017, population size was the most important factor affecting carbon emission divergence, and in terms of interaction, the interaction between energy intensity and GDP and urbanization is the reason for the increasing carbon emissions. (3) The influence of population size on carbon emissions decreases from north to south, the influence of energy intensity on carbon emissions shows a spread from the most influential region in the northwest to the centre and then to the northeast, and the GDP per capita has little influence on the difference of carbon emissions spatial distribution. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper analyses the spatial trends and patterns of the crime rates in London and explores how socio-economic characteristics affect crime rates with consideration of the geographic context across London. The 2015 London Crime Statistics and Socio-economic Characteristics datasets were used. First, we investigated the spatial patterns of crime rates through exploratory spatial analysis at the ward level. In addition, both the ordinary least square (OLS) model and geographically weighted regression (GWR) model, which allow the effects of factors to vary in spatial scales, were adopted and compared to explore the potential spatially varying effect across London. The results showed that there exists obvious spatial clustering for the crime rate in central London. Both global and local Moran's I values indicated the spatial dependence of crime at the ward level. The GWR model performed better in explaining crime rates than the OLS model. Only two factors, namely, the percentage of children aged from 0 to 15 and employment rates, had significant spatial variability in London. The influences of the percentage of children aged 0 to 15 on crime rates are constantly negative over a spatial scale; however, employment rates positively affect crime rates in the north-western areas near the centre of London. Therefore, this paper focuses more on the spatial perspective, which fills the gap in traditional crime analysis, especially on the spatially varying influence of socio-economic status. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Theft is an inevitable problem in the context of urbanization and poses a challenge to people's lives and social stability. The study of theft and criminal behavior using spatiotemporal, big, demographic, and neighborhood data is important for guiding security prevention and control. In this study, we analyzed the theft frequency and location characteristics of the study area through mathematical statistics and hot spot analysis methods to discover the spatiotemporal divergence characteristics of theft in the study area during the pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods. We detected the spatial variation pattern of the regression coefficients of the local areas of thefts in Haining City by modeling the influencing factors using the geographically weighted regression (GWR) analysis method. The results explained the relationship between theft and the influencing factors and showed that the regression coefficients had both positive and negative values in the pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods, indicating that the spatial distribution of theft in urban areas of Haining City was not smooth. Factors related to life and work indicated densely populated areas had increased theft, and theft was negatively correlated with factors related to COVID-19. The other influencing factors were different in terms of their spatial distributions. Therefore, in terms of police prevention and control, video surveillance and police patrols need to be deployed in a focused manner to increase their inhibiting effect on theft according to the different effects of influencing factors during the pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

China's pursuit of sustainable and healthy economic growth requires the promotion of high-quality development. While many scholars have studied high-quality development, few have examined the coupling and coordination among its internal systems. The study aims to analyze the influencing factors of high-quality coordinated development, identify problem areas based on the five development statuses, and provide practical recommendations for optimizing the spatial layout of high-quality development in these areas. By applying a coupling coordination model and a geographically weighted regression model, the comprehensive level of high-quality coordinated development in the eastern coastal areas was evaluated. The results revealed that the majority of the eastern coastal region exhibited weak coordination and significant spatial differences in their comprehensive level. The problem cities were predominantly located in the southern and northern coastal areas. An economic foundation and innovation potential have a positive and stable impact on high-quality coordinated development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]