16 results on '"Lavigne, Eric"'
Search Results
2. Daily Summer Temperatures and Hospitalization for Acute Cardiovascular Events: Impact of Outdoor PM2.5 Oxidative Potential on Observed Associations Across Canada.
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Weichenthal, Scott, Lavigne, Eric, Hongyu You, Pollitt, Krystal, Shin, Tim, Kulka, Ryan, Stieb, Dave M., Hatzopoulou, Marianne, Evans, Greg, and Burnett, Richard T.
- Abstract
Background: Oxidative stress plays an important role in the health impacts of both outdoor fine particulate air pollution (PM2.5) and thermal stress. However, it is not clear how the oxidative potential of PM2.5 may influence the acute cardiovascular effects of temperature. Methods: We conducted a case-crossover study of hospitalization for cardiovascular events in 35 cities across Canada during the summer months (July-September) between 2016 and 2018. We collected three different metrics of PM2.5 oxidative potential each month in each location. We estimated associations between lag-0 daily temperature (per 5°C) and hospitalization for all cardiovascular (n = 44,876) and ischemic heart disease (n = 14,034) events across strata of monthly PM2.5 oxidative potential using conditional logistical models adjusting for potential time-varying confounders. Results: Overall, associations between lag-0 temperature and acute cardiovascular events tended to be stronger when outdoor PM2.5 oxidative potential was higher. For example, when glutathione-related oxidative potential (OPGSH) was in the highest tertile, the odds ratio (OR) for all cardiovascular events was 1.040 (95% confidence intervals [CI] = 1.004, 1.074) compared with 0.980 (95% CI = 0.943, 1.018) when OPGSH was in the lowest tertile. We observed a greater difference for ischemic heart disease events, particularly for older subjects (age >70 years). Conclusions: The acute cardiovascular health impacts of summer temperature variations may be greater when outdoor PM2.5 oxidative potential is elevated. This may be particularly important for ischemic heart disease events. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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3. Long-term Exposure to Oxidant Gases and Mortality: Effect Modification by PM 2.5 Transition Metals and Oxidative Potential.
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Toyib, Olaniyan, Lavigne, Eric, Traub, Alison, Umbrio, Dana, You, Hongyu, Ripley, Susannah, Pollitt, Krystal, Shin, Tim, Kulka, Ryan, Jessiman, Barry, Tjepkema, Michael, Martin, Randall, Stieb, Dave M., Hatzopoulou, Marianne, Evans, Greg, Burnett, Richard T, and Weichenthal, Scott
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AIR pollution ,PARTICULATE matter ,GLUTATHIONE ,GASES ,SULFUR ,OXIDIZING agents ,OXIDATIVE stress ,OXIDATION-reduction reaction ,LONGITUDINAL method ,ENVIRONMENTAL exposure - Abstract
Background: Populations are simultaneously exposed to outdoor concentrations of oxidant gases (i.e., O 3 and NO 2 ) and fine particulate air pollution (PM 2.5 ). Since oxidative stress is thought to be an important mechanism explaining air pollution health effects, the adverse health impacts of oxidant gases may be greater in locations where PM 2.5 is more capable of causing oxidative stress.Methods: We conducted a cohort study of 2 million adults in Canada between 2001 and 2016 living within 10 km of ground-level monitoring sites for outdoor PM 2.5 components and oxidative potential. O x exposures (i.e., the redox-weighted average of O 3 and NO 2 ) were estimated using a combination of chemical transport models, land use regression models, and ground-level data. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate associations between 3-year moving average O x and mortality outcomes across strata of transition metals and sulfur in PM 2.5 and three measures of PM 2.5 oxidative potential adjusting for possible confounding factors.Results: Associations between O x and mortality were consistently stronger in regions with elevated PM 2.5 transition metal/sulfur content and oxidative potential. For example, each interquartile increase (6.27 ppb) in O x was associated with a 14.9% (95% CI = 13.0, 16.9) increased risk of nonaccidental mortality in locations with glutathione-related oxidative potential (OP GSH ) above the median whereas a 2.50% (95% CI = 0.600, 4.40) increase was observed in regions with OP GSH levels below the median (interaction P value <0.001).Conclusion: Spatial variations in PM 2.5 composition and oxidative potential may contribute to heterogeneity in the observed health impacts of long-term exposures to oxidant gases. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2022
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4. Differential Mortality Risks Associated With PM2.5 Components: A Multi-Country, Multi-City Study.
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Masselot, Pierre, Sera, Francesco, Schneider, Rochelle, Kan, Haidong, Lavigne, Eric, Stafoggia, Massimo, Tobias, Aurelio, Chen, Hong, Burnett, Richard T., Schwartz, Joel, Zanobetti, Antonella, Bell, Michelle L., Chen, Bing-Yu, Guo, Yue-Liang Leon, Ragettli, Martina S., Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Astrom, Christofer, Forsberg, Bertil, Iniguez, Carmen, and Garland, Rebecca M.
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AIR pollution ,PARTICULATE matter ,RESEARCH ,MORTALITY ,NITRATES ,EVALUATION research ,COMPARATIVE studies ,RESEARCH funding ,METROPOLITAN areas ,ENVIRONMENTAL exposure - Abstract
Background: The association between fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and mortality widely differs between as well as within countries. Differences in PM2.5 composition can play a role in modifying the effect estimates, but there is little evidence about which components have higher impacts on mortality.Methods: We applied a 2-stage analysis on data collected from 210 locations in 16 countries. In the first stage, we estimated location-specific relative risks (RR) for mortality associated with daily total PM2.5 through time series regression analysis. We then pooled these estimates in a meta-regression model that included city-specific logratio-transformed proportions of seven PM2.5 components as well as meta-predictors derived from city-specific socio-economic and environmental indicators.Results: We found associations between RR and several PM2.5 components. Increasing the ammonium (NH4+) proportion from 1% to 22%, while keeping a relative average proportion of other components, increased the RR from 1.0063 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] = 1.0030, 1.0097) to 1.0102 (95% CI = 1.0070, 1.0135). Conversely, an increase in nitrate (NO3-) from 1% to 71% resulted in a reduced RR, from 1.0100 (95% CI = 1.0067, 1.0133) to 1.0037 (95% CI = 0.9998, 1.0077). Differences in composition explained a substantial part of the heterogeneity in PM2.5 risk.Conclusions: These findings contribute to the identification of more hazardous emission sources. Further work is needed to understand the health impacts of PM2.5 components and sources given the overlapping sources and correlations among many components. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2022
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5. Critical Time Windows for Air Pollution Exposure and Birth Weight in a Multicity Canadian Pregnancy Cohort.
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Johnson, Markey, Shin, Hwashin Hyun, Roberts, Eric, Sun, Liu, Fisher, Mandy, Hystad, Perry, Van Donkelaar, Aaron, Martin, Randall V., Fraser, William D., Lavigne, Eric, Clark, Nina, Beaulac, Vanessa, and Arbuckle, Tye E.
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AIR pollution ,PARTICULATE matter ,MATERNAL exposure ,RESEARCH ,RESEARCH methodology ,EVALUATION research ,COMPARATIVE studies ,BIRTH weight ,RESEARCH funding ,LONGITUDINAL method ,PROBABILITY theory - Abstract
Background: Maternal prenatal exposure to air pollution has been associated with adverse birth outcomes. However, previous studies focused on a priori time intervals such as trimesters reported inconsistent associations.Objectives: We investigated time-varying vulnerability of birth weight to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) using flexible time intervals.Methods: We analyzed 1,300 live, full-term births from Maternal-Infant Research on Environmental Chemicals, a Canadian prospective pregnancy cohort spanning 10 cities (2008-2011). Daily PM2.5 and NO2 concentrations were estimated from ground-level monitoring, satellite models, and land-use regression, and assigned to participants from pre-pregnancy through delivery. We developed a flexible two-stage modeling method-using a Bayesian Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and empirical density threshold-to identify time-dependent vulnerability to air pollution without specifying exposure periods a priori. This approach identified critical windows with varying lengths (2-363 days) and critical windows that fell within, or straddled, predetermined time periods (i.e., trimesters). We adjusted the models for detailed infant and maternal covariates.Results: Critical windows associated with reduced birth weight were identified during mid- to late-pregnancy for both PM2.5 and NO2: -6 g (95% credible interval: -11, -1 g) and -5 g (-10, -0.1 g) per µg/m3 PM2.5 during gestational days 91-139 and 249-272, respectively; and -3 g (-5, -1 g) per ppb NO2 during days 55-145.Discussion: We used a novel, flexible selection method to identify critical windows when maternal exposures to air pollution were associated with decrements in birth weight. Our results suggest that air pollution impacts on fetal development may not be adequately captured by trimester-based analyses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2022
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6. Residential Greenspace in Childhood Reduces Risk of Pediatric Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Population-Based Cohort Study.
