1. Comparison of Surgical Risk Scores in a European Cohort of Patients with Advanced Chronic Liver Disease.
- Author
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Canillas, Lidia, Pelegrina, Amalia, Colominas-González, Elena, Salis, Aina, Enríquez-Rodríguez, César J., Duran, Xavier, Caro, Antonia, Álvarez, Juan, and Carrión, José A.
- Subjects
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DISEASE risk factors , *LIVER diseases , *CHRONIC diseases , *PORTAL hypertension , *ABDOMINAL wall , *ACOUSTIC radiation force impulse imaging , *PLATELET count - Abstract
Patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) or cirrhosis undergoing surgery have an increased risk of morbidity and mortality in contrast to the general population. This is a retrospective, observational study to evaluate the predictive capacity of surgical risk scores in European patients with ACLD. Cirrhosis was defined by the presence of thrombocytopenia with <150,000/uL and splenomegaly, and AST-to-Platelet Ratio Index >2, a nodular liver edge seen via ultrasound, transient elastography of >15 kPa, and/or signs of portal hypertension. We assessed variables related to 90-day mortality and the discrimination and calibration of current surgical scores (Child-Pugh, MELD-Na, MRS, NSQIP, and VOCAL-Penn). Only patients with ACLD and major surgeries included in VOCAL-Penn were considered (n = 512). The mortality rate at 90 days after surgery was 9.8%. Baseline disparities between the H. Mar and VOCAL-Penn cohorts were identified. Etiology, obesity, and platelet count were not associated with mortality. The VOCAL-Penn showed the best discrimination (C-statistic90D = 0.876) and overall predictive capacity (Brier90D = 0.054), but calibration was not excellent in our cohort. VOCAL-Penn was suboptimal in patients with diabetes (C-statistic30D = 0.770), without signs of portal hypertension (C-statistic30D = 0.555), or with abdominal wall (C-statistic30D = 0.608) or urgent (C-statistic180D = 0.692) surgeries. Our European cohort has shown a mortality rate after surgery similar to those described in American studies. However, some variables included in the VOCAL-Penn score were not associated with mortality, and VOCAL-Penn's discriminative ability decreases in patients with diabetes, without signs of portal hypertension, and with abdominal wall or urgent surgeries. These results should be validated in larger multicenter and prospective studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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