In order to estimate the effects of price controls on the rate of inflation, a model is required which simulates the rate of inflation in the absence of price controls. For this purpose, a quarterly model for determining the rate of change in the consumer price index is estimated. The model is used to simulate the rate of inflation in the absence of price controls. The difference between the actual and simulated rates of inflation provides an estimate of the effects of price controls. II. The Model The main concern of this paper is to estimate the effect of price controls and not to test a specific theory of inflation. Therefore, the model includes a number of variables that are suggested by different theories of inflation. The empirical results discriminate between the variables considered and determine the variables which are included in the preferred form of the model. Estimation of the effects of price controls is based on a simulation of the inflation rates which would have occurred in the absence of such controls. If simulated inflation were based on actual development of variables which measure labor cost and money, the impact of price controls would be estimated excluding the effects that may arise through these variables. This is obviously not desirable. Therefore, the simulation equation should not include labor cost and money variables. Instead, this equation is written in a reduced form, where labor cost and money variables in principle are replaced by structural equations, expressing these variables as linear functions of variables included in the simulation equation. However, simulated inflation is based on actual capacity utilization during periods with price controls. This means that the effects of price controls are estimated excluding the effect transmitted through changes in capacity utilization.'