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Elten, Michael, Benchimol, Eric I., Fell, Deshayne B., Kuenzig, M. Ellen, Smith, Glenys, Kaplan, Gilaad G., Hong Chen, Crouse, Dan, and Lavigne, Eric
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- 2021
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7. Air Conditioning and Heat-related Mortality: A Multi-country Longitudinal Study.
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Sera, Francesco, Hashizume, Masahiro, Honda, Yasushi, Lavigne, Eric, Schwartz, Joel, Zanobetti, Antonella, Tobias, Aurelio, Iñiguez, Carmen, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana M., Blangiardo, Marta, Armstrong, Ben, and Gasparrini, Antonio
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AIR conditioning ,HEAT ,MORTALITY ,RESEARCH funding ,LONGITUDINAL method - Abstract
Background: Air conditioning has been proposed as one of the key factors explaining reductions of heat-related mortality risks observed in the last decades. However, direct evidence is still limited.Methods: We used a multi-country, multi-city, longitudinal design to quantify the independent role of air conditioning in reported attenuation in risk. We collected daily time series of mortality, mean temperature, and yearly air conditioning prevalence for 311 locations in Canada, Japan, Spain, and the USA between 1972 and 2009. For each city and sub-period, we fitted a quasi-Poisson regression combined with distributed lag non-linear models to estimate summer-only temperature-mortality associations. At the second stage, we used a novel multilevel, multivariate spatio-temporal meta-regression model to evaluate effect modification of air conditioning on heat-mortality associations. We computed relative risks and fractions of heat-attributable excess deaths under observed and fixed air conditioning prevalences.Results: Results show an independent association between increased air conditioning prevalence and lower heat-related mortality risk. Excess deaths due to heat decreased during the study periods from 1.40% to 0.80% in Canada, 3.57% to 1.10% in Japan, 3.54% to 2.78% in Spain, and 1.70% to 0.53% in the USA. However, increased air conditioning explains only part of the observed attenuation, corresponding to 16.7% in Canada, 20.0% in Japan, 14.3% in Spain, and 16.7% in the USA.Conclusions: Our findings are consistent with the hypothesis that air conditioning represents an effective heat adaptation strategy, but suggests that other factors have played an equal or more important role in increasing the resilience of populations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2020
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8. Within-city Spatial Variations in Ambient Ultrafine Particle Concentrations and Incident Brain Tumors in Adults.
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Weichenthal, Scott, Olaniyan, Toyib, Christidis, Tanya, Lavigne, Eric, Hatzopoulou, Marianne, Van Ryswyk, Keith, Tjepkema, Michael, and Burnett, Rick
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AIR pollution ,PARTICULATE matter ,STATISTICS ,DISEASE incidence ,BRAIN tumors ,METROPOLITAN areas ,LONGITUDINAL method - Abstract
Background: Ambient ultrafine particles (UFPs, <0.1 µm) can reach the human brain, but to our knowledge, epidemiologic studies have yet to evaluate the relation between UFPs and incident brain tumors.Methods: We conducted a cohort study of within-city spatial variations in ambient UFPs across Montreal and Toronto, Canada, among 1.9 million adults included in multiple cycles of the Canadian Census Health and Environment Cohorts (1991, 1996, 2001, and 2006). UFP exposures (3-year moving averages) were assigned to residential locations using land-use regression models with exposures updated to account for residential mobility within and between cities. We followed cohort members for malignant brain tumors (ICD-10 codes C71.0-C71.9) between 2001 and 2016; Cox proportional hazards models (stratified by age, sex, immigration status, and census cycle) were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) adjusting for fine particle mass concentrations (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and various sociodemographic factors.Results: In total, we identified 1,400 incident brain tumors during the follow-up period. Each 10,000/cm increase in UFPs was positively associated with brain tumor incidence (HR = 1.112, 95% CI = 1.042, 1.188) after adjusting for PM2.5, NO2, and sociodemographic factors. Applying an indirect adjustment for cigarette smoking and body mass index strengthened this relation (HR = 1.133, 95% CI = 1.032, 1.245). PM2.5 and NO2 were not associated with an increased incidence of brain tumors.Conclusions: Ambient UFPs may represent a previously unrecognized risk factor for incident brain tumors in adults. Future studies should aim to replicate these results given the high prevalence of UFP exposures in urban areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2020
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9. Biomass Burning as a Source of Ambient Fine Particulate Air Pollution and Acute Myocardial Infarction.
