1. The Impact of Oil Price Shocks on National Income: Evidence from Azerbaijan.
- Author
-
Mukhtarov, Shahriyar, Humbatova, Sugra, Mammadli, Mubariz, Hajiyev, Natig Gadim‒Oglu, and Ulgiati, Sergio
- Subjects
- *
PETROLEUM sales & prices , *PETROLEUM , *NATIONAL income , *BUSINESS turnover , *FOREIGN exchange rates , *INTEREST rates - Abstract
This study investigates the influence of oil price shocks on GDP per capita, exchange rate, and total trade turnover in Azerbaijan using the Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) method to data collected from 1992 to 2019. The estimation results of the SVAR method conclude that oil price shocks (rise in oil prices) affect GDP per capita and total trade turnover positively, whereas its influence on the exchange rate is negative in the case of Azerbaijan. According to results of this study, Azerbaijan and similar oil-exporting countries should reduce the dependence of GDP per capita, the exchange rate, and total trade turnover from oil resources and its prices in the global market. Therefore, these countries should attempt to the diversification of GDP per capita, the exchange rate, and other sources of total trade turnover. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF