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Water level prediction is an essential factor for the safe operation of pumping stations. However, due to the complex nonlinear relationship between the water level of the front pool of the pumping station and the influencing factors, the prediction of the water level is still inaccurate and untimely. Backpropagation (BP) neural network, improved particle swarm optimization-BP neural network (PSO-BP), support vector machine regression (SVR), and improved PSO-SVR were used to construct 4-h and 8-h ahead prediction models for pumping station prestation water levels. Mean absolute error, mean squared error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and R correlation coefficient were used as prediction evaluation metrics. This method is applied in the Baliwan Pumping Station, the highest pumping station in the South-to-North Water Diversion Eastern Route Project (SNWDERP). The results showed that the MSE, RMSE, and MAPE of the improved PSO-BP model were smaller than other models, whereas the R correlation coefficient was larger, confirming its high prediction accuracy. All models had higher prediction accuracy 4 h ahead than 8 h ahead. Combining the time-phased water level prediction method and hybrid machine learning can enhance the water level prediction accuracy of a pumping station pre-station. HIGHLIGHTS We propose a pumping station pre-station water level prediction model based on multiple machine learning algorithms.; The paper categorizes the data into the ice formation period, the aquatic grass period, and the normal scheduling period and compares them to ALL.; The effect of different foresight periods on forecast accuracy was analyzed.;

Peak discharge is an essential element of hydrological forecasting. Due to rapid outbreaks of flash floods in hilly areas and the lack of measured data, the fast and accurate estimation of peak discharge is crucial for flash flood hazard management. Three machine learning algorithms were applied to estimate peak discharge; this estimation was compared with the results of hydrological--hydraulic models, and the results were verified with measured watershed data. In this paper, 10 hydrological and geomorphological parameters were selected to predict the flood peak discharge in 103 watersheds in Taiyi Mountain North District. The results show that the particle swarm optimization backpropagation (PSO-BP) neural network model outperforms the BP neural network and random forest regression in prediction performance. PSO-BP has a lower mean absolute error (2.51%), root mean square error (3.74%), and mean absolute percentage error (2.74%) than the other models, which indicates that PSO-BP has high prediction accuracy. Importance analysis revealed that rainfall, early impact rainfall, catchment area, and rain intensity are the key input parameters of PSO-BP. The proposed method was confirmed to be a fast and relatively accurate algorithm for estimating the peak discharge of flash floods in ungauged basins. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]