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Weichenthal, Scott, Kulka, Ryan, Lavigne, Eric, van Rijswijk, David, Brauer, Michael, Villeneuve, Paul J., Stieb, Dave, Joseph, Lawrence, and Burnett, Rick T.
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GLUCOSE analysis ,AIR pollution ,BIOTIC communities ,GLUCOSE ,MYOCARDIAL infarction ,REGRESSION analysis ,LOGISTIC regression analysis ,PARTICULATE matter ,CASE-control method ,ODDS ratio - Abstract
Background: Biomass burning is an important source of ambient fine particulate air pollution (PM2.5) in many regions of the world.Methods: We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study of ambient PM2.5 and hospital admissions for myocardial infarction (MI) in three regions of British Columbia, Canada. Daily hospital admission data were collected between 2008 and 2015 and PM2.5 data were collected from fixed site monitors. We used conditional logistic regression models to estimate odds ratios (ORs) describing the association between PM2.5 and the risk of hospital admission for MI. We used stratified analyses to evaluate effect modification by biomass burning as a source of ambient PM2.5 using the ratio of levoglucosan/PM2.5 mass concentrations.Results: Each 5 µg/m increase in 3-day mean PM2.5 was associated with an increased risk of MI among elderly subjects (≥65 years; OR = 1.06, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.08); risk was not increased among younger subjects. Among the elderly, the strongest association occurred during colder periods (<6.44°C); when we stratified analyses by tertiles of monthly mean biomass contributions to PM2.5 during cold periods, ORs of 1.19 (95% CI: 1.04, 1.36), 1.08 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.09), and 1.04 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.06) were observed in the upper, middle, and lower tertiles (Ptrend = 0.003), respectively.Conclusion: Short-term changes in ambient PM2.5 were associated with an increased risk of MI among elderly subjects. During cold periods, increased biomass burning contributions to PM2.5 may modify its association with MI. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2017
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10. Maternal Exposure to Aeroallergens and the Risk of Early Delivery.
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Lavigne, Eric, Gasparrini, Antonio, Stieb, David M., Hong Chen, Yasseen III, Abdool S., Crighton, Eric, To, Teresa, Weichenthal, Scott, Villeneuve, Paul J., Cakmak, Sabit, Coates, Frances, Walker, Mark, Chen, Hong, and Yasseen, Abdool S 3rd
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AIR pollution ,ALLERGENS ,PREMATURE infants ,METROPOLITAN areas ,POLLEN ,ENVIRONMENTAL exposure ,SPORES ,PROPORTIONAL hazards models ,MATERNAL exposure - Abstract
Background: Daily changes in aeroallergens during pregnancy could trigger early labor, but few investigations have evaluated this issue. This study aimed to investigate the association between exposure to aeroallergens during the week preceding birth and the risk of early delivery among preterm and term pregnancies.Methods: We identified data on 225,234 singleton births that occurred in six large cities in the province of Ontario, Canada, from 2004 to 2011 (April to October) from a birth registry. We obtained daily counts of pollen grains and fungal spores from fixed-site monitoring stations in each city and assigned them to pregnancy period of each birth. Associations between exposure to aeroallergens in the preceding week and risk of delivery among preterm (<37 gestational weeks), early-term (37-38 weeks), and full-term (≥39 weeks) pregnancies were evaluated with Cox regression models, adjusting for maternal characteristics, meteorologic parameters, and air pollution concentrations, and pooled across the six cities.Results: The risk of delivery increased by 3% per interquartile range width (IQRw = 22.1 grains/m) increase in weed pollen the day before birth among early-term (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.03; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01, 1.05) and full-term pregnancies (HR = 1.03; 95% CI: 1.01, 1.04). Exposure to fungal spores cumulated over 0 to 2 lagged days was associated with increased risk of delivery among full-term pregnancies only (HR = 1.07; 95% CI: 1.01, 1.12). We observed no associations among preterm deliveries.Conclusions: Increasing concentrations of ambient weed pollen and fungal spores may be associated with earlier delivery among term births. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2017
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11. Air Pollution During Pregnancy and Cord Blood Immune System Biomarkers.
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Ashley-Mentin, Jillian, Lavigne, Eric, Arbuckle, Tye E., Johnson, Markey, Hystad, Perry, Crouse, Dan L., Marshall, Jean S., and Dodds, Linda
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AIR pollution , *BIOMARKERS , *CYTOKINES , *CORD blood , *IMMUNE system , *IMMUNOGLOBULINS , *INTERLEUKINS , *NITROGEN oxides , *ENVIRONMENTAL exposure , *PARTICULATE matter - Abstract
Objectives: We aimed to determine whether average and trimester-specific exposures to ambient measures of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and particular matter (PM2.5) were associated with elevated cord blood concentrations of immunoglobulin E (IgE) and two epithelial cell produced cytokines: interleukin-33 (IL-33) and thymic stromal lympho-poietin (TSLP). Methods: This study utilized data and biospecimens from the Maternal-Infant Research on Environmental Chemicals (MIREC) Study. There were 2001 pregnant women recruited between 2008 and 2011 from 10 Canadian cities. Maternal exposure to NO2 and PM2.5 was estimated using land use regression and satellite-derived models. Results: We observed statistically significant associations between maternal NO2 exposure and elevated cord blood concentrations of both IL-33 and TSLP among girls but not boys. Conclusions: Maternal NO2 exposure may impact the development of the newborn immune system as measured by cord blood concentrations of two cytokines. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2016
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12. P-172.
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Lavigne, Eric, Johnson, Ken C., Butler, Gregory, and Duncan, Megan
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- 2012
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13. S-066.
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Lavigne, Eric
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- 2012
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14. Daily Summer Temperatures and Hospitalization for Acute Cardiovascular Events: Impact of Outdoor PM 2.5 Oxidative Potential on Observed Associations Across Canada.
- Author
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Weichenthal S, Lavigne E, You H, Pollitt K, Shin T, Kulka R, Stieb DM, Hatzopoulou M, Evans G, and Burnett RT
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- Humans, Aged, Cross-Over Studies, Temperature, Canada epidemiology, Dust, Oxidative Stress, Hospitalization, Myocardial Ischemia epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: Oxidative stress plays an important role in the health impacts of both outdoor fine particulate air pollution (PM 2.5 ) and thermal stress. However, it is not clear how the oxidative potential of PM 2.5 may influence the acute cardiovascular effects of temperature., Methods: We conducted a case-crossover study of hospitalization for cardiovascular events in 35 cities across Canada during the summer months (July-September) between 2016 and 2018. We collected three different metrics of PM 2.5 oxidative potential each month in each location. We estimated associations between lag-0 daily temperature (per 5ºC) and hospitalization for all cardiovascular (n = 44,876) and ischemic heart disease (n = 14,034) events across strata of monthly PM 2.5 oxidative potential using conditional logistical models adjusting for potential time-varying confounders., Results: Overall, associations between lag-0 temperature and acute cardiovascular events tended to be stronger when outdoor PM 2.5 oxidative potential was higher. For example, when glutathione-related oxidative potential (OP GSH ) was in the highest tertile, the odds ratio (OR) for all cardiovascular events was 1.040 (95% confidence intervals [CI] = 1.004, 1.074) compared with 0.980 (95% CI = 0.943, 1.018) when OP GSH was in the lowest tertile. We observed a greater difference for ischemic heart disease events, particularly for older subjects (age >70 years)., Conclusions: The acute cardiovascular health impacts of summer temperature variations may be greater when outdoor PM 2.5 oxidative potential is elevated. This may be particularly important for ischemic heart disease events., Competing Interests: The authors report no conflicts of interest., (Copyright © 2023 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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15. Associations Between Extreme Temperatures and Cardiovascular Cause-Specific Mortality: Results From 27 Countries.
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Alahmad B, Khraishah H, Royé D, Vicedo-Cabrera AM, Guo Y, Papatheodorou SI, Achilleos S, Acquaotta F, Armstrong B, Bell ML, Pan SC, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho M, Colistro V, Dang TN, Van Dung D, De' Donato FK, Entezari A, Guo YL, Hashizume M, Honda Y, Indermitte E, Íñiguez C, Jaakkola JJK, Kim H, Lavigne E, Lee W, Li S, Madureira J, Mayvaneh F, Orru H, Overcenco A, Ragettli MS, Ryti NRI, Saldiva PHN, Scovronick N, Seposo X, Sera F, Silva SP, Stafoggia M, Tobias A, Garshick E, Bernstein AS, Zanobetti A, Schwartz J, Gasparrini A, and Koutrakis P
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- Humans, Hot Temperature, Temperature, Cause of Death, Cold Temperature, Death, Mortality, Cardiovascular Diseases, Stroke, Heart Failure, Myocardial Ischemia
- Abstract
Background: Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of death worldwide. Existing studies on the association between temperatures and cardiovascular deaths have been limited in geographic zones and have generally considered associations with total cardiovascular deaths rather than cause-specific cardiovascular deaths., Methods: We used unified data collection protocols within the Multi-Country Multi-City Collaborative Network to assemble a database of daily counts of specific cardiovascular causes of death from 567 cities in 27 countries across 5 continents in overlapping periods ranging from 1979 to 2019. City-specific daily ambient temperatures were obtained from weather stations and climate reanalysis models. To investigate cardiovascular mortality associations with extreme hot and cold temperatures, we fit case-crossover models in each city and then used a mixed-effects meta-analytic framework to pool individual city estimates. Extreme temperature percentiles were compared with the minimum mortality temperature in each location. Excess deaths were calculated for a range of extreme temperature days., Results: The analyses included deaths from any cardiovascular cause (32 154 935), ischemic heart disease (11 745 880), stroke (9 351 312), heart failure (3 673 723), and arrhythmia (670 859). At extreme temperature percentiles, heat (99th percentile) and cold (1st percentile) were associated with higher risk of dying from any cardiovascular cause, ischemic heart disease, stroke, and heart failure as compared to the minimum mortality temperature, which is the temperature associated with least mortality. Across a range of extreme temperatures, hot days (above 97.5th percentile) and cold days (below 2.5th percentile) accounted for 2.2 (95% empirical CI [eCI], 2.1-2.3) and 9.1 (95% eCI, 8.9-9.2) excess deaths for every 1000 cardiovascular deaths, respectively. Heart failure was associated with the highest excess deaths proportion from extreme hot and cold days with 2.6 (95% eCI, 2.4-2.8) and 12.8 (95% eCI, 12.2-13.1) for every 1000 heart failure deaths, respectively., Conclusions: Across a large, multinational sample, exposure to extreme hot and cold temperatures was associated with a greater risk of mortality from multiple common cardiovascular conditions. The intersections between extreme temperatures and cardiovascular health need to be thoroughly characterized in the present day-and especially under a changing climate.
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- 2023
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16. Global variation in the effects of ambient temperature on mortality: a systematic evaluation.
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Guo Y, Gasparrini A, Armstrong B, Li S, Tawatsupa B, Tobias A, Lavigne E, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho M, Leone M, Pan X, Tong S, Tian L, Kim H, Hashizume M, Honda Y, Guo YL, Wu CF, Punnasiri K, Yi SM, Michelozzi P, Saldiva PH, and Williams G
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- Adaptation, Physiological, Humans, Seasons, Climate, Global Health, Mortality trends, Temperature
- Abstract
Background: Studies have examined the effects of temperature on mortality in a single city, country, or region. However, less evidence is available on the variation in the associations between temperature and mortality in multiple countries, analyzed simultaneously., Methods: We obtained daily data on temperature and mortality in 306 communities from 12 countries/regions (Australia, Brazil, Thailand, China, Taiwan, Korea, Japan, Italy, Spain, United Kingdom, United States, and Canada). Two-stage analyses were used to assess the nonlinear and delayed relation between temperature and mortality. In the first stage, a Poisson regression allowing overdispersion with distributed lag nonlinear model was used to estimate the community-specific temperature-mortality relation. In the second stage, a multivariate meta-analysis was used to pool the nonlinear and delayed effects of ambient temperature at the national level, in each country., Results: The temperatures associated with the lowest mortality were around the 75th percentile of temperature in all the countries/regions, ranging from 66th (Taiwan) to 80th (UK) percentiles. The estimated effects of cold and hot temperatures on mortality varied by community and country. Meta-analysis results show that both cold and hot temperatures increased the risk of mortality in all the countries/regions. Cold effects were delayed and lasted for many days, whereas heat effects appeared quickly and did not last long., Conclusions: People have some ability to adapt to their local climate type, but both cold and hot temperatures are still associated with increased risk of mortality. Public health strategies to alleviate the impact of ambient temperatures are important, in particular in the context of climate change.
- Published
- 2014
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